NCAA Week 3

[NowThis 931]

Bama opens -21.5 @ Ole Miss.  They'll cover that in the first half. Southern Illinois had them on the ropes until late when Ole Miss went off. I think Vegas computers are not up to par on Ole Miss, looking at blowouts of Texas Tech and SIU.  This line is amazing. What do you think?

Ohio State only -14 @ TCU    

Baylor is favored -1.5 at home vs. Duke. Weird. 

[taybo20 2825]

Has usc/Texas come out?

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

10 minutes ago, taybo20 said:

Has usc/Texas come out?

I don't see a line out yet but am anxiously waiting to see it. 

I'm already on the Duke +2 spread over BU. They impressed the shit out of me by throttling NW on road this weekend. 

[NowThis 931]

thinking about Duke +2 as well but looking at last year, Baylor was in the game @ Duke.  Duke had a RB gain 175 yards who is now in the NFL and Baylor IMO has improved from last year. Baylor is still very soft.  Duke seems to have improved as well. 

 

Arkansas -7 at home over North Texas? They had a bad game @ Colo St and lost but they aren't going to lose to NT are they?

[taybo20 2825]

7 minutes ago, LonghornGoodfella said:

I don't see a line out yet but am anxiously waiting to see it. 

I'm already on the Duke +2 spread over BU. They impressed the shit out of me by throttling NW on road this weekend. 

Yeah I agree. Duke looks like a really good pick there

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

I read the USC freshman starting QB got hurt in the Stanford game and may not play this week. I'm sure that's why there is no line out yet. 

[ocugolf 1214]

Love West Virginia -2.5 against NC State

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

6 minutes ago, ocugolf said:

Love West Virginia -2.5 against NC State

Just jumped on it as well. That is a good line that i expect to climb to 3.5 or 4 when all is said and done. 

[Wally Pryor 5261]

1 hour ago, NowThis said:

thinking about Duke +2 as well but looking at last year, Baylor was in the game @ Duke.  Duke had a RB gain 175 yards who is now in the NFL and Baylor IMO has improved from last year. Baylor is still very soft.  Duke seems to have improved as well. 

 

Arkansas -7 at home over North Texas? They had a bad game @ Colo St and lost but they aren't going to lose to NT are they?

Any team that loses to Colorado State should be avoided at all costs.   UNT is pretty damn good, with a nice QB and skill players all over the place. 

If anything I'd take these points. 

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

West Virginia line already up to 3 on my book. Good call on that opener ocugolf. 

[NowThis 931]

56 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said:

Any team that loses to Colorado State should be avoided at all costs.   UNT is pretty damn good, with a nice QB and skill players all over the place. 

If anything I'd take these points. 

they were up 27-17 to start the Q4. CSU isn't a bad team really, took Boise St to OT last year, destroyed Or State, even played respectably vs. Bama. 

[NOMAAA 1696]

My book was already wvu -4. Bet it creeps up to 6 though. 

 

Thanks for the Boise pick last week dudes. 

 

[NowThis 931]

is Surly not loving the Bama -19 (now) ? 

[Wally Pryor 5261]

1 hour ago, NowThis said:

they were up 27-17 to start the Q4. CSU isn't a bad team really, took Boise St to OT last year, destroyed Or State, even played respectably vs. Bama. 

They played well last year against some teams. 

This year, watched most of their game against an average CU team and that was a beatdown with the game over at halftime.  

I dunno what's going on at Arkansas.  Anyway, staying away from this. 

[NowThis 931]

Syracuse will probably beat FSU 

[Wally Pryor 5261]

ULM +26.    About the worst sandwich spot A&M could possibly have.  Had their hearts ripped out on Saturday and then Alabama after ULM.

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

Still not seeing a line for Texas/SC. 

Any thoughts on the Boise St +3.5 at Okie St?

[TornACL 7698]

I like Boise State a lot.  oSu is putting up a lot of points on tomato cans but this is going to be a giant leap in competition.

[NowThis 931]

a BSU ML play would be good 

[NOMAAA 1696]

waiting on the boise game to see if the line jumps up some.  will likely take them ml at 1h and 2h.

im on hawaii +7 at army.  army couldnt do shit against duke and i think the hawaii offense is better than dukes.  will take the over in that one too probably.  hell i am probably taking hawaii and the over every game the rest of the season.

[NowThis 931]

Texas -3 

[TornACL 7698]

I wouldn't touch Texas-USC with a ten foot pole.

[UTEX90 589]

5 minutes ago, TornACL said:

I wouldn't touch Texas-USC with a ten foot pole.

I would.  I am playing USC for at least a unit.  At least I will get something out of a terrible loss.   I would gladly pay a unit for the horns to cover 3 points in this game.  Maybe more.

[NowThis 931]

the texas usc gm will have rain .. backup QB for USC, too much Texas turmoil. It's a hot mess of a gamble.

[Machinator 32099]

1 hour ago, UTEX90 said:

I would.  I am playing USC for at least a unit.  At least I will get something out of a terrible loss.   I would gladly pay a unit for the horns to cover 3 points in this game.  Maybe more.

That's my strategy.

[UTEX90 589]

16 minutes ago, NowThis said:

the texas usc gm will have rain .. backup QB for USC, too much Texas turmoil. It's a hot mess of a gamble.

In this instance.  For this season.  It's not a gamble for me.  We need a need a win and I am notoriously bad a picking winners so I am picking USC and getting 3 points.   If Texas covers I will be ecstatic.  If they lose, I will be furious but make a couple bucks.  It's the perfect line against a perfect opponent for me for this game.

