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Posted

Not sure if already posted/discussed, but this is how S&P predicts our final games:

Upcoming Games
                               
 
Week Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Proj. W/L Proj. Margin Win Prob. Cumulative Proj. Wins 6 Win Total Odds (regular season only) Conference Win Total Odds 6      
 
7 10/13/18 Baylor 64 W 9.6 71% 5.7 5 5 1% 3 1% 5      
 
8               4 6 6% 4 6% 4      
 
9 10/27/18 at Oklahoma State 21 L -7.5 33% 6.0 3 7 20% 5 20% 3      
 
10 11/3/18 West Virginia 11 L -6.6 35% 6.4 2 8 34% 6 34% 2      
 
11 11/10/18 at Texas Tech 28 L -4.1 41% 6.8 1 9 28% 7 28% 1      
 
12 11/17/18 Iowa State 45 W 4.7 61% 7.4 0 10 11% 8 11% 0      
 
13 11/23/18 at Kansas 104 W 14.8 80% 8.2 -1 11 2% 9 2%

 

Oklahoma State is considered the 3rd best team in our conference using S&P and it would also be our biggest loss. Tell me if that makes any sense. While it is possible a loss can occur from one of those 3 games, i don't think it will be all 3. Will check this again after this weeks results,  my guess is it will predict us either beating Ok State or Tech. 

Posted
On 10/7/2018 at 1:49 AM, Rimbo said:

We played up to them. And we played down to Maryland and KSU and Tulsa.

That's called, "Playing to your competition." Good teams -- consistently good teams -- play to a standard, meaning they play as well as they can no matter the game situation or the opponent.

This year's team punches the brakes when they get a lead or face what they perceive to be a lesser team. Herman's Houston teams did that, too...

i fucking hate being right

  • 2 months later...
Posted
On 10/7/2018 at 4:42 PM, JBJ said:

Sticking with 8-4, but switching to 9-3 being equally likely.

I thought they are overhyped to start the season, but WVU looks the part.

OkSt, Tech, Iowa St: We will be favored, but 2-1 is reasonable.  1-2 with some bad luck.

We are still a jeckyl/hyde football team - 3 head scratchers and 3 great wins.  Ask me again in two weeks.

Well...I think we performed on the higher end of the spectrum.  I picked 8-4 or 7-5 in the preseason.  We ended the regular season 9-3, played for a title and won a NY6 bowl game against a good opponent.

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