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Posted (edited)

So looking at the standings I see starting 19-3 and 5-1 in the conference didn't really distinguish us much. 10 teams have 5 or fewer losses and a 4-2 or 5-1 conference record.

So we're right in the middle of the pack.

This conference fucking sucks.

Granted it is probably because everyone is LSUing their through their non-conference season with scrubs and the bottom six teams all really suck.

I guess we will see how bad the dregs of the league are when we play Mizzou next week. 

Oh and maybe win the midweek game this week. I was worried we weren't scoring enough runs in those games and we can't expect our Tuesday guys to just throw gems every week.

Edited by Valmy77
Posted
  On 3/24/2025 at 3:34 AM, Valmy77 said:

So looking at the standings I see starting 19-3 and 5-1 in the conference didn't really distinguish us much. 10 teams have 5 or fewer losses and a 4-2 or 5-1 conference record.

So we're right in the middle of the pack.

This conference fucking sucks.

Granted it is probably because everyone is LSUing their through their non-conference season with scrubs and the bottom six teams all really suck.

I guess we will see how bad the dregs of the league are when we play Mizzou next week. 

Oh and maybe win the midweek game this week. I was worried we weren't scoring enough runs in those games and we can't expect our Tuesday guys to just throw gems every week.

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Kinda need to sweep Missouri. We have 8 weekend conference series left - split evenly between the 2 loss or less group (arky, auburn, Georgia, OU) and the 4 loss or more group (Missouri, A&M, Fla, Kentucky). Not sure how that stacks up against others at the top but seems manageable. 

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Posted (edited)
  On 3/24/2025 at 4:21 AM, troph said:

Kinda need to sweep Missouri. We have 8 weekend conference series left - split evenly between the 2 loss or less group (arky, auburn, Georgia, OU) and the 4 loss or more group (Missouri, A&M, Fla, Kentucky). Not sure how that stacks up against others at the top but seems manageable. 

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Agreed.  This league is stacked, but I like how we’re positioned.  Taking this series vs Mizzou is critical to making the LSU series a point of separation down the road.  Birmingham in May is going to be elite 

Edited by jdhorn92
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Posted
  On 3/24/2025 at 1:48 PM, jdhorn92 said:

Agreed.  This league is stacked, but I like how we’re positioned.  Taking  Sweeping this series vs Mizzou is critical to making the LSU series a point of separation down the road.  Birmingham in May is going to be elite 

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Posted

I really feel they need to give earley another couple of seasons to get his guys in there and his culture installed. How is he supposed to win with NIL babies that were holdovers and supporters of the most disloyal person in the universe, who are probably tanking on purpose for reasons?

he needs clean slate. Let the man work!

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Posted (edited)
  On 3/24/2025 at 5:41 PM, UTexasFight said:

Holy smokes. The earliest the preseason #1 team could win a road game is…. April 4?!

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secsecsec baseball doesn't do nonconference road games, us included these days.

Bring back the Stanford series!

Edited by WBT
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Posted (edited)

The site linked below claims Q1 is defined as:

  Quote

Quad 1 is home games against teams 1-25 in RPI, neutral games against 1-40 and road games against 1-60. 

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So, the MSU sweep doesn't count (RPI 61), and the LSU series win doesn't count (RPI 38).  Ole Miss (RPI 6) counts.  Louisville doesn't (RPI 44).  I checked a few other games -- nada.

RPI calculation and quadrants

RPI rankings

Edited by jimmyjazz
Posted
  On 3/25/2025 at 2:09 PM, TxEx84 said:

So Xavier with an 11-13 record is #5 in RPI? Huh? Make it make sense.

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#1 SOS and #2 non-conf SOS

People really harp on RPI way too early in the year when most teams have only played ~40% of their schedule

Conference play usually determines your RPI - Butler (288), SJU (90), Villanova (92), Georgetown (227), Miami (OH) (120), Seton Hall (228) + some additional non-conf games in Penn St (100), Cincy (102), Wright State (88)

Losses to those teams are going to drag them down.  Too early to fret over RPI 

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Posted

aggy up 6-2 on Houston Christian.  PSA - on the d1baseball scoreboard you have to scroll down past the top 25 to the sec section to find them.

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Posted
  On 3/26/2025 at 12:38 PM, jimmyjazz said:

That doesn't look good on Arkansas.

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Eh, midweek game like ours last week where the bats hit well enough but your midweek pitching isn't there doesn't seem like anything to me, unless of course Arkansas was using its weekend guys in a midweek week. 

Posted
  On 3/26/2025 at 2:52 PM, Valmy77 said:

It won't hurt them unless it carries over to the weekend. The weekend series is what counts.

 

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This sentiment simply isn't accurate as some sort of rule. The cumulative effect upon a team's record, when adding losses other than on weekends, ultimately has a psychological impact on those judging the sport. Lose one Tuesday night game, no one cares. Lose 3-4 plus 33% of your conference games, it impacts your seed. 

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Posted
  On 3/26/2025 at 3:25 PM, closetojumping said:

This sentiment simply isn't accurate as some sort of rule. The cumulative effect upon a team's record, when adding losses other than on weekends, ultimately has a psychological impact on those judging the sport. Lose one Tuesday night game, no one cares. Lose 3-4 plus 33% of your conference games, it impacts your seed. 

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All true.

I guess I should have said, it might not hurt them if they do well this weekend and don't keep fucking up their Tuesday games.

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Posted
  On 3/26/2025 at 3:25 PM, closetojumping said:

This sentiment simply isn't accurate as some sort of rule. The cumulative effect upon a team's record, when adding losses other than on weekends, ultimately has a psychological impact on those judging the sport. Lose one Tuesday night game, no one cares. Lose 3-4 plus 33% of your conference games, it impacts your seed. 

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I’m not disagreeing with the cumulative impact.  The SEC is pretty damn insulated however.

You only have to go back to 2023 and Auburn as an example.  They lost 3 midweek games.  The final 2 were cancelled.  They also lost 2 of 3 to Southeastern Louisiana.  They were 17-13 in conference.  Throw in the tourney they were 18-15.  Prior to the post season they won 8 straight then finished it off going 0-2 while hosting the regional.  
 

As a point of comparison, our midweek win % last year was 69% versus Auburns at 70%.  And quick glance shows we played 2 back-to-back midweek games to their 1.

Every year is different so certainly there are no absolutes.  If you win 2/3rds of your SEC conference games, you’ll really have to shit yourself in non-conference to not host a regional.  That win percentage probably puts you top 4 in the conference.

Posted
  22 hours ago, Had Enough said:

 If you win 2/3rds of your SEC conference games, you’ll really have to shit yourself in non-conference to not host a regional.  

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Sorry (not sorry) to nit pick, but "conference" is redundant.  CJ Vogel drives me nuts with this usage.

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