2018 College Football Playoff Rankings

[LTtxfan 48928]

The first of five weekly rankings will be unveiled on Tuesday, Oct. 30. That begins the journey to selecting the four College Football Playoff teams for this season's semifinals, which will be played Dec. 29 at the Capital One Orange Bowl and Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.

 

 

[LTtxfan 48928]

Heather Dinich talks about BlowU as B12's best shot at making Playoffs.

( Can't stand her....)

 

How does the Big 12 get into the CFP now?

Oklahoma wins and Notre Dame loses. Let's start there. The best-case scenario would be for a one-loss Oklahoma to avenge its regular-season loss to rival Texas by beating the Longhorns when it matters most -- in the Big 12 title game. Oklahoma has gotten into the playoff before with both (A) a suspect defense and (B) an October loss to Texas (2015). The Sooners can't afford to lose again, though, and they still need the Irish to stumble, because the odds of the selection committee taking a one-loss Big 12 champ over undefeated Notre Dame is slim.

That's not all, though. As long as LSU and Michigan are in the picture, the possibility of two teams from the Big Ten or SEC also remains. The good news? The Big 12's playoff position isn't as dire as the Pac-12's right now. Oklahoma still has a 22 percent chance to make the semifinals, compared with Washington's 4 percent, according to Playoff Predictor.

 

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24993744/college-football-playoff-second-half-scenarios

Edited October 19, 2018 by LTtxfan

[LTtxfan 48928]

Ranking the one-loss teams by playoff potential

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/page/gamedaykickoff101918/ranking-one-loss-teams-college-football-playoff-potential

 

6. Texas Longhorns (6-1)
This week: Bye
Toughest remaining test: Nov. 10 at Texas Tech

The scenario: The ideal situation would be for Texas to win out and beat rival Oklahoma a second time in the Big 12 title game, having gone undefeated in league play. The problem for the Big 12 continues to be Notre Dame, though. Assuming an undefeated Irish team is in the selection committee's top four, at least two other Power 5 teams are left out. The Pac-12 is in the worst shape, but a one-loss Big 12 champ also is unlikely to be chosen ahead of undefeated Notre Dame. The season-opening loss to Maryland is certainly forgivable, considering the emotions of the Terrapins in that game following the death of offensive lineman Jordan McNair and that Maryland is having a respectable season. Committee members should acknowledge the improvement Texas has made since that game, but the Horns still need some upsets to get any serious consideration.

The odds: The Longhorns have a 3 percent chance to win out, and even if they do, there's just a 45 percent chance that they will reach the playoff.

[LTtxfan 48928]

Here's Today's ESPN entire article:

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/page/gamedaykickoff101918/ranking-one-loss-teams-college-football-playoff-potential

 

Ranking the one-loss teams by playoff potential

 

• Heather DinichESPN Senior Writer

Georgia coach Kirby Smart summarized his team's status on Saturday before he even left Tiger Stadium, reminding everyone that the Bulldogs "still have an opportunity to do everything we want to do" even after their 36-16 loss at LSU.

"The margin for error is just smaller," he said.

It's so small, in fact, it might just be nonexistent.

The same can be said for every one-loss Power 5 team still desperately clinging to playoff hopes while knowing a two-loss conference champion has yet to finish in the College Football Playoff selection committee's top four.

The ACC (Clemson and NC State), the Big Ten (Ohio State) and the SEC (Alabama) have the only remaining undefeated major conference teams, along with independent Notre Dame and American Athletic Conference rivals UCF, South Florida and Cincinnati. NC State travels to Clemson on Saturday for what will be a season-defining game in the ACC Atlantic Division and a potential playoff-elimination game.

