SEC Championship Game - Scenarios?

[The Ace of Aces 5184]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

I don't think that's necessarily true.  5 conf champs + ND leaves 6 spots, none of which will likelly go to ACC or B12.  So, B1G + SEC likely get 4 spots each.  You sure we wouldn't be one of those 4 teams with 2 conference losses?

I would not put a dime on it but I think any 2 loss SEC team passes us and the chance of 5 2 loss SEC team is petty high. Our strength of schedule/wins is what it is and it’s incredibly weak. 

Just win out and make it all irrelevant. 

[UTexasFight 9454]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

I don't think that's necessarily true.  5 conf champs + ND leaves 6 spots, none of which will likelly go to ACC or B12.  So, B1G + SEC likely get 4 spots each.  You sure we wouldn't be one of those 4 teams with 2 conference losses?

It’s possible. Dont leave it to chance though. Pick 2 of these you’d take Texas over.  

A&M (who would have beaten us)

UGA (who has beaten us)

Bama (likely SEC Champ, or at least playing in the CCG in this hypothetical)

Tenn 

Ole Miss

so do we have a stronger argument over Tenn and Ole Miss?

 

of course all that assumes Tenn doesn’t lose twice (including tonight) and the others don’t lose once.

that could be a big assumption in the world of college football, year of 2024.

(looking at you Ole Miss at Florida next week…or Tenn at Vandy the week after)

 

Edited November 17 by UTexasFight

[jimmyjazz 45962]

6 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

It’s possible. Dont leave it to chance though.

As it turns out, I have no say in the matter.

[I Plead Da Fif 276]

With UGA beating the Vols and assuming we beat UK and Aggy who do we play? Rematch with UGA? Bama? Ole Miss? Tennessee?

[Steelers Roll Left 1174]

4 minutes ago, I Plead Da Fif said:

With UGA beating the Vols and assuming we beat UK and Aggy who do we play? Rematch with UGA? Bama? Ole Miss? Tennessee?

Texas/Texas A&M winner vs Alabama is most likely scenario.  If Bama slips up, Georgia would slide in (Georgia has completed their SEC schedule after tonight) https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

Edited November 17 by Steelers Roll Left

[hornbri 1399]

2 minutes ago, I Plead Da Fif said:

With UGA beating the Vols and assuming we beat UK and Aggy who do we play? Rematch with UGA? Bama? Ole Miss? Tennessee?

If you assume all the favorites win then bama, but there are a lot of games that could change that. 

[LonghornSean 3998]

Looking like the game in College Station is gonna have both an SEC CG and playoff berth on the line…winner gets in, loser is out.

Hold me.

Will be there at the top of the fucking stadium where I saw Tucker’s kick fly in.

[Surly Bevo 24947]

4 minutes ago, LonghornSean said:

Looking like the game in College Station is gonna have both an SEC CG and playoff berth on the line…winner gets in, loser is out.

Hold me.

Will be there at the top of the fucking stadium where I saw Tucker’s kick fly in.

Great....facing aggy with something on the line.  How does that usually go for them?

[TrashMaster G 17558]

21 minutes ago, LonghornSean said:

Looking like the game in College Station is gonna have both an SEC CG and playoff berth on the line…winner gets in, loser is out.

Hold me.

Will be there at the top of the fucking stadium where I saw Tucker’s kick fly in.

You're assuming aggy beats Auburn next week. And that we beat Kentucky, of course, but I think that is a much safer bet.

I'd say aggy vs Auburn is close to a coin flip.  Early line is aggy -3.5.

[HtownHorn 14685]

27 minutes ago, LonghornSean said:

Looking like the game in College Station is gonna have both an SEC CG and playoff berth on the line…winner gets in, loser is out.

Hold me.

Will be there at the top of the fucking stadium where I saw Tucker’s kick fly in.

Why do you assume an aggy team that could break 40 against New Mexico State is beating Auburn on the road?

[markstanco 12577]

You're assuming aggy beats Auburn next week. And that we beat Kentucky, of course, but I think that is a much safer bet.
I'd say aggy vs Auburn is close to a coin flip.  Early line is aggy -3.5.

I know, aggy can aggy but not against auburn. They are awful.

[LonghornSean 3998]

1 minute ago, HtownHorn said:

Why do you assume an aggy team that could break 40 against New Mexico State is beating Auburn on the road?

Sure it’s possible, and would love to be wrong but Auburn is absolute garbage. Aggy is at least semi-decent

[UTexasFight 9454]

Nm

Edited November 17 by UTexasFight

[Hank_Hill 18821]

2 hours ago, LonghornSean said:

Looking like the game in College Station is gonna have both an SEC CG and playoff berth on the line…winner gets in, loser is out.

Hold me.

Will be there at the top of the fucking stadium where I saw Tucker’s kick fly in.

I think we’re in regardless. 

[bluto 4929]

1 hour ago, markstanco said:

I know, aggy can aggy but not against auburn. They are awful.

FWIW ‘the computers’ think aub is around 30 rank.  

[UTexasFight 9454]

So us and Bama if we both win out.

us and UGA if Bama slips up.

 

[gmr548 16580]

2 hours ago, I Plead Da Fif said:

With UGA beating the Vols and assuming we beat UK and Aggy who do we play? Rematch with UGA? Bama? Ole Miss? Tennessee?

Well it depends on a lot of different results but the most likely unless there's a lot of chaos would be Bama, UGA if Bama drops a game (at OU, vs Auburn)

[gmr548 16580]

1 hour ago, HtownHorn said:

Why do you assume an aggy team that could break 40 against New Mexico State is beating Auburn on the road?

