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Eastwood

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I know we’ve talked about this, but I think it’s important to note—  Seymour Hersh said up front that he’s publishing on substack because he is tired of dealing with mechanisms like fact-checkers, editors, and journalistic ethics. Many, many people are nodding along and agreeing that doing so makes him more credible than real journalists. 

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AUS-97HORN
AUS-97HORN

For the love of Christ woman,  stop posting the same fucking thing every 20 mins just to make your neurotic self feel better.     Bring something useful to the thread other than your inane babbli

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InkaUtexas
InkaUtexas

I volunteered today. Log/Admin role to replace people for 30-60 days. The operation is in the west, or should the Orcs win will be pulled back behind the NATO wall. Either way the humanitarian effort

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PTINS

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11 hours ago, InkaUtexas said:

Security at events like this is usually hidden. Could have been the person behind you. 

image.thumb.jpeg.a4126f65c25545fa771af60b55c1744f.jpeg

Or next to me.

image.thumb.jpeg.61d64b93276a73187cbf5cef1d01e839.jpeg

A few observations; (1,x,2 not shown) I spoke briefly with the 3 ladies on the front row, none of them spoke back. One of those smiled, his wife I think (red?). The one in front, zero sunshine, looked at me like Ossai looked at the Okla State QB. 

The facial expressions. CW. Bond villain (eyebrows), pride, and the 3 guys on the second row.  They appear to be locked-in and trying to process everything they're hearing.  Bet they never looked like that in class.

1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

And man, here's the thing, as I'm listening to this bonafide genius, one of the most brilliant people of the past half century, speak, I'm thinking to myself "yep.  yeah.  No shit.  Uh huh.  Yep, that's what I thought too.  And yes, that's what I think now."  Which leads you to think "well, shit....I must be a super brain genius TOO!"  Then, as you pause, you realize the humbling truth: "shit, if I can figure this shit out.....maybe it wasn't that hard to figure out at all."

Which DOES make it even more vexing that others don't seem to get it.  You don't have to be a Kasparov-level genius to get this shit -- after all, a bunch of assholes on a web forum devoted to football and cracks about South Austin's mom seem to get it.  So why don't MORE people get it?

Also, I forgot to bring an umbrella last night...

My thoughts, exactly. But, my reality, is that none of my closest family, friends, or colleagues have the opinion and understanding of Ukraine-Russia I do for the simple fact I read about it every day, and they don't. Is it a self-fulfilling prophecy because I immerse myself in all things Ukraine? No, I read Surly, I am enlightened, I'm a smart dude, I get it, I'm kinda like Kasparov.

Poor Brisket forgot his umbrella... ha ha ... rookie mistake... I forgot my wallet & cash.

Ok, maybe not like Kasparov.

1 hour ago, texasdago said:

I have to say... bummed out I didn't go to the Kasparov event.  Missed out on a great opportunity.

Reminded me of the UT lecture series after Watergate, hearing every swinging dick blaming the system, but one; Senator Sam Ervin, D., NC.  RIP. "The system worked. They broke the law, and got caught."

Seeing Alex Haley speak in the late 70's was awe inspiring. Over the next few years, we traced our family to the 1500's.

I sat next to the young sophs who brought their chess boards for an autograph. They came to see the Chess Grandmaster, knew very little about Russia-Ukraine. I gave them a short Surly brief before. After, the enlightenment they showed was refreshing. I told them, they would always remember tonight, not because of their autographed boards, but for what they heard. 

Last night, front row center, for Garry Kasparov; No question about being in the presence of greatness, by far the most intelligent person I've ever seen, heard, or shook hands with.

image.thumb.jpeg.5e4348cc24f81cde18de1ef2b1971821.jpeg

 

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InkaUtexas

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First meal I had in Austin (and beer with a damn good fake ID) was at the Posse. When my son was born and I was at the LBJ/ILAS I used to take him there. Used to let me park in the back on game days. Kid was known by the owners as Little Buddha. UT never lost when kid was in attendance. 

Damn I want a Turkey Sheriff and a pitcher of shiner now. 

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Brisketexan

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9 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Never was a Crown and Anchor fan. Posse East and their Turkey Sheriff for the win. 

I was more of a Posse denizen, for the biggest reason of it being approximately 150 yards closer to my apartment, and I was lazy.  I mean, was lazy, am lazy, always will be lazy, let's not quibble.  But I did very much enjoy a Crown burger and beer plenty o' times.

