Русский корабль - иди нахуй

[MillerEP 30844]

1 hour ago, Gengs1 said:

Ain’t nobody fucking with Afghanistan, they kicked the Brit’s, Russians and USA punted. I guess China can give it a try. 

Funny you should say that. Iran has been recently:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-62370108

[Schulz2.0 29247]

10 minutes ago, MillerEP said:

Funny you should say that. Iran has been recently:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-62370108

[MillerEP 30844]

I should also add there is still an anti-Taliban rebellion doing some good work in Panjshir province. 

[Bateshorn 9989]

Dude, the Serbians just leased their second Airbus 330 (ie a euro 737). A used one at that.

Doesn’t mean they won’t go to war on their neighbors, but….

[Sawbonz 28093]

8 hours ago, MillerEP said:

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[The Dog 44777]

 

[Parliament 14573]

Poisoned?  Like he drank old milk?  Weird.

[Bevo 13831]

Any oil and gas guys here? Just curious with the US and the world in recession, how long do you think gas prices will remain high after the war ends? Off the cuff, I think Russia would be basically in anarchy if Putin loses power so I assume Russian oil will be off the market for a long time if Ukraine wins.

[Etexhorn13 3091]

5 hours ago, The Dog said:

 

Could someone explain the significance of this?

[The Dog 44777]

21 minutes ago, Etexhorn13 said:

Could someone explain the significance of this?

NATO has troops in Kosovo who will fuck Serbia's shit up if they start anything.

The Russians aren't coming because the troops they would use to help were killed in Ukraine.

 

Edited August 1, 2022 by The Dog

[Scheiss Meister 8454]

22 minutes ago, Etexhorn13 said:

Could someone explain the significance of this?

Serbs are clients and allies of Russia and are trying to stir shit in the Balkans to distract NATO from Ukraine and increase the likelihood of general conflict spreading.  Problem for the Serbs is that a) Russia doesn't have the arms and supplies to send that they used to, b) with the sanctions it would be much harder for the Russians to get anything of significance to Serbia, and c) Serbia would basically be facing NATO alone.  This is like the saber-rattling that Belarus has been doing: full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

@The Dog is quicker and more succinct.

Edited August 1, 2022 by Scheiss Meister

[InkaUtexas 26815]

1995-98 in Bosnia. The serbs can suck an aggy asshole. Fuckers are great at blowing up markets and wells, suck at winning. 

 

[Schulz2.0 29247]

 

[DaggerHorns 3150]

8 hours ago, Bevo said:

Any oil and gas guys here? Just curious with the US and the world in recession, how long do you think gas prices will remain high after the war ends? Off the cuff, I think Russia would be basically in anarchy if Putin loses power so I assume Russian oil will be off the market for a long time if Ukraine wins.

The US isn’t in a recession. Technicals prove that many other countries are.

OPEC needs a supply increase for it to go down. We have many ways of stepping up production here locally but we aren’t for many reasons.

[utee94 16071]

9 hours ago, Bevo said:

Any oil and gas guys here? Just curious with the US and the world in recession, how long do you think gas prices will remain high after the war ends? Off the cuff, I think Russia would be basically in anarchy if Putin loses power so I assume Russian oil will be off the market for a long time if Ukraine wins.

 

1 hour ago, DaggerHorns said:

The US isn’t in a recession. Technicals prove that many other countries are.

OPEC needs a supply increase for it to go down. We have many ways of stepping up production here locally but we aren’t for many reasons.

Also, barring catastrophic destruction inside of Russia of its oil and gas production and transportation infrastructure, I don't believe Russian oil would go off the market.  There would be an internal struggle for control of the profits, but I'd expect the production to continue.

[Tex48 852]

1 hour ago, Bevo said:

Any oil and gas guys here? Just curious with the US and the world in recession, how long do you think gas prices will remain high after the war ends? Off the cuff, I think Russia would be basically in anarchy if Putin loses power so I assume Russian oil will be off the market for a long time if Ukraine wins.

Their oil is still being used and they haven't decreased production. It's just going to countries like China and India. They also are transporting the oil in neutral ships and shipping their gas through their own LNG terminals to avoid sanctions. If Russian oil is back on the market, I think prices might go down a bit but I think the market remains tight.

[DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt 12301]

Have we discussed India much in this thread? Because fuck India.

[BabaYaga 15535]

3 minutes ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

Have we discussed India much in this thread? Because fuck India.

You mean the guys buying cheap oil and turning around and selling it to us at a premium?  Those guys? 

[utee94 16071]

4 minutes ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

Have we discussed India much in this thread? Because fuck India.

I think we all kind of just gave up on them back in March.  

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[Bevo 13831]

26 minutes ago, utee94 said:

 

Also, barring catastrophic destruction inside of Russia of its oil and gas production and transportation infrastructure, I don't believe Russian oil would go off the market.  There would be an internal struggle for control of the profits, but I'd expect the production to continue.

What I wonder is what happens to Russia after it loses to Ukraine? Putin will be out and there will be a power vacuum. Does that mean civil war or something else? Does oil and gas supply continue in such an environment? I don't know how closely Gazprom is tied to the Kremlin, but controlling O&G in Russia is controlling the government.

