2019 Rain Thread

[Trey3216 15325]

Holy hell on earth!! The bottom of the sky has fallen out for about 30 minutes here in Hewitt/Woodway area.   It’s glorious 

 

Naturally, I watered for about 45 minutes this morning 

Edited August 24, 2019 by Trey3216

[gmr548 16504]

A brief drizzle in 78759. Sky has looked like storms are trying to fire up all day. Surprised we haven't seen much. Such is life under the forcefield. 

[Hpara759 1777]

.2"  at 78626  cooled off to 80 degrees....2/10 more than I've had in a month

[Neonmoon 38127]

1 hour ago, gmr548 said:

A brief drizzle in 78759. Sky has looked like storms are trying to fire up all day. Surprised we haven't seen much. Such is life under the forcefield. 

Same. Watched it rain a couple blocks away. 

[KaiserSoze 997]

A couple of light showers in different areas of 78704 the last couple hours.... super nice.

[Hate 20103]

This is getting depressing. Five out of the last six days something like this has happened.

[Post Oak 20184]

Good rain yesterday afternoon for about an hour off and on.  Was actually able to give my AC the first break in what seems like a month.

Got out this morning and went to the park and you could feel that shit evaporating back up into the atmosphere.

[TexArcher 37508]

I don't even remember what rain looks like.

[Native Horn 3491]

It's piss.

[plimon 190]

It's piss.

Cow out front should have told you

[Modessit 5596]

Caught a boomer coming out of the barn. Decent soaking for about 30 minutes in 78724.

[yoladu 4066]

if i am reading this right.. for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport

July - 0.00"

August - 0.04"

September (so far) - 0.00"

[Brisketexan 104596]

Just now, yoladu said:

if i am reading this right.. for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport

July - 0.00"

August - 0.04"

September (so far) - 0.00"

Yeah....this "no f'n rain at all" shit is getting annoying.

[MrPhlegm 3413]

It ain't raining here.

[MrPhlegm 3413]

It raining here.

[Hate 20103]

It's never going to rain again.  I have to assume that the law of averages would suggest we were kind of due for a drought given that it's been a while since the last one. 

Edited September 4, 2019 by Hate

[Trey3216 15325]

4 minutes ago, Hate said:

It's never going to rain again.  I have to assume that the law of averages would suggest we were kind of due for a drought given that it's been a while since the last one. 

I think all of CenTex is still ahead of normal for the year.   The last year we had like this was ‘10.   Heavy rain and cooler than normal for April through end of June, hotter than normal Aug-Oct, then a cold ass winter.  Then summer ‘11 was serious drought 

[Hate 20103]

This is fucking ridiculous. I know one of the screenshots seems to show it is raining at my house, but in reality it was just a sprinkle. It was barely enough to get the grass wet.

 

 

[Wally Pryor 5244]

I see clouds outside.   That's a start I guess. 

[Machinator 32097]

Our long nightmare is over.

[atomheartbevo 89416]

A shitload of airliners apparently just emptied their tanks over Austin.

It's piss.

[Moby Ric 2058]

Not a drop of rain my yard in 8 weeks and the sky opened up and unloaded on my yard this afternoon.  Finally!!

[utee94 15745]

Not a drop of rain at my house in 8 weeks.

And that's still true.

It's never going to rain again.

[Homercles 10205]

Was like a monsoon up here in Cedar Park, wild wind and heavy rain for about ten minutes.  My friend in Leander got it like Dorian did Alabama.  

[Hate 20103]

Not a drop of rain at my house in 8 weeks.
And that's still true.
It's never going to rain again.

I hear you. Here is the second cock tease I’ve gotten today.

[gmr548 16504]

Got maybe 0.1" in 78759. First measurable in over a month.

Can't wait for six more weeks with no rain!

Edited September 11, 2019 by gmr548

[Guest Lobo]

Holy shit, I walked into my campus building for a 90 minute class.  Bone dry when I walked in.  Come out, waller creek is flowing insanely fast.  Inch and a half at my house, traffic almost at a standstill between the two because of a few puddles.  What the fuck was that?  I didn't see any of it happening in a classroom with no windows, but glad it did.  Only rain I can remember in the last month and only rain I see for the next month.  What a great spring (I consider Spring to go thru the equinox) , and what a shitastic summer proper in Austin.  

[texasdago 7553]

Lots of heavy storms in Houston yesterday.  Got about a quarter inch in the morning and then the big stuff rolled in...and around our house.

[atomheartbevo 89416]

16 hours ago, utee94 said:

Not a drop of rain at my house in 8 weeks.

And that's still true.

It's never going to rain again.

We are going camping in a couple of weeks.  If you’re around Austin, you will get plenty of rain thanks to us.  

[Hornius Emeritus 12419]

There's an old joke about a rancher out near Midland who bet a bunch of his friends that it would never rain again and lived to collect from several of them. 

[atomheartbevo 89416]

I can hear thunder from out towards West Austin, and one of the weather apps is teasing rain in 5 minutes.  

So yeah, no rain today.  

[utee94 15745]

2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

We are going camping in a couple of weeks.  If you’re around Austin, you will get plenty of rain thanks to us.  

Ha, yeah, I'll be camping out at Lost Pines with my son this weekend.  So I can guarantee rain in Bastrop, but Austin will still be bone dry.  Sorry...

