2020 Senate Elections

[Jive Turkey 12,930]

13 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Agreed. @Jive Turkey should be forced to return here and defend his absurd opinions with unassailable logic and facts. Maybe he's just persecuting Graham because he fucking hates skin tags and moles. 

McConnell isn't going to lose.  It won't be close.  My list is based on candidates that have a realistic chance of losing.  I should have been clearer about that.

Edited September 1, 2020 by Jive Turkey

[SydneyCarton 49,325]

4 minutes ago, Jive Turkey said:

McConnell isn't going to lose.  It won't be close.  My list is based on candidates that have a realistic chance of losing.  I should have been clearer about that.

Wait,  Graham as a shot to lose?

[Pescado_Rojo 19,558]

4 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Wait,  Graham as a shot to lose?

Public Policy - Ladybug +3

Qpiac - Even

Morning Consult - Lady G +1

[Ghost of LL 15,664]

52 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Wait,  Graham as a shot to lose?

Yeah--Harrison is quietly running a very good campaign.

[Biff Tannen 46,061]

1 hour ago, Jive Turkey said:

McConnell isn't going to lose.  It won't be close.  My list is based on candidates that have a realistic chance of losing.  I should have been clearer about that.

This is true.  McConnell will be there, we just have to regain the majority to make sure he's neutered.

[JimmyJames 12,271]

Yeah I don’t see Moscow Mitch losing in a year when Moscow itself is gonna go all out to help the pro Moscow Republican nazi Party and Moscow Mitch himself 

Lady G on the other hand, is gonna be sweating out the results on election night like he just got off the golf course with trump after being delivered the bad news. 

[TheStoicPaisano 9,948]

Yeeeeeeeee! Kennedy takes an L.

 

[406W30th 1,111]

Eat shit you Kennedy fuck. Ed Markey is the fucking man.

 

[Hank Kingsley 21,598]

I like Markey and I'm happy he won. His co-sponsoring the GND was a big deal and IMO got him the victory. 

But he's been in Congress for 44 years, voted for the crime bill, and voted for the Iraq War. It's interesting how he's become a symbol for the progressive left recently when he's been an establishment Dem like Biden for most of his career. He also dominated the white and highly educated portion of the Mass. electorate, while Kennedy was a favorite for the working class. We live in interesting times. 

Probably a sign that Biden should more aggressively talk about climate change. 

 

[406W30th 1,111]

4 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

I like Markey and I'm happy he won. His co-sponsoring the GND was a big deal and IMO got him the victory. 

But he's been in Congress for 44 years, voted for the crime bill, and voted for the Iraq War. It's interesting how he's become a symbol for the progressive left recently when he's been an establishment Dem like Biden for most of his career. He also dominated the white and highly educated portion of the Mass. electorate, while Kennedy was a favorite for the working class. We live in interesting times. 

Probably a sign that Biden all Dems should more aggressively talk about climate change. 

 

Fixed.

Edited September 2, 2020 by 406W30th

[Hank Kingsley 21,598]

This might have been the the more influential Mass. race tonight, and it's a real shame that Neal will be re-elected. 

 

[DalTxHornFan 3,130]

3 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Probably a sign that Biden should more aggressively talk about climate change. 

 

And way more about GND.  Please, please, please!

[Aqua Buddha 14,782]

1 hour ago, TheStoicPaisano said:

Yeeeeeeeee! Kennedy takes an L.

 

Go get a real fucking job, Kennedy.

[HenryJames 67,116]

Probably the worst thing to ever happen to a Kennedy.

[Ghost of LL 15,664]

This might have been the the more influential Mass. race tonight, and it's a real shame that Neal will be re-elected. 
 

It’s almost like, I don’t know, incumbents win their primaries like 99% of the time.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Hank Scorpio 17,924]

 

[Biff Tannen 46,061]

God dammit. That’s funny. 

[StassneyHorn 6,755]

Iowa Senator Joni Ernst flirting with Q-Anon talking points including 10k less number of deaths singularly from COVID and doctors/hospitals falsifying records to get more money.

https://iowastartingline.com/2020/09/01/ernst-suggests-iowa-doctors-falsifying-covid-cases-for-money2/

[Hank Kingsley 21,598]

Worth a read. 

 

Not sure we can read too much into this race, since it's a very liberal state. But it's still a pretty fascinating result. 

Bernie didn't endorse Markey. This was a rejection of a political dynasty and affirmation that  getting younger voters engaged is important. AOC and the climate change movement seemed to lift up the Markey campaign and make him look fresh again.

Joe III seems to be a good dude with very similar political beliefs to Markey. He made mistakes early that damaged his campaign. 

 

These numbers are pretty crazy and hard to reconcile. 

