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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 Election Day ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ


Pancho

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7 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:


We arenโ€™t getting WI. This is the problem. It may be the whole problem.

Perhaps my math is off but if she gets PA, MI, and NV and loses AZ, GA, NC thatโ€™s still 275 I believeย 

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1 minute ago, sushihorn said:

Black voters underperformed in EV and didnโ€™t show up in required numbers today. Also, look at Tarrant, Collin and Denton Counties. It looks like college whites shifted to the right this cycle. You can see a similar pattern in Hillsborough and Duval Co, FL.ย 

So Texas and Fla remain Republican shit holes that attract Republicans from other states. I'm ok with that at the moment.

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Per Reddit:

New York battlegrounds for the House Race:

We are looking on track for two R->D flips in New York, in NY-04 and NY-19.

Meanwhile, NY-18 is looking like a comfortable D hold, and NY-03 is looking like a tighter D hold.

NY-17 is tracking to be a tight R hold, and NY-01 has no results yet.

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1 minute ago, LonghornJudas said:

Did Acosta just say there's a problem because some people don't know how to sign their name? WTF is happening?

ย 

No, in Nevada, their signatures arenโ€™t โ€œmatchingโ€ because young people donโ€™t write anymoreโ€”they text/type

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2 minutes ago, SizzleChest said:

You cannot deny the sheer comedy of Nevada trying to cure votes because "young people don't know how to sign their name".

This was just on CNN.ย  Not kidding.ย  We're in the dumbest timeline.

i was trying to figure that out, then i realized that i haven't signed my actual signature on anything since my mortgage or my passport and i'm an older middle ager.

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1 minute ago, Bodhi said:

Perhaps my math is off but if she gets PA, MI, and NV and loses AZ, GA, NC thatโ€™s still 275 I believeย 

Your math is off. If she loses WI, she needs AZ's 11 votes to offset WI's 10.

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2 minutes ago, WBT said:

Guy on CNN saying a bunch of mail in ballots in NV are being flagged because the youths can't sign their names closely enough to their signatures on file.

What person under 25 can legibly sign their name?ย 

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1 minute ago, Firemans4Horn said:

Per Reddit:

New York battlegrounds for the House Race:

We are looking on track for two R->D flips in New York, in NY-04 and NY-19.

Meanwhile, NY-18 is looking like a comfortable D hold, and NY-03 is looking like a tighter D hold.

NY-17 is tracking to be a tight R hold, and NY-01 has no results yet.

NY-22 is tracking to be a third R->D flip in New York as well.

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6 minutes ago, WBT said:

Silver's election night tool.ย  It's supposed to start with his pre-election model and update every time a state is called based on how the called states correlate with the battleground states and based on how quickly the states are called after polls closed, with that as a proxy for margin of victory.ย  I'm not sure whether to put any credence in it or not.

image.png.d01545c08dc72ae5635defd31cd998db.png

Silver is a fucking hack.

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1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

Again.ย 

Backward.

The entire system needs to be reformed and modernized.

Donโ€™t tell me, tell them

ย 

Also signature match is a thing Republicans do to suppress/throw out votesย 

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2 minutes ago, LonghornJudas said:

Did Acosta just say there's a problem because some people don't know how to sign their name? WTF is happening?

ย 

1 minute ago, Pancho said:

ย 

No, in Nevada, their signatures arenโ€™t โ€œmatchingโ€ because young people donโ€™t write anymoreโ€”they text/type

The sig thing:ย  these kids signed a computer screen when they got their Drivers license when they were 16.ย  Now they are older and signing paper with a pen.ย  It's all curable.ย 

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Guys they have 5 days to cure their ballots you can bet your ass everyone will know who needs to cure their ballots, there will be the largest statewide manhunt for the 19000 still to cure.

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3 minutes ago, WBT said:

Guy on CNN saying a bunch of mail in ballots in NV are being flagged because the youths can't sign their names closely enough to their signatures on file.

I would have thought this was insane before this morning.ย  Took my daughter to get her learners permit this morning and she had to sign her name....just fucking wrote her name down like she was putting it in the "print" section of a document.ย  I asked her WTF she was doing.ย  I have failed

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1 minute ago, South Austin said:

ย Chiliโ€™s is awful.

i've been meaning to chime in on this - wife and i went to chilis last weekend as a nostalgia thing. got the skillet queso, chips and salsa, blah blah, and jesus christ the skillet queso was basically soup with meat waved over it, and the rest was extremely mid. like more mid than usual chilis mid. i guess i'm saying it was bad. it was awful.

i agree with you sir.ย 

but that salsa still fucking slaps

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2 minutes ago, RabidM said:

What percentage of the remaining GA outstanding votes are from Democratic strongholds?ย  She needs a big margin victory on the remaining votes.ย 

I don't think she will.ย  ย Kornacki just went through GA and it looks really, really tight.

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2 minutes ago, RabidM said:

What percentage of the remaining GA outstanding votes are from Democratic strongholds?ย  She needs a big margin victory on the remaining votes.ย 

Well the big one is Gwinnett approximately 400kish is the estimate and we should pick up 60% of that

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1 minute ago, linux said:

Guys they have 5 days to cure their ballots you can bet your ass everyone will know who needs to cure their ballots, there will be the largest statewide manhunt for the 19000 still to cure.

There's not many scenarios where Nevada is going to matter one way or the other.

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9 minutes ago, WBT said:

Silver's election night tool.ย  It's supposed to start with his pre-election model and update every time a state is called based on how the called states correlate with the battleground states and based on how quickly the states are called after polls closed, with that as a proxy for margin of victory.ย  I'm not sure whether to put any credence in it or not.

image.png.d01545c08dc72ae5635defd31cd998db.png

yeah that seems like a recipe for being wildly off, but wtf do I know

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4 minutes ago, Pancho said:

ย 

No, in Nevada, their signatures arenโ€™t โ€œmatchingโ€ because young people donโ€™t write anymoreโ€”they text/type

100% this.ย  Perhaps we should re-think our voting system?

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