Русский корабль - иди нахуй

[Hook1997 5486]

https://apple.news/AfE1gGnQhS1uM4fX61DX6tg

Things not going well in the Donbas region.  

Russian troops have reached the centre of Vuhledar, a bastion on strategic high ground in eastern Ukraine's industrial Donbas region that had resisted Russian assaults since Moscow's full-scale invasion, a regional Ukrainian official said on Tuesday.

[DDD Dad 14571]

On 9/25/2024 at 5:22 PM, Brisketexan said:

You mispelled "Las Malvinas," you dirty Inglaterran bastard.

Csb my mom was born there. 

[KYHorn 17564]

 

 A video has been posted online that allegedly shows the explosion of a powerful bomb in Vovchansk, Kharkiv region. Some Russian military experts write that this is the first use of the ODAB-9000 vacuum bomb, which is called the “Kuzkin's father” and “father of all bombs” and is considered the most powerful non-nuclear munition in the world - the equivalent of 44,000 kg of TNT. However, others claim that it is a thermobaric bomb, ODAB-1500, which was dropped after a failed “meat assault” by the Russians. 

[Bill Lumbergh 7337]

22 hours ago, Deej said:

I'm sure the UN will get right on that. 

[KYHorn 17564]

8 hours ago, Hook1997 said:

https://apple.news/AfE1gGnQhS1uM4fX61DX6tg

Things not going well in the Donbas region.  

Russian troops have reached the centre of Vuhledar, a bastion on strategic high ground in eastern Ukraine's industrial Donbas region that had resisted Russian assaults since Moscow's full-scale invasion, a regional Ukrainian official said on Tuesday.

Detailed analysis of how it occurred. It's also worth mentioning the extreme losses Russia has suffered over the last year in trying to capture Vuhledar

 

Russia has attacked Vuhledar several times over the past two years, but this current attack began on September 25th, 2023, when Russia launched its full-scale attack on Novomykhailivka. Ukraine fended off the attack for nearly 7 months but ultimately lost the town on April 21st, almost entirely due to airstrikes that annihilated it. During the assault on Novomykhailivka, which Russia saw as one of its primary objectives last winter, Ukraine destroyed well over 300 Russian vehicles during the primary assault and probably another 300 during secondary and tertiary assaults. Next came the battle for Kostyantynivka, which lasted several more months before Russia managed to break into the middle of the village. Ukraine ultimately decided to withdraw from its defense of the western part of the town on August 27th, and this withdrawal, I believe, was the beginning of the end for Vuhledar. It started a chain reaction. During the battle for Kostyantynivka, Russia began to push toward Vodiane. They made it near the highway by the time Ukraine retreated from Kostyantynivka, but almost a week before Ukraine left Kostyantynivka, Russia managed to capture the trench line defending the highway. These events were so close in time that they were not a coincidence. I think either Ukraine decided to withdraw from the highway because of Kostyantynivka or they decided to withdraw from Kostyantynivka because of the highway. I don't know which. Regardless, also running concurrently with the primary assaults on Kostyantynivka, Russia began a massive air campaign on Prechystivka. I tried to raise alarm bells on this several times; it was highly concerning and reminded me of their behavior in Novomykhailivka. After many months of near-continuous airstrikes, Russia launched a large and pretty sudden assault on the town beginning on August 26th, capturing it on September 3rd, ultimately collapsing the western flank of Vuhledar and pushing across the Kashlahach River in multiple places with large numbers of troops in each instance. Losing Kostyantynivka and the highway near Vodiane made defending Vuhledar extremely questionable; losing these river crossings made it practically impossible. The fact that all three occurred within 17 days, after many months of preparation and planning, shows how coordinated the attack on Vuhledar was. Then came the capture of Vodiane itself (around September 8th,9th,10th) and, quickly after that, the capture or partial capture of both mines (September 9th and 15th) near Vuhledar, thus completing a near encirclement that ended any prospect for the defense of the city. And, of course, Russia captured Vuhledar on October 1st. This well-planned, multiphase attack on Vuhledar lasted roughly 1 year + 1 week. During this time, Russia implemented new (for them) ideas for breaking through Ukrainian defenses, iterated on those ideas, and learned from its mistakes. I expect them to follow this same basic format going forward, with further iterations designed to reduce their casualties and losses. Russia cannot survive more Novomykhailivkas, but they can do Prechystivkas forever. And that is a real problem.

