2020 Senate Elections

[Js1 85325]

Too bad she sucks and botched her roll out 

 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23367]

Still impressive 

[Pescado_Rojo 19416]

Would be interesting to know how many donations from Ky. 

[Js1 85325]

Just now, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Still impressive 

She won't beat him.  And it's money that needs to go to winnable races in Arizona (appointed incumbent), Colorado (incumbent), Maine (incumbent), Iowa (incumbent), 2 separates race in Georgia (incumbent and jungle open race) and North Carolina (incumbent).  Hell, Kansas (open), Alaska (incumbent) and Montana (incumbent) might be better pickup opportunities than Kentucky. 

The road to the Senate majority doesn't go through Kentucky.  The best way to ensure Mitch is not the Majority Leader come 2021 is simply taking away his majority, not trying to send him home.  Because that's a losing strategy.

Lose Alabama, pick up Colorado, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina and win the Presidency.  Bam - 50 + tiebreaker. 

[GopherRock 1765]

46 minutes ago, Js1 said:

She won't beat him.  And it's money that needs to go to winnable races in Arizona (appointed incumbent), Colorado (incumbent), Maine (incumbent), Iowa (incumbent), 2 separates race in Georgia (incumbent and jungle open race) and North Carolina (incumbent).  Hell, Kansas (open), Alaska (incumbent) and Montana (incumbent) might be better pickup opportunities than Kentucky. 

The road to the Senate majority doesn't go through Kentucky.  The best way to ensure Mitch is not the Majority Leader come 2021 is simply taking away his majority, not trying to send him home.  Because that's a losing strategy.

Lose Alabama, pick up Colorado, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina and win the Presidency.  Bam - 50 + tiebreaker. 

The road to Senate control may not go through Kentucky, but the point of this is similar to the role of Beto's Senate campaign last year: a dollar spent in Kentucky is a dollar not spent in actual battlegrounds. Make Moscow Mitch burn money playing defense on what he thought was friendly turf when that cash is needed elsewhere. 

If Andy Beshear beats Matt Bevin in 3 weeks, then this race moves from total long shot to the lottery ticket tier. 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23367]

 

[High Plains Drifter 11049]

1 hour ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

 

 

That is exactly what the press needs to do. When they don't answer the first guy's question, the 2nd reporter needs to ask the exact same question. Then the 3rd says why won't you just answer the question? Then the fourth and the fifth.

[Chad Fuck 17677]

11 minutes ago, High Plains Drifter said:

 

That is exactly what the press needs to do. When they don't answer the first guy's question, the 2nd reporter needs to ask the exact same question. Then the 3rd says why won't you just answer the question? Then the fourth and the fifth.

It only took them three years to figure it out.

 

[Js1 85325]

Holy tone deafness, Karen.  Do you need to speak to the manager? 

 

 

 

[Chuckie Finster 22694]

I wonder how many more points the Impeachment poll has to swing before Republicans drop the "STOP TRYING TO OVERTURN 2016" talking point the White House gave them.

[Pancho 44780]

 

[Jhawk 1075]

7 hours ago, Pancho said:

 

If all politicians were shamed like this continuously then they’d either spend more time with their constituents so they know what really needs to be done, or, they would not get re-elected. For the last 30+ years the name of the game has been about getting re-elected, not representing your constituents. Good on Erik. Hopefully he and his fellow voters see results. 

[High Plains Drifter 11049]

10 hours ago, Jhawk said:

If all politicians were shamed like this continuously then they’d either spend more time with their constituents so they know what really needs to be done, or, they would not get re-elected. For the last 30+ years the name of the game has been about getting re-elected, not representing your constituents. Good on Erik. Hopefully he and his fellow voters see results. 

 

What is fucked up is that those two things are not the same thing.

