2018 Hurricane Season

[Walte464 450]

She’s gonna be an animal, when is expected landfall?

[Dewey 3280]

Landfall some time Thursday. Winds at 130 right now.

[LonghornJones 835]

3:17p Thursday.

[HouTex 1847]

When does Texas get the first cool front this year? Hoping it will protect us from a late September/October hurricane.

[LonghornJones 835]

Oct. 12, 9:33a.

[Hate 20102]

20 minutes ago, HouTex said:

When does Texas get the first cool front this year? Hoping it will protect us from a late September/October hurricane.

Maybe not soon enough.

1. Showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
western Cuba, associated with a surface trough, are showing some
signs of organization.  This system is forecast to move slowly
northwestward near the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday with limited
development.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become more
conducive for development on Wednesday when the system moves over
the southern Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression could form
on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the
western Gulf of Mexico.  Interests across northeastern Mexico and
the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of
this system.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty
winds are likely over western Cuba through Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

[phdhorn 6224]

On 9/7/2018 at 11:42 AM, clapclapclap said:

I think Florence is heading to Hendersonville, NC.

I read this the other day and... nuthin'.  Oh well.

Looked at it for 2 seconds today and chuckled (and gave a like).  Brains - how do they work?

So far my area (10m NE of D.C.) isn't panicking - yet.  If Florence makes a N/NW turn around that big high sitting above it in the Atlantic (many time hurricanes curve around the circular edges of highs, they really like that) and shoots north just west of us, it could be a nail biter for me, doing work to fix up this house.  Nothing like a huge tree falling on the roof or otherwise fucking up the place. Yeah RIP mom still "has" house insurance for a bit longer, but don't want to go that route.

Otherwise I'm planning to take in the Temple-Maryland game in College Park this weekend - but not under 8 inches  - of rain, that is.  They'll probably cancel it is what I predict.

Got dammit this thing better behave.

Isaac tracking low, no guarantees, but it's acting like a Central American landfall storm.  Of course everyone (especially I) thought Harvey was gonna do that and blew it off.

[Trey3216 15325]

South Carolina Governor orders evacuation of the entire coastline.  This should go well.  

[Telegraph_it 3353]

50% chance of development now for Invest 95L... 

[Zepol87 9163]

My company is sending 4 people from my team to Charleston to get ready for this. I am not one of the unlucky ones. Hell yea

[Onboard 2.0 9083]

22 minutes ago, Trey3216 said:

South Carolina Governor orders evacuation of the entire coastline.  This should go well.  

This thing is gonna explode before it hits land if projections keep up.  The flooding is gonna be huge all the way up in to central Virginia and the Carolinas.

[Trey3216 15325]

8 minutes ago, Onboard 2.0 said:

This thing is gonna explode before it hits land if projections keep up.  The flooding is gonna be huge all the way up in to central Virginia and the Carolinas.

No doubt.  Just saying that mass evacuation orders never go well.  

[rage-a-holic 4299]

2 hours ago, Hate said:

Maybe not soon enough.

1. Showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
western Cuba, associated with a surface trough, are showing some
signs of organization.  This system is forecast to move slowly
northwestward near the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday with limited
development.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become more
conducive for development on Wednesday when the system moves over
the southern Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression could form
on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the
western Gulf of Mexico.  Interests across northeastern Mexico and
the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of
this system.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty
winds are likely over western Cuba through Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

That possible X is gonna fuck up the Yucatan.

[Hate 20102]

It will just be a rain maker for Mexico. The trouble could begin when it reaches the BOC.

[Zonahorn 8079]

Florence gonna likely make landfall as 4. Storm surge could get above 20 ft in some places.

[G650 13990]

That's monstrous.

[Onboard 2.0 9083]

1 hour ago, Trey3216 said:

No doubt.  Just saying that mass evacuation orders never go well.  

True, good thing it's the end of the season.  Guys who live  here on the Outer Banks are figuring once they leave (mandatory evac. for visitors tomorrow morning @ 7:00)  It'll be 2+ weeks before they're allowed back on the island, and anyone who stays here could be confined to their homes and not allowed outside their property for up to 2 weeks.  

[Colonel Sanders 1332]

Much of central VA is about double normal rainfall totals since late spring.  It's also been a wet past ten days, and it's supposed to rain leading up to Florence.  This could get really bad.

[El Diablo 4232]

My cousins son is stationed in Norfolk, his ship has pulled out to sea stocked with provisions so that they can provide relief efforts if needed. Go Navy!

[Sbbruin 21697]

54 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

Florence gonna likely make landfall as 4. Storm surge could get above 20 ft in some places.

And a LOT of that coastline is really low lying.  Yikes.  And she is expect to hit the brakes when she makes landfall.  The rainfall totals could be historic.

 

[Rusty Shackelford 414]

1 hour ago, Trey3216 said:

No doubt.  Just saying that mass evacuation orders never go well.  

