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Eastwood

By Eastwood
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NorthLoop

NorthLoop 14215

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4 hours ago, bernorange said:

SIL held a memorial service for James (the nephew) almost two weeks ago.  No casket, no body.  Army chaplain from his unit addressed the assembly.  It was a real gut punch experience.

We learned that James was in charge of a small unit of volunteers that was helping to evacuate wounded people from one place to another place.  James had told his unit to take the wounded they had gathered (by vehicle) and he stayed behind with one Ukrainian contact to assist more wounded that couldn't travel with the group/vehicle.  They (James and the Ukrainian) had just gotten the wounded to a staging area/camp? when they were targeted by a Russian drone.  He was killed in an explosion and there wasn't a body to recover.

 

4 hours ago, Bama Chick said:


I’m so sorry for your loss. Your nephew was an actual hero. May his memory and heroism be a blessing.

This. The word "hero" gets thrown around a lot but your nephew is a true hero. Likely saved multiple lives at the expense of his own. 

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AUS-97HORN
AUS-97HORN

For the love of Christ woman,  stop posting the same fucking thing every 20 mins just to make your neurotic self feel better.     Bring something useful to the thread other than your inane babbli

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InkaUtexas
InkaUtexas

I volunteered today. Log/Admin role to replace people for 30-60 days. The operation is in the west, or should the Orcs win will be pulled back behind the NATO wall. Either way the humanitarian effort

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JesusSweatDuck

JesusSweatDuck 17784

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5 hours ago, bernorange said:

SIL held a memorial service for James (the nephew) almost two weeks ago.  No casket, no body.  Army chaplain from his unit addressed the assembly.  It was a real gut punch experience.

We learned that James was in charge of a small unit of volunteers that was helping to evacuate wounded people from one place to another place.  James had told his unit to take the wounded they had gathered (by vehicle) and he stayed behind with one Ukrainian contact to assist more wounded that couldn't travel with the group/vehicle.  They (James and the Ukrainian) had just gotten the wounded to a staging area/camp? when they were targeted by a Russian drone.  He was killed in an explosion and there wasn't a body to recover.

Soldiers have died in distant lands,
Far from their homes and loving hands.
Tell their stories.

Troops missing in action and never returned,
Their ultimate destinies not yet learned.
Tell their stories.

Warriors come home with troubled minds,
Atrocities witnessed not quite left behind.
Tell their stories.

The rest return and pick up their lives,
As husbands and fathers, mothers and wives,
Tell their stories.

All our soldiers, brave, strong and true,
If you want to honor them, here's what you do:
Tell their stories.

- Kelly Roper

 

Keep telling James's story, he'll inspire others to do the same.  

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MillerEP

MillerEP 30491

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4 minutes ago, JesusSweatDuck said:

Is it normal for so many Humvees to ship with no doors?

Yeah for the old stuff, the thin skin doors were usually stored separately, and interchangeable. That's not the case for the up-armored ones.
We stopped using thin skin Humvees around 2004-2005 if I recall correctly. 

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89727

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Saw it mentioned that Russia were hoping to get a ceasefire to help with their production woes.

It's been 10 months since this last round kicked off - if they can't manufacture simple artillery shells in large numbers by now, I'm not sure when they will suddenly be able to.

And I'm wondering if some Russian artillery batteries are feigning a lack of shells (or even losing them) so they can reduce firing, and lessen their chances of being spotted by counter-battery radars.

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RDCanecutter

RDCanecutter 26452

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20 hours ago, Jhawkmvp said:

If you need another reason to root for Ukraine, here she is:

doeioyppfl8a1.jpg

Yeah, it's a big fake plastic sword, but nothing would be more New Orleans than for her to start whalin on the Russian skank with it and chase that hooch on a running fight through the Quarter and up into the public housing.

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InkaUtexas

InkaUtexas 25986

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3 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:

Yeah, it's a big fake plastic sword, but nothing would be more New Orleans than for her to start whalin on the Russian skank with it and chase that hooch on a running fight through the Quarter and up into the public housing.

How do you know? It could be your sword if you support her. 

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KYHorn

KYHorn 17076

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Ukraine Situation Report: Pentagon May Give Kyiv Advanced HIMARS Fire Control System + update on the current overall situation.

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-pentagon-may-give-kyiv-advanced-himars-fire-control-system

Spoiler

The International Field Artillery Tactical Data Systems would make HIMARS even more lethal by providing better awareness of the battlefield.

