Game Week Thread 2024 Playoffs Round 1: Clemson at Texas

[Pancho 46036]

2 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

 

 

 

the current line on espn is Texas -14

 

No it’s not

[OU Sucks 9325]

1 hour ago, Hermanator said:

3 of the last 4 games we scored 20, 17, and 16 in regulation. 

That's just fucking unacceptable with the skill on this offense and the talent on the line. 

 

And 3 total points in our last four 3rd quarters. Is there a way to bet on how many points we'll score in the third quarter against Clemson? If so, is it an over/under of 1?

[ATXbronco 4379]

Pending any unfortunate breaking news at the Sarkonference tomorrow, Ewers has finally made it out of a game without any new injuries.
Give him two weeks to further heal from his injuries and he may look even better against Clemson than he did yesterday.
Which was a better performance than weeks prior.

[C-Man 27684]

Mrs. C-Man is a Clemson grad and a pretty big football fan. This matchup is, um, interesting to say the least in our household. She’s just happy that Clemson is in after losing to South Carolina.

[ousux 5634]

Pending any unfortunate breaking news at the Sarkonference tomorrow, Ewers has finally made it out of a game without any new injuries.
Give him two weeks to further heal from his injuries and he may look even better against Clemson than he did yesterday.
Which was a better performance than weeks prior.

I can hope he's fully healed in two weeks, but I wonder if Sark is second guessing not letting Arch duel with Georgia's backup QB? I know I am, but then again I'm not getting paid millions to coach football.

[Drew 2833]

1 hour ago, Hermanator said:

3 of the last 4 games we scored 20, 17, and 16 in regulation. 

That's just fucking unacceptable with the skill on this offense and the talent on the line. 

 

We may beat Clemson. But I bet AZ St puts at least 21 on the board. And Oregon closer to 30. 
 

offense will have to unfuck itself. 

[Drew 2833]

20 minutes ago, ATXbronco said:

Pending any unfortunate breaking news at the Sarkonference tomorrow, Ewers has finally made it out of a game without any new injuries.
Give him two weeks to further heal from his injuries and he may look even better against Clemson than he did yesterday.
Which was a better performance than weeks prior.

I will say he was better than the previous 2 weeks for sure.  So maybe he’ll be good enough with this defense to get us to at least the Oregon game. 

[sith_horn 2486]

1 hour ago, EuroHorn said:

2 interceptions and 1 fumble. Sounds very familiar.  We aren’t beating Clemson with three turnovers 

The last time Quinn Ewers and Cade Klubnik faced off… it was in the Texas HS State Championship 👀
Cade Klubnik’s team came out on top.

Stats:
Quinn Ewers:
• 23/39
• 351 Yards
• 3 TDs
• 2 INTs, 1 fumble

Cade Klubnik:
• 18/20
• 220 Pass Yds
• 97 Rush Yds
• 1 TD pic.twitter.com/bQToQJfqPi

— College Football Report (@CFBRep) December 8, 2024

 

To be fair, a missing stat in that post:  "The Chaps averaged 7.9 yards per carry, compared to 2.1 for Carroll". I didn't see the game, so have no qualitative input to add.

Texas HS Football: No. 4 Westlake takes down No. 10 Southlake Carroll - 6A Division I title

 

[89Horn 1735]

So, do we know if TNT is going to have any pregame shows or activities maybe simulcasting ESPN?  Otherwise, are we seeing a “Friends” or “NCIS: New Orleans” marathon leading into the game?

[Hank_Hill 19724]

42 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said:

As usual. Our defense will give us the chance to win.  On paper we should roll

 But Dak Prescott at qb our offense has done next to zero over the last few weeks and clemson has a decent d line 

You keep making this comparison….college Dak puts up 35+ yesterday 

[Drew 2833]

This Dak slander is getting unreal.  
 

god some of the Cowboy fans on here are dumb.  
 

and yes, college Dak that had Miss St at #1 beats the fuck out of Georgia yesterday. 

[alphahydro 336]

According to BCFToys,

 

Clemson's offense (adjusted for comp) is between UGA's and A&M's.  So, a decent shot Texas can hold them below 15.

