Surly Horns Official 🇺🇸 2024 Election Day 🇺🇸

[Hookah Horns 3083]

8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Guess this is the payoff for Trump's free covid tests for putin. 

[WBT 20764]

1 minute ago, hayden_horn said:

it's all pennsylvania

always was

[Biff Tannen 45778]

2 minutes ago, hayden_horn said:

i'm feeling great

surely we have to beat fascism

right

RIGHT?

Yes. Maybe not in this election.  But in other ways. 

[South Austin 52746]

Just now, 1978horn said:

mecklenburg has 6% in.

I can fap to this, but running out of lotion.

[Pancho 45527]

Score so far:

Harris - 71

turnip - 101

[SydneyCarton 48383]

8:45 eastern….dotard declares victory by 10?

[Da Fino 2798]

9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Well obviously the libs knew how bad the internals were and hired Russians to call in bomb threats to start the steal. 

[Horn Dogg 4189]

1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

Cubans. 

They want to be deported I guess

[cactusflinthead 27615]

 

[Biff Tannen 45778]

1 minute ago, Bullneck said:

I guess all that talk about The Villages was just that.

I thought that was the weirdest thing about the polls besides AZ. 

[troph 24929]

PA vote totals early are hard to read in 2020 mail in were counted last they are being counted first this go round, at least that’s what I thought kornacke said.

[gmr548 16645]

4 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Reread what you just wrote.  Florida is red is the only concrete conclusion drawn, which we already knew.

This is 2020 again - except this time nobody expected Dems to do well in Florida, I feel I'm taking crazy pills.

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

[TexasEd 8151]

8 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I know this doesn't really matter yet and these were forgone conclusions, but god damn this makes me want to break stuff.

Illinois called

[Reynolds Woodcock 4883]

7 minutes ago, Helobious said:

If Harris pulls this off she’ll have to do it 270-268. 

I realize it’s taken for granted now, but everyone should go look at what this dumb fuck was saying at this time 4 years ago. Hilarious 

[Helobious 9511]

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

[SydneyCarton 48383]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

This is the best news of the right. The 70-30 independent breakdown seems to have been confirmed. 

[HRSchenker 2293]

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

[Covri 6272]

6 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

College towns in Michigan trending the wrong way.  Fucking kids.

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

[Biff Tannen 45778]

[jimmyjazz 46502]

Just now, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

You're a @HenryJames sock, aren't you?

[Huckleberry 33600]

1 minute ago, gmr548 said:

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

[SydneyCarton 48383]

1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

They have, and Harris lost by 13?

[cactusflinthead 27615]

 

[gmr548 16645]

8 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Want to know if I should pay attention to Iowa and ohio

They're worth paying attention to, not necessarily because Harris will win (she won't) but the margins can tell you if she's got a real shot in WI/MI/PA. 

[SydneyCarton 48383]

Just now, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

AZ and NV?

[softlynow 1851]

1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

[A-Tex Devil 2468]

1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

[Valmy77 13447]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

How exactly would that be enforced?

[BamaATL 16593]

Dekalb County just dropped, 68% reporting, on the margin at 82% more or less the same as 2020 percentage wise.  

[linux 1646]

Guys the Harris campaign has microtargeting, they know who voted and to what degree by right now in 2016 there were scare reports about desperately getting people to the polls from the Clinton Campaign, this is not the same this year if anything desperation came from Stephen Miller, calm your ass down.

If those bomb threats hurt people in lines the polls can remain open for as long as possible.

 

My huge metrics are still

1) Top level campaign panic

2) Deltas from 2020 (aka better than Biden from counties)

3) Media calling useless states on the big board

[NAVY 6868]

2 minutes ago, Covri said:

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

All the weed dealers don’t want their businesses interrupted 

[Valmy77 13447]

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

Georgia, NC, Nevada, Arizona.

[cactusflinthead 27615]

 

[Huckleberry 33600]

Just now, SydneyCarton said:

AZ and NV?

I mean I can buy Arizona on a technical basis but not sure I've ever seen Nevada listed as a Sun Belt state. Seems like Sun Belt has always been "you got any states south of you?"

[Js1 85822]

1 minute ago, A-Tex Devil said:

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

Uh, it lost. Had to hit 60%

[Doc Sam Beckett 5809]

10 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Want to know if I should pay attention to Iowa and ohio

[gmr548 16645]

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

App State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, potential expansion with Northern Arizona and Nevada - Reno

[Guadaloopy 11067]

I’m gonna go watch the last two episodes of “Agatha All Along” for an Aubrey fix.  

[Celery Man 21028]

1 minute ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

didn't VA get called late last year? is this real?

[Gil Bang 26101]

4 minutes ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

[Dark Horse 2336]

This is not great for my anxiety 

[cactusflinthead 27615]

2 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

How exactly would that be enforced?

[HRSchenker 2293]

3 minutes ago, softlynow said:

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

Oh shit I didn't know that. I figured it was just majority wins.

[hayden_horn 11373]

7 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Yeah. And that fucking sucks huge fucking dick. 

i hate it too

but that's the swing state, i think, and i think it will break blue.

no data, no evidence. just feels

[TexArcher 38436]

4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

Why, because the racist Republican has carried the Deep South?  No shit, Think Tank.  Go sit down.

[Brisketexan 105626]

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

[David Dennison 19131]

Just now, Gil Bang said:

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

So does America.

[Pancho 45527]

Harris officially wins VA

[David Dennison 19131]

Just now, Brisketexan said:

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

What are you talking about? 

Get a grip.

[Huckleberry 33600]

Just now, Pancho said:

Harris officially wins VA

Well I don't know about "officially," Bob.