Jump to content

2018 Houston Astros Season Thread

Planet Houston

By Planet Houston
in Baseball

 Share

Recommended Posts

formermav43

formermav43 4599

Posted
Posted

The underlying power numbers look much better, though, suggesting he is due for some positive regression.

 I remembered him struggling a lot from the same eye ball test in 2015 too, so I looked it up. His avg and obp were both lower after 50 games than now, and he was only slugging .417. He went on to have a good year, even if not as good as 2016-17.

BUT all of the underlying metrics suggest the contact he’s making profiles like the last 2 years, not 2015. 

Hes obviously not hitting on all cylinders right now. But that’s clearly not unprecedented. The data suggests he’s also been really unlucky as far as his power numbers go.

He’s going to be fine not only because he’ll start putting together better at bats, but also because he should have been getting better results with the at bats he’s had. His luck will turn AND he’ll hit better to boot.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 27.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • UTexasFight

    1691

  • Seasick Sailor

    1501

  • Mez2

    1467

  • Scraps

    1294

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

TexArcher
TexArcher

Bregs is going Crawford Boxes right here.

ERhine
ERhine

Prior to the footage being edited by Bender:

wesleywest
wesleywest

Two Diamond Club tickets available for the Sunday night game.  Free.  Need to pick them up from me in 77027. Rules: Poster must be a big contributor to this thread/last years shag thread.  No gue

Fozzz

Fozzz 152

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, formermav43 said:

The underlying power numbers look much better, though, suggesting he is due for some positive regression.

 I remembered him struggling a lot from the same eye ball test in 2015 too, so I looked it up. His avg and obp were both lower after 50 games than now, and he was only slugging .417. He went on to have a good year, even if not as good as 2016-17.

BUT all of the underlying metrics suggest the contact he’s making profiles like the last 2 years, not 2015. 

Hes obviously not hitting on all cylinders right now. But that’s clearly not unprecedented. The data suggests he’s also been really unlucky as far as his power numbers go.

He’s going to be fine not only because he’ll start putting together better at bats, but also because he should have been getting better results with the at bats he’s had. His luck will turn AND he’ll hit better to boot.

One thing that is concerning about Altuve is that while his average exit velocity on fly balls is about the same as 2016-2017, his barrel rate on fly balls is around half that from the previous two seasons.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fudge Nuggets

Fudge Nuggets 19111

Posted
Posted
16 hours ago, UTexasFight said:

I was thinking about this today as well.
Buddy and I agreed 6-5 would be good especially since 7 games are on the road...except we’re better on the road.
So make it 7-4

I hope Keuchel decides to remove his head from his ass during this stretch of death.

It would behoove him to get the ground ball percentage up where it belongs.  According to fangraphs he's at 57% while a typical year is 62%.  May not sound like much difference but for a dude like him it is huge.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Ldogg53 said:

Fuck.  This is beyond just being in a slump.  Something is clearly wrong with his approach and swing right now. 

When I think of players whom I would bet against, Altuve is pretty much dead last.  Bregman is similar.  While Gattis is not nearly as skilled, his background puts him on this list too.

Buncha fuckers on this squad with no quit in their blood.  That’s what makes them so freaking great to root for!!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
kevwun

kevwun 15572

Posted
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

I hope Keuchel decides to remove his head from his ass during this stretch of death.

It would behoove him to get the ground ball percentage up where it belongs.  According to fangraphs he's at 57% while a typical year is 62%.  May not sound like much difference but for a dude like him it is huge.

I don't have much faith that it's gonna happen.  His career is following the arc of the sinkerball pitcher.  I'm glad Luhnow was wise enough to fight the temptation of giving him a long term deal.

Edited by kevwun
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Gut Wagon

Gut Wagon 8051

Posted
Posted
16 hours ago, UTexasFight said:

I was thinking about this today as well.
Buddy and I agreed 6-5 would be good especially since 7 games are on the road...except we’re better on the road.
So make it 7-4

DK is not starting 4 of the 11 games...so no. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
HtownHorn

HtownHorn 14395

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, APMP said:

If Hanley isn't claimed, would we be interested in him as a cheap DH?

We should be. Considering his 6 HRs would be tied for 3rd on the team. His 26 RBIs would be 3rd on the team, and his paltry .708 OPS would be better than everyone not named Altuve, Correa, Springer, Bregman, Reddick, and Stassi.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
henrygandorf

henrygandorf 29169

Posted
Posted

that bauer article, yeah.

when i read an article from someone else's point of view, other people's quotes about bauer, he comes off like a bitter nutcase.  but now, finally seeing things from his point of view, with his direct quotes, he comes off like a bitter nutcase.

not exactly sure what that all means, but i have a couple guesses.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Gut Wagon

Gut Wagon 8051

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

that bauer article, yeah.

when i read an article from someone else's point of view, other people's quotes about bauer, he comes off like a bitter nutcase.  but now, finally seeing things from his point of view, with his direct quotes, he comes off like a bitter nutcase.

not exactly sure what that all means, but i have a couple guesses.