 

[Biff Tannen 46,061]

3 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Worth a read. 

 

Not sure we can read too much into this race, since it's a very liberal state. But it's still a pretty fascinating result. 

Bernie didn't endorse Markey. This was a rejection of a political dynasty and affirmation that  getting younger voters engaged is important. AOC and the climate change movement seemed to lift up the Markey campaign and make him look fresh again.

Joe III seems to be a good dude with very similar political beliefs to Markey. He made mistakes early that damaged his campaign. 

 

These numbers are pretty crazy and hard to reconcile. 

 

Pod Save America did interviews with both Markey and Kennedy a few weeks back.  They were both pretty similar policy-wise.  IIRC, Kennedy's only argument seemed to be that Markey didn't spend enough time doing his actual job.  He honestly didn't have much else, so I'm not super surprised by this result.

[StassneyHorn 6,755]

Celebrating a 75 year old man winning re-election for his 45th year in federal govt vs a Gen X Kennedy is lose-lose.

[Hank Kingsley 21,598]

31 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Pod Save America did interviews with both Markey and Kennedy a few weeks back.  They were both pretty similar policy-wise.  IIRC, Kennedy's only argument seemed to be that Markey didn't spend enough time doing his actual job.  He honestly didn't have much else, so I'm not super surprised by this result.

Read some stuff recently that Governor Charlie Baker (R) is so popular in Mass. they it’s created a traffic jam for Dems looking to ascend in the state. No one wants to challenge him. 

[StassneyHorn 6,755]

Yea if I’m remembering right, the Massachusetts legislature is completely dominated by Dems so he has no choice but to go with the flow. Anything he might try to veto, would just be overridden. Props him up and contributes to being a good guy from the viewpoint of Dems, but Republicans elsewhere call him RINO.

[MC Fresh Breath 4,075]

13 hours ago, Hank Kingsley said:

 

 

 

edit: uh, nevermind.

 

Edited September 2, 2020 by MC Fresh Breath

[Hank Kingsley 21,598]

I give Markey a lot of credit, because he did something a lot of Establishment Democrats won't do: adapt. 

The fact that he was able to be a progressive hero, while still getting endorsements from people like Chuck Schumer and Joe Manchin, was impressive.

I think it's a shame Joe Kennedy III was villainized in this race, but I get it. 

 

 

[Fudge Nuggets 19,407]

I admit I didn’t follow the MA race, but it sounds like they had two decent to possibly good candidates vying for the spot. Then you look at TX and we have the likes of dipshit Cornyn and booger eating Raphael ordained for life. 

[thepop 4,418]

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

[Ghost of LL 15,664]

1 minute ago, thepop said:

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

Agreed on both counts.  The polls we've seen out of North Carolina over the past couple months are really giving me some security on that one.  It looks like it may come down to Maine.

[StassneyHorn 6,755]

Arizona looks to be shutting the door on the red trifecta in the legislature this election in time for redistricting and go full blue trifecta by 2022 with the governorship. Kelli Ward was a godsend.

If the numbers stay consistent with AZ, CO, and NC, I’m feeling pretty damn good about getting one of Maine, Iowa, or Montana. Stealth opportunities in SC with Harrison, and TX with Hegar and Alaska if Gross can get their name recognition up. 

[gmr548 16,681]

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

Good God the wheels have really fallen off for her

[gmr548 16,681]

Agreed on both counts.  The polls we've seen out of North Carolina over the past couple months are really giving me some security on that one.  It looks like it may come down to Maine.

I'm looking forward to NC delivering big for Democrats.

[gmr548 16,681]

Arizona looks to be shutting the door on the red trifecta in the legislature this election in time for redistricting and go full blue trifecta by 2022 with the governorship. Kelli Ward was a godsend.
If the numbers stay consistent with AZ, CO, and NC, I’m feeling pretty damn good about getting one of Maine, Iowa, or Montana. Stealth opportunities in SC with Harrison, and TX with Hegar and Alaska if Gross can get their name recognition up. 

Can the incumbent gov run again? I forget his name but I know he's Greg Abbott type popular.

[StassneyHorn 6,755]

Ducey is term limited in AZ

[Jhawkmvp 1,514]

The Kennedy family's key demographic is dying off. JFK and RFK were heroes to Boomers, but younger generations were not alive for them or were babies. They will have to win on issues and personal charisma pretty much from now on. They will get a little bump from the name, but there is not an emotional attachment to them among non-Boomers.

[Pancho 46,054]

Wasserman  was also saying Blue collar Catholics who would likely vote for Kennedy are now trump folks.  I’ll see if I can find the tweet. 

