Cruz vs Beto

[Ted Lange 16085]

Just now, F250 said:

Well, this sounds very underwhelming.

Agree. Beto has hung on for longer than I expected, but he is likely to lose too.  Unless something weird happens that Orange turd is gonna be doing a victory lap in about 4 hours. 

[TexArcher 37774]

Just now, NowThis said:

El Paso has not reported right? 

Right.  And they have about 200k votes in, probably at least 70% for Beto.

[horncyclist 1387]

All that matters on a national level, with the Senate off the table, is House Judiciary subpoeana power. If I can get that and Beto, I will be happy. 

[NowThis 931]

Htown and EP should be immense for Beto

[Ted Lange 16085]

I’ve reached the point that I’m just hoping to see the Ds flip the house. That’s gonna be close tho.  

[PenelopeWitherspoon 19101]

1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

Turnout is huge there. 

 

And as far as Cruz catching up. I beleive what we've seen is the early vote come in for big counties first, followed by early vote plus from the rural counties. Plus Houston and El Paso outstanding.

 

Anyone following this really closely know how Beto's doing against benchmarks? How's turnout estimates looking?

I have not seen EV totals for Harris yet.  I tried on Harris Votes, and nothing.

[Celery Man 20949]

el paso 75/25 for Beto early vote

1 minute ago, NowThis said:

El Paso has not reported right? 

 

[Johnny Sack 8397]

Just now, NowThis said:

Htown and EP should be immense for Beto

Harris isn’t immense for anyone. 

[NowThis 931]

fucking photo finish

[F250 28775]

1 minute ago, Ted Lange said:

Agree. Beto has hung on for longer than I expected, but he is likely to lose too.  Unless something weird happens that Orange turd is gonna be doing a victory lap in about 4 hours. 

[NowThis 931]

Just now, Johnny Sack said:

Harris isn’t immense for anyone. 

except the most populated county in Texas

[Your Mom 4806]

1 minute ago, horncyclist said:

All that matters on a national level, with the Senate off the table, is House Judiciary subpoeana power. If I can get that and Beto, I will be happy. 

This.

 

[gmr548 16580]

1 minute ago, NowThis said:

fucking photo finish

Yeah this looks really close to me. 

[4Pete 156]

Just now, Ted Lange said:

I’ve reached the point that I’m just hoping to see the Ds flip the house. That’s gonna be close tho.  

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

[Ted Lange 16085]

Just now, 4Pete said:

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

Agree. At this point it’s a little more than 50/50

[NowThis 931]

4 minutes ago, Celery Man said:

el paso 75/25 for Beto early vote

 

how does "early" translate into total margin?

Edited November 7, 2018 by NowThis

[Pato del Muerto 52498]

Cruz jumped ahead for a hot minute, then El Paso started reporting. 

Edited November 7, 2018 by Pato del Muerto

[RPM 26321]

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300

Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927

LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967

Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423

AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

[Pancho 44803]

2 minutes ago, 4Pete said:

Frankly, I'm not sure that's gonna happen at this point.  

Polls are wrong because people are LIARS.  They say what they think sounds like a thoughtful answer and then they vote like an asshole.  It's the American way.  Besides, nobody wants to see anyone else do better, get more, get healthy.  We're a blood thirsty and selfish group of people.

They say what others want to hear (pollsters) because they don't want to be judged.  Not only that, they don't want to admit they are as shitty as their grandparents and great-grandparents. They are them. 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13512]

Montgomery county is going to pull this race a lot closer in a few minutes

[PenelopeWitherspoon 19101]

Harris County showing a goose egg is big.  Hearing EV totals for Harris should be in soon.

[Ted Lange 16085]

Just now, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Montgomery county is going to pull this race a lot closer in a few minutes

Bigly 

[Longhorn94 2448]

3M votes left and the majority of those are in the big urban areas. Beto should pull this out. 

[PenelopeWitherspoon 19101]

So looks like ABC 13 has some Harris County Votes.  Not liking this result so far...

 

Harris County Judge

0% of precincts reporting

• Emmett
• 412,520
• (49.5%)

• Hidalgo
• 406,313
• (48.7%)

• Gatlin
• 15,082
• (1.8%)

 

[horncyclist 1387]

2 minutes ago, RPM said:

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300

Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927

LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967

Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423

AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Where are these numbers from?