Texas has the best defense (statistically) Clemson has faced.  Clemson put up 3 on UGA and 14 on South Carolina, the two next best defenses they faced. 

So, matchups aside, it's hard to see Clemson putting up more than 15-20, assuming we force them to drive the field.  Knock on wood.

 

Clemson's defense (adjusted) is between just above Florida's, below Michigan, UGA, OU.  Texas scored 49, 34, 31, 16, 15 in those games.

The Texas offense ranks in the middle of UGA, Louisville, and SMU, who scored 34, 33, 31 on Clemson. 

 

Obviously there's a lot of variance on Texas' offensive output.  I think the big issue in these games is - can Texas run the ball and protect the ball?  If so, then on paper, the team has much better shot at getting to 30

(at least against every team except UGA, Notre Dame and Ohio State). 

[alphahydro 336]

accidentally posted this in the wrong thread earlier - 

 

stupid question - but any idea whether they will do the drone show for a 3:00 start? If sunset is at 5:35, will it be dark enough?

 

 

[alphahydro 336]

4 minutes ago, alphahydro said:

According to BCFToys,

....

The opening spread suggests something like 32-20, Texas. 

Which makes sense, given the teams' past performances against similar opponents.  *knock on wood*

[Dilligas 674]

4 minutes ago, alphahydro said:

accidentally posted this in the wrong thread earlier - 

 

stupid question - but any idea whether they will do the drone show for a 3:00 start? If sunset is at 5:35, will it be dark enough?

 

 

Kidding, just always looking for a reason to use this gif

[Gut Wagon 8214]

3 minutes ago, C-Man said:

Mrs. C-Man is a Clemson grad and a pretty big football fan. This matchup is, um, interesting to say the least in our household. She’s just happy that Clemson is in after losing to South Carolina.

I understand the tension. My wife and her entire family are lifelong Dawg fans. Nothing makes them happier than a UGA win over whoever they're playing. I watched both of this season's Texas losses from another part of the house. Yesterday's game wasn't even mentioned until 9 a.m. today, and then only briefly. It's serious bidness. 

[utexas8 1695]

I get it. But one thing that has been consistent this year is the defense.

[WBT 20877]

21 minutes ago, Drew said:

 

and yes, college Dak that had Miss St at #1 beats the fuck out of Georgia yesterday. 

lolno

That miss st team didn't stay no 1 long for a reason

[4th&Five 41900]

1 hour ago, utexas8 said:

 

And managed 17 points. We find ways to keep games close. I expect no different. 

[Drew 2833]

18 minutes ago, alphahydro said:

According to BCFToys,

 

Clemson's offense (adjusted for comp) is between UGA's and A&M's.  So, a decent shot Texas can hold them below 15.

Texas has the best defense (statistically) Clemson has faced.  Clemson put up 3 on UGA and 14 on South Carolina, the two next best defenses they faced. 

So, matchups aside, it's hard to see Clemson putting up more than 15-20, assuming we force them to drive the field.  Knock on wood.

 

Clemson's defense (adjusted) is between just above Florida's, below Michigan, UGA, OU.  Texas scored 49, 34, 31, 16, 15 in those games.

The Texas offense ranks in the middle of UGA, Louisville, and SMU, who scored 34, 33, 31 on Clemson. 

 

Obviously there's a lot of variance on Texas' offensive output.  I think the big issue in these games is - can Texas run the ball and protect the ball?  If so, then on paper, the team has much better shot at getting to 30

(at least against every team except UGA, Notre Dame and Ohio State). 

I figured ND and OSU would be the biggest issues other than Oregon.  
 

glad they’re on the other side. 

2 minutes ago, WBT said:

lolno

That miss st team didn't stay no 1 long for a reason

He’s Miss St wasn’t as deep or talented as the teams they played. It was Dak and one other draft pick on that team I believe.  
 

2016 Dak on this team against a Georgia team who’s had trouble stopping physical running QBs?  Yeah. They dog stomp them. 

