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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:47 AM, Brisketexan said:


We arenโ€™t getting WI. This is the problem. It may be the whole problem.

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Perhaps my math is off but if she gets PA, MI, and NV and loses AZ, GA, NC thatโ€™s still 275 I believe 

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:54 AM, sushihorn said:

Black voters underperformed in EV and didnโ€™t show up in required numbers today. Also, look at Tarrant, Collin and Denton Counties. It looks like college whites shifted to the right this cycle. You can see a similar pattern in Hillsborough and Duval Co, FL. 

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So Texas and Fla remain Republican shit holes that attract Republicans from other states. I'm ok with that at the moment.

Posted

Per Reddit:

New York battlegrounds for the House Race:

We are looking on track for two R->D flips in New York, in NY-04 and NY-19.

Meanwhile, NY-18 is looking like a comfortable D hold, and NY-03 is looking like a tighter D hold.

NY-17 is tracking to be a tight R hold, and NY-01 has no results yet.

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:56 AM, LonghornJudas said:

Did Acosta just say there's a problem because some people don't know how to sign their name? WTF is happening?

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No, in Nevada, their signatures arenโ€™t โ€œmatchingโ€ because young people donโ€™t write anymoreโ€”they text/type

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:55 AM, SizzleChest said:

You cannot deny the sheer comedy of Nevada trying to cure votes because "young people don't know how to sign their name".

This was just on CNN.  Not kidding.  We're in the dumbest timeline.

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i was trying to figure that out, then i realized that i haven't signed my actual signature on anything since my mortgage or my passport and i'm an older middle ager.

Posted

What percentage of the remaining GA outstanding votes are from Democratic strongholds?  She needs a big margin victory on the remaining votes. 

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:56 AM, Bodhi said:

Perhaps my math is off but if she gets PA, MI, and NV and loses AZ, GA, NC thatโ€™s still 275 I believe 

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Your math is off. If she loses WI, she needs AZ's 11 votes to offset WI's 10.

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:55 AM, WBT said:

Guy on CNN saying a bunch of mail in ballots in NV are being flagged because the youths can't sign their names closely enough to their signatures on file.

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What person under 25 can legibly sign their name? 

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:57 AM, Firemans4Horn said:

Per Reddit:

New York battlegrounds for the House Race:

We are looking on track for two R->D flips in New York, in NY-04 and NY-19.

Meanwhile, NY-18 is looking like a comfortable D hold, and NY-03 is looking like a tighter D hold.

NY-17 is tracking to be a tight R hold, and NY-01 has no results yet.

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NY-22 is tracking to be a third R->D flip in New York as well.

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:52 AM, WBT said:

Silver's election night tool.  It's supposed to start with his pre-election model and update every time a state is called based on how the called states correlate with the battleground states and based on how quickly the states are called after polls closed, with that as a proxy for margin of victory.  I'm not sure whether to put any credence in it or not.

image.png.d01545c08dc72ae5635defd31cd998db.png

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Silver is a fucking hack.

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:56 AM, LonghornJudas said:

Did Acosta just say there's a problem because some people don't know how to sign their name? WTF is happening?

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  On 11/6/2024 at 2:57 AM, Pancho said:

 

No, in Nevada, their signatures arenโ€™t โ€œmatchingโ€ because young people donโ€™t write anymoreโ€”they text/type

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The sig thing:  these kids signed a computer screen when they got their Drivers license when they were 16.  Now they are older and signing paper with a pen.  It's all curable. 

Posted

Guys they have 5 days to cure their ballots you can bet your ass everyone will know who needs to cure their ballots, there will be the largest statewide manhunt for the 19000 still to cure.

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:55 AM, WBT said:

Guy on CNN saying a bunch of mail in ballots in NV are being flagged because the youths can't sign their names closely enough to their signatures on file.

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I would have thought this was insane before this morning.  Took my daughter to get her learners permit this morning and she had to sign her name....just fucking wrote her name down like she was putting it in the "print" section of a document.  I asked her WTF she was doing.  I have failed

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Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:57 AM, South Austin said:

 Chiliโ€™s is awful.

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i've been meaning to chime in on this - wife and i went to chilis last weekend as a nostalgia thing. got the skillet queso, chips and salsa, blah blah, and jesus christ the skillet queso was basically soup with meat waved over it, and the rest was extremely mid. like more mid than usual chilis mid. i guess i'm saying it was bad. it was awful.

i agree with you sir. 

but that salsa still fucking slaps

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:58 AM, RabidM said:

What percentage of the remaining GA outstanding votes are from Democratic strongholds?  She needs a big margin victory on the remaining votes. 

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I don't think she will.   Kornacki just went through GA and it looks really, really tight.

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:58 AM, RabidM said:

What percentage of the remaining GA outstanding votes are from Democratic strongholds?  She needs a big margin victory on the remaining votes. 

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Well the big one is Gwinnett approximately 400kish is the estimate and we should pick up 60% of that

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 3:00 AM, linux said:

Guys they have 5 days to cure their ballots you can bet your ass everyone will know who needs to cure their ballots, there will be the largest statewide manhunt for the 19000 still to cure.

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There's not many scenarios where Nevada is going to matter one way or the other.

Posted
  On 11/6/2024 at 2:52 AM, WBT said:

Silver's election night tool.  It's supposed to start with his pre-election model and update every time a state is called based on how the called states correlate with the battleground states and based on how quickly the states are called after polls closed, with that as a proxy for margin of victory.  I'm not sure whether to put any credence in it or not.

image.png.d01545c08dc72ae5635defd31cd998db.png

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yeah that seems like a recipe for being wildly off, but wtf do I know



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