 

 Lessons for Ukraine: ATGMs are extremely vital for defense. You need ATGMs and positions to fire them from. In order to fire, you need to be above the ground, you often see them inside houses, on roofs, etc. But these positions are easy targets for guided missiles and guided bombs. Maybe Ukraine should be building more defensive structures like the anthill: large earth structures. You saw similar defensive positions north of Novomykhailivka, and those positions, even with air support, could not be captured by Russia. Russia had to outflank them and force Ukraine to abandon them. Constructing large earth structures, lined with concrete, could resist Russian airpower, enable you to take advantage of ATGMs, and offer strong points capable of withstanding determined Russian assaults. Road construction is vital. You need to get supplies to the front, especially to well defended areas that are under attack. The anthill, for example, was not lost due to its destruction or being overwhelming with Russian power. It was lost because the road supplying it was destroyed, and the casualties from resupply and troop rotation became so high people refused to do it anymore. I believe Ukraine has the knowledge and resources to build defenses that are capable of standing up to Russian airpower, and they have done so in the past. But they need to begin doing it again. The defensive line that was build in 2014, 2015, 2016 is gone. They have to make a new one, of similar or greater quality. Learning from the mistakes made with the first, and iterating on the successes.

Also, all of Ukraine's most successful defensive positions were not along tree lines. They were in the middle of a field, using manmade positions in the middle, not natural defensive barriers. You need bunkers that are deep enough to survive airstrikes, strong enough to resist collapse, and large enough to safely keep enough men to defend the position. You need to build up off the ground, not merely dig trenches, but to get up so you can see the enemy approaching. And then, in that higher position, dig trenches and bunkers. On anthill, for example, they first dug down to build a bunker, they piled earth above the bunker to be meters tall, and then dug trenches into that earth. So you had trenches several meters above ground on top of a bunker. This sort of earthen defensive structure, lined with concrete, has proven to be very effective. Much more effective than simple trench systems.

[Nivek 17330]

So, no pincer moves?

[BamaATL 16593]

Nothing to see here

 

[Gatorubet 30627]

1 hour ago, BamaATL said:

Nothing to see here

 

“Western news lies.   Supreme leader tells me many soldiers, hundreds of thousands of soldiers, are in North Siberia, hunting reindeer on special mission to test guns.   They won’t be home to be counted.

He also gave us these many bottles of vodka.  Russia, one great country.  I go to Ukraine next week, But Lieutenant with one arm tells me the war is about over and to find washing machine to take home to woman with baby she says mine. “

[RPM 26559]

A few pages back there was discussion of old ordinance left behind that will need to be cleared.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-wwii-bomb-explodes-japan-airport-runway-flights-canceled/

An unexploded U.S. bomb from World War II that had been buried at a Japanese airport exploded Wednesday, causing a large crater in a taxiway and the cancellation of more than 80 flights but no injuries, Japanese officials said.

Land and Transport Ministry officials said there were no aircraft nearby when the bomb exploded at Miyazaki Airport in southwestern Japan.

Officials said an investigation by the Self-Defense Forces and police confirmed that the explosion was caused by a 500-pound U.S. bomb and there was no further danger. They were determining what caused its sudden detonation.

A video recorded by a nearby aviation school showed the blast spewing pieces of asphalt into the air like a fountain. Videos broadcast on Japanese television showed a crater in the taxiway reportedly about 7 yards in diameter and 3 feet deep.

Miyazaki Airport was built in 1943 as a former Imperial Japanese Navy flight training field from which some kamikaze pilots took off on suicide attack missions.

A number of unexploded bombs dropped by the U.S. military during World War II have been unearthed in the area, Defense Ministry officials said.

Other unexploded ordinance dropped by the United States was reportedly found at a nearby construction site in 2009 and 2011.

Hundreds of tons of unexploded bombs from the war remain buried around Japan and are sometimes dug up at construction sites.

