2020 Senate Elections

[DigglerontheHoof 21044]

27 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

I always wonder about the people who knock on doors. Do you think they get cussed out and threatened with violence by the radical uneducated MAGA cult?

I'm about to start volunteering in Collin county.  I'll let you know. 

[Post Oak 20182]

57 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

I always wonder about the people who knock on doors. Do you think they get cussed out and threatened with violence by the radical uneducated MAGA cult?

I think it's gonna be tough. I'm not interested in that.  I've done enough cold calling to last 10 lifetimes.  

I'll make sure she goes with a group and is safe.

[Bama Chick 28596]

I knocked on doors in Alabama for Beto “Snatching yo guns and taxing yo church” O’Rourke and only had one person get shitty.

Some people were curt but heck, I’m that way most times when I get unknown people at my door.

People aren’t usually as shitty face to face as they are online.

[hayden_horn 11360]

1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:

I always wonder about the people who knock on doors. Do you think they get cussed out and threatened with violence by the radical uneducated MAGA cult?

working for the census in 2010, knocking on doors was always a wild card. one crazy lady shot a census worker.

[tantric superman 4667]

41 minutes ago, Post Oak said:

I think it's gonna be tough. I'm not interested in that.  I've done enough cold calling to last 10 lifetimes.  

I'll make sure she goes with a group and is safe.

I went walking on three occassions and each was to remind supporters to vote.  Had pre-approved list of supporters. 

Only one name was wrong, and the lady was just a tad snarky. 

 

[gmr548 16481]

I always wonder about the people who knock on doors. Do you think they get cussed out and threatened with violence by the radical uneducated MAGA cult?

People are a lot different in person.

Im my experience, when I've come upon a Republican, they've never been confrontational. A few have been quite friendly and thanked me for being involved as a young person. Many are short and make it clear they're not interested, but never outright hostile.

Phone banking is a little different. People will get a little more fiery when you're not in front of them. Then of course there's online.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

[Js1 85085]

14 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

People are a lot different in person.

Im my experience, when I've come upon a Republican, they've never been confrontational. A few have been quite friendly and thanked me for being involved as a young person. Many are short and make it clear they're not interested, but never outright hostile.

Phone banking is a little different. People will get a little more fiery when you're not in front of them. Then of course there's online.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
 

Yup. Humans are huge pussies in person, but the bravest and most vocal on the Internet. 

Edited November 16, 2019 by Js1

[Horn Dog 9670]

On 11/14/2019 at 9:38 AM, Voldemort86 said:

probably what happens is the husband talks to his wife on the way to the polls in their beat up truck with a cracked headlight “ you’re not really gonna cancel my vote out are you honey? It’s pointless to go vote at all if we vote opposite.”

ISWYDT

[Js1 85085]

On 11/14/2019 at 7:38 AM, Voldemort86 said:

Don’t forget a lot of the wives of men in southern states “do what they’re told” and vote republican! Against their self interests for sure.

 

probably what happens is the husband talks to his wife on the way to the polls in their beat up truck with a cracked headlight “ you’re not really gonna cancel my vote out are you honey? It’s pointless to go vote at all if we vote opposite.”

I don’t like this stereotyping. Because then it’s just “Democrats go to the polls in their Prius sipping their organic goat’s milk lattes with their domestic partners” or something stupid. 

[gmr548 16481]

I don’t like this stereotyping. Because then it’s just “Democrats go to the polls in their Prius sipping their organic goat’s milk lattes with their domestic partners” or something stupid. 

You can pry my goat milk latte from my cold, dead hands.

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[Voldemort86 2259]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

I don’t like this stereotyping. Because then it’s just “Democrats go to the polls in their Prius sipping their organic goat’s milk lattes with their domestic partners” or something stupid. 

My opinion of republicans only gets worse by the day. They really are difficult people for me to understand. Over the last few weeks I’ve seen the following :

1) Republicans defend a woman in trumps administration who lied and embellished her resume to get the job. Repubs on the internet have actually said that they should give her a raise and a promotion to “stick it to the liberal media who exposed her”. How would these repubs act if they actually owned businesses and had an employee like this? Hypocrites.

2) A trumpkin slashed the big orange baby ballon at the Alabama vs. LSU game. Luckily the guy got caught, but he actually has a go fund me that’s raised over $25,000 dollars to pay for his legal fees. Should we really support and condone this kind of behavior as a society?  I would never destroy someone else’s  property over a political candidate.

