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Posted
6 minutes ago, burntorangebongos said:

Man, this fat fuck has no self awareness. He ain't but dumb. Well, and delusional.

 

Seems low energy. Probably worried about Epstein’s journal and safe.

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Bruh Man said:

Any of you guys mess with PredictIt? 

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/2721/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

I'm thinking of buying some shares of a Dem victory before this economy starts going down but I want to know if the site is legit. 

It's legit. I put a pretty large amount of money on Roy Moore last year, and they happily cashed me out for a 10% take of zero dollars. Good times. I'll be betting a decent amount on Trump winning re-election too. 

Edited by BradInATX
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Posted
4 hours ago, Anastasis said:

You will pay fees on your profit and fees on withdrawal. You have to take those into account. 

That being said, I am maxed out on Dem to win 2020 as well as some individual candidate plays. 

There is a thread somewhere down board where the degenerates share tips. 

What price did you get the Dem share?

Posted
8 hours ago, BradInATX said:

I'll be betting a decent amount on Trump winning re-election too. 

if that includes an illegitimate election or him staying in office after losing, that is easy fucking money

Posted
8 hours ago, BradInATX said:

It's legit. I put a pretty large amount of money on Roy Moore last year, and they happily cashed me out for a 10% take of zero dollars. Good times. I'll be betting a decent amount on Trump winning re-election too. 

And you will lose for the simple fact that Hillary is not his opponent.

  • Like 1
Posted
6 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

I hope trump spends more time mocking fat people.  That’s 80% of middle America.  

And like 90% of his base. 

Posted
23 minutes ago, suddenly shaggy said:

Those guys do look like they regularly shit their pants. 

but really, would it surprise anyone at all if it came out that Trump wears adult diapers and shits his pants on the reg? 

  • Like 1
Posted
43 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:

TRUMP was sent by baby Jesus to save America

 

Every time I see that pic there's less doubt in my mind that those dudes went home and had themselves a lemon party. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Steamboat1874 said:

And you will lose for the simple fact that Hillary is not his opponent.

That and the fact that Democrats are way more motivated to vote than Republicans.

Add to that the fact that he is shrinking rather than expanding his base, and that does not bode well for Donald Trump.

Posted
1 hour ago, Steamboat1874 said:

And you will lose for the simple fact that Hillary is not his opponent.

thats if you believe there will be an honest and legitimate election process, that trump will voluntarily leave office if there is, and that republicans would not back him staying in office despite him losing in the unlikely event that that happens.

i don't believe any of those things.  no one should.

Posted
1 minute ago, Mojo Hand said:

Chaser:

Is there a single Trump supporter who isn't totally cucked by this guy? 

No.  Not a one.  He could rape their wives, burn down their houses, and shit in their mouths, and they'd say "THANKS!  THAT WAS AWESOME!"

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Posted
1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And like 90% of his base. 

And their response would be "Hell yeah, Donald!  Tell those fat fuckers what's what!  Man, some people really let themselves go once they get out of high school.  They should be ashamed of themselves!"

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Posted
48 minutes ago, Jack Straw said:

thats if you believe there will be an honest and legitimate election process, that trump will voluntarily leave office if there is, and that republicans would not back him staying in office despite him losing in the unlikely event that that happens.

i don't believe any of those things.  no one should.

Please, please, please, please, please baby Jesus let him try to stay in office after losing the election. 

Please.

Posted

Trump spending in Texas.

Quote

Beginning in June, thousands of voters across the country saw a fundraising plea in the form of a Facebook ad from the president’s official social media page. It described how the “fake news media” would bolster Donald Trump’s reelection bid.

“The Fake News Media broadcasted the 2020 Crazy Dem Debate and showed the American People just how insane the Democratic candidates really are,” it said.

“They’re practically doing our job for us.”

While the rhetoric contained in the ad may not surprise anyone, the people on the receiving end could raise eyebrows. According to Facebook’s ad library, more Texans saw the ad than residents of any other state.

 

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The ad isn’t an anomaly. As Trump’s reelection campaign pours far more money into Facebook advertising than any other 2020 candidate, its No. 1 target is Texas residents. According to Bully Pulpit Interactive, a Democratic firm that tracks digital ad spending, Trump’s campaign spent nearly half a million dollars on Facebook ads in Texas alone from Jan. 5 through Aug. 3. (Texans and Democratic presidential nominees Beto O’Rourke and Julián Castro, meanwhile, spent less than $300,000 combined in the same period.)

But the spending has split pundits along party lines: While Democrats take it as a sign that Trump might be worried Texas will flip, Republicans say it only means the president is trying to reenergize his base early on.

“When we think about digital ads, we think about it in terms of, ‘Is [Trump] using them to engage and excite his existing supporters, or is he using it to reach out and persuade new supporters?’” said Daniel Scarvalone, Bully Pulpit’s senior director of research and data.

 

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For years now, the president has used Facebook prolifically. After the 2016 election, Trump’s digital director, Texan Brad Parscale, told CBS’ “60 Minutes” that the campaign spent most of its digital advertising dollars on Facebook and that it tested between 50,000 and 100,000 ad variations each day to target potential voters.