A total of 2,348 bombs weighing 41 tons were disposed of during fiscal year 2023, the Reuters news agency reported, citing the Self-Defense Force.

Last year, a World War II bomb that was found in England exploded in what authorities are calling an "unplanned" detonation.

[BamaATL 16593]

Good hunting

 

[atomheartbevo 90544]

Yesterday, Putin met with the head of Russian energy minister and his relative Sergey Tsivilev.

Officially, they discussed summer power cuts in the Russian south. However, several Russian Telegram channels wrote that the real focus of their meeting was de-privatization of the Russian fuel and energy complex and creating a state corporation with Lukoil, Rosneft and Rosneftegaz.

Today, Peskov did not deny or confirm these reports. "I have nothing to say on this matter," he told journalists.

Putin has already nationalized several Russian companies, including foreign ones that decided to leave Russia after the full-scale invasion.

Putin wants to keep key Russian economic sectors under his full control.

[atomheartbevo 90544]

 

 

[atomheartbevo 90544]

 

[Chad Fuck 18088]

Yesterday, Putin met with the head of Russian energy minister and his relative Sergey Tsivilev.
Officially, they discussed summer power cuts in the Russian south. However, several Russian Telegram channels wrote that the real focus of their meeting was de-privatization of the Russian fuel and energy complex and creating a state corporation with Lukoil, Rosneft and Rosneftegaz.
Today, Peskov did not deny or confirm these reports. "I have nothing to say on this matter," he told journalists.
Putin has already nationalized several Russian companies, including foreign ones that decided to leave Russia after the full-scale invasion.
Putin wants to keep key Russian economic sectors under his full control.

Good. The more he controls the less efficient - and closer to collapse - it all gets.

[Captainant 28383]

3 minutes ago, Chad Fuck said:

Good. The more he controls the less efficient - and closer to collapse - it all gets.

Strikingly similar to other dictators of the past, notably the last person dumb enough to invade Ukraine too

[atomheartbevo 90544]

1 hour ago, Chad Fuck said:

Good. The more he controls the less efficient - and closer to collapse - it all gets.

It's interesting that he's nationalizing these energy companies while at the same shutting down the census.  Those things are really bad signs for his Special Military Operation. Also means he thinks he's in it for the long haul.

[elfenix 34658]

4 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

 

Too bad Grumman didn't get to pursue the Super Tomcat the way McD developed the Super Hornet. I went down that internet rabbit hole for about a week. 

Edited October 3 by elfenix

[atomheartbevo 90544]

 

Dutch view on things (he's a really good analyst)

 

[KYHorn 17564]

I think we have some idea of its success 

 

Edited October 3 by KYHorn

[KYHorn 17564]

Crossover strikes! 

Syria TV: Israel bombed Russia's Hmeimim airbase an hour after the arrival of an Iranian plane belonging to "Qeshm" Airlines. The Israeli strike did not target the runways or towers at Hmeimim Airbase and Latakia's civilian airport. The bombing targeted other military sites in Latakia province simultaneously with hitting the warehouse inside Hmeimim Airbase. The Israeli bombardment began at 3:55 AM and ended at 4:41 AM, involving thirty missiles launched from naval ships. A Russian air patrol hovered over Latakia after the Israeli strike ended.

 

 

Edited October 3 by KYHorn

[Chad Fuck 18088]

9 hours ago, Captainant said:

Strikingly similar to other dictators of the past, notably the last person dumb enough to invade Ukraine too

That's who I had in mind.

[Chad Fuck 18088]

7 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

 

Dutch view on things (he's a really good analyst)

 

Can you give us the short version?  As much as I'd like it, I don't have two hours to burn on these guys.

[MillerEP 30830]

https://www.threads.net/@tsua_23/post/DAqnmJqohGM?xmt=AQGzkZEGxVii9fYD-sEE5d2sJEbgG8PuwO7xCReDO3Qe3A

Borysoglibsk military airfield in the Voronezh region of Russia was attacked by drones during the night .
Warehouses where KAB bombs were stored, the Su-35 and Su-34 aircraft parking lots, as well as aviation fuel storage facilities were the targets.
Explosions and multiple fires were recorded on the territory of "Borysoglibsk" airfield.
 

https://www.threads.net/@noelreports/post/DAqfq9Pt035?xmt=AQGzkZEGxVii9fYD-sEE5d2sJEbgG8PuwO7xCReDO3Qe3A

A Russian dug-out literally smoked out.