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686

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I know we’ve talked about this, but I think it’s important to note—  Seymour Hersh said up front that he’s publishing on substack because he is tired of dealing with mechanisms like fact-checkers, editors, and journalistic ethics. Many, many people are nodding along and agreeing that doing so makes him more credible than real journalists. 

He’s a nut, but until some governmental entity publishes any substantive findings and formal accusations, conspiracy theories will continue to circulate. Unless there is a reckoning in the Kremlin at some point, we may never know. In reading up on this stuff more, it seems like Russia has probably done this before:

“two explosions on the Mozdok–Tbilisi natural gas pipeline in North Ossetia on January 22, 2006. The explosions suspended gas supply to Georgia at a time when the weather was particularly cold, leading to allegations of deliberate energy blackmail carried out by the Russian government

The explosions took place with the backdrop of the 2006 Russia-Ukraine gas crisis that same month. They also coincided with sabotage on electricity lines just several miles from the pipeline, which descended large parts of Georgia into darkness. Due to these suspicious coincidences, Georgia accused Russia of conducting deliberate acts of sabotage with the aim of forcing the nation into surrendering its pipelines to Gazprom – the Russian state-owned monopoly.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Russia%E2%80%93Georgia_energy_crisis
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Brisketexan

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6 minutes ago, PTINS said:

image.thumb.jpeg.a4126f65c25545fa771af60b55c1744f.jpeg

Or next to me.

image.thumb.jpeg.61d64b93276a73187cbf5cef1d01e839.jpeg

A few observations; (1,x,2 not shown) I spoke briefly with the 3 ladies on the front row, none of them spoke back. One of those smiled, his wife I think (red?). The one in front, zero sunshine, looked at me like Ossai looked at the Okla State QB. 

The facial expressions. CW. Bond villain (eyebrows), pride, and the 3 guys on the second row.  They appear to be locked-in and trying to process everything they're hearing.  Bet they never looked like that in class.

My thoughts, exactly. But, my reality, is that none of my closest family, friends, or colleagues have the opinion and understanding of Ukraine-Russia I do for the simple fact I read about it every day, and they don't. Is it a self-fulfilling prophecy because I immerse myself in all things Ukraine? No, I read Surly, I am enlightened, I'm a smart dude, I get it, I'm kinda like Kasparov.

Poor Brisket forgot his umbrella... ha ha ... rookie mistake... I forgot my wallet & cash.

Ok, maybe not like Kasparov.

Reminded me of the UT lecture series after Watergate, hearing every swinging dick blaming the system, but one; Senator Sam Ervin, D., NC.  RIP. "The system worked. They broke the law, and got caught."

Seeing Alex Haley speak in the late 70's was awe inspiring. Over the next few years, we traced our family to the 1500's.

I sat next to the young sophs who brought their chess boards for an autograph. They came to see the Chess Grandmaster, knew very little about Russia-Ukraine. I gave them a short Surly brief before. After, the enlightenment they showed was refreshing. I told them, they would always remember tonight, not because of their autographed boards, but for what they heard. 

Last night, front row center, for Garry Kasparov; No question about being in the presence of greatness, by far the most intelligent person I've ever seen, heard, or shook hands with.

image.thumb.jpeg.5e4348cc24f81cde18de1ef2b1971821.jpeg

 

You and I were the bookends on that front row.  I was at the far end, dressed like a lawyer.  It really was an amazing discussion, and I wished it could have gone on longer.  I didn't stay for a photo, probably should have, but then, I've always made a point of deliberately NOT being a celeb-fawner (except for, you know, Susanna Hoffs).

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InkaUtexas

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4 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

I was more of a Posse denizen, for the biggest reason of it being approximately 150 yards closer to my apartment, and I was lazy.  I mean, was lazy, am lazy, always will be lazy, let's not quibble.  But I did very much enjoy a Crown burger and beer plenty o' times.

I know where you lived. Hell, depending on the year, might have shared a keg at those apartments. Meet you at the Posse anytime. 

My first dorm was Simpkins. Hall had the worst GPA of any floor on campus. We were proud of that. 

And yet, I have a successful career with an ILAS degree. 

Back to the thread. Fuck Russia and their invasion of Ukraine. Russia is a terrorist nation. Not just Putin, the nation. 

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Chris Dishman's Donut

Chris Dishman's Donut 192

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22 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

You and I were the bookends on that front row.  I was at the far end, dressed like a lawyer.  It really was an amazing discussion, and I wished it could have gone on longer.  I didn't stay for a photo, probably should have, but then, I've always made a point of deliberately NOT being a celeb-fawner (except for, you know, Susanna Hoffs).