At the very least, one more undefeated Power 5 team is guaranteed to join Georgia in the one-loss club this week. Here's a look at which of those current club members are currently in the best position to make a playoff run:

 

1. Michigan Wolverines (6-1)
This week: at No. 24 Michigan State (noon ET, Fox)
Toughest remaining test: Nov. 24 at Ohio State

The scenario: Given how poorly Georgia played in its loss to LSU and the Bulldogs' difficult upcoming schedule, it seems -- at least for now -- more likely that the Wolverines will win their league, rather than Georgia winning its. Michigan might wind up having the best loss in the country -- the season opener to Notre Dame. It certainly wouldn't keep the Wolverines out of the selection committee's top four if Michigan were to win out. The Wolverines can't afford to overlook the Spartans this weekend, though, as Michigan State just knocked Penn State out of the conversation and has embraced its role as spoiler. Michigan, which racked up a season-high 320 rushing yards in the win over Wisconsin last weekend, will face the nation's top rushing defense. The Spartans are limiting opponents to just 62.3 rushing yards per game.

The odds: The Big Ten has an 11 percent chance to get multiple teams into the playoff, second best to the SEC. There's a 21 percent chance Michigan will be 10-1 and Ohio State will be 11-0 when the teams meet in Columbus on Nov. 24.

2. Georgia Bulldogs (6-1)
This week: Bye
Toughest remaining test: Oct. 27 vs. Florida

The scenario: Georgia is ranked ahead of LSU on this list in spite of the head-to-head win by the Tigers, simply because Georgia doesn't have to play Alabama during the regular season and LSU does. It's more statistically feasible for Georgia to win the East than for LSU to win the West; and even if the Tigers find a way to beat Alabama (LSU has a 24.4 percent chance to do just that, according to FPI), it would be extremely difficult for LSU to beat Georgia a second time in the same season in the SEC title game. Still, Georgia has to win out and win the SEC, likely beating Alabama or LSU in the process. There's no margin for error here because of the Bulldogs' weak schedule, which currently features no wins against opponents over .500 and rival Georgia Tech (3-4) as their lone Power 5 nonconference opponent. Georgia is fortunate the SEC East is better this year -- with both Florida and Kentucky legitimate contenders for the division and potential résumé boosters -- but that also means the division is tougher to win. With Florida and Georgia both off this week, they will each have one loss when they play Oct. 27 in Jacksonville.

The odds: There's a 16 percent chance the Bulldogs win out. If they do, there's a 94 percent chance they will reach the playoff, according to ESPN's Playoff Predictor.

3. Oklahoma Sooners (5-1)
This week: at TCU (noon ET, ABC)
Toughest remaining test: Nov. 23 at West Virginia

The scenario: Not only do the Sooners have to win out, they also need some upsets in the rankings ahead of them -- arguably the most important being Notre Dame. As long as the Fighting Irish remain undefeated, their spot in the top four will likely come at the expense of the Big 12 and Pac-12. It's not inconceivable, though, so don't rule out the Big 12 just yet -- especially if OU can show some defensive improvement after the firing of coordinator Mike Stoops. Oklahoma had a bye week this week to regroup from the loss to Texas and the staff change before going on the road to TCU.

The odds: Oklahoma's 20 percent chance to win out is the best of any one-loss Power 5 team. The Sooners have a 77 percent chance to reach the playoff if they finish 12-1.

4. Florida Gators (6-1)
This week: Bye
Toughest remaining test: Oct. 27 vs. Georgia

The scenario: Florida needs 5-1 Kentucky, which beat the Gators in Week 2, to lose again in order for it to win the SEC East -- and Kentucky still has to play Georgia (Nov. 3). For Florida, which has won five straight, it all boils down to its game against Georgia. FPI gives the Gators a 30.2 percent chance to beat the Bulldogs; it's the only remaining game on Florida's schedule that it is not favored to win. Any team that has a chance to win the SEC has a shot at the top four.

The odds: The Gators have a 4 percent chance to win out. If they finish 12-1, there's an 83 percent chance the Gators will reach the playoff. That falls to 35 percent if they go 11-1 and fail to reach the SEC championship.

