Hey Oil Barons.......

[Cajun 11705]

1 minute ago, Trey3216 said:

Dear XTO,

I've been waiting in suspense for said funds for over 14 years.  The cashier's check can be mailed to:

 

1st National Bank of Cajun

1 Cajun $$ Way 

Thanks for remembering me!!

 

Cajun 

And on the subject of unpaid interest on those funds, my representation is already on your property and ready to negotiate...

 

[Eastwood 4394]

Quote

Saudi Arabia is shutting down half of its oil production after drones attacked the world’s largest oil processing facility in the kingdom, The Wall Street Journal reported.

The closure will impact almost five million barrels of crude production a day, about 5% of the world’s daily oil production, the WSJ reported, citing sources familiar with the matter.

 

Early Saturday, an oilfield operated by Saudi Aramco, the state-owned oil giant, was attacked by a number of drones, which sparked a huge fire at a processor crucial to global energy supplies.

Yemen’s Houthi rebels have claimed responsibility for the attack, saying it was one of their largest attacks ever inside the kingdom, the WSJ reported.

“We promise the Saudi regime that our future operations will expand and be more painful as long as its aggression and siege continue,” a Houthi spokesman said. The attack involved 10 drones, the Houthis said.

The Saudi interior ministry said the fires were under control.

Saudi officials are considering drawing down their oil stocks to sell to foreign buyers to make sure world oil supplies won’t be disrupted by the attack and shutdown, the WSJ reported.

 

The Iran-backed Houthis had been behind a series of attacks on Saudi pipelines, tankers and other infrastructure in the past few years as tensions rise among Iran and the U.S. and partners like Saudi Arabia.

The Islamic Republic, a target of U.S. sanctions for decades, has recently attacked oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, shot down a U.S. military drone and announced plans to execute 17 suspected U.S. spies.

Saudi Arabia is moving forward to take Saudi Aramco public in a major shakeup of the kingdom’s energy sector.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/14/saudi-arabia-is-shutting-down-half-of-its-oil-production-after-drone-attack-wsj-says.html

Welp, this might be the tipping point to the "stability" we have seen in the ME in recent years.

Edited September 14, 2019 by Eastwood

[Message Board User 12395]

 

[Armybrat 40822]

Harold Hamm probably bankrolling the Houthi drone stockpile.

Girlfriends can be expensive.

[SquishMitten 10403]

So the largest production facility in the world can be taken completely offline by 10 drones from a rebel force? Seems like quite an oversight in security. I’d imagine these weren’t drones you buy off Amazon, but I doubt they’re anything close to military grade.

[Johnny Chimpo 478]

This was most likely an Iranian organized and executed attack with the Houthis acting as the useful idiot to take the blame. 

Recent similar attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure claimed by the Houthis were found to have originated from Iranian backed militias in Iraq. 

[atomheartbevo 89628]

17 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

So the largest production facility in the world can be taken completely offline by 10 drones from a rebel force? Seems like quite an oversight in security. I’d imagine these weren’t drones you buy off Amazon, but I doubt they’re anything close to military grade.

No way they were simple drones - twitter says they found cruise missile parts.

Here's some context.

 

[atomheartbevo 89628]

 

[Dutchrudder 11134]

That is crazy to see the facility burning like that. Won't this make oil prices shoot up for the foreseeable future?

[Eastwood 4394]

In the short term, definitely. It will be interesting to see if ME instability will start taking up a huge chunk of the price, again. I really don't feel like it was priced in for the last 5 years once shale was proven to be able to respond quickly to any shortfalls. However, now most feel that shale is a short term solution, so any indication of long term ME disruptions may have a greater impact moving forward.

[atomheartbevo 89628]

2 hours ago, Dutchrudder said:

That is crazy to see the facility burning like that. Won't this make oil prices shoot up for the foreseeable future?

And they are about to do an IPO.  Those images can't be helping at all.  Those folks in Yemen know how to pick their targets.