Susanna Hoffs, you say?  Do tell.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yes, I'm aware.  Just here to tee things up.

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YGIFS

YGIFS 19449

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A very critical component of the Challenger 2 electronics system is designed/updated here in Austin, Texas.  Nice to know my neighbor will be helping blow up Russian soldiers beyond recognition.  I should buy him a drink, or at least help prune their yard.

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Kel Varnsen

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4 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

Also, I forgot to bring an umbrella last night, and had a 10 minute walk back to my car in the pouring rain.  I looked and felt like a wet dog when I got back in my car.  Must have looked pretty pathetic, as I was walking down Speedway, some student gal looked at me and said "you know, this is a Safe Ride Campus, if you call, someone can give you a ride."  Fuck you, missy, I'm a man, I've been rain-soaked before, I can take it.

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Gatorubet

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1 hour ago, 686 said:

Good article from Meduzza: Russian prisoners less interested in signing with Wagner of late, and the wardens are not cool with Wagner taking the best inmate labor (ha!)

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/02/08/less-charismatic-than-prigozhin

thank you for this link. The story was informative, but the site itself, and the links to all the other stories are really invaluable and helpful.

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statsman

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Good WSJ article on Bakhmut fighting-

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-ba ... nts_sector
 

Quote

BAKHMUT, Ukraine—Ukrainian artillery fire mangled the platoon of Russian soldiers advancing on this besieged city. Guided by a live video feed from an aerial drone, the guns cut down the first group of 20, a reconnaissance officer recalled. Then a further group of 20 were knocked out, followed by 10 more.

Later that same day in January, another 20 Russian soldiers trudged forward along the same path and managed to dig in at a new position in a wood a little closer to Bakhmut.

“I just don’t know when they’ll run out,” said the 33-year-old officer, Maj. Yuriy Harkaviy, who goes by the nom de guerre Skala, or the Rock. “Everywhere is already strewn with corpses.”

After months of retreats, Russia is gaining some ground in the east of Ukraine with a familiar tactic from the Soviet Red Army in World War II: the deployment of waves of humans with scant regard for their lives.

Russian forces have advanced house-by-house in Bakhmut and in towns and villages to its north and south, threatening Ukraine’s control of a city that Moscow has made its main immediate target. With only a thin supply line remaining, Ukraine is also taking heavy losses.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has said the aim of the invasion—seizing control of Ukraine—remains unchanged. He has sought to mobilize the country’s society and industry for a long war against what he describes as the West’s proxy government in Kyiv. Russia has a population more than triple the size of Ukraine’s. Despite Western estimates that nearly 200,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded in the war, there have been only small ripples of public discontent inside the country.

Even if Ukrainian troops are forced to withdraw from Bakhmut, the question remains whether Russia can successfully use such a slow and costly tactic more broadly. Ukrainian commanders say they are grinding down Russian forces, making them vulnerable to counterattacks. Ukraine has constructed strong defensive lines to the west of Bakhmut, and the plodding Russian advance shows no sign of scoring the kind of rapid breakthrough that could cause a broader Ukrainian collapse.

The bulk of Russian shock troops come from Wagner Group, a paramilitary unit that has recruited convicted criminals with pledges of clemency and payment in return for fixed-term service.

Col. Gen. Mykhailo Koval, a senior Ukrainian commander on the eastern front, described the Russian tactic as a sign of weakness. He said Ukraine had used high-precision rockets to destroy Russian ammunition stores in the east. As a result, he said, Russia is instead using untrained “cannon fodder” to dislodge Ukrainian defenders through relentless assaults.

“They want to terrorize us with them, but Wagner are just as vulnerable to bullets,” he said in an interview. “The edge of the city is covered in their corpses.”

Ukraine had taken the initiative in the months after Russia’s February 2022 invasion, repelling an assault on Kyiv then reclaiming territory in Kharkiv region to the northeast and Kherson in the south. Russia hastily shored up its defensive lines with thousands of draftees and Wagner recruits.

By December, Moscow had focused on Bakhmut as a target. Before the war, the city of some 80,000 was mostly known for its sparkling-wine factory. Bakhmut has little strategic value, Ukrainian commanders said. It has since taken on added psychological significance after Ukraine’s dogged defense over months and a December visit by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who called it “Fortress Bakhmut.”

The Kremlin has made seizing the whole of the eastern Donbas territory where the city is located a central war aim.

