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Posted
59 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:

Illustrates for the world just how capable our armed forces really are.  As I said.   We are entering into a new geopolitical world.   Defense budgets will soar.   But…the bear is back and we are also entering into a time of obvious global unrest.  
 

I also hope it ushers in a new mindset of independence and self reliance.   From technology to energy.  If both sides wanted to get behind something, a “nuclear new deal” would be transformative 

and lookin' good!

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Posted
1 minute ago, BabaYaga said:

Depends upon how you define win.   Of Russia wanted to commit virtually all their forces to the battlefield, they’d eventually overwhelm the Ukes.   I don’t think they want that or can risk exposing one flank for another.   If the Ukes can delay and bleed them at every pass, this turns into Afghan2.0.

Russia has been hoarding currency.   Enough for maybe a year.  The longer this drags out, the worse it obviously is for them.  They will also inflict heavy casualties, so as I keep saying, the pain is in the occupation.   So it depends on which side had the highest pain tolerance.   Which is history shows us anything, it’s almost always on the side of the invades.   Not the invaders.  

Mentioned above I think they have $600bln that’s nothing. If my numbers are wrong there is still math here. They are cut the fuck off if Germany says no more. They might. $20bln a day was the number for war costs. 
 

we should stop looking at the front lines and look at the costs and logistics - russia doesn’t have it. There are reports they are out of cruise missiles - and months from a resupply IF they get raw materials they don’t have. 
 

I think this is where the war is won. 

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Posted
20 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Fuck. Just had a really hard conversation with the boy. Mom had to lay down the law, and forbid him from going to the Poland Ukraine border.

I followed with a text telling him I understand what he wants to do, but he needs to stay safe. His reply:

“I’m not playing solider, it’s not right to sit on my ass and live a fun cushy care free life in Berlin when there are people just like me a couple hundred miles away who need something to eat or a place to stay. I understand the worry but there are also moms in Ukraine who want their kids out of harms way. I won’t go near the border, but I’ve sent in an application to the Polish government. I added special instructions not to be near the border, but there are potatoes to be peeled, sacks to be unloaded from trucks, tents to be pitched and shit to be done in other places. If I need to go to Warsaw and plunge toilets in a refugee center, I will.”

I don’t know how to feel about this.

 

17 minutes ago, mdmost said:

You should feel proud that you raised a kid who has empathy and gives a damn about his fellow humans. 

Super Troopers Yes GIF by Searchlight Pictures

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Posted
11 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Fuck. Just had a really hard conversation with the boy. Mom had to lay down the law, and forbid him from going to the Poland Ukraine border.

I followed with a text telling him I understand what he wants to do, but he needs to stay safe. His reply:

“I’m not playing solider, it’s not right to sit on my ass and live a fun cushy care free life in Berlin when there are people just like me a couple hundred miles away who need something to eat or a place to stay. I understand the worry but there are also moms in Ukraine who want their kids out of harms way. I won’t go near the border, but I’ve sent in an application to the Polish government. I added special instructions not to be near the border, but there are potatoes to be peeled, sacks to be unloaded from trucks, tents to be pitched and shit to be done in other places. If I need to go to Warsaw and plunge toilets in a refugee center, I will.”

I don’t know how to feel about this.

Several of my daughters’ male friends including her BF are seriously talking about joining the military, 17-19 yrs. Pretty sure my daughter is in a fight w him about it right now, but she of course doesn’t want to discuss. I can imagine if they were a train ride from the action some of them would be volunteering. I’m sorry your boy is so far from you right now

Posted
Fuck. Just had a really hard conversation with the boy. Mom had to lay down the law, and forbid him from going to the Poland Ukraine border.

I followed with a text telling him I understand what he wants to do, but he needs to stay safe. His reply:

“I’m not playing solider, it’s not right to sit on my ass and live a fun cushy care free life in Berlin when there are people just like me a couple hundred miles away who need something to eat or a place to stay. I understand the worry but there are also moms in Ukraine who want their kids out of harms way. I won’t go near the border, but I’ve sent in an application to the Polish government. I added special instructions not to be near the border, but there are potatoes to be peeled, sacks to be unloaded from trucks, tents to be pitched and shit to be done in other places. If I need to go to Warsaw and plunge toilets in a refugee center, I will.”

I don’t know how to feel about this.

Proud you did a good job. Horrified you did a good job. No good deed….
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Posted
1 minute ago, troph said:

Mentioned above I think they have $600bln that’s nothing. If my numbers are wrong there is still math here. They are cut the fuck off if Germany says no more. They might. $20bln a day was the number for war costs. 
 

we should stop looking at the front lines and look at the costs and logistics - russia doesn’t have it. There are reports they are out of cruise missiles - and months from a resupply IF they get raw materials they don’t have. 
 

I think this is where the war is won. 

Yep.  What’s the old saying:   Amateurs talk tactics.   Professionals talk logistics 

Posted

I maybe have missed it but I haven't seen anyone mention Oksana Markarova, the Ukrainian ambassador to the US.  On US MSM I've been watching press conferences and interviews with her, and I've been extremely impressed with her poise and demeanor. You know she has to be anguished and raging inside, but in her interactions with Americans she's remained calm, direct, respectful, gracious, and sincere. 

 

Oksana Markarova, Ambassador of Ukraine to the United States

 

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Posted
4 minutes ago, troph said:

I also think the lack of funding and supply chain here is not being considered even more I don’t think Russian soldiers are going to commit those atrocities in the same way. They are already quitting, deserting etc. no food, no supplies, I don’t think russia will last more than a few weeks. I really don’t. $20bln a day with reserves of a six hundred billion and no supply chain now they are cut off from the world? Those reserves are gone in a month. 

