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NCAA week 7

NowThis

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NowThis

NowThis 931

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BYU -14 at home vs. Hawaii who lost their starting QB who was #1 in the NCAA in passing yards. Even with him, their offensive production was steadily declining per game. Backup QB on the road with a soft defense vs. BYU who hasn't won in a while and is hungry. Hawaii almost lost @ SJSU recently and was down for most of the game. 

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Wally Pryor

Wally Pryor 5,261

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If you don't reach David Purdum each week at ESPN, he's always chock full of interesting stuff, CFB and otherwise. (In just the month of August, Nevada casinos won $265.7 million off of penny slots.)

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/24930506/gambling-recap-sportsbooks-clean-khabib-buffalo-bills-win-los-angeles-rams-cover-spread

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AUS-97HORN

AUS-97HORN 11,756

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16 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said:

If you don't reach David Purdum each week at ESPN, he's always chock full of interesting stuff, CFB and otherwise. (In just the month of August, Nevada casinos won $265.7 million off of penny slots.)

well to be fair, penny slots arent penny slots anymore,  while technically you could do a single line play for $0.01, there is no bonus payout even if you happen to win anything on that line.  Almost every single penny slot game has something like 200-500 different line plays now that you have to play to qualify for the bonus rounts and that doesnt even take into account line bet multiplier's of 2x, 5x or even 10x  (yes, there are lots of options to play 10 cents a line for 300 lines).  

In plain english, thats a $2-5 cost per SPIN on the penny slot machine.     

Most quarter machines that have 3 reels only have a max bet of 3 quarters.  and usually the max amount is 5 quarters So the penny slots  are costing 2-7x the amount per spin of the quarter slots. 

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AUS-97HORN

AUS-97HORN 11,756

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3 minutes ago, BigOrange1 said:

anyone else enticed by over 60.5 in our game against baylor?  definitely think there will be points put on the board.

not really.  of course, my opinion here is shit, but  Im honestly considering taking the 14 points Baylor is getting.

We have a tendency to play to the level of our competition, and as noted several times in the last few weeks, Tom Herman as a fav is horrible ATS

We also blew a 21 point lead in less than 6 mins last week.  

61 points I think is right about right for the real total, so a total coin flip on the o/u bet.

I could easily see us sitting at 31-14 midway through the 4th, only to have Baylor get a garbage TD or even 2... and that would still be less than 61.     Or us at 35-17 and giving up the same 14 extra to finish above 61.

that is a hold off for me

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SDG

SDG 3,319

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On 10/8/2018 at 10:06 AM, Wally Pryor said:

Bama is spotless this year ATS 1H, so it's an auto play. 

Agree on Iowa State.   There are few better coaches in the sport than Matt Campbell and they'll likely make it hell for WVU Saturday. 

Yep, definitely a 1h auto win.  I saw on the Twitter that there is only 1 power 5 team still undefeated ats (full game) this year.  Can anyone think of a team besides Wazzu?  They have a bye week and have pretty much kept me afloat some weeks...

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Wally Pryor

Wally Pryor 5,261

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I think Okie State has to be avoided like the plague, just so schizo this year.   Bust up a really good Boise team and the following week shit the bed at home and got thumped by Tech.  Then go to Lawrence and take down Kansas with ease.  Then at home can't take care of business against ISU.  Granted, ISU is pretty good but Okie State has to win that game in Stillwater.  I guess if things hold course this weekend they'll take out K-State with ease.  Anyway, I'm staying away. 

UCF -4  Just think Memphis is a fraud and UCF hasn't skipped a beat

Boston College -13.5  Louisville looks lost and BC takes out some frustration on them

ISU +6.5 I'm always on Matt Campbell at home as a dog

 

Edited by Wally Pryor
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AUS-97HORN

AUS-97HORN 11,756

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I decided to pass this week. No bets being made.

the only 2 lines that I honestly would look at are   

Baylor +14.5  

UNDER 60.5 on the Baylor texas game      i thought about it from the post above and I just think the defenses of both teams will do better than expected.

 

but like I said, no bets made, so we can all laugh at my stupidity of choices, or stupidity of not betting at 7p tomorrow.

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Xcalibur

Xcalibur 546

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On 10/10/2018 at 10:48 AM, BigOrange1 said:

anyone else enticed by over 60.5 in our game against baylor?  definitely think there will be points put on the board.

I actually like the under in this game.  We have rarely hit an over 60 in our games this year.  The OU game is a huge outlier.

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NOMAAA

NOMAAA 1,696

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toyed with the idea of sprinkling the shit out of the tech ml last night but was up against the pay window and pussied out. 

there is some really solid maction this weekend.  low numbers on a couple totals.  i like buffalo a lot.  and toledo.  i like toledo a whole lot.

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SDG

SDG 3,319

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I had a good week last week after a few weeks of...

So far this week:

TCU -7 (took the L)

South Florida-7 (they’ve treated me well this yr)

Texas -14 

Oregon ML

Cal -7

OSU -7 w WVU -6.5 4 a B12 parlay 

Im sure i’ll add to this. 

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SaucyJack

SaucyJack 3,488

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18 minutes ago, Xcalibur said:

This is the week to stay from the UT game. We had our nice cover last week.

You are correct on the nice cover last week.  Just have this feeling we may hammer Baylor.  Your probably right about staying away.

It'll be a game time decision for me.

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AUS-97HORN

AUS-97HORN 11,756

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On 10/12/2018 at 9:16 AM, AUS-97HORN said:

I decided to pass this week. No bets being made.

the only 2 lines that I honestly would look at are   

Baylor +14.5  

UNDER 60.5 on the Baylor texas game      i thought about it from the post above and I just think the defenses of both teams will do better than expected.

 

but like I said, no bets made, so we can all laugh at my stupidity of choices, or stupidity of not betting at 7p tomorrow.

I really hate being right like this.        didnt have the balls to throw down the bets.     

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NowThis

NowThis 931

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On 10/7/2018 at 2:59 PM, NowThis said:

i like Mich -8 over Wiscy

Utah -14 at home over AZ

 

On 10/13/2018 at 10:27 AM, NowThis said:

tailing Bama H1.   Had good luck with Utah last night and had AF +11 which hit. 

Missou tt Under 23.5  @ Bama      

 

On 10/11/2018 at 11:47 PM, NowThis said:

Bama -18 H1 at home vs. Missou

LSU +7.5 at home vs. GA

LSU ML +250

Akron +11.5 @ Buffalo

Akron ML + 335

Arkansas ML +230 at home vs.  Ole Miss 

 

 

On 10/7/2018 at 6:34 PM, NowThis said:

ISU +6.5 at home vs. WV

Bama prob -17.5 H1 at home vs. Missouri.  Line isn't out yet but game is -28 which is also good.

good week, the ML losses were offset by the LSU ML win 

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