3) I’ve seen Trumpkins everywhere root for the worst governor in America to be re-elected despite the fact that he lost fair and square. Bevin looked far and wide for any signs of cheating, he only gave in after McConnell told him to accept his loss like a man, but there were some in the gop who wanted him to fight as hard as possible in the hopes that the election would eventually be kicked to the overwhelmingly GOP led state legislature who would’ve voted to vote keep Bevin in place.

4) they constantly root for RBG to die.

 

its hard to respect people who vote GOP. They don’t seem to care about the integrity of our election systems, they like republicans who are the loudest ( and the dumbest) and they seem to be brought together by their hatred of democrats above anything else. It’s a party who thrives on fear and I’ll never understand or be one of them. 

[Mrs Whiggins 13049]

He's accusing them of false allegations of his soliciting sex from young girls.

 

 

[Bama Chick 28596]

Keep fighting, Roy and Make Alabama Republicans Messy Again!

[zork 629]

Arkie Dem pulls out after deadline:

https://www.arkdems.org/democratic-party-of-arkansas-provides-update-on-u-s-senate-race/#.XeA1QuhKhqO

[berlinerbaer 670]

On 11/14/2019 at 2:40 PM, Voldemort86 said:

I always wonder about the people who knock on doors. Do you think they get cussed out and threatened with violence by the radical uneducated MAGA cult?

I walked for two campaigns in 2018. I was never threatened with anything approaching violence. My interactions with Republicans was usually polite and short. Here are some of the more interesting things I heard.

"My wife and I are big Cruz supporters but both of our daughters are Democrats and are probably doing the same thing you are. That's cool. Good luck!"

"We're both Republican but I'm voting Beto because I don't like Cruz. My wife is asleep right now and I don't want her to hear this, so you best be on your way. No, don't take my phone number."

"I'm a Republican but enough is enough. Blue wave, baby!"

The most shit I got was from a frazzled Democrat who was pissed that Beto seemed to be going easy on Ted and not flooding the tubes with attack ads. She told me I was wasting my time and wanted me to take her off all mailing and call lists. I didn't.

 

[zork 629]

57 minutes ago, berlinerbaer said:

I walked for two campaigns in 2018. I was never threatened with anything approaching violence. My interactions with Republicans was usually polite and short. Here are some of the more interesting things I heard.

"My wife and I are big Cruz supporters but both of our daughters are Democrats and are probably doing the same thing you are. That's cool. Good luck!"

"We're both Republican but I'm voting Beto because I don't like Cruz. My wife is asleep right now and I don't want her to hear this, so you best be on your way. No, don't take my phone number."

"I'm a Republican but enough is enough. Blue wave, baby!"

The most shit I got was from a frazzled Democrat who was pissed that Beto seemed to be going easy on Ted and not flooding the tubes with attack ads. She told me I was wasting my time and wanted me to take her off all mailing and call lists. I didn't.

 

Why not(bolded)?  Think when they call her next time she will be more accepting or less?

[berlinerbaer 670]

I couldn't do it myself. I would have had to write her info down or flag it in the block walking app, then remember to notify HQ when I got back.

People forget it is more convenient for one to remove themselves from a mailing or call list than have someone else do it. 

[Js1 85085]

Kemp taps Kelly Loeffler for the vacant Senate sear in Georgia and she immediately offers to self fund her campaign in 2020 with $20 million. 

This was not Trump’s pick. Collins May still jump in. 

[Ted Lange 16040]

Oh Alabama.....the stupid, is strong with this one,   The replies to Tubbs idiocy are fantastic too  

 

[Bama Chick 28596]

Update on the Messy Bitches in the Republican Senate primary.

FYI - John Merrill dropped out last week. Which is GREAT for Doug Jones. He was the only “old school sort of sane not eaten up with Trumpitis” candidate running.

[cactusflinthead 27594]

On 11/28/2019 at 11:56 PM, zork said:

Why not(bolded)?  Think when they call her next time she will be more accepting or less?

From the chapter "Campaign Trail" 

"The late Will Burnett, longtime county judge of Hays County, told of another prize reaction. The candidate and his aide were campaigning through the countryside when they spotted a fellow working in a field near the road. Pulling over, the candidate got out and introduced himself to the fellow and started his pitch. After listening a few minutes, the farmer snarled, "Listen, I think you are a low-down, no-good reprobate, you're wasting my time, and I wouldn't vote for you if you were the last man on earth. Now go on, get out of here." Climbing back in his car, the candidate told his assistant, "Put that man down as doubtful."

