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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 5:23 PM, TeeDubya said:

It’s the end times.   

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FIF accuracy.

Not sure if I believe in Christ, but I damned well believe in the anti-christ.  And it's a 50/50 proposition right now.  I make no prediction, other than more fucking suffering and division for this country and the world.  Because that's all we're any good at these days.

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 5:32 PM, Brisketexan said:

FIF accuracy.

Not sure if I believe in Christ, but I damned well believe in the anti-christ.  And it's a 50/50 proposition right now.  I make no prediction, other than more fucking suffering and division for this country and the world.  Because that's all we're any good at these days.

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jfc dude, you don't have to reply to every thread. this is a prediction thread and you failed. lol

Harris/Walz win. I won't try to declare a margin, but I think they get it done.

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 5:32 PM, Brisketexan said:

FIF accuracy.

Not sure if I believe in Christ, but I damned well believe in the anti-christ.  And it's a 50/50 proposition right now.  I make no prediction, other than more fucking suffering and division for this country and the world.  Because that's all we're any good at these days.

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Stop It Michael Jordan GIF


 

use code “Couponcause” for 20% off your first month at BetterHelp

 

 

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Posted

I think Harris/Walz wins, dotard claims victory, court cases ensue, mostly won by Harris/Walz, they are sworn in, then low intensity terrorism from the right begins.  From there, who knows?

I must be the most optimistic fucker on the ledge.

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 6:20 PM, Scheiss Meister said:

I think Harris/Walz wins, dotard claims victory, court cases ensue, mostly won by Harris/Walz, they are sworn in, then low intensity terrorism from the right begins.  From there, who knows?

I must be the most optimistic fucker on the ledge.

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Excuse me, #2 behind me, Shit Mister

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 6:20 PM, Scheiss Meister said:

I think Harris/Walz wins, dotard claims victory, court cases ensue, mostly won by Harris/Walz, they are sworn in, then low intensity terrorism from the right begins.  From there, who knows?

I must be the most optimistic fucker on the ledge.

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This is about where I am, although I think the EC will be *close* and we won't know for several days or even weeks after Election Day.  And I expect the MAGA idiots will start hurting people probably the day after Election Day.  Hopefully just sporadically.  But once it's called for Kamala, I expect chicanery on a scale that makes 1/6 look like nothing.  Not necessarily a full-blown civil war, but a lot of people are gonna get hurt and at least one OKC-level terrorist attack.  Maybe many.

And when I say this is what I expect, I mean I think this is 55%.  The other 45% is that Trump just wins the damned thing.

It's gonna get ugly either way, I'm afraid.

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 6:36 PM, immamac said:
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when harry met sally ill have what shes having GIF

 

This is the dream. A legit ass kicking will go a long way towards distancing the non-cultists away from Trump once and for all. No one wants to hear a two-time loser cry wolf again when it's not even close.

But we don't deserve that. So we'll get 270-276, it will be a shit show, the GOP will cling onto and appease angry MAGA voters for dear life, and Trump will be even more front and center than normal. 

But at least it's still a win.

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 6:58 PM, aggie08 said:

There exists no possible world where Kamala wins Ohio and loses Michigan and Wisconsin. C'mon now, try a little harder to make a close R win map.

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I didn’t even notice that. I still think Kamala wins the popular vote but electoral map looks like this. Virginia should be a shade darker blue, clicked one two many times I guess

IMG_4847.thumb.jpeg.140a5754bee1d0056da0d28ef3e30e3b.jpeg

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Posted

The electoral college is pretty dumb. I think it’ll be insanely close and take days to sort out before Trump wins. But the map will make it look like he won in a blowout.

Posted

I keep going back on forth on AZ and the GA early vote has made me change my mind

bjAXA.png

qArz4W.png

(I think Osborn wins, but no one knows who he will caucus with)

House is much more difficult due to lack of polling, but I think the Dems win it back

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 7:18 PM, Bullneck said:

No way AZ goes red with the downballot Dems v. the wackadoodle caucus the Rs are putting up.

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Like I said, waffling back and forth on AZ.  My gut says the McCain Republicans and abortion on the ballot keeps it blue, but there hasn't really been any good polling glimmers in AZ for her,  whereas some high quality polling has had her with leads in NC/GA. 

My previous prediction with that she'd just win and NC/GA would flip from 2020, but now I think she wins and flips NC/AZ from 2020. 

Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 11:15 PM, TeeDubya said:

Is there a realistic path for a Trump victory if he loses NC or Georgia?

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If he loses NC, he’s likely lost GA too. And then he has to sweep every other swing state. And if he’s lost those two, he’s probably also lost PA bc it will be the suburbs that won it for her. 

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 11:29 PM, Js1 said:

If he loses NC, he’s likely lost GA too. And then he has to sweep every other swing state. And if he’s lost those two, he’s probably also lost PA bc it will be the suburbs that won it for her. 

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I'm gonna shoot my shot. Harris will win Georgia, and it will be announced on election night.  Wasserman will have seen enough by about 10:30 eastern time.  I'm waffling a bit on numbers and want more data, but it's happening.  

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Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 11:38 PM, BamaATL said:

I'm gonna shoot my shot. Harris will win Georgia, and it will be announced on election night.  Wasserman will have seen enough by about 10:30 eastern time.  I'm waffling a bit on numbers and want more data, but it's happening.  

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I mean, you’re on the ground there, you’d know.  

Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 11:50 PM, Js1 said:

I mean, you’re on the ground there, you’d know.  

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The math at current says at least 40k, at least.  To be honest, I think that's conservative as well.  

Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 11:38 PM, BamaATL said:

I'm gonna shoot my shot. Harris will win Georgia, and it will be announced on election night.  Wasserman will have seen enough by about 10:30 eastern time.  I'm waffling a bit on numbers and want more data, but it's happening.  

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From your lips to gods ears

Posted
  On 10/22/2024 at 11:38 PM, BamaATL said:

I'm gonna shoot my shot. Harris will win Georgia, and it will be announced on election night.  Wasserman will have seen enough by about 10:30 eastern time.  I'm waffling a bit on numbers and want more data, but it's happening.  

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You shoot your shot, and if you're correct, I blow my load. 

Posted
  On 10/23/2024 at 12:01 AM, Surly Bevo said:

This fucking better go better than the Georgia prediction thread.

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The good thing about that loss is I'm not awaiting Saturdays as eagerly, which has made the time to election day move slightly more quickly.

Posted
  On 10/23/2024 at 12:01 AM, Surly Bevo said:

This fucking better go better than the Georgia prediction thread.

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Ironically enough, or not, the one Democratic stronghold not yet reporting strong returns is Clarke County (where UGA is in Athens) at only 12%.  It's smaller population though (86kish expected votes).  

Posted
  On 10/23/2024 at 12:09 AM, BamaATL said:

Ironically enough, or not, the one Democratic stronghold not yet reporting strong returns is Clarke County (where UGA is in Athens) at only 12%.  It's smaller population though (86kish expected votes).  

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They all still too busy bitching about how the refs tried to screw the Dawgs to get out to vote?

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