BYHOWARD ALTMAN|PUBLISHED DEC 28, 2022 8:11 PM
Ukraine Situation Report: Pentagon May Give Kyiv Advanced HIMARS Fire Control System
U.S. Army photo
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The U.S.-provided M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS have already made a huge difference for Ukraine and now the Pentagon is considering making them even more lethal.

 

The U.S. Army Contracting Command (ACC) at the Aberdeen Proving Ground last month put out a 'Sources Sought' notification for possible future delivery of International Field Artillery Tactical Data Systems (IFATDS) to Ukraine, as well as Taiwan and Latvia. The international export version of the Army's Advanced Field Artillery Tactical Data System (AFATDS), IFATDS would increase HIMARS lethality by providing a secure communications system stitching together incoming information from various sources across the battlefield for a better common operating picture and greater situational awareness. This would give HIMARS operators a much better idea of where to fire the Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) munitions that have already been used to devastating effect by Ukraine.

AFATDS.jpeg?auto=webp&optimize=high&qual
The Pentagon, through the U.S. Army Contracting Command, is seeking potential sources for an international version of the Army's Advanced Field Artillery Tactical Data System (AFATDS) for Ukraine, Latvia and Taiwan. (U.S. Army photo)

AFATDS is an automated fire-support command, control, and communications system. It provides automatic processing of fire requests, munition updates, generates multiple tactical fire mission solutions, monitors mission execution and supports, creates, and distributes fire plans. 

"IFATDS will give the operator the ability to have increased situational awareness in near real-time with one common operating system that can integrate with other systems like air-missile defense, counter unmanned aerial systems, intelligence etc," Tony Lugo, a retired Army colonel who served as Chief of Staff of the Fires Center of Excellence at Fort Sill, Oklahoma, told The War Zone Wednesday.  "I believe another consideration for fielding IFATDS is the ability to link in with our AFATDs or other countries that have IFATDS. Interoperability is a key component of the new technology the military is producing. It has to be able to link into our partners' systems."  

 

The system “would increase the speed of operation and increase efficiency” of the kill chain, Connor Crehan, a former Army artillery captain told The War Zone.

As a package, IFATDS would provide users "with a secure, interconnected and integrated comms package that provides better, faster use on intel and integrated fire so they can respond to threats, save ammo, plan better and operate more efficiently," Johnna Holeman, a former Army artillery lieutenant, told The War Zone.

The ACC request is seeking up to 18 IFATDS for Ukraine, up to 16 for Taiwan, which is expecting its first HIMARS shipments in 2027, and up to 55 for Latvia, which is planning to buy six HIMARS, according to Public Broadcasting of Latvia.

GettyImages-1243523662-scaled.jpg?auto=w
The Pentagon is looking into an advanced fire control system for HIMARS it has provided to Ukraine and will provide to Taiwan and Latvia. (Photo by Gints Ivuskans / AFP) (Photo by GINTS IVUSKANS/AFP via Getty Images)

 

This is not a request for proposals. ACC is merely looking to determine what companies can provide it with IFATDS hardware, software and associated Ultralink tactical modems, as well as classroom and field training, installation fielding support and post-deployment software support and one year of in-country field service support.

“The purpose of this market research/sources sought is to identify interested sources that are certified and able to provide requirements to Taiwan/Latvia/Ukraine,” according to the Sources Sought notification, which had a Dec. 2 deadline for submissions. 

It is unclear how many if any such submissions were received by ACC.

We reached out to ACC for more details and will update this story with any information it provides.

If the Army is given the go-ahead to provide those systems to Ukraine, it will make a very powerful weapon even more fearsome and it will take better advantage of other new weapons and sensors Ukraine is getting from its allies. This would be especially true during dynamic operations with rapidly changing circumstances where targets of opportunity are prevalent. But we are still far off from such a system changing things on the battlefield, given that no contracts have even been awarded yet, let it being actually fielded by Ukraine.

Before we go into the latest news from Ukraine, The War Zone readers can get caught up on our previous rolling coverage here.

The Latest

As has been the case for a while, there has been very little movement across the battlefield, where the fiercest fighting continues to take place in Donetsk Oblast. Ukraine appears to be making advances toward Kreminna in Luhansk Oblast while Russia digs in across the south.

Even the Russian Wargonzo Telegram channel offers a dim view of Russia's ongoing efforts to take Bakhmut.