The Trump campaign didn’t respond to requests for comment explaining the campaign’s digital strategy ahead of next year, but Parscale previously credited the popular social media platform for Trump’s presidential win in 2016.

“Twitter is how [Trump] talked to the people,” Parscale said. “Facebook was going to be how he won.”

 

 

Trump’s digital strategy is not unique to his campaign. For years, political campaigns and outside groups have run ads on Facebook to sway voters ahead of Election Day. (For example, O’Rourke was the top political advertiser in the country on the site for much of last year during his heated Senate race against incumbent Republican Ted Cruz, spending more than $6.3 million on Facebook ads from May through late October.)

And Facebook might play an even bigger role ahead of 2020 compared to previous cycles. Democrats have been driven in part by the requirements of broad support from small-dollar donors in order to qualify for debates; Trump, meanwhile, is using it to raise money and collect a hefty list of donors by next year.

“Facebook is well established for preaching to the converted,” said Nicco Mele, the director of Harvard University’s Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy. “It’s very good at reaching your base.

 

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“I am certain traditional TV advertising is still useful, but it’s a lot less useful than it was 20 years ago. And it’s clear that a lot is happening online.”

Trump seems to have received that message and is doubling down on the digital strategy that helped him win the presidency nearly four years ago. Last month, his campaign announced it had raised more money online in the second quarter of this year than in the first half of 2018. And his spending on Facebook so far has also exceeded that of all of his Democratic rivals combined.

“The truth about Texas is that it has abysmal voter turnout,” said Sam Martin, an assistant professor at Southern Methodist University. “If voters of color turned out to vote and could be engaged to vote, Trump would probably have reason to worry about Texas.”

Aside from the “fake news” ad, data from Facebook shows that the president’s reelection campaign is also sending more ads on topics like immigration and socialism to Texans’ news feeds than to people in any other state.

 

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“Democrats are TOTALLY out of touch with the American people,” read one ad that began running in July but is now inactive. “We need to send a RESOUNDING message to the left that big-government socialists like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar don’t represent the views of the American people!”

“It’s CRITICAL that we STOP THE INVASION. Nancy Pelosi and Democrats have not negotiated in good faith to fund a wall at our Southern Border, proving that OBSTRUCTION is far more important to them than YOUR SAFETY,” another ad read. “I cannot allow America’s safety and security to be put at risk any longer. We need the wall.”

His immigration ads have received heightened scrutiny in light of a recent massacre in El Paso in which the shooter allegedly penned a hate-filled manifesto warning of a “Hispanic invasion of Texas,” along with other racist and xenophobic language. The messages continue a campaign tactic the president has employed since he first launched his 2016 campaign: using alarming rhetoric surrounding immigration to signal that there’s a crisis at the border that needs to be addressed immediately — and then suggesting he’s best equipped to handle it.

 

 

Trump’s ads in Texas could prove influential given the state’s voting record the past two election cycles. The Senate race between O’Rourke and Cruz last year was the closest statewide race in Texas in 40 years. In 2016, Trump carried the state by only 9 percentage points — the smallest margin of victory for a Republican presidential nominee in Texas in two decades.

“Trump’s spending here ties directly into Texas being the biggest battleground state,” said Brittany Switzer, senior brand director for the Texas Democratic Party. “We see poll after poll showing Democrats beating Donald Trump here in Texas, and that plays over into the digital ad space as well.”

Others aren’t so sure.

“You want to fish in the pond with the most fish,” said Eric Wilson, a Republican digital strategist. “The fact the Trump campaign is spending so much in Texas is a reflection of how much support he has in the state.”

 

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And, Wilson noted, most of the ads targeted to a Texas audience have a clear purpose: building lists and collecting phone numbers, emails and, eventually, dollars.

“They wouldn’t be spending there if it were not performing well for them,” Wilson said, adding that Trump’s spending on digital ads in Texas shows that the campaign is trying to build up its infrastructure and rile up his core supporters early on, which is why nearly half of Trump’s overall Facebook ad budget is targeting users who are over 65 years old. [Suing says: "Lulz"]

One other possible explanation for Trump’s heavy spending here: Texas is simply one of the biggest states — so there are more voters to reach. Traditional swing states Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida are also among the top five locations where Trump is spending money. But so is California, the most populous state and one that no one thinks will be competitive in 2020.

“There’s the big open question of: Do Republicans have Texas locked down, or do they really have to worry about it?” Scarvalone said. “In the months ahead, as Trump continues to use Texas as his cash register, we’ll see whether he’s using it to mobilize existing donors and supporters, or if he’s using Facebook to push his vote share in the state.”

Disclosure: Facebook and Southern Methodist University have been financial supporters of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune's journalism. Find a complete list of them here.

 

Posted
1 hour ago, Pancho said:

 

WTF ethnicity is the name "Menashi?" I mean, is it French, German, Irish, or god forbid Polish? I mean, yeah, the dude looks white, but what ethnic brand of white is he?

Because, apparently, that shit matters to having a functional democracy.