[Armybrat 40822]

42 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

And they are about to do an IPO.  Those images can't be helping at all.  Those folks in Iran know how to pick their targets.

Fify

[Trey3216 15345]

And on cue, Trumpy authorizes release from APR if necessary.  Real chance of running the reserves worldwide to nil in short order.    American producers have already scaled back capex because they’re trying to not Sanchez themselves.  For a decade, people have wanted the producers to reign in capex.   They reign it in, and then they birch about production.    

 

The days of cheap oil oil and gas are about over my friends.   

[Trey3216 15345]

Oil up 13%.  Natty up 3% at the start of futures 

[Neonmoon 38129]

Is there a way to invest in Midland boat sales?

[Eastwood 4394]

WTI broke through $60 immediately. Wow.

[Trey3216 15345]

6 minutes ago, Eastwood said:

WTI broke through $60 immediately. Wow.

And holding above for the time being.  

[atomheartbevo 89628]

Fuckkkkkk, I thought you were kidding.

 

[Trey3216 15345]

22 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Fuckkkkkk, I thought you were kidding.

 

And even with that futures are up sharply.  Wait til the China trade kicks in at around midnight CDT.  

[kevwun 15764]

On 9/14/2019 at 3:45 PM, atomheartbevo said:

No way they were simple drones - twitter says they found cruise missile parts.

Here's some context.

 

Yeah, I don't think you can fly multiple drones hundreds of miles to hit targets with pinpoint accuracy.

[tx 3 putt 76870]

3 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

Is there a way to invest in Midland boat sales?

Mother fucking this x1000000000000

Edited September 16, 2019 by tx 3 putt

[atomheartbevo 89628]

Buy some defense stocks as well as boat sales

 

[Johnny Chimpo 478]

Reuter’s is reporting they destroyed five crude stabilization towers. You can’t just replace those in a week or two. Those are long lead items that would take months to fab I figure.  

[tx 3 putt 76870]

58 minutes ago, Johnny Chimpo said:

Reuter’s is reporting they destroyed five crude stabilization towers. You can’t just replace those in a week or two. Those are long lead items that would take months to fab I figure.  

 

6 months is my guess, month to ship and another 2 months to get it up and running. <<<< that's handing everyone involved a blank check

south koreans about to make some money 

[NotActuallyALonghorn 4975]

And that's probably assuming all their P&ID's are accurate. Knowing how things like that go, they will probably have to make some adjustments on the fly. 

[tx 3 putt 76870]

Blank checks get shit done but they’ll have to buy some other companies slot in the production que

something fishy about this whole story. The kingdom has been shooting  incoming missiles for some time. Now multiple drones / rockets just get by undetected ?

[Homercles 10205]

Especially drones large enough to cover large distances with a significant warhead...

[Cajun 11705]

On 9/14/2019 at 3:24 PM, Armybrat said:

Harem Hamm probably bankrolling the Houthi drone stockpile.

Girlfriends can be expensive.

fify

C'mon Brat, you're slippin'.

[Cajun 11705]

4 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

Blank checks get shit done but they’ll have to buy some other companies slot in the production que

something fishy about this whole story. The kingdom has been shooting  incoming missiles for some time. Now multiple drones / rockets just get by undetected ?

lll

[Cajun 11705]

But, more serious...

Quote

Iran launched nearly a dozen cruise missiles and over 20 drones from its territory in the attack on a key Saudi oil facility Saturday, a senior Trump administration official told ABC News Sunday.

https://abcnews.go.com/International/iran-fired-cruise-missiles-attack-saudi-oil-facility/story?id=65632653

[Moby Ric 2058]

Panic buying taking place already.  Oil and Natgas already up.  Natgas has been increasing for over a month, this didn't help.

[Cajun 11705]

US retaliation is virtually guaranteed.  

 

[jimmyjazz 45888]

What's the typical correlation and timing between oil price spikes and those at the gas pump?   The price at my neighborhood Valero hasn't moved a penny.