In typical hot dog fashion, Trevor relishes the role. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hank Chinaski

Hank Chinaski 6310

Posted
Posted
37 minutes ago, HtownHorn said:

We should be. Considering his 6 HRs would be tied for 3rd on the team. His 26 RBIs would be 3rd on the team, and his paltry .708 OPS would be better than everyone not named Altuve, Correa, Springer, Bregman, Reddick, and Stassi.

I doubt it though. He can't really play anywhere defensively, so you can't really have both he and Gattis on the same roster. So we'd essentially have to get rid of Gattis to make room. Although that wouldn't be a bad option on the field, I don't think Hanley is superior enough to Gattis as a hitter (he's been below average this year and last) for the team to make that move. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
runthebone

runthebone 7914

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

oh, and i hope he makes the all-star game for the first time.

thinking verlander probably starts, but then what does the a.l. manager aj hinch do?  he looks at his roster, sees a bunch of his guys, and trevor bauer.  hmmm, who should i put in?

Trevor Bauer for 8 innings

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
henrygandorf

henrygandorf 29169

Posted
Posted

also re:bauer, maybe i just skimmed the article, but there sure seemed to be a lack of team related goals, especially considering the indians are universally projected to be the 3 seed in the al.  maybe that's one of the reasons his teammates dislike him.

i guess we're spoiled, and obviously everyone's team goals were fulfilled last year (minus cole, rondon, smith), but you just rarely hear any type of chatter like that from our guys (although i know correa would like to win an mvp).  i get the feeling bauer would be moping around if he had a shitty game that turned into a 12-11 victory for his squad.  probably down in the clubhouse watching tape instead of high fiving his hitters.  

re:hanley - i'm reading it's largely based on the huge payment that kicks in if he reaches a certain amount of pa with the team, so i guess that makes some sense.  they're fine offensively and he's been slumping.  as far as us getting involved, it would surprise me if hinch went after someone that cora didn't fight to keep on his team (obviously those decisions are made higher up, but still).

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fozzz

Fozzz 152

Posted
Posted
Quote

 “I keep up with Cole, and I know that he’s killing it,’’ said Decker, 31, now a first baseman with Class AAA Reno in the D-backs organization. “I like him a lot. But I can’t tell you I know Bauer. I spoke with Bauer one time, and I said, 'I’ll never do that again. I’m good. I got my fill for a lifetime.'

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/mlb/columnist/bob-nightengale/2018/05/24/trevor-bauer-gerrit-cole-ucla-dont-like-each-other/640362002/

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Planet Houston

Planet Houston 4921

Posted
  • Author
Posted
2 hours ago, formermav43 said:

He’s going to be fine not only because he’ll start putting together better at bats, but also because he should have been getting better results with the at bats he’s had. His luck will turn AND he’ll hit better to boot.

He's also gonna be fine because he's Jose Motherfucking Altuve.  Hand wringing about 27 is way down on my priority list as an Astros fan.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Gut Wagon

Gut Wagon 8051

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

Why stop at 8 or 9 for Bauer? Throw him out there for 10 and have him be the pitcher of record to start the 11th when the leadoff batter starts on 2nd.

 

Then put in Cole to throw one meat pitch that is pulled in the gap.

L charged to Bauer.

 

 

 

Good plan. And since Trevor enjoys being in the spotlight, let's have him warm up by pitching to every hitter in every round of the Home Run Derby. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
HtownHorn

HtownHorn 14395

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Hank Chinaski said:

I doubt it though. He can't really play anywhere defensively, so you can't really have both he and Gattis on the same roster. So we'd essentially have to get rid of Gattis to make room. Although that wouldn't be a bad option on the field, I don't think Hanley is superior enough to Gattis as a hitter (he's been below average this year and last) for the team to make that move. 

Hanley is a much better hitter than Gattis. It's really not close.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fozzz

Fozzz 152

Posted
Posted
Quote

Shifting is not a panacea, and as BP’s own Russell A. Carleton wrote earlier this week, there are side effects that call into question the overall, big-picture efficacy. Specifically, while the shift does its intended job by taking away singles and doubles via smarter positioning, there’s evidence that it also leads to, among other negatives, pitchers throwing fewer strikes and issuing more walks. The end result is murky enough that perhaps one cancels out the other. Unless, of course, a team has figured out how to frequently shift and have their pitchers pound the strike zone with the shift on. And guess what? Houston appears to have figured it out.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/40132/banjo-hitter-best-defense-baseball/

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fudge Nuggets

Fudge Nuggets 19111

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, henrygandorf said:

oh, and i hope he makes the all-star game for the first time.

thinking verlander probably starts, but then what does the a.l. manager aj hinch do?  he looks at his roster, sees a bunch of his guys, and trevor bauer.  hmmm, who should i put in?

Put the jackass in and make him pitch 7 innings.

Never mind, others are way ahead of me with even better destruction of that asshole’s future career.

Edited by Fudge Nuggets
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...