Updated Bowl Projections per ESPN

[closetojumping 62263]

22 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Their defense is just as bad as Oklahoma's but their offense is about half as good.  OU would beat Ohio State by 20+ points.

OU hasn’t beaten anyone lately by anything close to that except Kansas. They wouldn’t beat Ohio State by anything fucking close to that. 

[NowThis 931]

45 minutes ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

LSU beat Georgia by 20, I find no way that Georgia keeps it close enough against Bama to get in.

GA has to face Tua for a full game this time.

[mdmost 42876]

Georgia beating Bama would be nice because it would squeeze OU or tOSU out because fuck both of those programs.

Edited November 25, 2018 by mdmost

[SwanderedTalent 5761]

40 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

OU hasn’t beaten anyone lately by anything close to that except Kansas. They wouldn’t beat Ohio State by anything fucking close to that. 

exactly, it would look like last year's Rose Bowl

[Steel Shank 9416]

I like that everyone just assumes we lose to OU. Herman's gonna use that.

[taybo20 2815]

59 minutes ago, Steel Shank said:

I like that everyone just assumes we lose to OU. Herman's gonna use that.

He better use that. 

[Machinator 32098]

 

[NeverMarryAStripper 21784]

We’re going to beat OU and get screwed out of the Sugar Bowl and end up playing aggy in the joe’s feed and supply bowl.

[USMCHorn 1369]

17 minutes ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

We’re going to beat OU and get screwed out of the Sugar Bowl and end up playing aggy in the joe’s feed and supply bowl.

Wtf is wrong with you?

[NeverMarryAStripper 21784]

I was dropped on my head a lot as a child

[Colonel Sanders 1332]

3 hours ago, satyanash said:

https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/college-football-bowl-projections-ohio-state-oklahoma-debate-begins-for-the-college-football-playoff/

The justifications for Ohio State over Oklahoma are already starting. "They look like the more complete team"

How quickly everyone forgets the Maryland game

[CobbInLimbo 132]

23 minutes ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

We’re going to beat OU and get screwed out of the Sugar Bowl and end up playing aggy in the joe’s feed and supply bowl.

Shut your whore mouth.  Orlando is going to find a way to get get pressure on munchkin, we get 3 picks, and win by one point before going to NO and finishing in the top 5. 

[Red Five 40696]

 

Hey Alex. They’ll probably select the Big 12 champion Texas Longhorns. You fucking bobble head.

[TKthunder2 4981]

2 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Hey Alex. They’ll probably select the Big 12 champion Texas Longhorns. You fucking bobble head.

Yeah, he left out a very crucial qualifier.  “If the Big 12 Champion is in the playoffs, the Sugar Bowl selects the highest ranked Big 12 team”...

[MotownHorn 1734]

42 minutes ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

We’re going to beat OU and get screwed out of the Sugar Bowl and end up playing aggy in the joe’s feed and supply bowl.

We're gonna be ranked like 6 or 7 if/when we beat OU

Frustrating to miss the playoff by 4 points. Especially when a shitty call on that fake punt by Okie Light gave them 7 points (i.e. the margin of victory) and a bad call (we had the 1st down on the play before Sam's helmet came off) and a fluke play (Sam's helmet coming off) cost us 7 against WVU.

Oh well. It's been a good season and I have a lot of hope for the program's future.

[Guest Lobo]

When they next highest ranked big 12 team goes to sugar bowl, is that AP rank or CFP ranks.  Because it’ll be dammed close between a 9-4 Texas and 8-3 WVU.   That missed game with NCSU would hurt but so would our head to head loss.  

[Machinator 32098]

 

[gmr548 16533]

1 hour ago, Lobo said:

When they next highest ranked big 12 team goes to sugar bowl, is that AP rank or CFP ranks.  Because it’ll be dammed close between a 9-4 Texas and 8-3 WVU.   That missed game with NCSU would hurt but so would our head to head loss.  

I would think it is the CFP rankings given the affiliation between the NY6 bowls and the playoff. The committee selects the at large teams based off those rankings so I would imagine the same system would be used to fill a tie-in slot if need be.

[texhorn 351]

Yeah, he left out a very crucial qualifier.  “If the Big 12 Champion is in the playoffs, the Sugar Bowl selects the highest ranked Big 12 team”...

So Sugar Bowl if we win and also if we lose and OU goes to the playoffs?

[TKthunder2 4981]

5 minutes ago, texhorn said:

So Sugar Bowl if we win and also if we lose and OU goes to the playoffs?

Maybe if we lose, from the tweet it says if West Virginia is ranked higher then they’d go.  We’d have 4 losses to their 3 so it’s a possibility.

[dcbc 14441]

Just now, TKthunder2 said:

Maybe if we lose, from the tweet it says if West Virginia is ranked higher then they’d go.  We’d have 4 losses to their 3 so it’s a possibility.