"On the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut itself, PMC Wagner is no longer doing very well," according to Wargonzo. "Apparently, they decided to change the unsuccessful frontal attacks to the flank coverage of the city. But to the southeast of Soledar, everything is the same. An attempt to push through the garrison of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Bakhmutsky from the north. The Ukrainian army in this area unexpectedly counterattacked in the direction of Stryapovka."

Here are some key takeaways from the latest Institute for the Study of War assessment:

  • Ukrainian forces have likely made more gains in northeast Ukraine than ISW has previously assessed.
  • Russian forces may be nearing culmination in the Bakhmut area amid continuing Russian offensive operations there and in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area.
  • Russian forces are maintaining their fortification efforts in southern Ukraine.
  • The Kremlin is continuing its efforts to publicly punish deserters and saboteurs.
 

While Russia appears to be building out new fortifications, that is nothing new in Ukraine, especially in the east, which has been experiencing war since Russia first invaded in 2014.

 

The Washington Post took a deep dive into the ongoing destruction in the Donbas, where battles have been raging since Russia's initial invasion back in 2014.

"This destructive, and seemingly pointless, cycle of conquest and liberation has been underway for nearly nine years — ever since the Kremlin began fomenting a separatist war with false claims that Russian-speaking Ukrainians were under threat from the pro-Western, pro-democracy protesters who rose up in fury after President Viktor Yanukovych, under pressure from Putin, broke a promise to sign expansive political and economic agreements with the European Union," the Post reported.

 

The Biden administration is pushing to end Iran’s ability to produce and deliver drones to Russia for use in the war in Ukraine, The New York Times reported Wednesday.

"In interviews in the United States, Europe and the Middle East, a range of intelligence, military and national security officials have described an expanding U.S. program that aims to choke off Iran’s ability to manufacture the drones, make it harder for the Russians to launch the unmanned “kamikaze” aircraft and — if all else fails — to provide the Ukrainians with the defenses necessary to shoot them out of the sky."

 

Ukraine, meanwhile, is seeking to develop a fleet of drones that can attack other drones.

Ukraine "has bought some 1,400 drones, mostly for reconnaissance, and plans to develop combat models that can attack the exploding drones Russia has used during its invasion of the country, according to the Ukrainian government minister in charge of technology," The Associated Press reported Wednesday. This is not a new idea in any way. We have been proposing it for years In fact, the U.S. military is now acquiring this capability and fielding it in multiple forms. It could potentially provide it to Ukraine, as well.

In a recent interview with the AP, Minister of Digital Transformation Mykhailo Fedorov described Russia’s war in Ukraine as the first major war of the internet age. He credited drones and satellite internet systems like Elon Musk’s Starlink with having transformed the conflict.

“And the next stage, now that we are more or less equipped with reconnaissance drones, is strike drones,” Fedorov said. “These are both exploding drones and drones that fly up to three to 10 kilometers and hit targets.”

 

A week after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Bakhmut, Maj. Gen. Kyrylo Budanov, head of that nation's Defense Intelligence Directorate, made the dangerous trek to that embattled frontline city.

 
 

The Russian Fighter Bomber Telegram channel is not happy that the U.S. is potentially about to get a good look at Russia's Ka-52 "Alligator" attack helicopter. It suggested two reasons why at least one of those was able to be captured by Ukrainians, who are now shipping it to the U.S.

The first was the possible "unwillingness to take responsibility for the destruction of expensive equipment by all categories of commanders." The second was failing to "let the crew repair it" or "let the paratroopers blow it up."

Either way, Fighter Bomber downplayed the capture, saying "on the scale of ongoing historical events, these are, by and large, annoying and unpleasant little things that do not affect our victory in any way."

 

Long before the full-scale invasion broke out, Ukraine and the U.S. had a very close relationship when it came to so-called foreign materiel exploitation (FME) activities, with Ukraine supplying Soviet-era hardware to the U.S. for testing, research, and training purposes. It is a given that the many losses of Russia's most sensitive weapons on the battlefield in the last 10 months have been shared directly with Ukraine's American allies.

Delivering rapid fires before the enemy can strike back has been critical for both sides in this conflict. Watch this Ukrainian artillery crew quickly fire and reload a French-donated CAESAR wheeled, self-propelled howitzer.

 

In devastated Bakhmut, Ukrainian soldiers are seen expressing confidence despite ongoing attacks. As they talk, the sounds of gunfire can be heard.

 

Ukrainian tanks are seen in this video driving through the streets of Bakhmut.