[Hank_Hill 19724]

5 minutes ago, utexas8 said:

 

 

 

I get it. But one thing that has been consistent this year is the defense.

 

 

Lol but he’s a gamer

[ScottS 1119]

2 hours ago, bolverk said:

According to Winspedia, Texas and Clemson have never faced off in football.

I looked that up earlier today as well and was surprised to discover this.  Seems like Texas and Clemson would have played each other at some point in a random bowl game or some home-and-home back in 19-whatever.  I find it weirdly fascinating when I see matchup of two teams that, despite college football having been played for 120+ years at this point, have never faced each other.  This was also the case yesterday with Arizona State and Iowa State before the Big XII title game.  

[taybo20 3008]

2 hours ago, Pancho said:

Dave Pasch and Dusty D in the booth for this one

Fuck

[UThomas 33]

This is like the NIL bowl.  Two programs with very different approaches (/capabilities) going in different directions 

[texifornia 58754]

25 minutes ago, utexas8 said:

 

 

 

I get it. But one thing that has been consistent this year is the defense.

 

 

"Gamer" - dude has lost plenty of games of varying importance, he just still gets sucked off by the TXHSFB honks.

11 minutes ago, ScottS said:

I looked that up earlier today as well and was surprised to discover this.  Seems like Texas and Clemson would have played each other at some point in a random bowl game or some home-and-home back in 19-whatever.  I find it weirdly fascinating when I see matchup of two teams that, despite college football having been played for 120+ years at this point, have never faced each other.  This was also the case yesterday with Arizona State and Iowa State before the Big XII title game.  

Minnesota - VaTech in the Mayo Bowl is another one, as well as almost every Cal and Stanford conference game.

[Funk Doctor Spock 13120]

Masaaaaaaan, I want a shot at Oregon just to see Mukuba lay the wood on Evan Stewart and Colin Simmons, Sorrell, and Ant fuck up Gabriel. 

[Rockwell Torrey 1364]

This is the Dodge Family Legacy Bowl. Winner gets bragging rights around the table during the holidays.

[Hornius Emeritus 12776]

Per ESPN, Texas has the second hardest Strength of Schedule of any team in the playoffs.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/playoffPicture

 

[Steamboat1874 4280]

1 hour ago, ousux said:

1 hour ago, ATXbronco said:

Pending any unfortunate breaking news at the Sarkonference tomorrow, Ewers has finally made it out of a game without any new injuries.
Give him two weeks to further heal from his injuries and he may look even better against Clemson than he did yesterday.
Which was a better performance than weeks prior.

I can hope he's fully healed in two weeks, but I wonder if Sark is second guessing not letting Arch duel with Georgia's backup QB? I know I am, but then again I'm not getting paid millions to coach football.

Arch was not going to do shit against Georgia either.

If you can’t run the ball even fucking John Elway in his prime wouldn’t do shit either.

[boilerhorn 1600]

3 hours ago, LTtxfan said:

 

 

Sagarin predictor has been a decent proxy for setting initial lines.  Using that and a 3-pt home-field benefit, Sagarin predicts (to the nearest 1/2 point)
Texas: -11.5
UND: -11
tOSU: -7.5
PSU: -6

Texas and tOSU lines are reasonable, if you trust the predictor.
PSU getting 2 more points because of shitty weather.
UND derate makes little sense, other than (1) Mark Cuban dropping huge $$ on Indiana (doubt) or (2) uncertainty about how good either of these teams really are. 

[ousux 5634]

Arch was not going to do shit against Georgia either.
If you can’t run the ball even fucking John Elway in his prime wouldn’t do shit either.

That may be so, but I would have liked to give it a try.

[Dnaguy 12568]

1 hour ago, GreenspointTexas said:

 

the current line on espn is Texas -14

 

thats insane. Itll be a one score game

This

[Dnaguy 12568]

How much are tickets?

im lazy 

Edited December 8 by Dnaguy

[NashLonghorn 297]

2 hours ago, ousux said:

I checked the roster and saw him, but the fact he isn't getting a shot this year tells me Sark/Banks think Bert is the one to roll with?

