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Indiana at Notre Dame Round 1 Playoffs


BurntOrange&White

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I’m very excited about this game but I’m curious about how much interest there is around the country and with casual fans. Obviously it’s huge in Indiana. I spent my adolescence in northern Indiana about 30 miles from South Bend so I learned to hate Notre Dame, and Notre Dame fans, at an early age. I’m a Big Ten fan and I’ve been following (and profiting from) the Hoosiers’ history-making journey all season long. It’s complicated because my feelings about ND have softened since former Buckeye Marcus Freeman took over the coaching job.

I have a lot of reasons to be interested in the game. Obviously the Fighting Irish have a huge national fanbase. The Hoosiers don’t. My assumption is that this game doesn’t seem all that sexy to the casual fan. But I don’t know. Is this something people are looking forward to or is it something they might watch just because it’s on, otherwise most people just assume that naturally ND will crush IU and they’re waiting to see what happens in the games tomorrow?

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Still think this playoff format is stupid. We should have had an 8 team playoff with Indiana v. Oregon & Notre Dame v. Penn State. With that said I expect IU to cover and I think they could win if they tighten up the gaffes from Columbus.

Think imma is a wee bit off on the score prediction lol.

Edited by Pimphand
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I hate Notre Dame too, but the only other team IU played that had an equivalent defense (Ohio State) shut them down (151 total yards). 
 

Line is down to -6.5 which is interesting. 
 

One unit play on ND and may splash some ND alt line like -16.5 or -19.5. 

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This game is going to be way closer than people think. I could easily see IU winning this one. Teams are very even. Most of IU's season stats on offense and defense are better. They've also played a harder schedule. I am torn. I think Riley is the difference maker though. 

Notre Dame 27
Indiana 23

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1 hour ago, BurntOrange&White said:

image.png.d9d60d209d26db25d876634daaff6e88.png

 

I think ND is better built to play in a snow game vs Indiana because of their run game and ND's run game defense. 

Also 52.5 in a snow game is a a tough over for me.

Indiana is the No. 1 defense in the country against the run. 2nd in yards per rush. No. 1 in opponent rushing first downs. 

They are really good against the run. I really think this is gonna be a toss up game. 

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I like IU, wish I was in a sportsbook to put down on the ML. 

This is the postseason and ND, I don't give a fuck if they are at home, it's a weak home field. IU has played some good ball, better than any team ND has faced. 

ND struggled, albeit at the beginning of the season,  against an average overrated aggy football team. Lost at home to NIU and then played absolutely nobody the rest of the way. 

I think IU's bad game at tOSU helps them better prepare for this game. 

 

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2 minutes ago, Dewey said:

I like IU, wish I was in a sportsbook to put down on the ML. 

This is the postseason and ND, I don't give a fuck if they are at home, it's a weak home field. IU has played some good ball, better than any team ND has faced. 

ND struggled, albeit at the beginning of the season,  against an average overrated aggy football team. Lost at home to NIU and then played absolutely nobody the rest of the way. 

I think IU's bad game at tOSU helps them better prepare for this game. 

 

They destroyed the shit out of Army, who everyone wanted in the playoffs 

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I've watched a couple ND games this year: aTm, part of NIU, Purdue, some of GT, Navy, and USC.
Similarly, I have watched some IU games this year: Michigan, tOSU, and some of Purdue.

I cannot really tell if either of these teams is any good.  ND's SOS is 64.  IU's is 74.  

Fwiw, IU got whipped by tOSU, but tOSU also had TD drives with short fields due to IU's inferior special teams play.

That said, IU has a statistically good rush defense for a reason: they played teams with crappy run offenses.  Given each team has at least 12 games under its belt, rush offense rankings have some meaning.  The best running team IU played was tOSU, ranked 52.  6 of their opponents were not in the top-100. 3 more were in the 90s.  Early in the year, you could say "because of their defense" -  now, it is because they played crappy running teams.

image.png.a9a4b16015df7d5eb6bde2fd0f268980.png

What I find interesting is that UND is only -6.5.  Some predictors - based on computer models - would have them as -8 on a neutral site, placing them at -11 since it is a home game.  Perhaps the cold weather is causing the derate, or lack of confidence in their ability to blow someone out, or heavy money on IU.

I see this as an entertaining game, and will be cheering for IU.  I hope they win by 10+

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3 hours ago, WhatTheBuck said:

I’m very excited about this game but I’m curious about how much interest there is around the country and with casual fans.

this board and the entirety of core college football fans everywhere are extremely interested in all 4 games

and every core fan of any school that is not domer is 100% for iu

these teams have played once since 1958

this is the best i could find as to 'reasons' why this game is never played:


TheYetiCaptain1993

11y ago

    They already had one instate rivalry in Purdue (this is actually one of Notre Dames oldest continuous games played believe it or not)

    They are much closer to Michigan, Michigan State, and Purdue. Adding a 4th big ten school to play when they already had a full slate of major conference games didn't seem that important

    Indiana has almost always been a very poor football program. They literally used to sell football home games to other teams to fund the basketball program. Notre Dame would have gained nothing by regularly scheduling them

    Their fans share no animosity or ill will to each other. As others have said, most of the non-college affiliated fans in the state cheer for BOTH Indiana basketball and Notre Dame football

 

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3 hours ago, BurntOrange&White said:

image.png.d9d60d209d26db25d876634daaff6e88.png

 

I think ND is better built to play in a snow game vs Indiana because of their run game and ND's run game defense. 

Also 52.5 in a snow game is a a tough over for me.

 

3 hours ago, PittsburghTiger said:

Snow is supposed to be over well before noon. Supposed to be but, we’ll see. It will be in the 20s though, so pretty cold.

 

3 hours ago, WhatTheBuck said:

No one in this game is going to be bothered by the cold. 

My response was to the comment before mine that mentioned it being a snow game and that the snow was supposed to stop and it would just be cold, not snowing. I didn’t say anyone would be bothered by the cold, that it would be cold.

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