[RPM 26559]

Ukes seem to have found a loophole using thermite instead of napalm.

[MillerEP 30830]

https://www.threads.net/@ghostoflviv_/post/DAqwgwySt2-?xmt=AQGzyqGoF2Bcca0CbvcPoDqoqVrRw0EWZNmoRag5p3x3ZA

Earlier today, Ukraine carried out a drone attack on a target in the Kurchatov district of Kursk Oblast, Russia.

 

https://www.threads.net/@kyivindependent_official/post/DAqz88xInse?xmt=AQGzyqGoF2Bcca0CbvcPoDqoqVrRw0EWZNmoRag5p3x3ZA

⚡️ Gazprom becomes Russia's least profitable company in 2023, Forbes reports.Russian gas giant Gazprom was ranked as the most unprofitable company in Russia last year, ending 2023 with a record net loss of $6.1 billion, Forbes Russia reported on Oct. 3.

[NorthLoop 14420]

1 hour ago, MillerEP said:

 

https://www.threads.net/@noelreports/post/DAqfq9Pt035?xmt=AQGzkZEGxVii9fYD-sEE5d2sJEbgG8PuwO7xCReDO3Qe3A

A Russian dug-out literally smoked out.

I was kinda hoping to see Uncle Owen and Aunt Beru come crawling out of there. 

[Parliament 14556]

1 hour ago, MillerEP said:

https://www.threads.net/@tsua_23/post/DAqnmJqohGM?xmt=AQGzkZEGxVii9fYD-sEE5d2sJEbgG8PuwO7xCReDO3Qe3A

Borysoglibsk military airfield in the Voronezh region of Russia was attacked by drones during the night .
Warehouses where KAB bombs were stored, the Su-35 and Su-34 aircraft parking lots, as well as aviation fuel storage facilities were the targets.
Explosions and multiple fires were recorded on the territory of "Borysoglibsk" airfield.
 

https://www.threads.net/@noelreports/post/DAqfq9Pt035?xmt=AQGzkZEGxVii9fYD-sEE5d2sJEbgG8PuwO7xCReDO3Qe3A

A Russian dug-out literally smoked out.

NGL I was hoping we’d see some Russians come running out on fire.

[RPM 26559]

5 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

I was kinda hoping to see Uncle Owen and Aunt Beru come crawling out of there. 

[Trey3216 15450]

26 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

I was kinda hoping to see Uncle Owen and Aunt Beru come crawling out of there. 

They did not have the high ground...

[atomheartbevo 90544]

3 hours ago, Chad Fuck said:

Can you give us the short version?  As much as I'd like it, I don't have two hours to burn on these guys.

Perun one is what it sounds like (and you can easily listen to it in the background), discussing how the Russians got lazy (similar to how they were lazy with their borders/Kursk).

The Anders Puck Nielsen one gets into strategies and about how the Russians are still able to sustain the losses that they are because they have so much old equipment that they are rushing to the front, but that they are headed towards a point where they will run out, maybe sooner rather than later. They may have culminated already and he's arguing that.

There's actually some OSINT people who have been looking at satellite photos (and he's referencing some of this) and they are looking at long-term storage at various military bases (the Russians love to store their stuff out in the open) and seeing those storage bases emptying out and seeing bases and repair depots closer to Ukraine growing in numbers of tanks, etc. so people are able to see Russia emptying out their storage.

It's like if we were fighting Mexico, and were having to go dig our M60 tanks out of storage.

Edited October 3 by atomheartbevo

[Chad Fuck 18088]

1 hour ago, Parliament said:

NGL I was hoping we’d see some Russians come running out on fire.

 

[statsman 5675]

https://www.wsj.com/arts-culture/film/intercepted-review-eavesdropping-on-evil-in-the-ukraine-war-c667578e?st=WmXxgK&reflink=mobilewebshare_permalink

[MillerEP 30830]

edit: this was not what it was initially reported as.

