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Prediction thread week 12, 2024; Texas at aggy

Wulaw Horn

By Wulaw Horn
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Magus Ossis

Magus Ossis 2,883

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Soul-crushing victory for the Horns. I don't know the numbers, but we will wound their psyches as deeply as is possible when demolishing the dreams of backwoods, anencephalic, disingenuous, ovinophilic, coat-tail-riding coelenterates (hat-tip to you-know-who). In the spirit of the contest, I offer 37-17 with 250 passing yards.

Edited by Magus Ossis
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CTC2

CTC2 2,803

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13 hours ago, t_eight said:

Texas 16

aggy 6

Will feel a lot like 1995, never in doubt...the last time we rolled in with a gimp ankled QB

199 passing yards

Defensive dominates and offense does just enough.

James Brown deserves more Longhorns Legend status than he is afforded. 
 

Texas 34 

aNm something less than that. 

Edited by CTC2
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gmr548

gmr548 16,619

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Agree that this game is really all about how Texas plays. This is a game where you can talk yourself into almost anything. Unfortunately, what I keep coming back to is this: I don't buy that the Ewers ankle injury is going to go from him being unable to run or throw to more or less fine in seven days. Between the Kentucky game and listing Ewers as probable, Sark has signaled he intends to stick with Ewers regardless of limitations.

I think that just makes Texas too easy to defend, shades of the Georgia game. I have a feeling we'll hit a few big plays in the run/screen game because aggy's back seven is bad but won't sustain much of anything on offense. Defense will get worn down in the second half.

aggy: 27

Texas: 17

Texas passing yards: 177

Neg away - would love to be wrong.

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satyanash

satyanash 14,728

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Been thinking about this game for quite a while, and the more angles you look at it, the worse it looks for us.

A&M is absolutely capable of shutting us down the way Georgia did. Their D-line is one of the best we'll face. We have a hobbled Quinn and an O-line that repeatedly commits false starts under crowd pressure and has protection breakdowns on the right side. Bateman + Elko are going to tee off on the right side of our line (Williams/Campbell) and disrupt everything we try to do in the passing game. Without the pass we can't set up the run, and running into the teeth of A&M's interior is not going to get us anywhere. A&M's secondary doesn't hold up in coverage on the deep end, but they'll fly to the ball and kill our screen/short passing game if that's all we can execute. And we can't execute the deep shots needed to punish them even with a healthy Quinn.

On the other side of the ball, A&M has a very diverse ground game that's going to be tough to shut down. They'll use read and shotgun option to take our D-linemen out of the play and focus action on the LBs. We can cover A&M's receivers, but Reed can just pull it down and run for 8-12 yards a pop when our pass rush gets past A&M's O-line. A&M's offense is absolutely deadly on 3rd down with Reed's scrambling abilities, and that's where the game will be decided. The final factor in all of this is motivation. A&M has to win the next two games to make the playoffs. We are going to get their best on Saturday. We have already sealed a spot in the playoffs and it will be tougher to get that edge, especially with the crowd environment.

SCar and Auburn were able to beat A&M in ways we can't replicate. SCar ran over A&M with a monster RB and a QB who was dodging A&M's pass rush all night. Obviously Quinn can't do that. Auburn beat A&M by hitting deep shots and Thorne scrambling. We can't do that either.

In sum, the question isn't whether or not we'll win. It's whether or not we'll be able to keep it close.

A&M 31

UT 17

Quinn with 149 passing yards.

 

Edited by satyanash
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Reynolds Woodcock

Reynolds Woodcock 4,847

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On 11/28/2024 at 12:49 PM, gmr548 said:

Agree that this game is really all about how Texas plays. This is a game where you can talk yourself into almost anything. Unfortunately, what I keep coming back to is this: I don't buy that the Ewers ankle injury is going to go from him being unable to run or throw to more or less fine in seven days. Between the Kentucky game and listing Ewers as probable, Sark has signaled he intends to stick with Ewers regardless of limitations.

I think that just makes Texas too easy to defend, shades of the Georgia game. I have a feeling we'll hit a few big plays in the run/screen game because aggy's back seven is bad but won't sustain much of anything on offense. Defense will get worn down in the second half.

aggy: 27

Texas: 17

Texas passing yards: 177

Neg away - would love to be wrong.

I don’t disagree with anything re Quinn, but I have a tough time seeing A&M scoring that many points. I think it’s going to be a really ugly, low scoring game. 

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