Jump to content

NCAA week 8

NowThis

By NowThis
in Gambling

 Share

Recommended Posts

AUS-97HORN

AUS-97HORN 11884

Posted
Posted

looking at these

 

Oklahoma -7.5  ?   @ TCU..   that number really seems low.   TCU has become a turnover machine, and ou is fucking pissed at getting pantsed by us. 

I want to think USF -31 vs  UConn because UConn sucks ass.... but Charlie sucks balls at covering.

Kansas +18 @ Tech.    Kansas is bad. but I dont know if they are 18 points bad, expecially since Tech is riding high on their win vs TCU. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
NowThis

NowThis 931

Posted
  • Author
Posted

yeah, TCU seems to be falling apart. I'm intrigued by the new OU Def braintrust, will it show immediately vs. TCU? Will TCU turn it over 3 times as usual lately? If Tech can beat them with a 3rd string QB, Kyler Murray will go wild. Good pick, OU IMO. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Doc Sam Beckett

Doc Sam Beckett 5808

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, NowThis said:

Clemson has won the last 3 games with NCSt by 7, 7, and 15.  

Counter to that is ncsu is 5-0 but with a very weak schedule. 

Yeah, a tough one to handicap, and 18 does seem a bit high. Best I could find, it opened at 18/18.5 and dropped to 17 almost immediately. 

It's definitely a tough, hate-filled series, and like you said, it's been close lately. Other things in favor of it being close are NCSU has a good OL, Finley is a good QB who executes the short passing game flawlessly, and Gallaspy is running strong. Depending on what site you are using, and what stats you are looking at, NCSU is 11th in total offense and 21st in total defense. 

On the other side, last year's game was in Raleigh, NCSU was loaded with upperclassmen, including 7 draft picks, with 4 DL taken before the 5th round. Clemson was so decimated by injuries that they had a WR playing DB, and Clemson still won. This year Clemson is as healthy as they have been in awhile, the game is in Death Valley, and Clemson is very balanced. #5 in total offense and #3 in total defense. Most interesting to me is finding out if Clemson's rushing offense is going to keep dominating opponents. 

The line does seem high, but I'm not sure it's as insane as it first seemed. Sagarin would have it at 15. Who knows.... 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wally Pryor

Wally Pryor 5315

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:

Why flabbergasted? It's a tough game to handicap. I would probably stay away. I could see it being close, but honestly, Clemson should wax ncsu. 

Yeah, flabbergasted is a bit much.  But I don't know if Clemson should wax NCSU by any stretch. Clemson's played one team this season that can pass and A&M went up and down the field against them. Long story short, I just love Ryan Finley in this matchup - experienced, takes care of the ball, makes great decisions and spreads the ball around,  and has had success against Clemson (350 passing yards last season). Of course that was in Raleigh so a different landscape this season, but Finley is a vet and isn't likely to be fazed too much in Death Valley. Clemson's obviously runs the ball well and NC State defends it (both top 10 nationally).  Just feels like another tight game in the series and, at a minimum, I get Finley throwing at the end for a backdoor, but I think it will be closer than that. 

Now, watch, Clemson will win 52-17.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
pops

pops 7044

Posted
Posted
On 10/16/2018 at 10:21 AM, NOMAAA said:

put a unit on Utah State and the over.  they are 6-0 on the season for both.  this will be the week they lose both, but worth a shot.  16 and 51.5 respectively.

I think that's a decent play. Wyo is just not good this year. Day game in Laramie with perfect weather. Only concern would be a backdoor because USU has been getting way up on teams and then giving up garbage points in the 4th. Even then, state has still been covering.  OC is in his 2nd year and has them clicking. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wally Pryor

Wally Pryor 5315

Posted
Posted

USF -34

As noted, that team is so undisciplined.  But UConn is so very bad.   I mentioned in week 1 how thin they were and how that would continue to plague UConn as the season wore on.   Have no choice but to continue riding how crappy they are and their perfect (losing) record v. the spread.  I"m sure Charlah will figure out a way to fuck this up, but oh well. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Xcalibur

Xcalibur 546

Posted
Posted (edited)

Teams I feel confident about this week:

OU -7.5 (will be angry after having the bye week to stew over loss to Texas)

Utah State -15 (perfect against spread so far, Wyoming is terrible)

UCF -20.5 (almost perfect against spread so far, ECU is terrible)

Teams that I'm reasonably confident about but not as much as the first 3:

App State -24.5 (perfect against spread so far, Ulala is terrible)

Army -7.5 (Army is decent, and Miami OH is not a good team)

UNT +0.5 (UNT has struggled the past 2 weeks, but they are still good.  They should beat UAB).

Honorable mentions:

Cincy +3 (almost perfect against spread so far, they should be favored vs Temple)

WSU -1.5 (perfect against the spread so far.  Coming off the bye week and hosting Oregon, who just had a big win over Washington)

NCState +17.5 (this team always seems to play Clemson close, and Clemson has struggle this season)

Edited by Xcalibur
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wally Pryor

Wally Pryor 5315

Posted
Posted

Liking Michigan State tomorrow?  You've got reason.

Jesus.

The Michigan-Michigan State rivalry has had plenty of nerve-wracking endings of late, but against the spread, the matchup has been completely one-sided.

Michigan State is 10-0 ATS in the last 10 seasons against Michigan, covering by an average of 13 points per game. The trends favoring the Spartans +7.5 over Michigan doesn't end there. MSU coach Mark Dantonio is 20-8-1 ATS as Big Ten underdog and is 16-4-1 ATS with as a conference underdog against teams off back-to-back wins.

https://www.betchicago.com/week-8-big-ten-college-football-betting-lines-standings-predictions

Link to comment
Share on other sites
George Clooney

George Clooney 378

Posted
Posted

Something from Steve Coughlin's (Stanford Steve from espn/SVP) and Chris Fallica's podcast stood out to me. Since 1994, teams that were undefeated with at least 5 wins who were more than 14 (I think, it might be 17) point dogs (on the road of course) failed to cover in the eight times this has happened. With that being said, I have:

Clemson -17.5

Oklahoma -7.5

Alabama -29

Miss. St +6.5

Purdue +12

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wally Pryor

Wally Pryor 5315

Posted
Posted

LSU -6 .  Night game in Baton Rouge, bye week next week before Bama and a big revenge game for them.  I continue to believe that any DC who can't defend Miss. State right now should be fired. Fitzgerald is just flat out terrible in the air, completing, what, 45% of his passes?.  Miss. State's entire offense feels like a Fitzgerald run right, and then a Fitzgerald run left, and then another one to the right. And given how good LSU is in the secondary and poor MSU is in the air, Aranda can pretty much commit to letting his corners take care of MSU's WRs and letting everyone else play within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage to just shut down Fitzgerald running, and thus shut down MSU's offense. I can't see Miss State putting up many points in this game at all. 
 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...