Alabama Opens -6 V. Clemson - Discuss

[Wally Pryor 5245]

Bama will cover.  That's all.

[taybo20 2815]

ou sux

fuck bama

Edited December 30, 2018 by taybo20

[Sgt Hulk 13648]

Clemson by 50

[4th&Five 41462]

Maybe Clemson will win by 6. 

[TexasMan 10786]

 

[Funk Doctor Spock 11953]

Lawrence is a good qb, and their WR's are good, but I don't think their defense can stop Bama. It'll be another shootout. 

[BigOrange1 6422]

think it'll be a good one.

[Funk Doctor Spock 11953]

1 minute ago, BigOrange1 said:

think it'll be a good one.

It'll be the best match up since Watson was qb, imo.

[satyanash 14282]

For what it's worth, S&P+ has Alabama as a two-point favourite over Clemson on a neutral field. And S&P+ has hit 54% against the spread and 53% on the O/U point totals for the year, it's performing quite well.

[F250 28716]

Clemson wins by 3.

[GotThatFire 166]

BORRRRRRINNNNNG

[SaucyJack 3487]

I'll take Bama to cover first half spread

FWIW they didn't cover tonight.  

 

 

[Hamttx 419]

1 minute ago, SaucyJack said:

I'll take Bama to cover first half spread

FWIW they didn't cover tonight.  

 

 

And yet they could have. Going for it really wouldn’t have even been risky. The sport has turned into pure entertainment and feels scripted.

[TexArcher 37553]

I think Clemson has a 50/50 shot to win outright.  I'm gonna wait and see if that line hits 7 or 7.5.

[SaucyJack 3487]

4 minutes ago, Hamttx said:

And yet they could have. Going for it really wouldn’t have even been risky. The sport has turned into pure entertainment and feels scripted.

It all started when they began scripting the first ten plays or so, and sudden change of possession plays.  After that it was all downhill.

 

[Fudge Nuggets 19152]

Clemson covers and maybe wins outright.  Taking the under.

[Constant 6722]

Alabama wins but taking the under. 

Edited December 30, 2018 by Constant

[IPoopOnWhoop 93]

Early in the season the golden nugget was offering lines on potential championship games against bama.  I think Clemson was in the 10 point range but they may have even been higher.  Either way it’s hard to imaging that bama won’t be walking away with yet another natty...I wish it wasn’t that way though.

[Revolution512 1480]

Bama rolls

[Dolemite 143]

45-17 Alabama.

[Tom Chairman 264]

Meh don't care not watching. Hope the TV ratings for this bomb.

[RomaVicta 29813]

I kinda don't care much either. I was hoping OU and ND would win their games today. I'm certainly not fans of either team, but I'd like to watch something new. Pretty clearly, ND hasn't belonged in the playoffs their last couple of tries. No more special deal for them. They're just another team.

I'm thinking that the ratings will be down. Casual viewers might feel about this game like they felt about the rematch of LSU and Alabama some years ago.

[Vic Mackey 46939]

Bama/Clemson is now what the Warriors/Cavs was in the NBA Finals. 4 years in a row for both.

Lawrence is not as dynamic as Watson was. I see it going like it did last year.

[NBMisha 224]

I wonder.  Clemson is clearly miles ahead of OU defensively, and Lawrence keeps trending up.  I wouldn't be surprised either way.

And 54% S&P against the spread?  Marginally better than random, doesn't cover the vig.  Why this passes as "strong" I cannot imagine.   Better than the alternative?  Just barely.  Still, not good, by any definition of a strong prediction.

[immortal13 4059]

Great thread. Would not read again

[MonkeyDoughnut 10152]

Are we talking about this years final or next years?

[mdmost 42876]

I think Clemson has the defense to hang with Bama. Not sure about the offense though. 

[El Hornarino 371]

I'm tired of Alabama.

[bluto 4895]

2 hours ago, NBMisha said:

I wonder.  Clemson is clearly miles ahead of OU defensively, and Lawrence keeps trending up.  I wouldn't be surprised either way.

And 54% S&P against the spread?  Marginally better than random, doesn't cover the vig.  Why this passes as "strong" I cannot imagine.   Better than the alternative?  Just barely.  Still, not good, by any definition of a strong prediction.

52.4% is the magic number in sports wagering

[Jkwellborn 6658]

I’d feel better about Clemson if saban hadn’t dimed them out. They’ll miss the suspended dL.

[C-Man 27083]

Fuck this. Clemson wins.

[skeeter 453]

[C-Man 27083]

Bama/Clemson is now what the Warriors/Cavs was in the NBA Finals. 4 years in a row for both.
Lawrence is not as dynamic as Watson was. I see it going like it did last year.

He’s also a true freshman

[Fudge Nuggets 19152]

4 minutes ago, C-Man said:

 

He’s also a true freshman

 

There are no true freshmen in January, or something like that.

[The Ace of Aces 5107]

Clemson won’t score 2 TDs imo. 

[texaslong 678]

I’m pulling for Clemson, but Bama will probably win. You know ESPN is worried about ratings, cause the first thing they said this morning was people should celebrate this matchup. It’s great that we get the same teams playing each other in the playoffs for the 4th year in a row. You should enjoy greatness. They know it’s a problem.

[ADHD 28]

Clemson!

[Vic Mackey 46939]

53 minutes ago, C-Man said:

 

He’s also a true freshman

 

So yeah, for this game, he won't be as dynamic as Watson. My point stands.

[G650 14117]

6 hours ago, mdmost said:

I think Clemson has the defense to hang with Bama. Not sure about the offense though. 

Yeah, this is my first instinct. Clemson is a better football team than OU, but they are a better matchup for Bama.

[Mileslong 4718]

For what it's worth, S&P+ has Alabama as a two-point favourite over Clemson on a neutral field. And S&P+ has hit 54% against the spread and 53% on the O/U point totals for the year, it's performing quite well.

So basically it’s like 3% better than a chicken

[MrPhlegm 3413]

Tua wont have the heismanhate of a regarded midget in this one. Clemson wins.

[kopp0e 1135]

19 hours ago, Wally Pryor said:

Bama will cover.  That's all.

Agreed, when does next season start..? (but I still plan on watching the Rose/ Sugar & CFP title game, for an exciting conclusion to this bowl season)...

[Neonmoon 38127]

I think Bama wins this year, but Clemson will beat Bama next year. 

[ADHD 28]

And then Bama will beat Clemson 2 straight years after that then Clemson beats Bama in triple OT then ....

[BB65 476]

Clem in 8 OTs

[kopp0e 1135]

We wouldn't have sequels that might rival in count franchises like A Nightmare On Elm Street or Friday the 13th, if CFP expands...

[Huckleberry 32710]

20 hours ago, Dolemite said:

45-17 Alabama.

I'll take Clemson +27.5

I win, you don't post on Surly for a year. Same vice versa. 

[Constant 6722]

This is pretty interesting. 

[SDG 3319]

putting my money where my mouth is; I'm taking Clemson.  Alabama is great, but I just see let down.  

[hayden_horn 11360]

As a lapsed gambler, I'm jonesing to take that Clemson moneyline. -7 or thereabouts is the real good stuff.