Surly Horns Official 🇺🇸 2024 Election Day 🇺🇸

[Hookah Horns 3,083]

8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Guess this is the payoff for Trump's free covid tests for putin. 

[WBT 20,572]

1 minute ago, hayden_horn said:

it's all pennsylvania

always was

[Biff Tannen 45,685]

2 minutes ago, hayden_horn said:

i'm feeling great

surely we have to beat fascism

right

RIGHT?

Yes. Maybe not in this election.  But in other ways. 

[South Austin 52,504]

Just now, 1978horn said:

mecklenburg has 6% in.

I can fap to this, but running out of lotion.

[Pancho 44,803]

Score so far:

Harris - 71

turnip - 101

[SydneyCarton 48,106]

8:45 eastern….dotard declares victory by 10?

[Da Fino 2,783]

9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Well obviously the libs knew how bad the internals were and hired Russians to call in bomb threats to start the steal. 

[Horn Dogg 3,897]

1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

Cubans. 

They want to be deported I guess

[cactusflinthead 27,598]

 

[Biff Tannen 45,685]

1 minute ago, Bullneck said:

I guess all that talk about The Villages was just that.

I thought that was the weirdest thing about the polls besides AZ. 

[troph 24,798]

PA vote totals early are hard to read in 2020 mail in were counted last they are being counted first this go round, at least that’s what I thought kornacke said.

[gmr548 16,580]

4 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Reread what you just wrote.  Florida is red is the only concrete conclusion drawn, which we already knew.

This is 2020 again - except this time nobody expected Dems to do well in Florida, I feel I'm taking crazy pills.

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

[TexasEd 8,067]

8 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I know this doesn't really matter yet and these were forgone conclusions, but god damn this makes me want to break stuff.

Illinois called

[Reynolds Woodcock 4,740]

7 minutes ago, Helobious said:

If Harris pulls this off she’ll have to do it 270-268. 

I realize it’s taken for granted now, but everyone should go look at what this dumb fuck was saying at this time 4 years ago. Hilarious 

[Helobious 9,454]

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

[SydneyCarton 48,106]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

This is the best news of the right. The 70-30 independent breakdown seems to have been confirmed. 

[HRSchenker 2,268]

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

[Covri 6,249]

6 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

College towns in Michigan trending the wrong way.  Fucking kids.

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

[Biff Tannen 45,685]

[jimmyjazz 45,953]

Just now, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

You're a @HenryJames sock, aren't you?

[Huckleberry 32,861]

1 minute ago, gmr548 said:

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

[SydneyCarton 48,106]

1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

They have, and Harris lost by 13?

[cactusflinthead 27,598]

 

[gmr548 16,580]

8 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Want to know if I should pay attention to Iowa and ohio

They're worth paying attention to, not necessarily because Harris will win (she won't) but the margins can tell you if she's got a real shot in WI/MI/PA. 

[SydneyCarton 48,106]

Just now, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

AZ and NV?

[softlynow 1,814]

1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

[A-Tex Devil 2,446]

1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

[Valmy77 13,226]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

How exactly would that be enforced?

[BamaATL 16,593]

Dekalb County just dropped, 68% reporting, on the margin at 82% more or less the same as 2020 percentage wise.  

[linux 1,660]

Guys the Harris campaign has microtargeting, they know who voted and to what degree by right now in 2016 there were scare reports about desperately getting people to the polls from the Clinton Campaign, this is not the same this year if anything desperation came from Stephen Miller, calm your ass down.

If those bomb threats hurt people in lines the polls can remain open for as long as possible.

 

My huge metrics are still

1) Top level campaign panic

2) Deltas from 2020 (aka better than Biden from counties)

3) Media calling useless states on the big board

[NAVY 6,740]

2 minutes ago, Covri said:

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

All the weed dealers don’t want their businesses interrupted 

[Valmy77 13,226]

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

Georgia, NC, Nevada, Arizona.

[cactusflinthead 27,598]

 

[Huckleberry 32,861]

Just now, SydneyCarton said:

AZ and NV?

I mean I can buy Arizona on a technical basis but not sure I've ever seen Nevada listed as a Sun Belt state. Seems like Sun Belt has always been "you got any states south of you?"

[Js1 85,337]

1 minute ago, A-Tex Devil said:

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

Uh, it lost. Had to hit 60%

[Doc Sam Beckett 5,793]

10 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Want to know if I should pay attention to Iowa and ohio

[gmr548 16,580]

1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

App State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, potential expansion with Northern Arizona and Nevada - Reno

[Guadaloopy 10,971]

I’m gonna go watch the last two episodes of “Agatha All Along” for an Aubrey fix.  

[Celery Man 20,949]

1 minute ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

didn't VA get called late last year? is this real?

[Gil Bang 25,958]

4 minutes ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

[Dark Horse 2,280]

This is not great for my anxiety 

[cactusflinthead 27,598]

2 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

How exactly would that be enforced?

[HRSchenker 2,268]

3 minutes ago, softlynow said:

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

Oh shit I didn't know that. I figured it was just majority wins.

[hayden_horn 11,362]

7 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Yeah. And that fucking sucks huge fucking dick. 

i hate it too

but that's the swing state, i think, and i think it will break blue.

no data, no evidence. just feels

[TexArcher 37,774]

4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

Why, because the racist Republican has carried the Deep South?  No shit, Think Tank.  Go sit down.

[Brisketexan 105,139]

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

[David Dennison 18,860]

Just now, Gil Bang said:

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

So does America.

[Pancho 44,803]

Harris officially wins VA

[David Dennison 18,860]

Just now, Brisketexan said:

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

What are you talking about? 

Get a grip.

[Huckleberry 32,861]

Just now, Pancho said:

Harris officially wins VA

Well I don't know about "officially," Bob.