1998-2013 (BCS) & 2014-2023 (semi/semi/final) average margins of victory

[Hagbard Celine 11215]

for your consideration and consternation here are the historical average margins of victory in the seeded championship era:

 

1998-2013 BCS championship games:

16 games decided by an average of 11 points

6 decided by less than double-digits

3 decided by 3 points (including 4th & 5)

 

2014-2023 Semi-Finals & Finals ("the playoffs"):

30 total games played decided by an average of 18.6 points

10 of 30 decided by less than double-digits

 

2014-2023 Finals:

in years 2/3/4 (2015/16/17) the final was decided by 5 points or less

since then, toss out kirby's roach rape and the average margin of victory in 5 of the last 6 finals is still 21.8 points

the last competitive final was in 2017 (8jan18 gump 26-23 uga)

 

2014-2023 Semi-Finals:

there have been 20 semis played

average margin of victory is 17.85 which is in essence a 3-score game

HOWEVER the recent trend was opposite of the finals

in the first 16 semis, there were 3 wins of 7, 6 & 6 points - the other 13 were by 24.5 points

IN THE LAST 4 SEMIS the wins have been by 6, 1, 7 & 6 points

 

the play-in games are obviously not finals.......

 

hold on to your butts

[Helobious 9817]

cool