[Mrs Whiggins 13049]

20 hours ago, Ted Lange said:

Oh Alabama.....the stupid, is strong with this one,   The replies to Tubbs idiocy are fantastic too  

 

Thanks for the tip on the commentary below Tommy's tweet. I was not disappointed. Americans can be pretty witty when opportunity comes calling.

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3861]

Quote

Retired astronaut Mark Kelly (D) leads Sen. Martha McSally (R) by a narrow 3-point margin in Arizona, a state critical to Democratic chances of recapturing the Senate in the 2020 elections, according to a new poll.

 

A poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights shows Kelly leading McSally by a 47 percent to 44 percent margin, fueled by a substantial gender gap. Kelly, the husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D), leads among women by a 53 percent to 38 percent margin, while McSally leads among men by a smaller 51 percent to 41 percent margin.

 

Kelly holds a 10-point lead in Maricopa County, which contributes about 60 percent of the statewide vote. Only one statewide candidate in recent memory has won Arizona without carrying Maricopa. He leads among independent voters by a 51 percent to 37 percent margin.

 

McSally, meanwhile, holds a substantial 22-point advantage in the state’s rural communities. She leads Kelly among white voters by a single point, but she holds an overwhelming 58 percent to 32 percent edge among Hispanic voters, the poll shows.

 

Kelly’s edge is slightly lower than the 5-point advantage he held in August, the last time OH Predictive Insights measured the race. Mike Noble, the company’s lead pollster, said that shows McSally has “stopped the bleeding.”

 

“Part of it may be due to the current impeachment proceedings, which have given the president and Republicans nationally a bit of a boost. We’re seeing that in Arizona as well,” Noble said.

 

Even a year before Election Day, voters appear to be following the race closely.

 

Just 6 percent of voters have no opinion about or have never heard of McSally, while more than a quarter, 27 percent, said the same about Kelly. Forty-six percent of voters see McSally favorably, while 47 percent see her in an unfavorable light.

 

“She is incredibly defined,” Noble said. “People are really fully decided on her. But Kelly, he’s not as fully defined with some of these groups.”

 

The poll hints that Arizona is likely to be a crucial battleground state in next year’s presidential contest, too.

 

President Trump’s approval rating stands at 48 percent, according to the poll, while 50 percent say they disapprove of the job he has done in office. Fifty-eight percent of independent voters and 55 percent of those in Maricopa County disapprove. 

 

Republicans currently have a three-seat edge in the Senate, 53-47. While the GOP is defending nearly twice as many seats as Democrats in the 2020 elections, most Republicans up for reelection are from states Trump carried in the 2016 election.

 

The OH Predictive Insights survey of 628 likely voters was conducted Dec. 3–4 and has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/474062-kelly-leads-mcsally-in-arizona-senate-race-poll

 

weird.

[gmr548 16481]

Does Tubberville actually have a chance?

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[Js1 85085]

4 hours ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/474062-kelly-leads-mcsally-in-arizona-senate-race-poll

 

weird.

They ducked that up. The Hill is garbage. Kelly leads 55-31 with Hispanics if you see the cross tabs. Probably meant “but he” 

[Bama Chick 28596]

Two years ago today Alabama did good.

[Pasken 1309]

Endorsements by political organizations for the Texas Senate primary are really light. I'm not sure anyone thinks this race is winnable.

 

 

[Pancho 44434]

 

[Mrs Whiggins 13049]

When all is said and done, I hope whatever the goods are on Lindsey, is that they are revealed. I want to know exactly for what circumstance(s) he sold out our country, the Kurds, the citizens killed in Pensacola by Saudis, Ukrainians, immigrants, victims of gun violence, and everyone else.

 

[Message Board User 12389]

 

[Mrs Whiggins 13049]

In one of the other threads, there was a question about what Chris Christie is up to these days. I couldn't recall which thread it was, but this came across my radar this weekend. He is fundraising for....Moscow Mitch. Blech.

