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2019 Surly Death Pool


Wally Fairway

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Pick 10 famous folks that you think (or hope) will kick it before the end of 2018.
Points are 100-age at death.
At least 1 of your picks must be under the age of 40 (as of 1/1/2019)
"Bonus" opportunity - if one of your picks dies between the time you post your picks and midnight 12/31/2018 - then you get to make a replacement pick (no later than 1/7/19) and you get to one pick one additional person

 

Winner gets a Best Buy discount code, Derka's 2nd beer at Surly HH, + rep from at least 3 posters.
 

Here are my picks:
Joseph Ratzinger (aka Pope Emeritus) - 4/16/27 - age 91
Orenthal (OJ Simpson) - 7/9/47 - age 71
Elon Musk - 6/28/71 - age 47
Larry Nassar - 8/16/63 - age 55
Kathy Lee Gifford - 8/16/53 - age 65
Queen Elizabeth II - 4/21/26 - age 92
Jimmy Carter - 10/1/24 - age 94
Sandra Day O'Connor - 3/26/30 - age 88
Jim Kelly - 4/14/60 - age 58
Pete Davidson - 11/16/93 - age 25

Source of DOB & age - Wikipedia (also a good way to determine if someone is famous, cuz if they don't have a wiki page then you might get protests)

 

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Strong call on Pete Davidson....I've always felt though on these that you must include a pro wrestler, a rapper, and one member of the '85 Bears.

 

William "the refrigerator" Perry

Ric Flair

Slim Thug

Bob Dole

Bob Dylan

Berry Gordy

Kris Kristofferson

Jack Nicholson

Jack Osbourne

Liza Minnelli

 

 

 

 

 

 

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33 minutes ago, Walden Ponderer said:

Olivia de Havilland - 102

Does the person who dies before midnight December 31 count towards the 2019 score? Or just replacement and bonus selection?

2 hours ago, Wally Fairway said:

Source of DOB & age - Wikipedia (also a good way to determine if someone is famous, cuz if they don't have a wiki page then you might get protests)

Disagree. That means C Struggs and Cutthroat Chip-O are scratches for 2018. These lists should be posted as soon as possible if a pooler wants to take advantage of the bonus selection. Someone questions celebrity status? More than enough time to discuss. Burden of proof for age is on the pooler.

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2 hours ago, Walden Ponderer said:

Warren Buffett - 89
Joaquin Phoenix - 44
Mick Jagger - 76
Roger Daltrey - 75
Chick Corea - 78
Olivia de Havilland - 102
Dean Stockwell - 83
Liza Minnelli - 73
Cicely Tyson - 93
Justin Bieber - 25

Mick Jagger and not Keith Richards?  They are both 76 in 2019.  Wait...never mind.  You are correct.  Keith Richards was a cockroach in an earlier life...he'll never die...

Edited by Stella Link
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Clint Eastwood (88)

Wilford Brimley (84)

Elizabeth II (92)

Robert Mugabe (94)

Willie Nelson (85)

Loretta Lynn (86)

Bob Barker (95)

George RR Martin (70)

Bob Dole (95)

 

Lot's of small points for the overall win. Missed the <40 pick so I'll replace Keith Richards with Shia Saide LaBeouf (32)

 

 

Edited by SimonBolivar
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1 hour ago, Neonmoon said:

1. Joan Plowright (89)

2. Pete Davidson (25)

3. Demi Lovato (26)

4. Olivia Newton John (70)

5. Clint Eastwood (88)

6. Val Kilmer (58)

7. Willie Nelson (85)

8. Ronnie Wood (71)

9. Ruth Bader Ginsburg (85)

10. Bob Dole (94)

 

Clint Eastwood and Willie Nelson is going to be a bummer. I hope your list is trash. 

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56 minutes ago, Walden Ponderer said:

If Ms. De Havilland kicks the bucket before 2019, then I'll replace her with Johnny Fucking Football. 26.

You are not understanding my question.

No. According to the rules, if Olivia kicks the bucket in 2018, you will choose a replacement and a bonus selection. So Johnny Fucking Football Manziel as replacement and another for the bonus. 

My question: OdH has a point value of -2. If Olivia dies before 2019, does the -2 carry into 2019? 

I think it should because a person choosing someone with a negative point value is obviously looking for a sudden death and the bonus. Interesting strategy; however, if Livvy lives into the next year .... well, let's look at the bright side. Maybe she will be administered an overdose or choke on a ham sandwich within the next thirteen days. You're still down by -2 but you have an extra player on your team!

As far as I am concerned, the current score is Stoogey, 0 and Walden, -2.

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8 hours ago, Wally Fairway said:

Pick 10 famous folks that you think (or hope) will kick it before the end of 2018.

Assuming you meant 2019. 

Queen Elizabeth II (92)

Steve Earle (63)

Bill Russell (84)

Keith Richards (75)

Bill Cosby (81)

Action Bronson (35)

John McAfee (73)

Sissy Spacek (68)

Robert Redford (82)

Fuck it, (If I'm allowed to edit change one)

Billy Sims (63)

Edited by ztejas
different sooner douchebag
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55 minutes ago, Stella Link said:

Ages as of 2019

Macaulay Culkin - 38

Bob Dole - 96

Willie Nelson - 86

Bob Barker - 96

Ruth Bader Ginsburg - 86

Dick Van Dyke - 94

Doris Day - 97

Carl Reiner - 97

Robert Conrad - 84

Ed Asner - 90

 

 

 

 

 

Pretty sure Macauly is clean, and other than that you picked a bunch of old as dirt motherfuckers. Do you get how the scoring works?

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18 hours ago, davidg said:

Thread title is very misleading.  Thought thread was about which Surly poster we were wishing betting would die.

You can start a thread picking Surly poster you hope wish think will die in 2019
I think you have to declare if that means actually dead IRL, or just that they quit posting (maybe like 1/2 points)
and you have to figure out how the scoring thing works, because I don't know how old any of you fucks really are (except for Brat, who is 477)

16 hours ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

So is it legal to go make a wiki page on yourself and put yourself on your list?

I'm putting NMAS as my #1 pick

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interesting strategy to pick 90+ year olds.    I'm going younger.

  • Tekashi 6ix9ine 
  • Josh Gordon (suspended NE receiver)
  • Artie Lange
  • Dennis Rodman
  • Kellen Winslow
  • John Daly
  • Jason Whitlock (sports writer)
  • Tom Arnold
  • Pete Davidson (if only to offset what everyone else is doing)
  • Johnny Depp

 

Edited by Nice Guy Eddie
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