AdjustedStats.com

[Huckleberry 33166]

There were actually a few of you who PMed me to ask if the site was dead forever, and I told you I was working on getting it back up. It's back up, let me know if you see any issues as I'm sure I screwed something up in the server transition. Still a lot of work to be done as we're working to improve it and engage in a full site redesign by next season.

http://www.adjustedstats.com

And before you ask, @Beau Vine, no I have not yet done 2017 or started 2018 Texas high school ratings. You will have to accuse me of bias in all large caps later.

[Hiphopopotamos 20889]

Christmas is early this year!  Thanks Huckleberry.

[Beau Vine 54489]

I feel like my ex-dealer just showed up at my door and told me that he was going to have the greatest shit ever, but he doesn't know when it will arrive.

[S11 16]

[maninblack 7974]

[ConferenceRoom 6147]

On the About page it says: 

Quote

A more detailed explanation of the theory and calculations is available in the 2009 Year in Review document available within the data menu above.

but no such menu exists. You're welcome - I know it's so hard to find good help these days. 

[Huckleberry 33166]

Got it. It's there now.

[alincoln 2385]

Great work.  This site should be more well known.

[Beau Vine 54489]

10 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Got it. It's there now.

YOU'RE STOOPID BIASSED 2016 POLE STILL HAS HULL-DAISETTA RANKED HIER THEN DEWEYVILLE EVAN THO DEWEYVILLE BEET HULL-DAISETTA. 

WIN R U GONNA FIX THAT??!??!?

 

(Man, I miss this...)

[Huckleberry 33166]

Deweyville sucks.

Q.E.D.

[markstanco 12640]

2 hours ago, Huckleberry said:

There were actually a few of you who PMed me to ask if the site was dead forever, and I told you I was working on getting it back up. It's back up, let me know if you see any issues as I'm sure I screwed something up in the server transition. Still a lot of work to be done as we're working to improve it and engage in a full site redesign by next season.

http://www.adjustedstats.com

And before you ask, @Beau Vine, no I have not yet done 2017 or started 2018 Texas high school ratings. You will have to accuse me of bias in all large caps later.

[Poolflood 845]

Huck,

I love ya man but you done fucked up the math.  Your match up predictor says we don't win again till Iowa St.

 

[Texas Flood 1356]

It's a Festivus miracle!

[Hiphopopotamos 20889]

20 minutes ago, Poolflood said:

Huck,

I love ya man but you done fucked up the math.  Your match up predictor says we don't win again till Iowa St.

 

C'mon - it has us beating Baylor at home.

Edited October 4, 2018 by Hiphopopotamos

[Poolflood 845]

3 minutes ago, Hiphopopotamos said:

C'mon - it has us beating Baylor at home.

Mea culpa mea maxima culpa.

Like most of the rest of the world I forgot about "Baylor Football"

[Huckleberry 33166]

Yeah, early season results are always fun. Plus maybe if we had beaten Maryland like we could have. But them's the breaks.

[Walden Ponderer 12639]

The things I like about predictors like this involve pinpointing those areas that a team has to outperform results on in order to pull off an upset. The example of Texas against OU is why this is such a cool tool; you dive into the numbers, and it basically boils down to, if Texas can outperform expectations in the run game when they've got the ball, and not get blown out in the passing game when they don't, Texas has a decent shot. Don't do those two things, they'll lose.

The thing it doesn't do, though, is account for things like picking up a fake play script before the game. Or trying to play quarterback with a hangover.

[JBJ 3675]

Do I have the ratings figured out:

EWP = expected win percentage against the field.

Offense = points/game against the field (we project to score 32.6 ppg)

Defense = differential points allowed/game against the field (we project to allow 7.8 ppg less than the field)

?????

[Huckleberry 33166]

That is correct. We would score 32.6 points per game against an average defense, and our defense would allow 7.8 fewer points per game than an average defense.