 

[Js1 85085]

Dems need to bet 3 + VP or 4 overall to take it back  

Alabama - nasty GOP primary could help Jones

Arizona

Colorado - Gardner is toast

Georgia 2 - Collins running against Loffler would be nasty, possibly allowing a Dem to sneak through in a jungle primary 

Iowa - Greenfield raised record money and out raised Ernst in Q3 and probably Q4

Kansas - Pompeo out means Kobach is the R front runner and he was already rejected once 

NC - Cunningham raised a lot of money and Tillis is hated

Maine - High profile AF

Michigan - I think people overrate James’ chances because he just ran in 2018 and lost and Michigan is tending back to Dems

Wildcards: Georgia 1, Alaska, Montana, Texas

Really, Dems have a for sure pickup in Colorado, a probable L in Alabama, and 5 potential pickup opportunities and 3-4 wildcards 

Its hard not to see a Democratic Senate in 2021

[sasquatch69 582]

Re the Alabama race, I found this three-part series about the drama in the Alabama Democratic Party (with Doug Jones as a central player) to be fascinating.  Worth your time if you're into this sort of thing (which you likely are if you're reading this thread).

https://gimletmedia.com/shows/reply-all/llhd33

[Bama Chick 28596]

Ah, yes please everyone go learn about Nancy Worley and Joe Reed and gain some insight on why being a Democrat in Alabama is even harder and more fucked up than you could ever imagine.

[Js1 85085]

👀

 

[Zonahorn 8079]

17 minutes ago, Js1 said:

👀

 

This guy fuckin' rules

[Voldemort86 2259]

5 hours ago, Js1 said:

👀

 

I wish I could get excited about this, but the guy never actually wins so.....

[Js1 85085]

Woof

 

[Ghost of LL 15469]

11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Woof

 

This is one, along with Colorado, that I would be really, really surprised if the Democrats didn't win.

[Aqua Buddha 14501]

I can’t see Kelly and Trump both winning AZ, especially if Kelly wins easily.

[Js1 85085]

6 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

I can’t see Kelly and Trump both winning AZ, especially if Kelly wins easily.

Yup. I don’t think Trump wins AZ if Biden is the nominee. 

For anyone else, it might look like 2018 Senate/Gov. Ducey won big, Sinema won by 1/3rd but enough to be a 3 point win 

Edited January 15, 2020 by Js1

[Voldemort86 2259]

On 1/14/2020 at 10:36 AM, Ghost of LL said:

This is one, along with Colorado, that I would be really, really surprised if the Democrats didn't win.

What about Maine?

democrats need to get to at least 49 seats to have a good chance of taking the majority in 2022.

[GopherRock 1765]

25 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

What about Maine?

democrats need to get to at least 49 seats to have a good chance of taking the majority in 2022.

Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina, and Maine. That's the path to the majority, even if Doug Jones doesn't make it in Alabama. I might even add Kansas to that tier if Korbach is the GOP nominee. 

[Biff Tannen 45491]

2 minutes ago, GopherRock said:

Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina, and Maine. That's the path to the majority, even if Doug Jones doesn't make it in Alabama. I might even add Kansas to that tier if Korbach is the GOP nominee. 

So that gets it to 50/50 right?

[atomheartbevo 89395]

2 hours ago, Aqua Buddha said:

I can’t see Kelly and Trump both winning AZ, especially if Kelly wins easily.

Trump personally campaigned for McSally, in-person, multiple times, and the people of Arizona got behind a bisexual atheist instead.

I don't think Trump is winning Arizona.  Him shitting all over McCain kinda sealed the deal.

[Chuckie Finster 22597]

Speaking of Maine, holy shit she needs to go.

 

[Mrs Whiggins 13049]

2 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Speaking of Maine, holy shit she needs to go.

 

Congratulations Susan Collins. From now until replaced by a different candidate for the position, I have a new saying: "there's stupid and then there's Susan Collins stupid." You win!

[Js1 85085]

6 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Speaking of Maine, holy shit she needs to go.

 

Suck a choad, you fucking cunt 

[Ghost of LL 15469]

2 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

What about Maine?

democrats need to get to at least 49 seats to have a good chance of taking the majority in 2022.

Maine and North Carolina area step below Arizona and Colorado for me.

Arizona and Colorado are on a "that would really surprise me if the Democrats lost" level for me.

Maine and North Carolina are on a "I think it's somewhat more-likely-than-not that the Democrats win" level.  Within that level, Maine has a higher likelihood of flipping than North Carolina.

And then there the Iowa and Kansas-with-Korbach level, which is a "it's probably less-likely-than-not that the Democrats win, but it definitely wouldn't surprise me if it were to happen." 

[Js1 85085]

Kansas with Kobach would, for me, land between Maine and NC. Damn he sucks so much and he literally lost to a Democrat just 14 months ago.