[Js1 85325]

A year ago she was +6 on generic D. 10 point swing away from her. 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23367]

 

[Mrs Whiggins 13050]

Wish someone would do this to Cornyn. And Mitch McConnell. And on and on. Regardless of their term, keep them thinking about the cost of being a crook at the taxpayers expense.

[Brisketexan 105127]

On 10/14/2019 at 2:51 PM, Pancho said:

 

Well, see, here's the thing....FUCK SUSAN FUCKING COLLINS.

There you go, Senator.  See, THAT'S how it looks when someone's rude to you.  Of course, the catch in all this....that's exactly what your entitled, self-serving sorry ass deserved.  Get the fuck out of my house (yes, see, in case you fucking forgot, the Capitol doesn't belong to you -- it belongs to we the people.  And if we do our fucking job, we'll evict your sorry ass).

[Bruh Man 3160]

Sent Gideon some money. I want Collins, Cornyn, and Moscow Mitch out as much as Trump. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

7 hours ago, Bruh Man said:

Sent Gideon some money. I want Collins, Cornyn, and Moscow Mitch out as much as Trump. 

Cornyn is a worthless shill for big pharma and private prisons. He never really votes yes on anything either. The guy just sucks.

[Js1 85325]

 

[Voldemort86 2259]

3 hours ago, Js1 said:

 

North Carolina will be closer than people think. Tillis has a very low approval rating.

[Js1 85325]

 

[Js1 85325]

 

[Bama Chick 28596]

Good. Fuck you, Joni.

Not even Cachi loves you anymore.

[Js1 85325]

36 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

Good. Fuck you, Joni.

Not even Cachi loves you anymore.

AZ, CO look pretty much flipped. 
ME and NC are getting there. Saw a poll where Tillis was tied or trailing his opponents and was in the low 30s. 
Iowa is a dark horse 

Can Doug Jones be his own man and get enough ticket splitters? 

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Can Doug Jones be his own man and get enough ticket splitters? 

how incredible would it be if the one D senator from the south* is bama and he has actual continuity.

 

*f off virginia

[Bama Chick 28596]

Well he raised $2.5 million in the last quarter and if Tommy Tuberville or Roy Moore win the republican nomination.......

And frankly the other Republicans running are pretty unknown and don’t seem to be gaining any traction.

Jones has done a good job with constituent services and for the most part the reaction to him at home has been “He may be a Democrat but he’s one of the good ones”.

He’s been all over the state on this recess and getting good turnout at his events.

His re-election is certainly not a lock but I don’t think it’s the disaster everyone else is predicting.

[Aqua Buddha 14596]

15 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

North Carolina will be closer than people think. Tillis has a very low approval rating.

That seat has flipped every time it's been up and NC is basically a 50/50.  It's just been gerry mannered to be GOP in the House.  

[Aqua Buddha 14596]

3 hours ago, Js1 said:

 

How are those tariffs working out, Joni?

[Voldemort86 2259]

2 hours ago, Bama Chick said:

Well he raised $2.5 million in the last quarter and if Tommy Tuberville or Roy Moore win the republican nomination.......

And frankly the other Republicans running are pretty unknown and don’t seem to be gaining any traction.

Jones has done a good job with constituent services and for the most part the reaction to him at home has been “He may be a Democrat but he’s one of the good ones”.

He’s been all over the state on this recess and getting good turnout at his events.

His re-election is certainly not a lock but I don’t think it’s the disaster everyone else is predicting.

I don’t doubt what you’re saying, but Alabama and the Deep South in general has way too many people who feel like it’s their earthbound duty to vote republican at all costs. These same people would’ve supported a second term for Richard Nixon and screamed “ FAKE NEWS” at any and all facts that came out supporting impeachment.

never underestimate the stubbornness and stupidity of rural southern people.

[Voldemort86 2259]

1 hour ago, Aqua Buddha said:

How are those tariffs working out, Joni?

Not only that, but I’ve heard rumors that the MAGA trade war is decimating the lobster industry in Maine.

