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Week Ten Preview: Lay Down Your Burdens

texifornia

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texifornia

texifornia 56,868

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Welcome to Bye Week 2. So. Many. Midweek. Conference. USA. games. and a decent but not incredible Saturday slate.

All lines are Circa opening lines.

Tuesday games

New Mexico State @ Florida International (-8) (7/6 CBSSN): They're both 1-3 in CUSA play. The most "it's football I guess" matchup I've ever seen.

Louisiana Lafayette @ Texas State (-3) (7:30/6:30 ESPN2): Midweek Fun Belt action! ULaLa is leading the SBC West. Texas State sees bowl eligibility as a real possibility. Should be a solid one.

Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston State (-9) (8/7 ESPNU): The less interesting Louisiana at Texas matchup. Both teams, especially SHSU, are still alive for the conference title game hunt.

Wednesday games

Jacksonville State @ Liberty (-2) (7/6 CBSSN): CUSA's #2 travels to #3. Let's hope Liberty is still shellshocked from their shocking loss to winless Kennesaw State.

Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky (-24) (7:30/6:30 ESPN2): Speaking of the Owls, they head to Bowling Green, Kentucky, home of Corvettes and Mammoth Cave, to face the league-leading Hilltoppers. Good luck.

Thursday game

Tulane (-15) @ Charlotte (7:30 / 6:30 ESPN): The Green Wave travel to the (other) Queen City to face Biff Poggi's boys. Tulane is 4-0 in conference, Charlotte is 2-2.

Friday games

Georgia State @ UConn (-7) (7/6 CBSSN): Georgia State beat Vanderbilt, so they must be good, right?

Yale @ Columbia (7/6 ESPNU): Take a peek at Columbia's beautiful field on the banks of the Harlem River on the northern tip of Manhattan.

South Florida (-4) @ Florida Atlantic (7:30 / 6:30 ESPN2): Tom Herman hosts an in-state rivalry in Boca Raton. These teams are not good.

San Diego State @ #15 Boise State (-24) (8/7 FS1): Ashton Jeanty at a reasonable hour!

Saturday games

#4 Ohio State (-3) @ #3 Penn State (11/12 FOX): The obvious pick of the litter, and finally a great Big Noon Saturday game (joined by College Gameday). Can James Franklin finally win a big game against a blueblood? Tough battle, especially with Drew Allar hurt.

Duke @ #5 Miami (-20) (11/12 ABC): Another day, another chance for the ACC refs to hand Miami a game they try desperately to lose.

#19 Ole Miss (-4) @ Arkansas (11/12 ESPN): Ole Miss is beloved by the statistical models but has found ways to lose games. Arkansas has been a fun chaos team, and has historically had the Rebs' number. Should be a wild one.

Also on - Minnesota @ #24 Illinois (-3) (11/12 FS1) is reasonably tricky bounceback draw for the Illini after Oregon blew them away, Air Force at Army (-23) (11/12 CBS) because America, and Vanderbilt @ Auburn (-6) (12:45 / 11:45 SECN) will be a fun watch - can Diego Pavia go 3 for 3 against Hugh Freeze?

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Florida vs. #2 Georgia (-16.5) @ Jacksonville (3:30 / 2:30 ABC): The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is a historically great tailgate and terrible rivalry game, and this year's edition looks like it'll keep that going. Hopefully Florida has spent the past month only scouting UGA and still loses in an incredibly deflating way.

#1 Oregon (-15) @ Michigan (3:30 / 2:30 CBS): Oregon has looked ferocious since their early season hiccups. The Big House is a large stadium. They're probably going to win by 30.

Texas Tech @ #t11 Iowa State (-12) (3:30 / 2:30 CBS): Some media types are eying this as a spot where Matt Campbell chokes away the Big XII championship slot. Tech is 3-2 in conference and is desperately trying to stay in the hunt.

Also on - #13 Indiana (-6) @ Michigan State (3:30 / 2:30 Peacock) - let's see if Curt Cignetti will ever trail in a game / North Carolina (-3) @ Florida State (3:30 / 2:30 ACCN) - Mack's team showed a lot of life blowing UVA out of the water, while Florida State is officially out of the postseason / UCLA @ Nebraska (-9) (3:30 / 2:30 BTN) If Nebraska beats the second-worst team in the B1G at home, they'll be bowl-eligible for the first time since 2016!