It it were 20 billion a day I would agree with you but it's closer to 50-100 million a day.  That is a big difference.  The sunk costs in armor, equipment, and personnel are already spent.  So I think it is reasonable to say it is costing less than 1000 bucks per soldier per day.  Their cruise missile are not ours where they are on loan until it is used either (Lockheed Martin fully owns our cruise missiles until we shoot them)

Posted
3 minutes ago, troph said:

Mentioned above I think they have $600bln that’s nothing. If my numbers are wrong there is still math here. They are cut the fuck off if Germany says no more. They might. $20bln a day was the number for war costs. 
 

we should stop looking at the front lines and look at the costs and logistics - russia doesn’t have it. There are reports they are out of cruise missiles - and months from a resupply IF they get raw materials they don’t have. 
 

I think this is where the war is won. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, Message Board User said:

 

Comedian to President to World Inspiration to likely War Hero (though he’s already that) but he’s going into fucking battle with them. God Speed! You are a mother fucking man and a badass and a hero! 

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Posted
1 hour ago, AUS-97HORN said:

these crazy motherfuckers are walking around like its a god damned video game.       I get that life is cheap there... but damn,  no attempt to even slightly take any sort of cover while carrying what is clearly a clear and present danger weapon to anyone in a fucking tank. 

Seemed like all the tanks were dead to me?

Posted
1 minute ago, Message Board User said:

 

Russia won’t just stand idly by with this.   The repercussions are what worry me.  It’s the right decision to make.   I just wonder what the counterpunch will look like?

Posted

Thanks again for all the updates:

Ukraine Rocks!!! They have restored my faith in humanity.  Reminds me of the Texas I grew up in (perhaps sheltered and naive?). 

The pics of destroyed Russian vehicles reminds we of the crushed Iraqi columns in Desert storm. Mind boggling that this is Ukraine butt-fucking Russia.

Have there even been any tank v. tank engagements yet? Most of the pics are dead vehicles on paved roads. 

Russia: Lack of air superiority is ??? Exposing and losing heavy transports ..., WTF. Seems to be no command and control in place. Like the Generals said fuck it, we gave the orders Putin wanted, now its his show, fuck Putin.  Literally sacrificing the soldiers (mostly unwilling conscripts it seems).  Those young Russian boys seem to have no idea they were sent into a war. Sad for their famalies. 

Fighting in the city streets will end when every Russian is either dead or captured. 

Overt US leadership has been as expected (some good, some bad), but behind the scenes, looks like a lot of intel is helping Ukriane to know exactly what is coming and get ready for it. 

Scarry that if Putin isn't removed from the inside, this will get out of hand in a bad way.

So many Ukraine heroes. My heart is heavy with what they are going through.  

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, UT_OB1 said:

So why didn’t he actually use it?  Looked like there were still functioning tanks. 

Sugar in the fuel tank of abandoned armor. Keep the NLAW for active armor.

Edited by ShaggyBevo RIP
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Posted
1 hour ago, MissingInAction said:

Dude needs a convoy to carry his massive balls.

No kidding, some people are afraid to go anywhere near their NLAWs, let alone carry them.

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Posted
1 minute ago, crash_davis said:

so 10 days. Can Ukraine hold out for 10 days...

Maybe 2-3? I don’t know. I don’t know how many are fighting. Like of the 3 million people how many  can fight? How many have access to weapons? I wouldn’t put money against m. The more they fight and the more Zelenskyy stands with and fights alongside his people the more the world wants Putin to crawl into a fucking bunker and kill himself. The world has turned against him that’s for certain. A huge battle in the coming hours where we all see Ukrainian resolve and will may be Putin’s undoing. Praying for a damn miracle! 

Posted
Just now, GabrielsHorn said:

 

I know Ukrainians have a lot of check points set up so it’s set up right now for their best shot. This is going to be brutal. God Speed! Take those fuckers the fuck out! 

Posted (edited)
18 minutes ago, FartingMonk said:

It it were 20 billion a day I would agree with you but it's closer to 50-100 million a day.  That is a big difference.  The sunk costs in armor, equipment, and personnel are already spent.  So I think it is reasonable to say it is costing less than 1000 bucks per soldier per day.  Their cruise missile are not ours where they are on loan until it is used either (Lockheed Martin fully owns our cruise missiles until we shoot them)

Ok so my math is wrong but still a factor, but the attrition of equipment, the lack of supply chain from the front lines to the sanctions that prevent trade, the Russian public protests, the worldwide spot light, this isn’t the Chechen war it’s not Georgia it’s not even crimea from a spotlight stand point.  Then you have internal disagreements, internal pressure and possibly even oligarch pressure coming. That’s still leaving out possible further intervention. The US is openly providing weaponry, that’s an escalation. Baby steps but I think the world won’t watch war crimes here if the level Russia wants to engage in, I just don’t. I for one will speak out for intervention if they do engage in wide spread atrocities.  We have to live our values, we have to.
 

I still think this is going to be different.  The Chechen war is not a good analogy. 

Edited by troph
Posted
52 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

If we drop in a division of pissed off abuelitas armed with weapons grade chanclas this shit would be over in hours.

Just tell them none of their grandchildren went to mass last Sunday because of Russia.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:

Bleed them   Keep bleeding them    Drag this out.   Ukes will suffer.   It will be a terrible price, freedom always is    

 

This dude who so full of shit.  We spent 4 trillion dollars in 10 years in Afghanistan and that was including trying to rebuild.  20 billion dollars is fucking stupid.  He is basically pulling shit out of his ass.  

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Nicole44 said:

Maybe 2-3?

Ukraine can hold on much longer than 2-3 days. Kyiv might not be able to, but if Ukrainians want to fight after Kyiv falls there will tons of land free of Russians to do that. The vast majority of Ukrainian land hasn't had a Russian soldier near it yet. 

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