[Trey3216 15345]

29 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

What's the typical correlation and timing between oil price spikes and those at the gas pump?   The price at my neighborhood Valero hasn't moved a penny.

Kind of awaiting the news from the Saudi oil minister regarding length of shutdown I'd bet.  I went ahead and filled up yesterday because I fully expect gasoline prices to jump 15-20%, or more, in the next few days.  

[NowThis 931]

i just sold some Oil stocks i had for a couple of months, made a few thousand $.  Thanks Houthis!!! Luv Ya !

[tx 3 putt 76870]

Iran firing cruise missiles will certainly escalate things.

imo, some long game by Iran here. They have technology / defense system to take out an air craft carrier and are setting the trap. 

[atomheartbevo 89628]

1 hour ago, tx 3 putt said:

Iran firing cruise missiles will certainly escalate things.

imo, some long game by Iran here. They have technology / defense system to take out an air craft carrier and are setting the trap. 

They risk quite a bit though, namely heavy American retaliation (with a decent chunk of the world backing such retaliation), and Iran has plenty of targets, unlike some Al Qaeda fucker living in the hills.  And that's not getting into even more economic isolation - price of oil may shoot up, but if you can't easily sell it, it does you no good.

Seems like it makes more sense economically (and militarily) to keep the pressure on through Yemen, and just wear the Saudis down, occasionally fucking with their oil infrastructure (shipping, pipelines, etc.).

If they wanted to fuck with the oil markets, they certainly did that.

 

Edited September 16, 2019 by atomheartbevo

[Eastwood 4394]

China will buy the Iranian oil. They already are.

[tx 3 putt 76870]

1 hour ago, Eastwood said:

China will buy the Iranian oil. They already are.

This and the price is ticking up 

[LABEVO 928]

Result of bad M&A

 

McDermott Is Said to Hire AlixPartners for Turnaround Advice

[Storm the Field 5294]

All gains from the strike on Saudi have disappeared. Last 2 EIA reports have both shown builds in crude inventory. WTI back down to around $56.50.

[tx 3 putt 76870]

Womp, Womp 

trump will strike soon to distract, distract, distract 

[BLKNSTY 289]

On 9/25/2019 at 8:34 AM, Storm the Field said:

All gains from the strike on Saudi have disappeared. Last 2 EIA reports have both shown builds in crude inventory. WTI back down to around $56.50.

Refined fuels is the play IMO. Marathon Refining (MPC) is up ~14% (~$8/share) since the 14th. 

[Cajun 11705]

On 9/25/2019 at 11:02 AM, tx 3 putt said:

Womp, Womp 

trump will strike soon to distract, distract, distract 

The Iranians will strike SA again.

Watch.

 

Edited September 27, 2019 by Cajun
Of course, I could be talking about San Antonio

[Catpfish 618]

Whelp, it happened.  EP Energy filed Chapter 11 on October 4.  From what I've been able to find online, there are usually few issues with the royalties (fingers crossed).

[swraith 345]

I can’t see a universal fracking ban ever coming to fruition...but it doesn’t take 100 pages of research to know that would be an economic recession in the making.

[Neonmoon 38129]

A President can’t unilaterally ban fracking on public lands

but yes, if Warren or Sanders is elected, the industry would be in for very rough times. 

[Girdwood 118]

On 10/14/2019 at 6:29 AM, Dr. Beeper said:

Yeah. I know a bit about that situation. Know CEO fairly well. He’s a UT grad who’s had an interesting past 6 years. EP was doomed to fail for a variety of reasons and has been on deaths doorstep for awhile. 

Wait, you’re Jeff Hildebrand? 

[Fudge Nuggets 19189]

Pretty much every analyst report" over the last ten years has been flat out wrong.  You would be better off slinging shit at a wall to figure out what oil and gas prices are going to do.

[Armybrat 40822]

Unlike the aggy rollercoaster.