They currently are ranked one spot ahead of us.  So I could see this happening if we lose.  But I'm thinking and hoping we win and send OU somewhere unpleasant.

[S11 16]

Sugar Bowl goes with whoever is next in BIG 12 standings.

so should UT lose to OU it would be whoever is second in the standings between 7-3 Texas and 6-3 WVU.  Extra game probably trumps WV having the head to head tiebreaker.  IMO it likely means UT if OU makes it into the playoff.

 

https://www.dish.com/dig/sports/explaining-the-sugar-bowl-selection-process/

 

 

Edited November 26, 2018 by S11

[Levi 2576]

Honestly aggy winning kinda hurts us. If that doesn’t happen and we beat OU, then we play LSU and we can beat them easily if we come to play. But now if we win it’ll be Georgia and they have really good run game which will be hard for us to stop. 

[Vic Mackey 46939]

Honestly aggy winning kinda hurts us. If that doesn’t happen and we beat OU, then we play LSU and we can beat them easily if we come to play. But now if we win it’ll be Georgia and they have really good run game which will be hard for us to stop. 

I expect some collusion with the SEC. Have Georgia beat Bama and get both of them in there.

Fuck it though. Bring on Georgia if that's the case. Didn't LSU beat them down pretty good?

[Levi 2576]

1 minute ago, Vic Mackey said:

I expect some collusion with the SEC. Have Georgia beat Bama and get both of them in there.

Fuck it though. Bring on Georgia if that's the case. Didn't LSU beat them down pretty good?

I’m not scared of Georgia or any sec team except for bama, especially with how good our defense is against their types of offense. 

I believe LSU won by like 2 td’s but idk. Besides Alabama, the rest of the sec was a damn roller coaster. One week LSU loses to Florida the next they beat Georgia. 

[Bozo_Casanova 26336]

I’m not scared of Georgia or any sec team except for bama, especially with how good our defense is against their types of offense. 
I believe LSU won by like 2 td’s but idk. Besides Alabama, the rest of the sec was a damn roller coaster. One week LSU loses to Florida the next they beat Georgia. 

I want Georgia and I think we fuck them up (and by that I mean we enter the 4th quarter with a 17 pt and win on a last play FG).

[NowThis 931]

what is the picking order for Pac 12?  Rose probably UW.  Utah#2 but WSU has a better record, so which goes to Holiday?  I'm thinking Stanford 8-4 if beat Cal goes Alamo. 

[TheFlagship 432]

What happens in this scenario:

1) Georgia loses badly (45-20)

2) Ohio State loses to NW 

3) We beat OU convincingly (56-28)

#4,5,6 all lose (and badly). We are #9. You can tell what I’m getting at, is there a chance?

[S11 16]

2 minutes ago, NowThis said:

what is the picking order for Pac 12?  Rose probably UW.  Utah#2 but WSU has a better record, so which goes to Holiday?  I'm thinking Stanford 8-4 if beat Cal goes Alamo. 

Wazzu has a good shot at the Fiesta.  Don’t be shocked if all those PAC teams shift up a bowl as Wazzu gets a bid to NY6.

[ztejas 43287]

Honestly if we beat OU the bowl is an afterthought. I'll be happy either way at that point.

As long as we don't get totally exposed by some SEC mouth breathers.

[S11 16]

2 minutes ago, TheFlagship said:

What happens in this scenario:

1) Georgia loses badly (45-20)

2) Ohio State loses to NW 

3) We beat OU convincingly (56-28)

#4,5,6 all lose (and badly). We are #9. You can tell what I’m getting at, is there a chance?

In that case the best bet is either Washington or an unbeaten UCF sliding into the 4th slot.

[gmr548 16533]

Just now, S11 said:

In that case the best bet is either Washington or an unbeaten UCF sliding into the 4th slot.

This. There will be some media calls for Michigan as well.

[flatdawgs 1271]

1 minute ago, S11 said:

Wazzu has a good shot at the Fiesta.  Don’t be shocked if all those PAC teams shift up a bowl as Wazzu gets a bid to NY6.

This happened last year, of course, with UW going to the Fiesta.

Moving everyone up a place did not end well for the conference.

(That said, I definitely could see WSU going to the Fiesta and the UW-Utah loser going to the Alamo.)

[Elmer_Fudd 22109]

17 minutes ago, DoneWithit said:

I’m not scared of Georgia or any sec team except for bama, especially with how good our defense is against their types of offense. 

I believe LSU won by like 2 td’s but idk. Besides Alabama, the rest of the sec was a damn roller coaster. One week LSU loses to Florida the next they beat Georgia. 

Seems like Orlando does well against pro style offenses that don't run the air raid ( USC, Iowa State, TCU ).  

[TheFlagship 432]

2 minutes ago, S11 said:

In that case the best bet is either Washington or an unbeaten UCF sliding into the 4th slot.