Especially if SC is completely spared

[Biff Tannen 45477]

15 minutes ago, Colonel Sanders said:

Much of central VA is about double normal rainfall totals since late spring.  It's also been a wet past ten days, and it's supposed to rain leading up to Florence.  This could get really bad.

Does the Euro model usually kick our ass?

[Colonel Sanders 1332]

3 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Does the Euro model usually kick our ass?

phdhorn could answer this better, but I think it's generally accepted as the more accurate of the two models, which in this case sucks for me.

[Trey3216 15325]

5 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Does the Euro model usually kick our ass?

12-30 inches of rain in them thar hills will be absolutely devastating.  

[CHEF DIESEL 126]

Invest 95 is making a lot of wind along the Mayan Riviera this afternoon. Fresh 30+ mph breeze along the beach. Small rain squalls coming in and the far distance I can see the larger cloud tops of a bigger storm complex.

[MNLonghornFUKM 8799]

Fuck you Florence

[miguelito 11204]

Florence is a machine

[G650 13990]

52 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Does the Euro model usually kick our ass?

It kicks our dicks in 

3 minutes ago, miguelito said:

Florence is a machine

Well done

[Bama Chick 28596]

Keeping a close eye on this bitch Florence.

I’m supposed to be heading to Savannah on Friday for a conference. It’s still a go as of now but even if it makes landfall north of there, I’m sure travel to anywhere along the coast is going to be a nightmare.

Thanks to the smarty pants weather folks in this thread for the information. It’s much appreciated!

[Colonel Sanders 1332]

1 hour ago, Bama Chick said:

I’m supposed to be heading to Savannah on Friday for a conference. It’s still a go as of now...
 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23356]

Mother Nature seems triggered 

[Chet Steadman 940]

11 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Mother Nature seems triggered 

Looks like something out of that Day After Tomorrow movie.  

[Telegraph_it 3353]

So when does N. Carolina start mandatory evacs? Coworkers parents live in Morehead City and don’t plan to leave.

[Digdogger 1343]

1 hour ago, Telegraph_it said:

So when does N. Carolina start mandatory evacs? Coworkers parents live in Morehead City and don’t plan to leave.

Your mom is the mayor of Morehead City

[SquishMitten 10395]

Don’t count the chickens, bruh. Election Day is a ways off. She’s still got some campaigning to do...helping the local men with their evacuating and whatnot

[Celery Man 20874]

Everyone out that way gtfo and be safe.

Let me do my storm prep... *follows Jeff Piotrowski*

[Bert Orange 1115]

95L models suggesting rain for TX

[MNLonghornFUKM 8799]

5 hours ago, Celery Man said:

Everyone out that way gtfo and be safe.

Let me do my storm prep... *follows Jeff Piotrowski*

is Jeff heading that way? If so, my thursday night just got better instead of watching Ravens/Bengals

[Celery Man 20874]

 

[Bevo Num1 1004]

Everyone out that way gtfo and be safe.

Let me do my storm prep... *follows Jeff Piotrowski*

#blueshed #neverforget

[chesthair 231]

11 hours ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Mother Nature seems triggered 

[phdhorn 6224]

11 minutes ago, Celery Man said:

 

Fucker will probably get taken out to sea and turn up on some Spanish beach sitting among 5 hotties.

[retread 2951]

Jeff

https://www.pscp.tv/w/1OyKAQeMNkeKb

[Kyrie Eleison 9312]

9 hours ago, Digdogger said:

Your mom is the mayor of Morehead City

lulz...

[MNLonghornFUKM 8799]

 

Fuck yes.

I hope his wife calls again right before the eye

[G650 13990]

10 hours ago, Telegraph_it said:

So when does N. Carolina start mandatory evacs? Coworkers parents live in Morehead City and don’t plan to leave.

Damn. That's ballsy.

[South Austin 52037]

9 hours ago, Digdogger said:

Your mom is the mayor of Morehead City

Just beautiful. 

[Brisketexan 104465]

So....I'm seeing that we'll be playing USC during a tropical storm?

That should be fun.

And as a side benefit, it gives Herman and the Horns another excuse for a sure-to-be-shitty performance.

Can't believe I'm going to this one, but what the hell, been a long time since I've been out in a tropical storm.

[Kyrie Eleison 9312]

15 hours ago, Bama Chick said:

Keeping a close eye on this bitch Florence.

I’m supposed to be heading to Savannah on Friday for a conference. It’s still a go as of now but even if it makes landfall north of there, I’m sure travel to anywhere along the coast is going to be a nightmare.

Thanks to the smarty pants weather folks in this thread for the information. It’s much appreciated!

[crash_davis 23078]

15 hours ago, Bama Chick said:

Keeping a close eye on this bitch Florence.

I’m supposed to be heading to Savannah on Friday for a conference. It’s still a go as of now but even if it makes landfall north of there, I’m sure travel to anywhere along the coast is going to be a nightmare.

Thanks to the smarty pants weather folks in this thread for the information. It’s much appreciated!

even if it goes north, travel is going to be a cluster fuck. you are guaranteed to have one or both of your flights massively delayed or canceled.