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#11 Alabama @ #15 LSU - 6:30 central ABC


ztejas

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1 minute ago, TheBryMan81 said:

Now that Georgia lost, I'm not so sure. 

If we win out, there's a potential that there's a 3 way tie at the top... Texas Tennessee and LSU.

No head to head matchups there. The only opponents common to all 3 are Oklahoma, Arkansas, Florida, and Vandy.

If all 3 teams win out, then the only loss to the common opponents would be Tennessee losing to Arkansas. (All 3 teams would've beaten OU, Florida, and Vandy. Tex/LSU would've beaten Arkansas)

I would think that puts us and LSU in the CCG.

You're introducing a ton of hypotheticals. Alabama winning tonight without a doubt increases Texas chances of playing in Atlanta. Like there's not even a debate to be had.

Is there a chance it winds up not mattering? Sure. 

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3 minutes ago, ztejas said:

You're introducing a ton of hypotheticals. Alabama winning tonight without a doubt increases Texas chances of playing in Atlanta. Like there's not even a debate to be had.

Is there a chance it winds up not mattering? Sure. 

I mean, I'm introducing 3 hypotheticals. Texas wins out. Tennessee wins out. LSU wins out. All realistic. All likely? Eh who knows, especially in this chaotic season. 

But if I'm reading tie breaking rules correctly, Georgia's loss today means we control our own destiny regardless of what happens in this game

Edited by TheBryMan81
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Just now, TheBryMan81 said:

But if I'm reading tie breaking rules correctly, Georgia's loss today means we control our own destiny

I believe that's correct, because we can beat aggy ourselves.  There can't be more than three 1-loss teams now.  All we have to do is have the tie-breaker over 1 of the other 2, which we would.

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5 minutes ago, TheBryMan81 said:

But if I'm reading tie breaking rules correctly, Georgia's loss today means we control our own destiny regardless of what happens in this game

No, we don't. If LSU wins us, LSU and Tenn could all finish with 1 loss. 

3 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I believe that's correct, because we can beat aggy ourselves.  There can't be more than three 1-loss teams now.  All we have to do is have the tie-breaker over 1 of the other 2, which we would.

We would not have played either team. Why would we have tiebreaker over either? Unless there's something I'm missing. 

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Just now, ztejas said:

No, we don't. If LSU wins us, LSU and Tenn could all finish with 1 loss. 

We would not have played either team. Why would we have tiebreaker over either? Unless there's something I'm missing. 

Because after head-to-head, to goes to record against common opponents.

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Just now, ztejas said:

No, we don't. If LSU wins us, LSU and Tenn could all finish with 1 loss. 

We would not have played either team. Why would we have tiebreaker over either? Unless there's something I'm missing. 

First tiebreaker is head to head, which doesn't exist between any of the three teams. 

Second tie breaker is record vs common opponents. Against opponents common to all three teams, Tennessee would have the only loss (vs Arkansas). So Texas and LSU would own the tiebreaker and be in the CCG.

Third tiebreaker I think is opponents cumulative conference winning percentage, which is impossible to forecast at this point 

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1 minute ago, ztejas said:

Gotcha. And there's no way that changes between here and now?

Since Tennessee lost to Arkansas and LSU has beaten Arkansas, if we win out, LSU and Texas would own the common opponent tie breaker over Tennessee (all three teams all beat the other common opponents). I can't see a way that tie breaker changes if all 3 teams win out 

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3 minutes ago, TheBryMan81 said:

First tiebreaker is head to head, which doesn't exist between any of the three teams. 

Second tie breaker is record vs common opponents. Against opponents common to all three teams, Tennessee would have the only loss (vs Arkansas). So Texas and LSU would own the tiebreaker and be in the CCG.

Third tiebreaker I think is opponents cumulative conference winning percentage, which is impossible to forecast at this point 

Okay I get it. Thanks G.

This shit is all so fucking stupid. There needs to be divisions or pods or something. 

The fact that it would come down to all three of our results against just one team because we don't even have two opponents in common is absurd. 

Edited by ztejas
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5 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

I like how we're hashing this out and making sure we have the tiebreaker right while Bama might just be skullfucking LSU anyway.

Kind of more like a dry-humping so far, but LSU doesn't seem able to make it stop.  So it's going to get worse.

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