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#10 Texas A&M (-4) @ South Carolina (7:30 / 6:30 ABC): It's a trap! The most obvious trap game in history. South Carolina is unranked but does some things very well, like pressuring the QB. Can Marcel Reed escape the Gamecock edges?

Louisville @ #t11 Clemson (-12) (7:30 / 6:30 ESPN): Clemson is doing their usual bland run through the ACC en route to a boring Playoff blowout. I don't think it gets tripped up here.

#18 Pittsburgh @ #20 Southern Methodist (-7) (8 / 7 ACCN): Huge game in determining who'll play Clemson in the ACC Championship. Gritty, hard-nosed Rust Belt murderball against Dallas flash. 

Also on - Kentucky @ #7 Tennessee (-16) (7:45 / 6:45 SECN) the former Battle for the Barrel could be alright depending on which version of UK shows up / Wisconsin @ Iowa (-4) (7:30 / 6:30 NBC) and USC @ Washington (pick 'em) (7:30 / 6:30 BTN) are good helmet games /  TCU @ Baylor (-2) (8 / 7 ESPN2) The "Bluebonnet Battle" features two coaches battling to cool their seats down.

-

No Big XII After Dark and Hawaii plays on the mainland :(

 

Edited by texifornia
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ClubWhatever

ClubWhatever 12,120

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I really enjoy these.  Muchas gracias.

I don't expect them to lose, but Georgia has played exactly one dynamic athlete at QB and that one gave them trouble.  Of course they didn't have all their own athletes at the time either.  Since I'm for chaos, here's to a high scoring shocker.

 

 

Edited by ClubWhatever
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campcrunk

campcrunk 2,438

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44 minutes ago, texifornia said:

 

Honestly, I'm surprised we're as close to the line as we are. Whether it's taking our foot off the gas versus Michigan or falling apart vs. Vanderbilt, it seems like we've scored boatloads more first half points.

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PittsburghTiger

PittsburghTiger 6,175

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16 minutes ago, texifornia said:

@PittsburghTiger

I'm not so much into the rankings. I like that we are a bit relevant now. If we do what good football teams do then we should be okay. First year with a new OC, and his staff, and I am liking what is happening.

There was a funny cartoon a few weeks back and it was after we beat Cal and the Nitters beat USC. A guy comes into an office and says to the pretty receptionist, "I'm 5-0 and just beat a 3-2 West Coast team due to a missed field goal". To which the gal replies, "oh, you are so sweet". The face of the guy is the PSU logo. Next guy walks in and says the exact same thing but, he has a Pitt logo for a face. The pretty gal responds by calling HR.

In 2020 we beat Malik Cunningham and Louisville. The week after the players and coaches were complaining that we were not ranked highly enough. And then comes NC. State to town and we shit the bed, and then also the next three games. 

Our schedule is not easy the rest of the way: @SMU, UVa, Clemson, @Louisville & @B.C.

I'd be tickled pink to win three of those games. 

 

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Hagbard Celine

Hagbard Celine 10,852

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from the clemson article:

The entire possibility could crumble this weekend when SMU hosts Pitt in Dallas this weekend in a meeting of unbeaten ACC teams. If the Panthers beat the Mustangs on the road, they could possibly join Clemson and Miami as undefeated ACC teams.

But since Pitt hosts Clemson later this season on Nov. 16, it’s impossible for all three of those teams (Pitt, Clemson and Miami) to all finish the season 8-0. Pitt beating SMU and Clemson would also eliminate the chance of a three-way tie for first place at the ACC. In that scenario, only Miami and Pitt could be undefeated (since there are only four remaining unbeatens).

+++

the acc has already proven they will put the fix in for the cons; saturday on the hilltop will be interesting

prediction: pitt win, smu out

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ztejas

ztejas 43,412

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Probably the biggest game SMU has played post death penalty. Ford will be rocking for homecoming weekend.

It's hard to imagine Jennings is as bad as he was against Dook. I think if SMU plays fairly clean and assignment sound on both sides of the ball it's going to be pretty uphill for Pitt. 

But this should easily be the 2nd best team we've played and Pitt has a solid chance coming in.

Edited by ztejas
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