Surly Horns Official 🇺🇸 2024 Election Day 🇺🇸

[BamaATL 16592]

Cherokee County GA even compared to 2020, with 77% reporting

[Bodhi 1108]

18 minutes ago, Bevo Num1 said:

Went all in with the main dish and said fuck the sides. Nice.

Ain’t nobody got time for that

22 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Big boy pour. 

Is there another kind?

[RichUT 1769]

Just now, Chuckie Finster said:

Genuinely insane to have someone at 65% when we have zero information about WI/MI/PA.

I think the 65% win chance is specifically for VA.

[Dbeasy 14878]

27 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Harris doing (at present) 3-4 points better in the suburban counties around ATL

Wait really? I just put a down payment on a house in Madrid and the movers are coming at 9 am. Should I put that on hold?

[dieucla98 2887]

5 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

Sorry, short hand, didn't mean to confuse, lots coming in quickly

We thank you for your service. Keep it up, now we get you.

[WBT 20333]

Just now, RichUT said:

I think the 65% win chance is specifically for VA.

For Trump in VA?  Nah bruh.

[Fred Garvin 19]

17 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Same - reddit and Surly.

I have a Harry potter movie on in the background, it is keeping me calm

Pitch Perfect for me. #girldadsforkamala

[Firemans4Horn 17669]

Just now, RichUT said:

I think the 65% win chance is specifically for VA.

Trump has a 00.65% chance of winning Virginia. 

[elfenix 34148]

13 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Big beautiful dumps coming up

 

 

[SubliminalHorn 6496]

7 minutes ago, troph said:

It’s actually a great way to do it JS1 is doing it that way too 

Well now that I know, yeah 

[Chuckie Finster 22526]

1 minute ago, RichUT said:

I think the 65% win chance is specifically for VA.

 

 

[horncyclist 1384]

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

[kevwun 15455]

That 65% was Georgia I think.  They fucked up and let the prediction go live before they had anywhere close to enough votes to make even a guess.

[MissingInAction 24650]

Been invited to a few watch parties the past hour. 

I need to know the placement of furniture. That and Luna will guide me to bathroom when it's time 

[Bullneck 18892]

Damn, MSNBC projecting about 10 states.

[RichUT 1769]

1 minute ago, WBT said:

For Trump in VA?  Nah bruh.

I don't agree with the graphic in any way whatsoever. I am just pointing out what I believe the intent of the graphic was. 

[kevwun 15455]

Just now, horncyclist said:

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

Gambling sites are useless for this.

[Js1 84916]

Fulton dropped votes.  Similar to 2020

[BamaATL 16592]

Clayton County just dropped 86%, 1 point better than 2020 Harris, 69k Dem votes with 69% reporting.  

There was concern about turnout here, this is great news

[Mo Horn 8764]

Msnbc called Florida for Dotard. So much for that state flipping

[Aqua Buddha 14450]

Just now, Bullneck said:

Damn, MSNBC projecting about 10 states.

All the obvious ones.

[quigley 1460]

Too cray right now.

OHIO:

Harris ahead of Trump.

Brown losing to Moreno.

I'm out.

[Chuckie Finster 22526]

Just now, horncyclist said:

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

Early states lean red, gives impressions that may or may not have any correlation on the rest of the night.  2020 was the exact same.

[Celery Man 20775]

is there any context i should understand for these decisiondesk hq projections?

[InkaUtexas 25080]

4 minutes ago, G650 said:

Hard to say right now. I'm not super plugged into the NOVA area as down here in Tidewater

Increase in population in part fueled by large companies moving there. Tends to be conservative entities. Plus it was the closest area where people with money could move, still be in the DC area, but get out of the congestion. Everyone I know in that area is R.

[ztejas 42963]

1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

What's driving this?

How long do you have?

[Firemans4Horn 17669]

Just now, Celery Man said:

is there any context i should understand for these decisiondesk hq projections?

they are borked right now

[TexasEd 8054]

[Pancho 43921]

1 minute ago, Mo Horn said:

Msnbc called Florida for Dotard. So much for that state flipping

 

It was never flipping

[Js1 84916]

1 minute ago, Mo Horn said:

Msnbc called Florida for Dotard. So much for that state flipping

It was never flipping. 

[Bullneck 18892]

90 to 27 electoral votes.

Got damn this is 2004 OK STate all over again.

[David Dennison 18168]

Just now, TexasEd said:

LOL wut?

[Blotto 23335]

1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

Polymarket is shifting fairly steadily towards Trump. I know it was already biased towards him because of crypto pumpers but the shift is concering. Predictit similar shift, especially recently. What's driving this?

Its gonna swing fairly wildly. hell I remember grabbing Biden at like 25 cents I think 4 years ago at a much later time than now. They are a data point, but prone to wild swings.

[Biff Tannen 45361]

Ok, I'm warming up for The Ledge...

[BLKNSTY 289]

Abortion and legal ganja looks like it will fail in FL.

[Covri 6219]

“MSNBC projects it’s too early to call” over and over and over

Thanks MSNBC!

[Bojack 2073]

11 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

Networks already calling NC Gov for Stein.

Can't wait to see the final result for that. It'd be a long night if that were close.

[cactusflinthead 27586]

MSNBC calling it for Rick Scott 

[Huckleberry 32628]

Just now, David Dennison said:

LOL wut?

My exact initial reaction. But I think light shading is just showing reported votes. Did some urban Texas county report their early voting results?

[Aqua Buddha 14450]

She's underperforming in VA...?

[Js1 84916]

So far, seeing a trend of the Sun Belt being redder and the midwest bluer. 

[Covri 6219]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

MSNBC calling it for Rick Scott 

False. That was clearly Lurch from the Addams Family.

[South Austin 51884]

Just now, Bullneck said:

90 to 27 electoral votes.

Got damn this is 2004 OK STate all over again.

The next GA dump will be the Ramonce Taylor end around.

[Sbbruin 21636]

1 minute ago, TexasEd said:

Texas, eh?  Hmmm...

[Doc Sam Beckett 5781]

BamaATL is confusing, so fuck Georgia, we're fighting uphill in North Carolina and Pennsylvania me boys! 

[RichUT 1769]

Just now, Huckleberry said:

My exact initial reaction. But I think light shading is just showing reported votes. Did some urban Texas county report their early voting results?

Dallas.

[quigley 1460]

American politics is Big10 vs SEC for reals now.

(North Carolina is ACC).

[Biff Tannen 45361]

Just now, Huckleberry said:

My exact initial reaction. But I think light shading is just showing reported votes. Did some urban Texas county report their early voting results?

Dallas

[Js1 84916]

Just now, Aqua Buddha said:

She's underperforming in VA...?

Loudoun. Potential data error:

 

 

[Macanudo 12891]

1 hour ago, hobbes2702 said:

Bourbon or margs? Tell me what to do fellas

Whiskey Sour.  The Margarita of Bourbon drinks.