5. LSU Tigers (6-1)
This week: vs. No. 22 Mississippi State (7 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Toughest test: Nov. 3 vs. Alabama

The scenario: LSU already has exceeded expectations. (Remember when Ed Orgeron was on the hot seat? Neither does he.) But three of the Tigers' last five opponents are ranked, including Saturday's foe in a game that is hardly a gimme. Last year, Mississippi State hammered LSU 37-7, and the Bulldogs just had a bye week to prepare for this one. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow has a completion percentage of 50 percent or less in four games this year, and he has been sacked 16 times in seven games -- second most in the SEC. If LSU slips, the big win over Georgia will be an afterthought.

The odds: The Tigers only have a 3 percent chance to win out, but if they do, there's an 89 percent chance they will reach the playoff.

6. Texas Longhorns (6-1)
This week: Bye
Toughest remaining test: Nov. 10 at Texas Tech

The scenario: The ideal situation would be for Texas to win out and beat rival Oklahoma a second time in the Big 12 title game, having gone undefeated in league play. The problem for the Big 12 continues to be Notre Dame, though. Assuming an undefeated Irish team is in the selection committee's top four, at least two other Power 5 teams are left out. The Pac-12 is in the worst shape, but a one-loss Big 12 champ also is unlikely to be chosen ahead of undefeated Notre Dame. The season-opening loss to Maryland is certainly forgivable, considering the emotions of the Terrapins in that game following the death of offensive lineman Jordan McNair and that Maryland is having a respectable season. Committee members should acknowledge the improvement Texas has made since that game, but the Horns still need some upsets to get any serious consideration.

The odds: The Longhorns have a 3 percent chance to win out, and even if they do, there's just a 45 percent chance that they will reach the playoff.

7. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1)
This week: vs. Maryland (noon ET, ESPN2)
Toughest remaining test: Oct. 27 at Penn State

The scenario: When Wisconsin lost to Michigan last week, it opened the door for Iowa to win the West division. (Iowa's only loss this season is to Wisconsin.) Iowa still needs the Badgers to lose again, and it's possible they will, with three difficult road trips -- to Northwestern, Penn State and Purdue -- still remaining. Iowa also has to survive back-to-back road games against Penn State (Oct. 27) and Purdue (Nov. 3). It's a tall task, but if the Hawkeyes can win out and upset the East division winner in the Big Ten title game, there could be a big surprise in the final top four.

The odds: The Hawkeyes have a 2 percent chance to reach the playoff and 2 percent chance to win out. If they finish 12-1, there's a 66 percent they will reach the playoff.

8. Oregon Ducks (5-1)
This week: at No. 25 Washington State (7:30 p.m. ET, Fox)
Toughest remaining test: Nov. 10 at Utah

The scenario: Oregon would need to win out and hope other Power 5 conferences produce two-loss champions, a similar situation that helped Washington into the semifinals in 2016 in spite of a lousy nonconference lineup. Oregon doesn't have any nonconference wins against Power 5 opponents (Bowling Green, Portland State and San Jose State were slated), and that portion of its schedule ranks last in FBS. Should Oregon get into a résumé battle with another one-loss Power 5 champion, the nonconference strength of schedule could be the difference.

The odds: FPI gives Oregon a 38.5 percent chance to win this weekend at Washington State and a 31.3 percent chance to prevail at Utah. Two-loss Washington remains the front-runner to take the Pac-12 North, but the winner of Saturday's Ducks-Cougars tilt in Pullman will emerge as its top challenger.

Edited October 19, 2018 by LTtxfan

[Assman 1830]

I don't see the logic in how OU has a greater chance to reach the playoff than us.  I guess the only thing going for them is their loss versus ours, but we've already beat them once and arguably have an easier schedule the rest of the way.  Really what it comes down to is if we both meet in the Big 12 Championship, whoever wins that game has the greatest chance of making the playoff [/captainobvious].  So then you have to look at the odds of making it to that game, and you'd have to argue ours are greater just for the fact that we're 1. undefeated so far in league play, and 2. we have an easier schedule.  So what gives?