 

[Ghost of LL 15,664]

14 hours ago, gmr548 said:

17 hours ago, thepop said:

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

Good God the wheels have really fallen off for her

I don't think the wheels were ever really on.

[PsychMike 1,553]

20 hours ago, thepop said:

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

C'mon folks, eliminate 2 more meals a week to donate to my campaign! Also, eat ramen. Off brand, not that fancy ramen shit!

[27-25 2,082]

39 minutes ago, PsychMike said:

C'mon folks, eliminate 2 more meals a week to donate to my campaign! Also, eat ramen. Off brand, not that fancy ramen shit!

Definitely Ramen.  Can't find cans of soup in the store anyway, what with antifa stocking up and all.

[Zonahorn 8,079]

21 hours ago, thepop said:

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

 

20 hours ago, StassneyHorn said:

Arizona looks to be shutting the door on the red trifecta in the legislature this election in time for redistricting and go full blue trifecta by 2022 with the governorship. Kelli Ward was a godsend.

If the numbers stay consistent with AZ, CO, and NC, I’m feeling pretty damn good about getting one of Maine, Iowa, or Montana. Stealth opportunities in SC with Harrison, and TX with Hegar and Alaska if Gross can get their name recognition up. 

 

19 hours ago, gmr548 said:

21 hours ago, thepop said:

NC is the important one here, but it’s hard not to laugh at McSally. 

Good God the wheels have really fallen off for her

 

1 hour ago, PsychMike said:

C'mon folks, eliminate 2 more meals a week to donate to my campaign! Also, eat ramen. Off brand, not that fancy ramen shit!

 

1 hour ago, 27-25 said:

Definitely Ramen.  Can't find cans of soup in the store anyway, what with antifa stocking up and all.

INTO. MY. VEEEIIIIIIINS

 

[thepop 4,418]

 

[Zonahorn 8,079]

 

Mark. Kelly. RULES

[Nice Guy Eddie 13,707]

The fact that the Left completely believes the President's insults to the military while the Right feels they need to strenuously object to it in A Few Good Men style, demonstrates that we all feel that he could very well have made these comments. 

Personally I think the people, who made these statements to the press, need to step forward with who they are.

[Biff Tannen 46,061]

3 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

The fact that the Left completely believes the President's insults to the military while the Right feels they need to strenuously object to it in A Few Good Men style, demonstrates that we all feel that he could very well have made these comments. 

 

Exactly.  Anyone who has watched any of this shit show for 4 years knows that is EXACTLY the kind of this this fuckhead would say.  It's completely believable because he's done almost as bad before and he's a piece of shit human being.

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11,669]

37 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

The fact that the Left completely believes the President's insults to the military while the Right feels they need to strenuously object to it in A Few Good Men style, demonstrates that we all feel that he could very well have made these comments. 

Personally I think the people, who made these statements to the press, need to step forward with who they are.

i sympathize with them.  they'd be signing up for a lifetime of harassment and legitimate threats to their life.

[StassneyHorn 6,755]

Cornyn with 6 point lead over Hegar according to TX Data for Progress. Plenty of room to make up numbers,

Cornyn 46 Hegar 40

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/9/dfp_tx_survey_key_findings_sept4.pdf

[Patrick Bateman 3,966]

Pub Internal.

This seems..... unrealistic.  But it's obviously going to be closer than usual.  May help Hegar.

 

[Voldemort86 2,259]

1 hour ago, Patrick Bateman said:

Pub Internal.

This seems..... unrealistic.  But it's obviously going to be closer than usual.  May help Hegar.

 

James is screwed. Republicans aren’t even playing offense anymore. 
 

james, Gardner, and mcsally are all goners. Unfortunately jones is too.

Edited September 4, 2020 by Voldemort86

[gmr548 16,681]

Pub Internal.
[/url] This seems..... unrealistic.  But it's obviously going to be closer than usual.  May help Hegar.
 

For reference, another partisan R poll with Biden and Peters up double digits.

https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1302003723309379585

[gmr548 16,681]

Cornyn with 6 point lead over Hegar according to TX Data for Progress. Plenty of room to make up numbers,
Cornyn 46 Hegar 40
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/9/dfp_tx_survey_key_findings_sept4.pdf

I saw another recent poll, I dont know how legit that had Cornyn in high 30s and Hegar in the high 20s. Hegar has shown no signs of making this particularly competitive but Cornyn consistently below 50 percent in September is a tough look for an incumbent. Leaves the door open at least.

[SydneyCarton 49,325]

I don’t think I’ve seen a single Hegar commercial in Houston. Don’t think I’ve seen any online advertising or FB posts I can recall either, and I’ve already donated to act blue. It’s like she’s not doing shit. Or someone how I’m now a targeted voter.