 

https://www.threads.net/@noelreports/post/DArH2GoKSL2?xmt=AQGzPJYgbHHuHMLELfNchlHTQ4rMO7_lH2LUXJLm5A-S7A

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha hinted at "historic decisions that will bring Ukraine closer to victory" following a conversation with U.S. Secretary of State Blinken.

 

^"historic" or another nothing burger?

Edited October 3 by MillerEP

[MagicSoccerSpray 1736]

 

[Chad Fuck 18088]

25 minutes ago, MillerEP said:

https://www.threads.net/@ghostoflviv_/post/DAq8FfTymJW?xmt=AQGz-cXdlsBinhKWJHwcpP7tYUZv_T1AL9yJ-U7j06FqqA

Wagner group in Mali ran into some trouble again.

 

https://www.threads.net/@noelreports/post/DArH2GoKSL2?xmt=AQGzPJYgbHHuHMLELfNchlHTQ4rMO7_lH2LUXJLm5A-S7A

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha hinted at "historic decisions that will bring Ukraine closer to victory" following a conversation with U.S. Secretary of State Blinken.

 

^"historic" or another nothing burger?

First link just shows me dogs? 

[MillerEP 30830]

22 minutes ago, Chad Fuck said:

First link just shows me dogs? 

Sorry he took it down, it wasn't what he initially reported it as.

[MillerEP 30830]

https://www.threads.net/@nickmelnick.osint/post/DArOh2-RmdD?xmt=AQGzNiVBBbLiREMBbA1wif82V86YGk99-Q45CYNCTUQqBg

🇷🇺⚡️🇺🇦 A Ukrainian soldier in close combat eliminates 4 Russian soldiers who were hiding in shell craters in the Avdiivka direction.

 

https://www.threads.net/@24hoursofukraine/post/DAqbM7uNBIs?xmt=AQGzNiVBBbLiREMBbA1wif82V86YGk99-Q45CYNCTUQqBg

Wooohooooo 🎉🥳👏
🇷🇴🇺🇦 Ukraine has received a Patriot missile system from Romania.
♥️THANK YOU ROMANIA

[KYHorn 17564]

 

IRAN IS MEDIATING DISCUSSIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE HOUTHI TO EQUIP THE GROUP WITH ADVANCED ANTI-SHIP MISSILES. 🇷🇺 🇮🇷

Russia is in discussions with the Houthis, via Iran, to transfer long-range Onyx anti-ship missiles for use against Western ships.

The Houthis have already been targeting military and commercial vessels in the Red Sea.

In June, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that if the West continues to allow Ukraine to strike Russia, Moscow could supply long-range weapons to forces willing to retaliate against Western nations.

Source: Reuters, The Times of Israel

Comparison of the land control between Ukraine and Russia. Left picture is October 2023, right October 2024.

Situation in 2023 by numbers

Ukrainian Control (Oct, 2023):
490,400 square kilometers (189,350 square miles)

Russian Control (Oct, 2023):
111,100 square kilometers (42,900 sqm)

Situation in 2024 by numbers

Ukrainian Control (Oct, 2024): 
488,700 square kilometers (188,700 square miles) 
Additionally 1,100 sqkm (420 sqm) Russian territory held by Ukraine

Russian Control (Oct, 2024): 
112,700 square kilometers (43,400 sqm)

Overall:

During the last 12 months Russia achieved a net surplus in additional land by around 600 square kilometers (240 square miles), which is roughly 0.1% of Ukraine's total size.

 

[B00M 6725]

13 minutes ago, KYHorn said:

 

IRAN IS MEDIATING DISCUSSIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE HOUTHI TO EQUIP THE GROUP WITH ADVANCED ANTI-SHIP MISSILES. 🇷🇺 🇮🇷

Russia is in discussions with the Houthis, via Iran, to transfer long-range Onyx anti-ship missiles for use against Western ships.

The Houthis have already been targeting military and commercial vessels in the Red Sea.

In June, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that if the West continues to allow Ukraine to strike Russia, Moscow could supply long-range weapons to forces willing to retaliate against Western nations.

Source: Reuters, The Times of Israel

Comparison of the land control between Ukraine and Russia. Left picture is October 2023, right October 2024.