[gecko 1104]

I honestly don't care that much.  If we finish the season with a Big 12 championship and bowl win I'll feel like I've played the year with house money....

[Billy Pilgrim 1912]

I just have a hard time believing they’ll put 2 Big 10 or 2 SEC teams in over 1SEC, 1big10, 1 ACC, ND and a 1 loss big 12 team. If they want to maximize viewership, they’ll spread this thing out rather than have 2 or 3 Midwest teams and 2 southeast teams.

[Magus Ossis 2773]

Bad analysis is bad. The same teams are likely to go the the CFP ahead of OU as Texas, and for the same reasons. If one wins out, it has the same chance as the other to go.

Neither is jumping a tOSU or a UM that wins out. B1G could send two teams but will not send a second team with a late season loss over a Texas or OU team on a long win streak and with the same record, having just beaten a quality CCG opponent.

Neither is jumping an undefeated ND, but either passes them if the Domers stumble late.

Same story with Clemson.

Both are ahead of UCF and the Pac.

Bama with a respectable loss is the top-seeded 1-loss team. Undefeated Bama would not let LSU or UGA in.

I don’t see a significant difference in the landscape, certainly not one that changes likelihood from .45 to .77.

[HtownHorn 14446]

Clemson isn't making it through the season without a loss, and neither is Ohio State. Notre Dame and Alabama have the best shot at going undefeated. If Texas wins out, they are going to the CFP.

Edited October 19, 2018 by HtownHorn

[tantric superman 4667]

16 minutes ago, Assman said:

I don't see the logic in how OU has a greater chance to reach the playoff than us.

There worst loss (Texas) is better than our worst loss (Maryland).

Seems very logical to me.

Edited October 19, 2018 by tantric superman

[Guest]

32 minutes ago, Assman said:

I don't see the logic in how OU has a greater chance to reach the playoff than us.  I guess the only thing going for them is their loss versus ours, but we've already beat them once and arguably have an easier schedule the rest of the way.  Really what it comes down to is if we both meet in the Big 12 Championship, whoever wins that game has the greatest chance of making the playoff [/captainobvious].  So then you have to look at the odds of making it to that game, and you'd have to argue ours are greater just for the fact that we're 1. undefeated so far in league play, and 2. we have an easier schedule.  So what gives?

What gives is because of the 4th quarter, and OU’s propensity to come back solidly after a loss to us and look really good, and win Big 12 championships, is that nobody thinks we will beat them twice. 

[UrbanAchiever 276]

20 minutes ago, tantric superman said:

There worst loss (Texas) is better than our worst loss (Maryland).

Seems very logical to me.

But to date, our marquee wins (ou, SC, and kind of TCU) are much better than theirs (ISU, Baylor).

[Bert Orange 1115]

The fact that we debate the case for / probability of OU over TX in the playoffs is so very refreshing after the past eleventy years

[TXSooner518 2432]

Yeah it definitely has to be that they think OU is more likely to get to 12-1 than Texas is, because I agree that they would be in basically the same spot at 12-1. One thing OU could say in that position that Texas couldn't is "we beat every team we played this year", but Texas could say "we won 12 straight games and were unbeaten in 10 conference games."

I agree with Massus Ossis's hierarchy.

 

[ztejas 43244]

How many times is OU going to get a pass to compete for the national title only to choke everything away.

 

They are known chokers ever since Switzer left. They act like one of the elite college football programs yet never show up on the biggest stage. 

What are they now, 1-6 with title implications on the line? Including 6 straight losses?

I'll take a 3 year stretch of dogshit football to not be a school that consistently fails to elevate to a championship level despite zero excuses.

 

[ChiTownDoc 21091]

ND needs to lose.  That’s more true now than ever.  But no matter the season...fuck Notre Dame.  

[ChiTownDoc 21091]

2 minutes ago, ztejas said:

How many times is OU going to get a pass to compete for the national title only to choke everything away.