Ukrainian defenders in and around Bakhmut are a hodgepodge of units, including air-assault forces, border guards and military reserves.

Skala Battalion, Maj. Harkaviy’s volunteer assault-and-reconnaissance unit of more than 100 men, moved to Bakhmut after playing a key role defending Kharkiv region last summer. The Wall Street Journal has been following Skala’s men for months, through success and tragedy.

In Kharkiv, they worked in small mobile teams, launching drones to correct artillery fire to take out scores of Russian armored vehicles. In Bakhmut, by contrast, they found themselves under waves of infantry assaults.

In early December, a group of them were holding defensive positions in a village to the south of Bakhmut. Denys Pankevych, a 19-year-old volunteer fighter known as Kontrabas, said their enemy had a different kind of toughness.

“In the Kharkiv region, the Russians were cowardly. They emptied a magazine then withdrew,” Kontrabas said. “It’s not like that here.”

Fighting was heating up when a volunteer soldier in his early 30s known as Arkhip arrived one evening as part of a team to relieve Kontrabas’s group.

The following morning, Arkhip, a roofer who lived in Poland before the war, sent a friend a video of himself in a trench firing his rifle in bursts, apparently engaging Russian troops at close range. Three hours later, he was unreachable. When Skala’s men found his body three days later, it had six bullet wounds to the head, Kontrabas said, suggesting execution and desecration by Wagner.

Arkhip had been part of a group of eight volunteers who joined the defense of Kyiv in the early days of Russia’s invasion, then joined Skala Battalion to fight in the northeast.

Arkhip’s death was the group’s third. Two had already gone back to civilian life after exacerbating old injuries. One is recovering in a hospital from wounds caused by a land-mine explosion in September. Only two of the group remain at the front: Kontrabas and Nemo, a 39-year-old platoon leader, who was also injured in the September blast and has limited motion in his right hand.

“We’re running out of volunteers,” said Nemo, a former store-sign maker whose real name is Kostyantyn Rusanov.

In a bunker near Bakhmut last month, Nemo watched over a bank of screens showing live feeds from Ukrainian drones over the city. Russian infantry could be seen advancing in small groups without armored vehicles for support, which he said is typical of their recent tactics.

He directed artillery to target a group of five Russians creeping through the ruins of houses. After an explosion, two disappeared from view, one lay motionless on a road and two others pressed onward.

“Before, we could suppress a whole group of armored vehicles with one drone,” Nemo said. “Here, two or three people are running and it’s hard to catch them.”


The West is sending scores of armored fighting vehicles and powerful tanks to Ukraine. Kyiv hopes its troops will use them to punch through Russian lines and retake the initiative.

They may arrive too late to make a difference in Bakhmut.

For now, Ukrainian forces are seeking to hold the Russians off in close-quarter combat—and for that, they say they need more artillery and ammunition, and more eyes in the sky. Nemo said they lack enough drones to spot targets and direct artillery—especially more-expensive models with night-vision cameras that would allow them to work in the dark, when the Russians seek to creep forward.

“We wake up in the morning, and the picture looks completely different,” Nemo said.

It’s mentally tiring work, he said. “Every day you see how 30 or 50 people die. And they don’t stop,” he said. “How can they go to a certain death, and for what?”

Each drone team consists of a pilot and an aide. One recent morning, a pilot called John took up position in an abandoned office building just over a mile from the front lines. With the help of his aide, he set up a Starlink mobile-internet terminal powered by a battery.

The aide, a local man called Pragma for his pragmatism, launched the quadcopter drone. John sent it coursing northward, and within a couple of minutes he spotted a Russian mortar team that was targeting houses where Ukrainian troops were sheltering. One of the Russian crew was wearing white winter camouflage that was clearly visible against the green and brown of the earth and bushes.

Watching a live video feed on a tablet, the pilot’s aide called in artillery strikes, which forced the Russian team to withdraw.

He described Russian tactics that he observed over days monitoring their movements.

“They take one building. We strike them and strike them, and the building collapses. They go into the basement. And in that way they go building by building,” said John, who before the war worked in his family’s wooden-pallet manufacturer.

Rather than firing again to destroy the mortar, he sent the drone to seek other targets. Better to wait, he said, in case the soldiers returned. A skilled mortar team would be a higher-value score than just the weapon itself.

Fueled by peanut M&Ms, a cereal bar, and kids’ fruit purées, he planned to fly all day, using a dozen batteries for flights of around 20 to 30 minutes.