[Aqua Buddha 14596]

1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:

Not only that, but I’ve heard rumors that the MAGA trade war is decimating the lobster industry in Maine.

The Chinese were very targeted about what they taxed.

[Bama Chick 28596]

I don’t doubt what you’re saying, but Alabama and the Deep South in general has way too many people who feel like it’s their earthbound duty to vote republican at all costs. These same people would’ve supported a second term for Richard Nixon and screamed “ FAKE NEWS” at any and all facts that came out supporting impeachment.
never underestimate the stubbornness and stupidity of rural southern people.

Well, Alabama voters did actually elect a democratic senator two years ago.

Does your state have a Democrat and a moderately Trumpy Republican in the Senate?

Or have you got Cruz & Cornyn?

I know it sucks to acknowledge it but Alafuckingbama has the best Senate delegation of all the red states.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13512]

Even if Alabama ends up putting a republican back in the Senate in place of Jones, it's most likely a race that the GOP didn't plan on having to fight. It would seem that the GOP will still be in retreat in 2020 even though they can still retain the Senate.

[Pasken 1309]

2 hours ago, Bama Chick said:

 

Well, Alabama voters did actually elect a democratic senator two years ago.

Does your state have a Democrat and a moderately Trumpy Republican in the Senate?

Or have you got Cruz & Cornyn?

I know it sucks to acknowledge it but Alafuckingbama has the best Senate delegation of all the red states.

 

 

It's because one of the candidates was a pedo. He's going to lose to Tommy Tuberville next year. 

Morning Consult’s poll also looked at approval ratings for U.S. Senators.

Democrat Doug Jones’ approval rating was 41 percent; Republican Richard Shelby’s was 45 percent. Jones’ disapproval rating was at 36 percent, 6 percentage points higher than Shelby’s.

Jones approval was the 18th lowest among all Senators and the 6th lowest among Democrats. Shelby ranked 59th highest for approval ratings, 29th highest among Republicans.

[Message Board User 12395]

 

[Pasken 1309]

42 minutes ago, Message Board User said:

 

 

So is there a primary debate for the Texas senate or are we expected to choose campaign based media coverage?  I like Amanda Edwards on paper but Royce West has a ton of legislative experience. 

Edited October 18, 2019 by Pasken

[Bama Chick 28596]

 
It's because one of the candidates was a pedo. He's going to lose to Tommy Tuberville next year. 
Morning Consult’s poll also looked at approval ratings for U.S. Senators.
Democrat Doug Jones’ approval rating was 41 percent; Republican Richard Shelby’s was 45 percent. Jones’ disapproval rating was at 36 percent, 6 percentage points higher than Shelby’s.
Jones approval was the 18th lowest among all Senators and the 6th lowest among Democrats. Shelby ranked 59th highest for approval ratings, 29th highest among Republicans.

I mean, I only live here but okay.

And I’m being dead serious when I tell you that the only thing more important to Alabama voters than an R after their name is whether they’re UA or AU.

Tuberville was the AU coach during Bama’s darkest time and he was a cocky, rub it your face asshole his entire tenure when it came to the Iron Bowl.

Many years and multiple NCs later and Bama fans absolutely loathe Tuberville.

They’ll go vote for Satan himself to stick it to Tuberville.

And there are more Bama fans than Auburn fans - probably 60/40.

If Jones was in the AOC/Bernie/Warren camp, they’d hold their noses and vote Tuberville.

But Jones is an Alabama alum and has always been very respected in both parties despite what some numbers say, especially with his history in prosecuting the Birmingham Church Bombers.

Here’s who’s running in the Republican primary -



Merrill or Byrne beat Jones no question.

The others are unknown nobodies.

Alabama Democrats are going to be very pleased with Moore or Tuberville as the nominee.

And with that crowded field, another Roy Moore primary victory is very possible.