 

They are known chokers ever since Switzer left. They act like one of the elite college football programs yet never show up on the biggest stage. 

What are they now, 1-6 with title implications on the line? Including 6 straight losses?

I'll take a 3 year stretch of dogshit football to not be a school that consistently fails to elevate to a championship level despite zero excuses.

 

Lol.  Blame the rest of the Big12.  

[ztejas 43244]

4 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:

Lol.  Blame the rest of the Big12.  

What does the rest of the Big12 have to do with you choking on your own dicks every time a national title is on the line?

Pretty sure we beat you in '08 yet the media still gave you a pass. 

[TXSooner518 2432]

4 minutes ago, ztejas said:

How many times is OU going to get a pass to compete for the national title only to choke everything away.

 

They are known chokers ever since Switzer left. They act like one of the elite college football programs yet never show up on the biggest stage. 

What are they now, 1-6 with title implications on the line? Including 6 straight losses?

I'll take a 3 year stretch of dogshit football to not be a school that consistently fails to elevate to a championship level despite zero excuses.

 

Idiotic and tired. This isn't the mid-'00s with 5 BCS losses. This decade, OU is 4-4 in bowl games, including 2 NY6 wins against the SEC in their backyard, and an OT loss in the playoffs.  And to say that you would rather be dogshit than lose in the playoffs/title game is embarassingly bad. You are saying from 1990-93, you'd rather be the New England Patriots who went 1-15, 6-10, 2-14, 5-11 than the Buffalo Bills, who lost 4 straight Super Bowls.

 

[Quagmire 2146]

Take the loss pussy

[ztejas 43244]

7 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

Idiotic and tired. This isn't the mid-'00s with 5 BCS losses. This decade, OU is 4-4 in bowl games, including 2 NY6 wins against the SEC in their backyard, and an OT loss in the playoffs.  And to say that you would rather be dogshit than lose in the playoffs/title game is embarassingly bad. You are saying from 1990-93, you'd rather be the New England Patriots who went 1-15, 6-10, 2-14, 5-11 than the Buffalo Bills, who lost 4 straight Super Bowls.

 

Q U A L I T Y L O S S E S S

 

[TXSooner518 2432]

Just now, ztejas said:

Q U A L I T Y L O S S E S S

 

So you like quantity over quality, gotcha.

[Cuernavaca 254]

Fuck OU

[ousux 5586]

I don't see the logic in how OU has a greater chance to reach the playoff than us.  I guess the only thing going for them is their loss versus ours, but we've already beat them once and arguably have an easier schedule the rest of the way.  Really what it comes down to is if we both meet in the Big 12 Championship, whoever wins that game has the greatest chance of making the playoff [/captainobvious].  So then you have to look at the odds of making it to that game, and you'd have to argue ours are greater just for the fact that we're 1. undefeated so far in league play, and 2. we have an easier schedule.  So what gives?

What I don't get is they say taco tech is our toughest remaining game, yet we haven't played WVU yet.

[EZ$ 2102]

9 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Q U A L I T Y L O S S E S S

 

Well hell, pencil in aggy. 

[ztejas 43244]

9 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

So you like quantity over quality, gotcha.

Nah I'm not a fan of losses in general. I judge quality when it comes to wins. 

[joeycovers 358]

Said it before and Ill say it again. It UT wins out and USC beats the Domers UT will make the playoffs.

Millions of scenarios that can get them in but just those 2 things are the most important by far. 

This season has Ohio St 2014 feel.  

[RockyMountainHighHorn 888]

Maryland is still 4-2 and beating Iowa this weekend would help us. That loss doesn't look as bad as it did a few weeks ago. I know it still sucks. But OU Texas will get solved, we will play.

[Al_4_ISU 12408]

If Texas and OU both win out to the CCG, the winner of that game is in unless absolutely no one in front of them loses and there's no way that happens.