Posted
1 minute ago, bolverk said:

WTF ethnicity is the name "Menashi?" I mean, is it French, German, Irish, or god forbid Polish? I mean, yeah, the dude looks white, but what ethnic brand of white is he?

Because, apparently, that shit matters to having a functional democracy.

It's Hebrew.

Posted
2 hours ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

I hope trump spends more time mocking fat people.  That’s 80% of middle America.  

Just like the farmers in the midwest lambasting welfare and socialism, Trump's base doesn't realize they're fat too. They'll gladly point, laugh and mock at the fat jokes then look down to see an elongated looney toons t-shirt and wonder why they can't see their own feet. 

Posted
15 minutes ago, bolverk said:

WTF ethnicity is the name "Menashi?" I mean, is it French, German, Irish, or god forbid Polish? I mean, yeah, the dude looks white, but what ethnic brand of white is he?

Because, apparently, that shit matters to having a functional democracy.

Forget the name...how much inbreeding does it take to come out looking like that guy?

Posted
29 minutes ago, bolverk said:

WTF ethnicity is the name "Menashi?" I mean, is it French, German, Irish, or god forbid Polish? I mean, yeah, the dude looks white, but what ethnic brand of white is he?

Because, apparently, that shit matters to having a functional democracy.

I think it's Dutch.

  • Like 3
Posted
2 minutes ago, DixonHur said:

Forget the name...how much inbreeding does it take to come out looking like that guy?

Yeah, but all those other ethnicities are inbred sheepfuckers anyway, so what does it matter? That dude ain't specifically White Anglo-Saxon Protestant like you or me. His presence, alone, prevents us from having a fully functioning democracy, because we're not seen as equals (accorsing to that dude's logic -- watch the clip starting at 7:00 because Madow can't get to the point).

 

 

EDITORIAL DISCLAIMER: How can we even be performing these mock racist exercises in the year 2019? Seriously, after everything we've been through, we still have to deal with this shit from these retrograde dog cunts.

  • Like 2
Posted (edited)
41 minutes ago, David Dennison said:

It's Hebrew.

I knew an Armenian girl with a similar name, and I was about to ask a) how is he not more swarthy and b) if he's Armenian, what university would be willing to admit him?

At least he's not a fucking bog jumper, but he's still got the inbreeding look going on.

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Edited by atomheartbevo
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Posted
12 minutes ago, bolverk said:

EDITORIAL DISCLAIMER: How can we even be performing these mock racist exercises in the year 2019? Seriously, after everything we've been through, we still have to deal with this shit from these retrograde dog cunts.

A major plank in the R platform in '20 will be keep the browns out b/c they're rapists and murderers and basically inferior to what our culture requires.

Posted
14 minutes ago, bolverk said:

EDITORIAL DISCLAIMER: How can we even be performing these mock racist exercises in the year 2019? Seriously, after everything we've been through, we still have to deal with this shit from these retrograde dog cunts.

i got into a heated political discussion with my parents this weekend, the first of my life.  i told them it's disappointing we were able to reject George Wallace the first and the second time we cling to him like he's the savior.

Posted
12 hours ago, DixonHur said:

In 50 years, historians are going to view Trump as the greatest president the Progressives ever had.

He's opening people's eyes to dark side of pure, unadulterated capitalism...its a front row seat to The Bonfire of the Vanities.

I think within a few election cycles we'll have universal health care, a green new deal, free college / tech school, tighter restrictions on guns, etc.

the whole world will be on fire, but that sounds nice

Posted
10 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

At least he's not a fucking bog jumper, but he's still got the inbreeding look going on.

Our preferred nomenclature is marsh hopper.

3 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

i got into a heated political discussion with my parents this weekend, the first of my life.  i told them it's disappointing we were able to reject George Wallace the first and the second time we cling to him like he's the savior.

Man, I understand. My own father, a fucking high school history teacher (the kind with an actual master's & not a stupid coach), who once hung posters of MLK in his classroom, is a devoted Trump supporter after 20+ years of the propaganda network 

There's simply nothing else to say at this point.

  • Like 3
Posted
2 hours ago, Jack Straw said:

thats if you believe there will be an honest and legitimate election process, that trump will voluntarily leave office if there is, and that republicans would not back him staying in office despite him losing in the unlikely event that that happens.

i don't believe any of those things.  no one should.

 

There will be interference and shenanigans like in 2016 and 2018, but not enough to overcome how motivated Democrats and independents will be at removing him.  His refusal to leave office would also depend on other people enabling him to do so like not certifying the election results.  If that were to happen, forget protests,  there would be widespread riots across the country.  

I just don't see it happening.  Most in the GOP are political opportunists but dislike him behind closed doors.  Many are biding their time until he's gone so they can safely furrow their brow openly and pretend they weren't enabling pieces of shit for four years.

Posted

Perhaps I’m lacking in imagination but I don’t see how the Russians or anyone else is going to pull off anything close to the GRU/Wikileaks operation of 2016.  

That was the mother of all election interference/information warfare attacks because everyone in our media was at least unwittingly in on it.  

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