[babysdaddy 2719]

2 hours ago, NowThis said:

Texas -3 

this is the instance where you play the USC moneyline.  Texas wins, you're happy, Texas loses, you make money.

[TXSooner518 2438]

Or you can play the SC +3, and when Texas wins by 1 or 2 you double dip in happiness

[Sbbruin 21826]

We are fucking 1 point UNDERDOGS to Fresno St.  What in the fuck has happened to us?

[Wally Pryor 5261]

Under on the Texas game will be worth a look for sure.  Not seen a #, guessing it will be 46 or so. 

Not going near a side. 

[NowThis 931]

was thinking - do you trust Sam Ehlinger with a wet football? 

[babysdaddy 2719]

Just now, NowThis said:

was thinking - do you trust Sam Ehlinger with a wet football? 

and no

[NowThis 931]

Duke is now +6, injuries? 

[BlueGreySky 1002]

Duke and SC lines make no sense to me. Was happy to jump on duke at +2 but now +6?!!
Glad I didn’t make my slip for the week yet. Are they sending their basketball team to play?! What gives? Baylor blows.

[NowThis 931]

Duke QB hurt https://www.dukebasketballreport.com/2018/9/8/17835356/duke-defeats-northwestern-but-jones-leaves-with-shoulder-injury

[NowThis 931]

already took a wild 3 team ML parlay, pays 13:1. 

USC, Houston, Syracuse.   

USC Defense to me is the clincher vs. Texas as they held Stanford to about 300 yards and 17 points. Their backup QB is tall, strong arm and can run like a Matt Jones 2003 Arkansas.

Houston is really good and Tech is down, despite beating Lamar 77-0.   FSUcks, Cuse is strong at home. 

 

[TornACL 7698]

I already took Boise ML but that total seems low. Same with Tech Houston

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

1 hour ago, NowThis said:

Duke QB hurt https://www.dukebasketballreport.com/2018/9/8/17835356/duke-defeats-northwestern-but-jones-leaves-with-shoulder-injury

I saw that earlier and bought out of that game. Bummer as I think they would have beat Rape Enabler U if dude was healthy. 

[NowThis 931]

the 49 O/U for Tex-USC, with a 3.5 (right now) for UT, implies a 27-23. That 27 Tx tt Under looks great since Stanford only put up 17 and UT only did 17 in regulation last year and had 28 vs. Tulsa. 

[NOMAAA 1696]

Might be some real solid under action on the east coast this weekend right?

[NOMAAA 1696]

5 minutes ago, NowThis said:

the 49 O/U for Tex-USC, with a 3.5 (right now) for UT, implies a 27-23. That 27 Tx tt Under looks great since Stanford only put up 17 and UT only did 17 in regulation last year and had 28 vs. Tulsa. 

Agree unless buechele gets to play some. 

[SDG 3319]

13 hours ago, TornACL said:

I like Boise State a lot.  oSu is putting up a lot of points on tomato cans but this is going to be a giant leap in competition.

Under on the 63.5? 

[AUS-97HORN 11756]

My prelim thoughts:

 

liking the Hawaii ML if it stays +6.5   otherwise, I will take HI to cover.     Army has a new QB who is making a LOT of mistakes.  (dad is a USMA grad).

still taking the over on the Hawaii/Army game if it stays around 62

I think the Virginia  o/u at 42.5 is too close to bet- even with a fucking hurricane happening, I can see both teams combining for 45 points.

I am still against Kansas,   taking Rutgers ML ( its +3 right now)

looking at taking the under in the West Va  NC State game   showing 51.5

the Marshall/ S Carolina game o/u shows 47  that seems close.   although they could end up taking a full force hit, and be cancelled.

[LonghornGoodfella 114]

Decided to take the Over in the Boise St/OSU game at 63.5 instead of taking a side. I see a lot of points here. 

Hoping the Toledo spread creeps up to 12 and then i'll place a bet on the covering at home vs. Miami. Good spot for them here. 

[Wally Pryor 5261]

 

18 hours ago, NowThis said:

was thinking - do you trust Sam Ehlinger with a wet football? 

He can't be trusted with a dry football.

Texas U49, Alabama -20.5

 

 

 

 

[ocugolf 1214]

I’m big on Tennessee -30 at home against UTEP. I know Tennessee isn’t good but UTEP is awful. Jeremey Pruitt is going to take this opportunity to run it up to give the home fans some hope. Wouldn’t surprise me if it was 49-3 or something like that.

[Wally Pryor 5261]

Looks like the NC State / WVU game will be the first to get cancelled.   First of several. 

[NowThis 931]

30 minutes ago, ocugolf said:

I’m big on Tennessee -30 at home against UTEP. I know Tennessee isn’t good but UTEP is awful. Jeremey Pruitt is going to take this opportunity to run it up to give the home fans some hope. Wouldn’t surprise me if it was 49-3 or something like that.

nice, UTEP lost to UNLV by 28 and Northern Arizona by 20.  I guess the Vegas computers are seeing the bad WV loss at home to get the -30.  Would also be a good 1H pic, probably -17 or something, as maybe the TN scrubs in Q4 give up garbage points. 

[NOMAAA 1696]

tailing the tennessee pick. 

i am sort of heavy on USF this week too.  -10 is a good number for them.  thinking USF gets up early and doesn't let up. 

[TornACL 7698]

I just have to say I still can't believe UNC got fucking worked by East Carolina last week.  Were they looking ahead to UCF?  Does it matter? 

I guess this could be a wounded dog game, but UNC is firing Fedora's ass, he's a dead man walking.  Guessing this game gets canceled but if they play it UCF should win by 21.