[Magus Ossis 2773]

The biggest obstacle IMO to our getting into the playoffs is one very bad play. Maybe it’s a blocked FG to stretch our lead from 6 to 9 that is run back against ISU late in the fourth. Maybe it is Sam taking another unexpected injurious hit. Maybe it is a BS targeting call. If no weird bad stuff happens (though unfortunately that crap sometimes occurs), we are in a position to fight through to an ugly example of a very pretty position.

[TrashMaster G 17379]

 

1 hour ago, tantric superman said:

There worst loss (Texas) is better than our worst loss (Maryland).

Seems very logical to me.

[aggy] Makes perfect sense. [/aggy]

 

And... *Their

[ChiTownDoc 21091]

33 minutes ago, ztejas said:

What does the rest of the Big12 have to do with you choking on your own dicks every time a national title is on the line?

Pretty sure we beat you in '08 yet the media still gave you a pass. 

Lol.  Oh that one time?  Cool

Youre a dumb bitch.  OU has facefucked this conference every which way. There’s been many an occasion to keep them out. Newsflash: if you’re a blue blood and you win the conference, you have a good chance at the playoff/championship. 

Who the fuck are you?  You sound 12.  Pussy.  

[mr.goodkat 464]

47 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

Idiotic and tired. This isn't the mid-'00s with 5 BCS losses. This decade, OU is 4-4 in bowl games, including 2 NY6 wins against the SEC in their backyard, and an OT loss in the playoffs.  And to say that you would rather be dogshit than lose in the playoffs/title game is embarassingly bad. You are saying from 1990-93, you'd rather be the New England Patriots who went 1-15, 6-10, 2-14, 5-11 than the Buffalo Bills, who lost 4 straight Super Bowls.

 

neither . both outcomes gargle balls . emotionally i would rather not be the billls . and why try to fancy it up ? ou has been dogshit in mnc games . own it . i am a bit jealous y'all made it , out and out giddy you failed . 

[Guest]

I’ve read a lot of stupid shit on here, but the notion that we wouldn’t want to have spent the last 8 years winning 5 conference titles only to lose in a couple of CFP Semifinal matchups, and instead should be grateful for the .600 shit sandwich we’ve been served because we might get the opportunity to win those CFP Semifinals now - that’s pretty fucking stupid. 

[ztejas 43244]

1 minute ago, Rex Kramer said:

I’ve read a lot of stupid shit on here, but the notion that we wouldn’t want to have spent the last 8 years winning 5 conference titles only to lose in a couple of CFP Semifinal matchups, and instead should be grateful for the .600 shit sandwich we’ve been served because we might get the opportunity to win those CFP Semifinals now - that’s pretty fucking stupid. 

Sick strawman. No one said that dipshit.

[Guest]

Just now, ztejas said:

Sick strawman. No one said that dipshit.

I would trade the worst 3-year stretch - the Charlie Strong era - to go 1-6 in the most meaningful of bowl games. 

[BigOrange1 6416]

50 minutes ago, Al_4_ISU said:

If Texas and OU both win out to the CCG, the winner of that game is in unless absolutely no one in front of them loses and there's no way that happens.

/thread.  it really is that simple.

[UDontKnow 10439]

4 minutes ago, Rex Kramer said:

I would trade the worst 3-year stretch - the Charlie Strong era - to go 1-6 in the most meaningful of bowl games. 

So you want a "Big Game Bob" scenario?

[ztejas 43244]

1 minute ago, Rex Kramer said:

I would trade the worst 3-year stretch - the Charlie Strong era - to go 1-6 in the most meaningful of bowl games. 

Cool - no one is arguing against that.

The point is that going forward OU does not deserve the benefit of the doubt. Especially not with this defense.

[TXSooner518 2432]

5 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Sick strawman. No one said that dipshit.

"What are they now, 1-6 with title implications on the line? Including 6 straight losses?

I'll take a 3 year stretch of dogshit football to not be a school that consistently fails to elevate to a championship level despite zero excuses."

