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Posted
9 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Not supposedly—it was. Confirmed. 

Well obviously the libs knew how bad the internals were and hired Russians to call in bomb threats to start the steal. 

Posted

PA vote totals early are hard to read in 2020 mail in were counted last they are being counted first this go round, at least that’s what I thought kornacke said.

Posted
4 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Reread what you just wrote.  Florida is red is the only concrete conclusion drawn, which we already knew.

This is 2020 again - except this time nobody expected Dems to do well in Florida, I feel I'm taking crazy pills.

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

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Posted
8 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I know this doesn't really matter yet and these were forgone conclusions, but god damn this makes me want to break stuff.

Illinois called

image.thumb.png.b610347930a23fb7b2acd8264a0d6d3f.png

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Helobious said:

If Harris pulls this off she’ll have to do it 270-268. 

I realize it’s taken for granted now, but everyone should go look at what this dumb fuck was saying at this time 4 years ago. Hilarious 

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Posted
6 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

College towns in Michigan trending the wrong way.  Fucking kids.

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, gmr548 said:

I think people expected not to lose Florida by 13. That's a bit of a problem.

I think forecasts like the NYT needle or 538 are probably overweighting that result a little bit but it's absolutely a bad sign for the rest of the Sun Belt swing states even if you buy that Florida is the GOP NY now - which I do.

 

 

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

Posted
8 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Want to know if I should pay attention to Iowa and ohio

They're worth paying attention to, not necessarily because Harris will win (she won't) but the margins can tell you if she's got a real shot in WI/MI/PA. 

Posted
1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Props need 60%. Last I saw it was at 57%.

Posted
1 minute ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

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Posted

Guys the Harris campaign has microtargeting, they know who voted and to what degree by right now in 2016 there were scare reports about desperately getting people to the polls from the Clinton Campaign, this is not the same this year if anything desperation came from Stephen Miller, calm your ass down.

If those bomb threats hurt people in lines the polls can remain open for as long as possible.

 

My huge metrics are still

1) Top level campaign panic

2) Deltas from 2020 (aka better than Biden from counties)

3) Media calling useless states on the big board

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Covri said:

The Big Ten is just the SEC of the North unfortunately. 

All the weed dealers don’t want their businesses interrupted 

Posted
Just now, SydneyCarton said:

AZ and NV?

I mean I can buy Arizona on a technical basis but not sure I've ever seen Nevada listed as a Sun Belt state. Seems like Sun Belt has always been "you got any states south of you?"

Posted
1 minute ago, A-Tex Devil said:

Awesome.  That is fucking black eye for DeSantis.  I am sure he is going to undermine it in every way. 

Uh, it lost. Had to hit 60%

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Posted
1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Who are the sun belt swing states? 

App State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, potential expansion with Northern Arizona and Nevada - Reno

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Posted
4 minutes ago, HRSchenker said:

Florida has passed the right to abortion prop but rejected the legalize marijuana prop. Wow.

NOPE.  It's got 57% with 90% of the vote counted.  it won't pass.  60% is required.   FL has minority rule. 

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Posted
7 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Yeah. And that fucking sucks huge fucking dick. 

i hate it too

but that's the swing state, i think, and i think it will break blue.

no data, no evidence. just feels

Posted
4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

It turns out all the betting markets and polls that had Harris losing were in fact not bullshit.

Why, because the racist Republican has carried the Deep South?  No shit, Think Tank.  Go sit down.

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Posted
Just now, Brisketexan said:

Welp, still feel like I want to puke.
All the fucking optimism was - as expected - unwarranted.
We still don’t know shit about fuck, but what we know is not great.

What are you talking about? 

Get a grip.

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