[MillerEP 30844]

^Some of the comments on this tweet are gold.

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[Pods 7623]

Unconfirmed reports that Ukraine killed the Russian soldier that was captured on video castrating a Ukrainian soldier. Some saying he was captured, but most saying Ukraine killed him. 

If it's true, I hope his death was slow and painful. If it's not true yet, they'll get him eventually. 

 

 

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

1 minute ago, Pods said:

Unconfirmed reports that Ukraine killed the Russian soldier that was captured on video castrating a Ukrainian soldier. Some saying he was captured, but most saying Ukraine killed him. 

If it's true, I hope his death was slow and painful. If it's not true yet, they'll get him eventually. 

 

 

 

I truly hope this is the case, but until I see proof I'm going to assume he's getting free drinks, medals, and pats on the back by his other fucked up Russian comrades.

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[The Dog 44777]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

^Proof it was the Russians

[Scheiss Meister 8454]

1 hour ago, MillerEP said:

^Some of the comments on this tweet are gold.

Re the second floor HIMARS: "How did you get that big ol' Harley up on the high dive, Coy?"

Edited August 1, 2022 by Scheiss Meister
Weird double post.

[Kel Varnsen 8682]

[The Dog 44777]

[The Dog 44777]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[MillerEP 30844]

 

[956 Worldwide 35544]

The U.S. is officially saying it wasn’t HIMARS that hit the POW prison.  Stopping short of saying “it was Russia” but that’s clearly where this is going. Given that the HIMARS angle was key to the Russian claims, interesting to see if they pivot to some other weapon system or double down on HIMARS.  Officially of course, their deniable channels will double down. 
 

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/01/us-rockets-not-used-ukraine-prison-strike-00048948

[utee94 16071]

No holiday in Russia for the Brits...

[atomheartbevo 90560]

BBC looking at what rural Russians think of the war, and it’s basically what you think

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62331061

Quote

But what of the Russian public? More than five months on, do Russians believe their president took the right decision?  In the big cities, such as Moscow and St Petersburg, it's not uncommon to hear people criticise the Kremlin's "special operation". 

But I'm a long way from the capital after a nine-hour drive north-west of Moscow. I leave the village and head to the regional capital, Pskov. As I drive past a military base, the slogan on the poster outside catches my eye: "The borders of Russia never end!"

 

[atomheartbevo 90560]

From the replies on that bullshit of HIMARS on the second story of a building

Quote

If a russian flagship can take a break on the bottom of the Black sea, don't see why two HIMARS cannot have a moment of privacy on the second floor of a building

Quote

Of course they took the stairs m, they are “High Mobility” after all

Lot of laughs in that thread.

[atomheartbevo 90560]

4 hours ago, utee94 said:

Also, barring catastrophic destruction inside of Russia of its oil and gas production and transportation infrastructure, I don't believe Russian oil would go off the market.  There would be an internal struggle for control of the profits, but I'd expect the production to continue.

What happens when that infrastructure starts breaking down?  All the Western oil/service companies bailed early on.

[atomheartbevo 90560]

4 hours ago, Bevo said:

What I wonder is what happens to Russia after it loses to Ukraine? Putin will be out and there will be a power vacuum. Does that mean civil war or something else? Does oil and gas supply continue in such an environment? I don't know how closely Gazprom is tied to the Kremlin, but controlling O&G in Russia is controlling the government.

Putin has made sure that nobody is as feared or strong as he is, so whoever comes after will probably be looking to make deals.  Places like Chechnya will probably bail on Russia, along with some other republics .  I don’t see Belarus surviving under its current leadership.

Whoever comes after Putin will have to make deals quickly, both internally and externally, because the EU is making moves to completely wean itself off of Russian oil and gas, and Western companies are looking to get Ukrainian oil and gas into production in a big way, with the EU being a principal buyer.

Shit is going to be the Wild West in Russia. I imagine they will be chaotic for quite a while.

[utee94 16071]

8 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

What happens when that infrastructure starts breaking down?  All the Western oil/service companies bailed early on.

It's so vital to their economy, I think they'll commit every last resource they have, to maintaining it.  They'll patch it with duct tape, bailing wire, and the dead bodies of 100,000 Russians to keep it together.

If/when the Russian oil stops flowing, it'll pretty much signify the end of Russia.  I don't think it'll get that far. 

Edited August 1, 2022 by utee94

[Royalfan5 2384]

7 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

What happens when that infrastructure starts breaking down?  All the Western oil/service companies bailed early on.

I'd assume that pressure bursting pipes is something that they will be completely unable to deal with. 

[956 Worldwide 35544]

30 minutes ago, MillerEP said:

 

So a little more context for the article.  They aren’t just fighting “heathens,” they are repeating the Baptism of Rus’, which in history was carried out in Kyiv by Prince Volodymyr and brought Orthodoxy to Ukraine and all Rus’. It is also Ukrainian Statehood Day.  Putin is to be compared to Aleksandr Nevsky, who also unified medieval Rus’ and defeated the Swedes at the Neva and most famously the Teutonic Knights on the famous Battle on the Ice where the heavy Knight cavalry crashed through a frozen lake. The collective West is to be compared to the Commonwealth, the Knights, Sweden, the Third Reich, and NATO.