[Grippe 310]

Can someone make a Beto Bobblehead like his commercials?  cause I wanna reprasent cha.

Edited November 7, 2018 by Grippe

[The Dog 44051]

Harris one precinct on NYT - 479k to 356k O'rouke over Cruz.

[The Dog 44051]

Geezus. 3% precincts reporting in Texas. over 5 million votes.

[Johnny Sack 8397]

Cruz closes this out o

4 minutes ago, RPM said:

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 255 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2684816(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2507078(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
31406(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 5223300

Governor
Precincts: 210 / 7987 (3% reporting)
✔ Greg Abbott (R)
2274095(54%)
Lupe Valdez (D)
1849602(44%)
Mark Jay Tippetts (L)
67230(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4190927

LT. Governor
Precincts: 206 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Dan Patrick (R)
2034097(50%)
Mike Collier (D)
1973808(48%)
Kerry Douglas McKennon (L)
83062(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4090967

Attorney General
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Ken Paxton (R)
2011597(49%)
Justin Nelson (D)
1997781(49%)
Michael Ray Harris (L)
91045(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4100423

AG. Commissioner
Precincts: 211 / 7987 (3% reporting)
Sid Miller (R)
2035537(50%)
Kim Olson (D)
1950441(48%)
Richard Carpenter (L)
86791(2%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:10:53 PM
Vote Total: 4072769

Abbott only being 54 tells me all I need to know about which votes have been counted.  Cruz has this easy.  

[Huckleberry 32861]

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

Harris one precinct on NYT - 479k to 356k O'rouke over Cruz.

I believe that "precinct" is early voting. Same deal on your next post.

[gmr548 16580]

Harris only adding 120k to the margin probably isn't enough but we'll see what Montgomery does. I do like the margins so far in Williamson, Tarrant, Denton, and Collin. 

[cabowabo 4484]

Just now, Johnny Sack said:

Cruz closes this out o

Abbott only being 54 tells me all I need to know about which votes have been counted.  Cruz has this easy.  

Este. 

[The Dog 44051]

Just now, Huckleberry said:

I believe that "precinct" is early voting. Same deal on your next post.

far out. NYT doesn't specify. election day is a data dude's dream ain't it? 

/pours another whiskey

[pacman 7355]

Beto ahead by 79 votes 

[BabaBooey 131]

Cruz up by 1,543

[Pato del Muerto 52498]

Just now, pacman said:

Beto ahead by 79 votes 

At 58% reporting. Most of what’s left is red counties and Harris. 

[South Austin 52504]

1 minute ago, pacman said:

Beto ahead by 79 votes 

Now down 1500 votes.

[pacman 7355]

Yep, Cruz pulled ahead

[GreenspointTexas 9602]

Soooo, when does this thing usually wrap up? 10pm?

[Pasken 1309]

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

At 58% reporting. Most of what’s left is red counties and Harris. 

And El Paso.

[Eastwood 4394]

Beto now up by 120k.

[BabaBooey 131]

Beto up 120,500

[South Austin 52504]

Just now, Pasken said:

And El Paso.

Beto up 120K.

[Pato del Muerto 52498]

Harris must have reported EV or all of El Paso. Jumped to 70%

Edited November 7, 2018 by Pato del Muerto

[theaveragejon 988]

NYT has 1  precinct  of Harris county. 

[Huckleberry 32861]

Yeah, that's the Harris County early voting being added.

[Eastwood 4394]

With the current numbers at 70% reporting, turnout looks to be 7.5 million.

[theaveragejon 988]

70% of the state. Beto up... barely. 

[RPM 26321]

9 minutes ago, horncyclist said:

Where are these numbers from?

WFAA.com

U.S. Senator
Precincts: 301 / 7987 (4% reporting)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
2705225(51%)
Ted Cruz (R)
2565761(48%)
Neal M. Dikeman (L)
57531(1%)
Last Updated: 11/6/2018 8:24:53 PM
Vote Total: 5328517

[horncyclist 1387]

Just now, Eastwood said:

With the current numbers at 70% reporting, turnout looks to be 7.5 million.

I think the 70% is based on a turnout estimate. If the estimate is wrong, then the percentage doesn't mean much.