The Wagner fighters are badly equipped, sometimes lacking body armor or even basic uniforms, Ukrainian soldiers said. But they fight with greater zeal than regular Russian units, which tend to withdraw or surrender when they meet Ukrainian resistance.

Ukrainian soldiers speculate on what drives the Wagner fighters to risk death to take ruins in a foreign land. Some suggest the Russians are more afraid of reprisals from their own side for failing to advance than of Ukrainian troops. One Wagner fighter who was captured by Skala’s unit gave interviews to Ukrainian media suggesting he wished to switch sides. He was later exchanged for Ukrainian prisoners, Ukrainian officials said. Later, he appeared in a video published on social media where he is killed by a sledgehammer blow to the head.

Gen. Koval recalled a radio intercept he heard of a Wagner commander reporting a dozen wounded men.

“Dump the baggage,” came the response.

After five minutes of silence, the commander reported it was done, Gen. Koval said, which he said he took to mean that they had been executed.

At his command post in Bakhmut, Maj. Harkaviy, the Skala Battalion leader, received a call from an artillery commander who was ready to fire on a target: a factory the Russians were using as a base for assault teams.

The Russians had taken their injured to the factory, which Skala’s men had monitored. They spotted flashes, indicating heavier weapons there. They saw what looked like an antitank gun and an automatic grenade launcher.

One of Skala’s men, his voice hoarse from a throat infection, gave the coordinates. The first round missed the target, but the second hit the factory with an explosion of bricks and dust.

“Oh, excellent!” cried Skala. “Very productive.”

Ukrainian casualties are growing, too. Skala counted four dead over five days in January. One guide who knew the basements under the wine factory was killed by a shell while bringing out 15 soldiers caught behind rapidly changing front lines. Two machine-gunners and a drone pilot were killed by a high-precision strike at the factory.

“I need men. Good men. Spirited men,” he said. “Experience isn’t the most important thing. Here, the most experienced person can live for one day, and the least experienced person for months. It’s roulette.”

Oksana Grytsenko contributed to this article.

Write to James Marson at james.marson@wsj.com

 

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RDCanecutter

RDCanecutter 26246

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1 hour ago, YGIFS said:

A very critical component of the Challenger 2 electronics system is designed/updated here in Austin, Texas.  Nice to know my neighbor will be helping blow up Russian soldiers beyond recognition.  I should buy him a drink, or at least help prune their yard.

Lucas relocated to Austin?

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956 Worldwide

956 Worldwide 34412

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One of the things that’s worth looking at with this pipeline/Hersh thing is just how similar the info op is to other info ops— namely MH-17.  I know surly isn’t taken in with this, I’m not trying to convince you- just drawing some dots on how this works. You may remember from MH-17 that various Kremlin adjacent sources cycled through several theories before settling on “Ukraine shot it down,” including “it was a plane full of dead bodies.” 
 

So, back to the NS sabotage. Last fall the Kremlin announced that the UK did it. Not some gray zone disinfo outlet. Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesperson, announced that the UK bombed the pipelines. 
 

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2022/11/1/russia-accuses-uk-of-directing-nord-stream-blasts

 

This was an extraordinary claim, and of course there was no evidence. Nevertheless— the Russians have already attributed blame to the British. Full stop, as our friends across the pond say. 
 

Now, Seymour Hersh has a scoop! America blew up the pipeline! Joe Biden, personally, directed it. Hersh mentions many different countries in his blog, the UK is notably not one of them. 
 

And of course, Hersh never mentions that the Kremlin has already attributed this attack to someone else. Not even obliquely. At the bare minimum, an honest reporter would point out that “according to my investigation, the actual truth is in conflict with the official version promoted by the Kremlin.” 
 

More notably— not a single amplifier who is excited about this “scoop” has bothered to point out that either Hersh is wrong, or the Kremlin lied to the world last fall when it blamed the UK. There is no second option. But the Kremlin’s official account is down the memory hole, like it never happened. 
 

This is the power of lying not just sometimes, but all the time. When it’s expected and accepted, you are never held accountable. 

 

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InkaUtexas

InkaUtexas 25486

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1 hour ago, YGIFS said:

BAE Systems Land & Armaments.  One of the advance tech divisions sent to Austin a couple of years ago.  The current manufacturing/upgrades are handled by a new DC.  But the updates to existing systems are done, in small part, here in Austin.  

Shhhhhh... we don't want to be on Russia's nuke radar. We are already on North Korea's. 

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