That's what you said.  That certainly implies that being dogshit is better than losing MNC or playoff games. If that's not what you meant, learn to write.

[Guest]

4 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Cool - no one is arguing against that.

The point is that going forward OU does not deserve the benefit of the doubt. Especially not with this defense.

Actually, it is YOU making that exact argument. 

[Guest]

4 minutes ago, UDontKnow said:

So you want a "Big Game Bob" scenario?

As opposed to Coach Potato?  Is this a serious question?

[HtownHorn 14446]

1 hour ago, Al_4_ISU said:

If Texas and OU both win out to the CCG, the winner of that game is in unless absolutely no one in front of them loses and there's no way that happens.

How is this even in doubt? The only way Texas or OU don't make it is 4 undefeated teams, that hasn't happened since like the 60's. Right now there are 4 major teams with 0 losses and UCF. I highly doubt Clemson or Ohio State make it through undefeated. LSU and Michigan each face Alabama and Ohio State respectively. It's likely either team is eliminated with a loss.

Edited October 19, 2018 by HtownHorn

[Guest]

7 minutes ago, BigOrange1 said:

/thread.  it really is that simple.

I think so. We both need help but I have never seen a situation with 4 undefeated teams (in the CFP or BCS MNC Game contenders before that). One of those 3 other non-Bama teams will lose and multiple contenders will lose, clearly, as they will play each other.  

Largely, we control our own destinies. 

[NeverMarryAStripper 21780]

There hasn’t ever even been two undefeated teams in the playoffs yet. Do people really think there will be four this year?

[Pato del Muerto 52321]

14 minutes ago, BigOrange1 said:

/thread.  it really is that simple.

There are permutations where undefeated Alabama loses to LSU, or in the ccg to a 1 loss glory or Georgia, that gets the sec 2 teams in. Probably at the expense of the big 12 champ, depending on how the acc and big10 finish up. 

So, it’s not that simple. 

By the end, the committee will likely be tasked to choose between several 1 loss teams. 

Edited October 19, 2018 by Pato del Muerto

[Guest]

1 minute ago, HtownHorn said:

How is this even in doubt? The only way Texas or OU don't make it is 4 undefeated teams, that's hasn't happened since like the 60's. Right now there are 4 major teams with 0 losses and UCF. I highly doubt Clemson or Ohio State make it through undefeated. LSU and Michigan each face Alabama and Ohio State respectively. It's likely either team is eliminated with a loss.

It’s in doubt because the right teams need to lose. If either LSU or Michigan win those games, they’re elevated to then-current CFP participants over Texas and OU. 

We need ND to lose and Bama to remain undefeated.  If that happens, I believe we are good. 

[TXSooner518 2432]

There hasn’t ever even been two undefeated teams in the playoffs yet. Do people really think there will be four this year?

No but OU and Texas would be behind 1 loss Bama and 1 loss tOSU probably. I would say 75-80% chance a 12-1 OU or TX gets in.

[chase25 2048]

1 hour ago, TXSooner518 said:

Idiotic and tired. This isn't the mid-'00s with 5 BCS losses. This decade, OU is 4-4 in bowl games, including 2 NY6 wins against the SEC in their backyard, and an OT loss in the playoffs.  And to say that you would rather be dogshit than lose in the playoffs/title game is embarassingly bad. You are saying from 1990-93, you'd rather be the New England Patriots who went 1-15, 6-10, 2-14, 5-11 than the Buffalo Bills, who lost 4 straight Super Bowls.

 

I'm in no way agreeing with ztejas but...

[HtownHorn 14446]

Just now, Rex Kramer said:

It’s in doubt because the right teams need to lose. If either LSU or Michigan win those games, they’re elevated to then-current CFP participants over Texas and OU. 

We need ND to lose and Bama to remain undefeated.  If that happens, I believe we are good. 

A 1 loss Texas or OU that won the Big 12 championship is beating out a 1 loss Ohio State or a 1 loss Alabama that didn't play in their conference championship game.