 

There's a good reason why armies employ armor vehicles to support infantry. A great example of that can be seen in this video of Ukrainian troops evacuating under Russian fire toward the relative safety of one such vehicle.

 

Another compilation of Ukrainians destroying Russian tanks and troops has emerged on social media.

 

While Ukraine is destroying Russian armor with drones and long-range fires, it is also destroying armor at much closer ranges, as you can see in this video below.

 

Ukraine is also taking losses as well, like this ammunition supply truck, which apparently exploded after taking a direct hit from Russian artillery.

 

Video emerged of a Russian quadcopter drone dropping a VOG-17 grenade on Ukrainian soldiers trying to evacuate the wounded.

 

Not all the equipment donated to Ukraine manages to stay on the battlefield, as in the case of this Finnish-donated Sisu XA-185 armored amphibious personnel carrier, destroyed by Russians in Donetsk Oblast.

 

As it continues to suffer battlefield defeats and losses of troops and equipment, Russia is looking to increase its flow of forces by raising the draft age to 30.

 

As an added bonus, Russia is apparently also allowing troops headed to Ukraine to freeze their sperm for free.

“The RF Ministry of Health has decided it is possible to use money from the federal budget to fund the fee-free conservation and storage of sex cells (sperm) for citizens mobilized into the Special Military Operation, in 2022-2024, according to CNN, citing the official Russian TASS news agency. "Any subsequent free use of conserved genetic material in assisted reproductive technology is governed by the law, provided it is indicated as a part of (the individual’s) mandatory health insurance package."

 

And finally, it appears one Ukrainian unit has adopted a rather unusual pet.

 

That's it for now. We will update this story when there is anything major to add.

Contact the author: howard@thewarzone.com

 

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InkaUtexas

InkaUtexas 25986

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59 minutes ago, MillerEP said:

 

Wearing a watch he looted and not realizing he will never be accepted by the muscovites. 

Fuck em. May he get dysentery in his outhouse or freeze when the shitty wall hanging heater freezes (assuming it is both a heater and AC). 

The Russians are the Nazis of this century. Can we say that loud enough? 

 

 

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956 Worldwide

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Posted
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BLUF: Foreign support for Ukraine, especially ammunition, is likely the deciding factor now and going forward. 

Rob Lee and Michael Kofman have been some of the most astute observers of the war and I recommend this long article about how early Russian force losses, excess artillery use, and Ukrainian use of HIMARS against logistics hubs led to the stunning breakthrough of Kharkiv and how Russia adapted to make the capture of Kherson much more costly and costly and its own retreat more orderly. For those who don’t want the whole thing, some predictions in the quote box.

 

 

Quote

The results in Kharkiv and Kherson give a somewhat conflicted view of Ukraine’s prospects to quickly liberate more territory. Although Ukraine can move forces from Kherson to reinforce other parts of the front, it is unlikely to find Russian defenses as vulnerable as they were in Kharkiv in September. The Russian military will now have a much higher force density to terrain ratio, and can conserve ammunition if it pursues a largely defensive strategy. In addition, Russian forces elsewhere don’t face the same constraints as they did on the right bank in Kherson with a large river behind them in range of Ukrainian HIMARS. Russian forces, including Wagner, have been building additional defensive lines since the Kharkiv offensive. This suggests that further offensives by Ukraine will be more difficult, potentially involving more incremental gains at a higher cost, because the conditions are less propitious than they were in Kherson and Kharkiv.

Ukraine still has a number of advantages, however. The winter will likely present greater issues for Russia than Ukraine, because the gap between units with better discipline and morale becomes greater when the weather is poor. The force fighting for Russia is increasingly involuntary—composed of mobilized men from Russia or Ukraine, short-term volunteers who are forced to continue serving, prisoners fighting for Wagner, and soldiers who previously refused to fight who are now being compelled to do so with the threat of criminal penalties—compared to Ukraine’s better-motivated military. Ukrainian soldiers also have clearer strategic goals than their Russian counterparts and the Ukrainian military’s leadership has proven to be competent and to prioritize troop welfare more than Russia’s. All of these factors are advantages that Ukraine can exploit.

Ukrainian special operations forces will likely play a key role over the winter months, now that Russia has a large coast to defend in the south, and Ukraine will probably make further attempts at offensive operations in the coming months when the ground freezes. As long as Ukraine continues to receive sufficient ammunition, particularly for artillery, and spare parts, it stands a good chance of retaking territory. That said, the conflict may become more attritional, seeing incremental gains instead of breakthrough operations. The question is whether these advantages will prove sufficient for Ukrainian forces to retake territory from entrenched Russian troops in layered defensive positions. Much will depend on how well Russia integrates mobilized soldiers into an effective fighting force and the level of foreign assistance both Ukraine and Russia continue to receive.

