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aggy @ Auburn

Wilcox Cummingtonite

By Wilcox Cummingtonite
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rage-a-holic

rage-a-holic 4486

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Blotto said:

FanDuel has the game live now and hasnt moved the line, still -7.5,  which seems odd. I don't have an account, so maybe it wont let you bet  it, I don't know.

image.thumb.png.44558bfc014504a906d22d26c7800ff6.png

https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/ncaaf

Nothing has changed for aggy and they didn't have any serious injuries. They still control their own destiny for the SECCG and the playoffs. Not sure why the line would move.

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Rickylovesweed

Rickylovesweed 14542

Posted
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2 minutes ago, rage-a-holic said:

the stat I saw today (prior to the aggy loss) was 68% chance if we lose to aggy

A lot happened today. 

A 3 loss Alabama is not getting in over Texas. A 3 loss Ole Miss is not getting in over Texas. A 2 loss BYU is not getting in over Texas. A 3 loss aggy is not getting in over Texas unless they win the SEC championship. It's unlikely a 1 loss Indiana gets in over a 2 loss Texas but I think that's the only questionable one. 

A lot of teams slotted in the playoffs lost today, dude. We are a lock to make the playoffs. 

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The_Great_Hornsby

The_Great_Hornsby 3283

Posted
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1 minute ago, Rickylovesweed said:

A lot happened today. 

A 3 loss Alabama is not getting in over Texas. A 3 loss Ole Miss is not getting in over Texas. A 2 loss BYU is not getting in over Texas. A 3 loss aggy is not getting in over Texas unless they win the SEC championship. It's unlikely a 1 loss Indiana gets in over a 2 loss Texas but I think that's the only questionable one. 

A lot of teams slotted in the playoffs lost today, dude. We are a lock to make the playoffs. 

We are 1000% in at this point. The results of next week just determine seeding. 

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Js1

Js1 85600

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, rage-a-holic said:

I'll be very happy to be wrong but I haven't seen anything official.

Official? It’s technically all speculation for any team besides the conference champs until the committee announces the at large spots after championship Saturday. But effectively, we clinched a spot with the chaos today 

Edited by Js1
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Rickylovesweed

Rickylovesweed 14542

Posted
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3 minutes ago, rage-a-holic said:

Nothing has changed for aggy and they didn't have any serious injuries. They still control their own destiny for the SECCG and the playoffs. Not sure why the line would move.

you're not sure why the line would move after they just struggled with a shitty Auburn team? Man, you're on a roll. I bet it will move if they think Ewers is healthy. 

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rage-a-holic

rage-a-holic 4486

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Just now, WelfareBuysMyWeed said:

I don't think you know what locks mean when talking about a selection committee if you're using terms like "official."

for fucks sake, all I said was right now we are not guaranteed a playoff spot with a loss to aggy....meaning no one from the playoff selection committee announced Texas has a playoff spot tonight. 

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Redneck Mutha

Redneck Mutha 8016

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Posted
1 minute ago, rage-a-holic said:

for fucks sake, all I said was right now we are not guaranteed a playoff spot with a loss to aggy....meaning no one from the playoff selection committee announced Texas has a playoff spot tonight. 

No one from the playoff selection committee announced ANYONE has a playoff spot tonight.

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rage-a-holic

rage-a-holic 4486

Posted
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2 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

you're not sure why the line would move after they just struggled with a shitty Auburn team? Man, you're on a roll. I bet it will move if they think Ewers is healthy. 

no shit? The line would move if they thought Ewers was healthy? Thanks for that heads up.

Just now, Redneck Mutha said:

No one from the playoff selection committee announced ANYONE has a playoff spot tonight.

No. Fucking. Shit.

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The_Great_Hornsby

The_Great_Hornsby 3283

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, rage-a-holic said:

for fucks sake, all I said was right now we are not guaranteed a playoff spot with a loss to aggy....meaning no one from the playoff selection committee announced Texas has a playoff spot tonight. 

I cant even conjure up a scenario where we dont make it in the playoff. It's statistically impossible for us to miss. 

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NashLonghorn

NashLonghorn 272

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23 minutes ago, Horn Dogg said:

This seems like win/win for us.  If we lose, we don’t have to fuck with the SEC champ game and go straight to the playoffs.  If we win, we get to drag our nuts over aggy faces and get revenge on GA…..and then go to the playoffs.

I’ll take option 2 and get a bye in the first round.  

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Rickylovesweed

Rickylovesweed 14542

Posted
Posted
Just now, rage-a-holic said:

no shit? The line would move if they thought Ewers was healthy? Thanks for that heads up.

No. Fucking. Shit.

You're the one that's making idiotic arguments. How does "controlling your own destiny" impact the line? No shit, they can still make the SEC championship game. That means nothing in the context of who the better team is and recent data points of aggy struggling with a 4-6 Auburn team. 

 

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Captain Obvious

Captain Obvious 524

Posted
Posted
Just now, The_Great_Hornsby said:

I cant even conjure up a scenario where we dont make it in the playoff. It's statistically impossible for us to miss. 

There's no sense arguing when the other side is sticking to the literal definition of "no chance."  99.9% of people understand what was meant by "no chance Texas misses the playoffs even with a loss to Aggie", but if someone wants to take it literally, sure.  It might all be moot since there's "a chance" the world could end before the game.

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rage-a-holic

rage-a-holic 4486

Posted
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2 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

You're the one that's making idiotic arguments. How does "controlling your own destiny" impact the line? No shit, they can still make the SEC championship game. That means nothing in the context of who the better team is and recent data points of aggy struggling with a 4-6 Auburn team. 

 

Aggy lost and Ewers is hurt. The line didn't move so right now it looks like Vegas thinks that's a push. I never said the line wouldn't move this week. 

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HtownHorn

HtownHorn 14786

Posted
Posted (edited)
22 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

We are 1000% in at this point. The results of next week just determine seeding. 

Pretty much.

5 spots to the conference champions leaving 7 at large selections.

ACC (2) - Miami (10-1), SMU (10-1), Clemson (9-2)

B1G (4) - Oregon (11-0), Ohio State (10-1), Penn State (10-1) , Indiana (11-1)

Big 12 (1) - ASU (9-2), BYU (9-2), CU (9-2), ISU (9-2)

SEC (3) - Texas (10-1), Georgia (9-2), Tennessee (9-2), aggy (8-3)

IND (1) - ND (10-1)

G5 (1) - Boise State (10-1), UNLV (9-2), Tulane (9-2)

Those are the teams with a legit chance. South Carolina is on the bubble should they beat Clemson, which I think they will, but they would only take Georgia's spot if Georgia lost to GT and in the SEC CG.

Edited by HtownHorn
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NBHorn7

NBHorn7 86

Posted
Posted
Just now, rage-a-holic said:

It's horrifying. A 3 loss aggy team could still technically win the MNC.

It is horrifying, Texas needs to make sure that doesn't happen, while at the same getting into a revenge match with Georgia in the SEC title game. Horns with an opportunity to make so many take a large bite out of a shit sandwich, in their first SEC season.

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UTexasFight

UTexasFight 9543

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5 minutes ago, NBHorn7 said:

It is horrifying, Texas needs to make sure that doesn't happen, while at the same getting into a revenge match with Georgia in the SEC title game. Horns with an opportunity to make so many take a large bite out of a shit sandwich, in their first SEC season.

Win the last championship in our old conference and the first in the new.

it’s what we do. 

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