[Js1 85325]

 

[Voldemort86 2259]

46 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

 

I mean, I only live here but okay.

And I’m being dead serious when I tell you that the only thing more important to Alabama voters than an R after their name is whether they’re UA or AU.

Tuberville was the AU coach during Bama’s darkest time and he was a cocky, rub it your face asshole his entire tenure when it came to the Iron Bowl.

Many years and multiple NCs later and Bama fans absolutely loathe Tuberville.

They’ll go vote for Satan himself to stick it to Tuberville.

And there are more Bama fans than Auburn fans - probably 60/40.

If Jones was in the AOC/Bernie/Warren camp, they’d hold their noses and vote Tuberville.

But Jones is an Alabama alum and has always been very respected in both parties despite what some numbers say, especially with his history in prosecuting the Birmingham Church Bombers.

Here’s who’s running in the Republican primary -



Merrill or Byrne beat Jones no question.

The others are unknown nobodies.

Alabama Democrats are going to be very pleased with Moore or Tuberville as the nominee.

And with that crowded field, another Roy Moore primary victory is very possible.

 

Trump loves your state. 

he likes to get lots of his policy ideas and people to work in his administration from Alabama. 

I think trump can pull Bama voters into line on the senate race. I also think many people in Alabama are so vehemently against abortion that they will vote R solely for that reason alone, no matter who it is.

i hope you’re right, but Jones re- election seems iffy to me at best from my perspective.

[Pasken 1309]

57 minutes ago, Js1 said:

 

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861]

Iffy = 1 chance in 50

[Mrs Whiggins 13050]

Since DJ is essentially campaigning for the duration of his remainder of time, I posit that he could easily travel to every state he desires with the amount of money at his disposal and his penchant for stiffing the cities he visits. Whether that will rally the opposition to vote for the other candidates remains to be seen, but thus far his method is working for him. That is all policy and trending populations aside. The voter registration purgings don't help.

[Zonahorn 8079]

13 hours ago, Js1 said:

 

We should stop thinking about Colorado as a swing state, it’s a blue state now. Like Virginia 

[Patrick Bateman 3913]

Battleground states specifically Ernst who has seen her approval rating flip in about 6 months.

 

[atomheartbevo 89659]

On 10/17/2019 at 9:29 PM, Voldemort86 said:

Trump loves your state. 

he likes to get lots of his policy ideas and people to work in his administration from Alabama. 

I think trump can pull Bama voters into line on the senate race. I also think many people in Alabama are so vehemently against abortion that they will vote R solely for that reason alone, no matter who it is.

i hope you’re right, but Jones re- election seems iffy to me at best from my perspective.

We’ve got friends who went to Alabama.   

It’s like asking Longhorn fans to vote for Bob Stoops.   

[Voldemort86 2259]

5 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

We’ve got friends who went to Alabama.   

It’s like asking Longhorn fans to vote for Bob Stoops.   

Southern states are very distrustful of  Washington DC democrats. The people in those states will occasionally vote for a democrat for governor or something, but senators, house seats, and electoral college ( president) nearly always are solid red votes no matter how whacko the republican is and no matter how “normal” the democrat is. 
 

I wish we could be more competitive in those places, but it just doesn’t seem possible. I guess that’s the price we pay for supporting abortion and Medicaid expansion.

Edited October 21, 2019 by Voldemort86

[Doc Sam Beckett 5793]

16 hours ago, Patrick Bateman said:

Battleground states specifically Ernst who has seen her approval rating flip in about 6 months.

 

 

Dems in Iowa should be talking daily about how the farm bailouts are disproportionately going to mega farms and the rich and then just keep people talking about stories like the billionaire in West Virginia receiving aid. 

[Pancho 44780]

Lindsay’s Dem competition 

 

[Bama Chick 28596]

Y’all throw some money Jaime Harrison and Doug Jones’s way.

I know y’all a bunch of 1%ers - cough up a hundo, big spenders.