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Posted
Just now, F250 said:

Well, this sounds very underwhelming.

Agree. Beto has hung on for longer than I expected, but he is likely to lose too.  Unless something weird happens that Orange turd is gonna be doing a victory lap in about 4 hours. 

Posted
1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

Turnout is huge there. 

 

And as far as Cruz catching up. I beleive what we've seen is the early vote come in for big counties first, followed by early vote plus from the rural counties. Plus Houston and El Paso outstanding.

 

Anyone following this really closely know how Beto's doing against benchmarks? How's turnout estimates looking?

I have not seen EV totals for Harris yet.  I tried on Harris Votes, and nothing.

Posted
1 minute ago, Ted Lange said:

Agree. Beto has hung on for longer than I expected, but he is likely to lose too.  Unless something weird happens that Orange turd is gonna be doing a victory lap in about 4 hours. 

giphy.gif

  • Haha 1
Posted
1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

All that matters on a national level, with the Senate off the table, is House Judiciary subpoeana power. If I can get that and Beto, I will be happy. 

This.

 

Posted
Just now, Ted Lange said:

I’ve reached the point that I’m just hoping to see the Ds flip the house. That’s gonna be close tho.  

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

  • Like 1
Posted
Just now, 4Pete said:

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

Agree. At this point it’s a little more than 50/50

Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Celery Man said:

el paso 75/25 for Beto early vote

 

how does "early" translate into total margin?

Edited by NowThis
Posted

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300


Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927


LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967


Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423


AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Posted
2 minutes ago, 4Pete said:

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

They say what others want to hear (pollsters) because they don't want to be judged.  Not only that, they don't want to admit they are as shitty as their grandparents and great-grandparents. They are them. 

  • Like 1
Posted
2 minutes ago, RPM said:

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300


Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927


LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967


Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423


AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Where are these numbers from?

Posted

Cruz closes this out o

4 minutes ago, RPM said:

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300


Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927


LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967


Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423


AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Abbott only being 54 tells me all I need to know about which votes have been counted.  Cruz has this easy.  

Posted

Harris only adding 120k to the margin probably isn't enough but we'll see what Montgomery does. I do like the margins so far in Williamson, Tarrant, Denton, and Collin. 

Posted
Just now, Johnny Sack said:

Cruz closes this out o

Abbott only being 54 tells me all I need to know about which votes have been counted.  Cruz has this easy.  

Este. 

Posted
Just now, Huckleberry said:

I believe that "precinct" is early voting. Same deal on your next post.

far out. NYT doesn't specify. election day is a data dude's dream ain't it? 

/pours another whiskey

Posted
9 minutes ago, horncyclist said:

Where are these numbers from?

WFAA.com

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 301 / 7987 (4% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2705225(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2565761(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
57531(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:24:53 PM
Vote Total: 5328517

Posted
Just now, Eastwood said:

With the current numbers at 70% reporting, turnout looks to be 7.5 million.

I think the 70% is based on a turnout estimate. If the estimate is wrong, then the percentage doesn't mean much. 



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