Despite numerous examples of poor conditions, minimal training, delayed payments, faulty equipment, incompetent leadership, and other problems (including a mass shooting at a training range), mobilized soldiers are providing Russia with more manpower. They’ve enabled the Russian military to stabilize vulnerable lines and conduct a withdrawal from Kherson. Poorly trained soldiers are of minimal value in offensive operations, as Russian infantry attacks at Bakhmut suggest, but it is easier to train someone to man a defensive position. Even elite units, such as the Russian Airborne Forces’ 331st Airborne Regimentand 155th Naval Infantry Brigade, are receiving mobilized soldiers as combat replacements. This is a significant vulnerability for Russia, but, thus far, mobilized soldiers appear to be more of an asset than a liability, though there is undoubtedly variance. The extent to which Russia can create semi-effective mobilized units or successfully integrate mobilized soldiers into existing units will be an important factor in how effectively Russia can sustain this war, particularly during the winter. If Russia fails to train, lead, and integrate mobilized soldiers properly, Ukraine may find an opportunity to achieve another breakthrough when the weather and ground conditions improve.

Another key factor for Russia and Ukraine is foreign support, especially in terms of artillery ammunition. Potential deals for artillery ammunition from North Korea and unmanned aerial vehicles or possibly surface-to-surface missiles from Iran, would likely affect how long Russia can continue this war. However, Ukraine’s war effort also depends heavily on external material support, which is constrained both by availability and policy restrictions. Ammunition availability might be the single most important factor that determines the course of the war in 2023, and that will depend on foreign stockpiles and production. As it stands, the Russian military will struggle to restore offensive potential, but it can drag out a stubborn defense. Ukraine appears advantaged long term, but the longer the war goes on, the greater the uncertainty, and advantage is not predictive of outcomes

 

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956 Worldwide

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Posted
Posted

More Kofman, this time almost entirely predictive. 

BLUF: Mobiks are shit at offensives but proving to be very good speed bumps. Ukraine badly needs air defense and the West’s ability to provide it will be a test of will and capacity. Ukraine has the advantage but Russia is going to make this very hard— and can do it.

 

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Nivek

Nivek 16945

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So I read about the Russian military leader dying and wondered if in history there is any precedence for replacing your leaders this often and getting the outcome you wanted.  I recall Athen's executed its generals after a surprise victory, (for failing to rescue sailors as a storm rolled in) and lost the war because of it.  

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22 minutes ago, Nivek said:

So I read about the Russian military leader dying and wondered if in history there is any precedence for replacing your leaders this often and getting the outcome you wanted.  I recall Athen's executed its generals after a surprise victory, (for failing to rescue sailors as a storm rolled in) and lost the war because of it.  

Lincoln churned through his generals before settling on Grant. 

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InkaUtexas

InkaUtexas 25986

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Yes Lincoln did. How many "died" or fell from windows? 

Saw that @atomheartbevo  Also Putin was supposed to visit and cancelled at the last moment. Coup? 

Last time there was a major purge it was done by Hitler. Did not work out well for him. Before that it was Stalin's purge. Also did not work out well. 

The French did one when the Para's tried to get a Coup going, but was unit specific, not across the military. 

 

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Nivek

Nivek 16945

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54 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Lincoln churned through his generals before settling on Grant. 

I think Lincoln's situation was different.  It seems more that he was seeking new leadership and not an adversarial one (McClellan) than what appears to be more of a purge that Putin is doing.   Or am I wrong?

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42 minutes ago, Nivek said:

I think Lincoln's situation was different.  It seems more that he was seeking new leadership and not an adversarial one (McClellan) than what appears to be more of a purge that Putin is doing.   Or am I wrong?

Russia is so opaque that it’s hard to know what is really happening. I’d be hesitant to call it a purge. It’s clear they’ve dissatisfied him and its mostly due to battlefield performance. And of course Putin isn’t Lincoln and has a different way of dealing with generals.  
 

In any case, Lincoln didn’t just fire McClellan, he also fired Burnside and Hooker, and McDowell, and basically forced Winfield Scott to resign. He absolutely churned through generals at a fantastic clip.

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