UCF wouldn’t get picked with their injured QB. Hell they may lose the AAC championship without him. 

In all honestly, if this scenario were to happen, they’d likely just throw UGA back in  

[ztejas 43287]

3 minutes ago, S11 said:

In that case the best bet is either Washington or an unbeaten UCF sliding into the 4th slot.

Nope. It would be UGA. 

Michigan and UWash ain't hopping a 10-3 B12 Champion Texas. C'mon now.

Only way would be for Georgia to get absolutely humiliated. Like 56-7 type shit on.

[ztejas 43287]

And - to be fair - Georgia would probably deservedly get in. Michigan and Washington ain't doing shit in the playoff. And Texas, while we would probably have the best chance at an upset of one of the big dogs, has 3 losses any way you slice it.

Losing to this Bama team just isn't going to hurt anyone's ranking that much. Especially since the Dawgs won their division.

[Sgt Hulk 13648]

What would it take to get to fiesta bowl?

[flatdawgs 1271]

Washington isn't a playoff team this year. If the Huskies beat Utah, we'll go to Pasadena and be damned happy about it.

[gmr548 16533]

1 minute ago, Sgt Hulk said:

What would it take to get to fiesta bowl?

I don't see it personally. If we win the B12, it is the Sugar as the conference rep. If we lose, we may still go to the Sugar to fill in for a playoff bound OU, but if Ohio State were to jump OU in the rankings (I think they will) and OU takes the Sugar Bowl slot, I don't see a 9-4 Texas getting picked as an at large team.

[ztejas 43287]

1 minute ago, flatdawgs said:

Washington isn't a playoff team this year.

Yes. We know. The people trying to make a theoretical case for you are braindead.

Always liked UWash. Wish you fucks gave me some scholarship money though.

[S11 16]

6 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Nope. It would be UGA. 

Michigan and UWash ain't hopping a 10-3 B12 Champion Texas. C'mon now.

Only way would be for Georgia to get absolutely humiliated. Like 56-7 type shit on.

3 loss UW who barely lost to Auburn, Cal, and Oregon would have a better shot than 3 loss UT who lost to OkSt, WVU, and Maryland.

 

michigan barely lost to ND and had a bad loss to tOSU.

 

UTs odds wouldn’t be that great

[Levi 2576]

2 minutes ago, Elmer_Fudd said:

Seems like Orlando does well against pro style offenses that don't run the air raid ( USC, Iowa State, TCU ).  

It makes sense. Air raid offense with speed going against ang type of defense is hard. But when you go against a pro style, doesn’t matter if they have a lot of size, it will be a lot easier to handle. Ppl think 6 db’s is to much but we have players with speed and that will knock the shit out if you, I.e Gary Johnson foster and Brandon Jones. 

Herman is doing a great job recruiting players like Owens, Adimora, and Floyd. Speed and sizewith great tackling abilities. 

[ztejas 43287]

Just now, S11 said:

3 loss UW who barely lost to Auburn, Cal, and Oregon would have a better shot than 3 loss UT who lost to OkSt, WVU, and Maryland.

With 2 wins over Oklahoma?

[flatdawgs 1271]

1 minute ago, ztejas said:

Yes. We know. The people trying to make a theoretical case for you are braindead.

Always liked UWash. Wish you fucks gave me some scholarship money though.

That's okay. They didn't give me any either. 

And I'm still giving them money every football season.

[ztejas 43287]

Just now, flatdawgs said:

That's okay. They didn't give me any either. 

And I'm still giving them money every football season.

At least you were in state I'm assuming. That $45k price tag was a hard no as soon as I opened the letter. 

[flatdawgs 1271]

Yep...but I'm a bit older than you. It wasn't anywhere near that even for out of state back then.

[ztejas 43287]

1 minute ago, flatdawgs said:

Yep...but I'm a bit older than you. It wasn't anywhere near that even for out of state back then.

(Taps plays)

[TKthunder2 4981]

35 minutes ago, NowThis said:

what is the picking order for Pac 12?  Rose probably UW.  Utah#2 but WSU has a better record, so which goes to Holiday?  I'm thinking Stanford 8-4 if beat Cal goes Alamo. 

It’s not hard to look it up.  Their champ (UW or Utah) goes to the Rose and most likely WSU goes (with only 2 losses) to a NY6 as an at large (Fiesta or Peach) which would put the loser of their title game in the Alamo (which is their #1 non NY6 bowl just like the Big12).

[Zavala 1384]

1 hour ago, Vic Mackey said:

I expect some collusion with the SEC. Have Georgia beat Bama and get both of them in there.

Fuck it though. Bring on Georgia if that's the case. Didn't LSU beat them down pretty good?

Hell yeah bring Georgia. Even Franks looked good against their defense. All these SEC defenses are built to stop the pro style run, not the spread power & pass.