Jump to content

2018 Houston Astros Season Thread

Planet Houston

By Planet Houston
in Baseball

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 27.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • UTexasFight

    1691

  • Seasick Sailor

    1501

  • Mez2

    1467

  • Scraps

    1294

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

TexArcher
TexArcher

Bregs is going Crawford Boxes right here.

ERhine
ERhine

Prior to the footage being edited by Bender:

wesleywest
wesleywest

Two Diamond Club tickets available for the Sunday night game.  Free.  Need to pick them up from me in 77027. Rules: Poster must be a big contributor to this thread/last years shag thread.  No gue

UTexasFight

UTexasFight 9369

Posted
Posted

Halfway home in June and tip of the cap to not only Gattis, but also Marwin who I don’t think we are fully appreciating this month...
I just laugh now when this thread starts skewering our players.
Those guys are making it really easy for Hinch to rest the big names.

For the month, Marwin is batting .433, SLG .833, OPS 1.333, OBP .500. All tops in the AL (minimum 30 ABs).
Gattis tied with Davis for most HRs (7) and leads in RBIs with 22 (next closest has 16). 22 RBIs in the month...on June 15.
I believe Bagwell holds the club record for most RBIs in a month. 36 in July 2001.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Gut Wagon

Gut Wagon 8052

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, WBT said:

Sox knock Paxton out after 2 1/3 and lead 6-3

And Seattle once again rallies to win late, 7-6. They’re now 22-10 in games decided by a single run. As such patterns tend to even out over time, I expect them to cool off soon. Then again, I felt that way when Cano went out. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
WBT

WBT 20397

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Gut Wagon said:

And Seattle once again rallies to win late, 7-6. They’re now 22-10 in games decided by a single run. As such patterns tend to even out over time, I expect them to cool off soon. Then again, I felt that way when Cano went out. 

Sometime, like the 2016 Rangers, it doesn't even out until the next year. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hank Chinaski

Hank Chinaski 6310

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, ckhorn said:

The bullpen won't last. Servais is wearing them out.

This came up in Jay Jaffe's chat this week on Fangraphs:

Nick: Is there a measurable skill involved with winning a ton of one-run games like the Mariners or is it 100% pure dumb luck?

 

 
12:35
Jay Jaffe: I wrote about this the other day. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-al-west-and-one-run-success/. Significant correlation regarding bullpen WAR and 1-run success, and I think there was a 2013 study that suggested team BB, K (both pitching) and ISO (hitting) had some connection.

In short, some team charactersitics may make them a bit more likely to perform better than average in tight games; however, I saw another stat that Seatlle's hitting in clutch/leverage situations thus far has far exceeded its performance in other situations. That doesn't seem like a "skill" - that seems like it is bound to even out. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
WBT

WBT 20397

Posted
Posted (edited)

I think it's definitely luck/variance that we only have a 0.5 game lead despite a 119 run lead in run differential.  Depending on which projection you look at, Fangraphs has that we should be 2-5 wins better and Seattle should be 7 wins worse.  Most likely we're due for big positive regression. 

But sometimes these things last all season.  In 2016, the Rangers won the division, Seattle finished 9 back, and we finished 11 back.  The Rangers had +8 run differential, Seattle had +61, and the Astros had +23.  The Rangers went 36-11 in 1-run games.  All year I thought the regression was coming and it never did.

Edited by WBT
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Gut Wagon

Gut Wagon 8052

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, ckhorn said:

Surprising that Hinch used both Peacock and McHugh yesterday considering Kuechal is pitching today.

If he'd known he was going to burn them, why did we send Guduan back to the minors? Unless he plans to use White as the A's used Smolinski. Let's hope not.

Or maybe DK will realize he doesn't have the usual backup today and will pitch great for a change. (I can't believe I just typed that, but it seemed halfway plausible when I started the sentence.) 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...