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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 12:30 AM, Js1 said:

Harris doing (at present) 3-4 points better in the suburban counties around ATL

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Wait really? I just put a down payment on a house in Madrid and the movers are coming at 9 am. Should I put that on hold?

Posted

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

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Posted

That 65% was Georgia I think.  They fucked up and let the prediction go live before they had anywhere close to enough votes to make even a guess.

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 1:00 AM, horncyclist said:

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

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Gambling sites are useless for this.

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Posted

Clayton County just dropped 86%, 1 point better than 2020 Harris, 69k Dem votes with 69% reporting.  

There was concern about turnout here, this is great news

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 1:00 AM, horncyclist said:

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

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Early states lean red, gives impressions that may or may not have any correlation on the rest of the night.  2020 was the exact same.

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 12:56 AM, G650 said:

Hard to say right now. I'm not super plugged into the NOVA area as down here in Tidewater

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Increase in population in part fueled by large companies moving there. Tends to be conservative entities. Plus it was the closest area where people with money could move, still be in the DC area, but get out of the congestion. Everyone I know in that area is R.

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 1:00 AM, horncyclist said:

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

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Its gonna swing fairly wildly. hell I remember grabbing Biden at like 25 cents I think 4 years ago at a much later time than now. They are a data point, but prone to wild swings.

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