Sideshow has made some clutch FG's in the past, but he's been wildly inconsistent at times including this season, but this is the first game it's come back to bite us again. Of course he wasn't the only one to blame (plenty to go around) but making all his kicks yesterday greatly changes the game.

Yeah, we win. 

Edited December 8 by NashLonghorn

[Funk Doctor Spock 13120]

2 hours ago, Gucci_Suit said:

Quinn looks like a guy who will offer you a Miller high life and lie about a fish he caught.

Klubnick looks like a guy that will tell you about his father and then invite your girlfriend to Aspen. 

I'm laughing way too hard at this because it's true. 

[The Ace of Aces 5366]

If Texas had an offense that was somewhat decent this game wouldn’t be within 10 points. But we don’t so it’ll probably be a final possession type of game. 

[markstanco 12772]

Probably discussed upthread. Will kelvin be available?

[Valmy77 13567]

This has to be most depressed and beaten down a 11-2 fanbase has ever been.

Look guys it will be ok. They aren't Georgia.

[utexas8 1695]

Probably discussed upthread. Will kelvin be available?

It hasn’t. I would think. He tried yesterday and couldn’t. He has 2 more weeks to heal.

Bond on the other hand, keep him out till the cotton bowl.

[Beau Vine 55800]

2 hours ago, Sgt Hulk said:

 But Dak Prescott at qb our offense has done next to zero over the last few weeks

Come on, that's well over the line.

[CashMcCoy 3404]

PK handled Garrett Riley’s 2022 TCU offense better than anyone except Georgia. This Clemson offense seems pretty similar personnel-wise, but with less production and experience at WR. Should be fun (as long as we can run the ball again).

[markstanco 12772]

It hasn’t. I would think. He tried yesterday and couldn’t. He has 2 more weeks to heal.

Bond on the other hand, keep him out till the cotton bowl.

Yea heard the commentators pregame saying he tried to go, that gave me hope for the next game. Get some bubble wrap for the big fella.

[Ignatius 4125]

3 hours ago, Drew said:

I don’t understand how Penn St and ND don’t have higher spread overs SMU and Indiana?
 

and Texas should be closer.   This is a 17-10 type game unless the offense unfucks itself. 

I’ll bet you $500 that we win by at least 8 AND that there are at least 28 total points scored…

[Rickylovesweed 15305]

I know Texas has a tendency to piss down their own leg but I feel people thinking the 10.5 line is crazy haven’t watched Clemson this year. They’re like 2 plays away from being a 5 loss team. 

[gofuckyourself 8939]

3 hours ago, bolverk said:

According to Winspedia, Texas and Clemson have never faced off in football.

Even crazier:

This is the furthest west Clemson has played in December, following a conference championship game against SMU, for a chance to get to the CFP quarterfinal...

ever.

[Sgt Hulk 14329]

3 minutes ago, Ignatius said:

I’ll bet you $500 that we win by at least 8 AND that there are at least 28 total points scored…

Between both teams?

[Hank_Hill 19724]

6 minutes ago, markstanco said:

Yea heard the commentators pregame saying he tried to go, that gave me hope for the next game. Get some bubble wrap for the big fella.

Obviously our OL was a shitfest yesterday, but how did Goosby grade out?

[Huckleberry 34403]

3 minutes ago, Hank_Hill said:

Obviously our OL was a shitfest yesterday, but how did Goosby grade out?

Unsurprisingly I saw him looking lost several times but he did better when he was just firing out man on man. Hell of a time for a first start.

Edited December 8 by Huckleberry

[Hank_Hill 19724]

2 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

I know Texas has a tendency to piss down their own leg but I feel people thinking the 10.5 line is crazy haven’t watched Clemson this year. They’re like 2 plays away from being a 5 loss team. 

Georgia, a team we just took to OT, beat them 34-3.  Gave up 30+ to 3 unranked teams. 

[SuckitKevin 979]

3 hours ago, Pancho said:

Dave Pasch and Dusty D in the booth for this one

How the fuck out of all announcers do we get the fucktard sooner?