My brother in Christ, Oklahoma beat Auburn on the road. Cal beat Auburn on the road. Vanderbilt beat Auburn on the road. Auburn has no Power 4 home wins this year.

Aggy will play it vanilla and it will probably be closer than they care for but Auburn is horrid. I would be shocked if they lost.

[UTexasFight 9454]

13 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

So us and Bama if we both win out.

us and UGA if Bama slips up.

 

Actually a lot of scenarios that UGA wins tiebreaker over Bama even if Bama wins out. UGA needs Mizzou to lose their last two (@Miss St and vs Arky).

 

[TrashMaster G 17558]

20 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

My brother in Christ, Oklahoma beat Auburn on the road. Cal beat Auburn on the road. Vanderbilt beat Auburn on the road. Auburn has no Power 4 home wins this year.

Aggy will play it vanilla and it will probably be closer than they care for but Auburn is horrid. I would be shocked if they lost.

Counterpoint: aggy

[jet black 204]

5 hours ago, gmr548 said:

My brother in Christ, Oklahoma beat Auburn on the road. Cal beat Auburn on the road. Vanderbilt beat Auburn on the road. Auburn has no Power 4 home wins this year.

Aggy will play it vanilla and it will probably be closer than they care for but Auburn is horrid. I would be shocked if they lost.

So you’re saying they’re due 

[Wulaw Horn 19073]

10 hours ago, UTexasFight said:

It’s possible. Dont leave it to chance though. Pick 2 of these you’d take Texas over.  

A&M (who would have beaten us)

UGA (who has beaten us)

Bama (likely SEC Champ, or at least playing in the CCG in this hypothetical)

Tenn 

Ole Miss

so do we have a stronger argument over Tenn and Ole Miss?

 

of course all that assumes Tenn doesn’t lose twice (including tonight) and the others don’t lose once.

that could be a big assumption in the world of college football, year of 2024.

(looking at you Ole Miss at Florida next week…or Tenn at Vandy the week after)

 

Florida could do us a major solid this week and beat Ole Miss and give us some breathing room. Also, root for Army or USC to beat the Domers and that makes it likely we go 5 SEC teams instead of 4. 

[utexas8 1446]

I know Texas has to take care of business first but can we beat bama? They look great then they don’t. I trust the defense but can the offense take care of things. I think I saw a stat that their defense is good but they didn’t look great against vandy.

If picking between UGA or bama. I’d wanna play UGA because they aren’t even that good but then they made us look not good so

[Ravishing Rick 1129]

6 hours ago, gmr548 said:

My brother in Christ, Oklahoma beat Auburn on the road. Cal beat Auburn on the road. Vanderbilt beat Auburn on the road. Auburn has no Power 4 home wins this year.

Aggy will play it vanilla and it will probably be closer than they care for but Auburn is horrid. I would be shocked if they lost.

True. But Aggy with Reed at qb struggles to pass - even against New Mexico State - and now they’re down Moss at RB who was their bell cow.  I think Auburn can load up on the run and Aggy won’t move the ball.  

[TXpride 544]

6 minutes ago, utexas8 said:

I know Texas has to take care of business first but can we beat bama? They look great then they don’t. I trust the defense but can the offense take care of things. I think I saw a stat that their defense is good but they didn’t look great against vandy.

If picking between UGA or bama. I’d wanna play UGA because they aren’t even that good but then they made us look not good so

I've seen nothing since the UGA game to give me much confidence about a potential rematch. They haven't looked great, but neither have we.

I think we match up better against Bama. Their defense is still shaky, and Milroe will turn it over a couple times. I think that game could go either way.

[BurntEyes 5998]

47 minutes ago, TXpride said:

I've seen nothing since the UGA game to give me much confidence about a potential rematch. They haven't looked great, but neither have we.

I think we match up better against Bama. Their defense is still shaky, and Milroe will turn it over a couple times. I think that game could go either way.

Both Beck and Milroe suck when pressured. Of course, Quinn does too. 

Georgia's D has shown the ability to pressure Quinn. I think Bama would have more difficultly doing so, and I'm very confident Texas D would pressure Milroe.

As such, I personally prefer to play Bama from a match up perspective. I prefer Georgia from a payback perspective.

But most, I just want to beat Kentucky.

[Reynolds Woodcock 4748]

1 minute ago, BurntEyes said:

Both Beck and Milroe suck when pressured. Of course, Quinn does too. 

Georgia's D has shown the ability to pressure Quinn. I think Bama would have more difficultly doing so, and I'm very confident Texas D would pressure Milroe.

As such, I personally prefer to play Bama from a match up perspective. I prefer Georgia from a payback perspective.

But most, I just want to beat Kentucky.

Sark vs DeBoer scares you to death 

[BurntEyes 5998]

32 minutes ago, Reynolds Woodcock said:

Sark vs DeBoer scares you to death 

You just look over there across the field at all the elephants. You just hate to see all those elephants. 

[Pimphand 5756]

19 hours ago, UTexasFight said:

Actually a lot of scenarios that UGA wins tiebreaker over Bama even if Bama wins out. UGA needs Mizzou to lose their last two (@Miss St and vs Arky).

Mizzou sucks but I don't see them dropping both those games.

I just want Texas to beat Kentucky & A&M so secure a CFP berth and keep the Ags out in the process.

Would prefer to play Alabama in ATL because I think we match up better with them plus we then could say we beat the defending SEC Champs even though the SEC mouthbreathers would still come up with some idiotic excuse for why it didn't count/matter.