Situation in 2023 by numbers

Ukrainian Control (Oct, 2023):
490,400 square kilometers (189,350 square miles)

Russian Control (Oct, 2023):
111,100 square kilometers (42,900 sqm)

Situation in 2024 by numbers

Ukrainian Control (Oct, 2024): 
488,700 square kilometers (188,700 square miles) 
Additionally 1,100 sqkm (420 sqm) Russian territory held by Ukraine

Russian Control (Oct, 2024): 
112,700 square kilometers (43,400 sqm)

Overall:

During the last 12 months Russia achieved a net surplus in additional land by around 600 square kilometers (240 square miles), which is roughly 0.1% of Ukraine's total size.

 

This needs pinned. Russia is winning the same way I’d be winning by slamming my dick in a drawer if my goal was to break the drawer. Sure, one day, but…

[Parliament 14556]

Does it also include a promise to not target ships carrying Chinese goods? 

[dimyh 1881]

Medusa reporting that the new 2025-2027 budget proposal by the Kremlin is projecting 41% of federal spending to go directly for defense/military. They are sweating public opinion and trying to figure out how to spin this shit stroganoff to the masses.

 

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/10/02/it-could-become-a-trigger-fearing-public-discontent-the-kremlin-tells-russian-state-media-not-to-report-on-its-defense-spending-hike

 

[KYHorn 17564]

16 minutes ago, Parliament said:

Does it also include a promise to not target ships carrying Chinese goods? 

I can't speak for him, but I'm sure he's willing to not slam his dick against Chinese ships.

[Deej 77667]

21 minutes ago, dimyh said:

Medusa reporting that the new 2025-2027 budget proposal by the Kremlin is projecting 41% of federal spending to go directly for defense/military. They are sweating public opinion and trying to figure out how to spin this shit stroganoff to the masses.

 

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/10/02/it-could-become-a-trigger-fearing-public-discontent-the-kremlin-tells-russian-state-media-not-to-report-on-its-defense-spending-hike

 

I thought Russians liked shit stroganoff?

[Tuco 5093]

9 hours ago, MillerEP said:

https://www.threads.net/@kyivindependent_official/post/DAqz88xInse?xmt=AQGzyqGoF2Bcca0CbvcPoDqoqVrRw0EWZNmoRag5p3x3ZA

⚡️ Gazprom becomes Russia's least profitable company in 2023, Forbes reports.Russian gas giant Gazprom was ranked as the most unprofitable company in Russia last year, ending 2023 with a record net loss of $6.1 billion, Forbes Russia reported on Oct. 3.

If that's the case, it would make sense to nationalize the the company.  Private companies either make money or cut head count. 

[Parliament 14556]

Let’s drop some thermite on some tanks.  Just because.

 

[Schulz2.0 29241]

 

[HellesBier 190]

Not sure if it was a drone or a missile but something hit Kyiv early this morning and killed a mom and her 2 children. Russia is getting through to Kyiv for the first time in awhile. 

[NotActuallyALonghorn 4998]

7 hours ago, Parliament said:

Let’s drop some thermite on some tanks.  Just because.

 

They probably just wanted to see if it would work. 

[B00M 6725]

Encouraging

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/39907
 

Quote

Tables Are Turned, Russian Troops Complaining of Shell Famine – Russian Milblogger

Recent successful Ukrainian strikes on major Russian ammunition storage sites are being reflected by shortages of shells for Moscow’s frontline troops…

 

[Brisketexan 106615]

14 hours ago, B00M said:

This needs pinned. Russia is winning the same way I’d be winning by slamming my dick in a drawer if my goal was to break the drawer. Sure, one day, but…

Iranian shipments of anti-ship missiles to Houthis is one of those things I'd be A-OK with us taking out en route.  Find out an Iranian ship is loaded with anti-ship missiles and is heading the Houthi's way?  Sink that fucker.  They're gonna ship em by plane?  Do what Israel did to the Russian airfield in Syria the other day.  Green light the fuck out of taking out missiles intended to target shipping.  Fuck, I'd be good with taking out the facilities where they are manufactured and stored inside Iran, if Iran seems intent on that level of FAFO.