Edited September 11, 2019 by utee94

[atomheartbevo 89416]

Keep hearing thunder.   Not sure what’s a bigger cocktease - the storms around Austin, or Nancy Wheeler’s mom.  

[gmr548 16504]

Decent soaking in 78759 for about 10-15 minutes now. Could be pushing 0.5" today. Most rain I can remember since June. About time, it's getting awful crunchy up here.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

[Judge Roybeanbag 11810]

Force field doing serious work in South Austin (not his mom).  Bone dry the last 2 days.  

[Post Oak 20184]

Well I'll be damned.  Getting an actual thunderstorm here in waco.  I'm so glad.  Grass was hurting my bare feet and I put out some water for bees the other day.

[Trey3216 15325]

14 minutes ago, Post Oak said:

Well I'll be damned.  Getting an actual thunderstorm here in waco.  I'm so glad.  Grass was hurting my bare feet and I put out some water for bees the other day.

Yep.   And I was gonna mow the yard (for the last time this year more than likely) this evening.  Had also just pulled the cover off the grill to cook some ribeyes for dinner.  

Edited September 11, 2019 by Trey3216

[Newdoc 3433]

On 9/3/2019 at 8:20 PM, Trey3216 said:

Then summer ‘11 was serious drought 

[Dilligas 666]

10 miles south of Blanco. Around 1/4” yesterday and freakin 1/2” today!

[4Pete 156]

I miss rain.  I thought I heard some thunder in midtown today.  I think it may have been a moving van.  Not a drop.

[Nonbryan 173]

PhD, do we need to dust off our rain gear to survive this week?

[Hate 20103]

Everyone needs to wash their car and water their lawn this week.

[phdhorn 6224]

This thing is pretty much a cinch to go smack over Austin and bring some rain.  That's absolutely gonna happen.  Metaphysical certitude.
How much?  Where?  Ah, a good question.  More tomorrow.  (Looks like Wed-Thur are the peaks).

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

The latest run of the European has 20" over Fort Bend County by Friday.

We need the rain but I'd rather we get 20 inches over, say, 3 MONTHS.

Dry all summer and then this is supposed to happen. 

Guess it's a good thing the Brazos is low right now because this thing is going right up the river. 

(I know it's more like 4-6 inches with the other models but you never know)

 

Edited September 16, 2019 by crimsonlonghorn

[phdhorn 6224]

whatdafuck

Edited September 16, 2019 by phdhorn

[phdhorn 6224]

Weird shit happening... I'll be back to 'splain (editor wiped my post out?).

Edited September 16, 2019 by phdhorn

[Hate 20103]

Here is the latest update from Jeff Lindner for those of us in SE Texas:

Potential for heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be increasing this week

Weak low pressure system will meander near the TX coast for several days resulting in multiple impacts

Upper level low that has been talked about since Friday is now reaching the western Gulf of Mexico with both radars from Lake Charles and Houston showing numerous clusters and bands of rainfall across the NW Gulf waters associated with the deeper tropical moisture located just offshore. These bands will begin to rotate inland starting later this morning with very heavy rainfall and gusty winds of 40-45mph. As the upper level low moves slowly westward toward the mid TX coast a weak surface low or surface trough will be developing along the middle and upper TX coast. Models have come into a bit better agreement that a surface low pressure system may form just offshore on Tuesday and drift inland over SE TX Tuesday night into Wednesday. NHC currently gives the system a 10% chance of tropical formation…BUT regardless if something develops tropically or not…the main impact will be heavy rainfall.

Ingredients appear to be coming together in the late Tuesday through Thursday time period for a heavy rainfall event over the region. Surface trough or surface low will drift into the region from the south, PWS values soar to 2.2-2.5 inches, increasing low level SSE/SE flow will help pump an endless supply of moisture into the region. Formation of slow moving clusters and training rainbands appear likely over portions of the area.

While grounds are very dry over much of the region, this weather system will be very capable of producing excessive amounts of rainfall in a short period of time. Rains today and Tuesday especially south of I-10 will go into starting to saturate the very dry ground conditions and expect conditions by Wednesday to support much more run-off. Current HCFCD soil moisture sensors at a depth of 2 inches show moisture values ranging from a low of 4% in Tomball to a high 48% at NRG stadium. I have attached the current soil moisture values for the 2 inch and 4 inch depths across the area.

Rainfall Amounts:
Widespread rainfall amounts of 3-6 inches will be likely over much of the area with isolated totals of 10-15 inches possible. Hourly rainfall rates of 3-4 inches will be possible under any training bands and any slow moving clusters resulting in rapid onset urban flash flooding. The threat for creek, bayou, and river flooding will be increasing by mid week as grounds becoming increasingly saturated and run-off increases.

A flash flood watch will likely be required for portions of the area.

WPC has placed portions of the area under a slight risk for flash flooding for both Tuesday and Wednesday.

Tides:
ENE/E winds over the northern Gulf have resulted in increased tides along the upper TX coast with water levels running 1-2 feet above normal levels. Total water levels at times of high tide of 3.0-3.5 feet will be possible along the upper TX coast today which may result in minor coastal flooding at some of the more vulnerable locations.

[Hate 20103]

Some weather models are hinting at a major flooding event this week. The local mets seem to be kinf of ho-hum so far, but just about every weather model is in agreement that portions of Texas are going to get drenched over the next 96 hours.

 

[Orange&White 5516]

I was told less than a week ago that it was never going to rain again......

[texasdago 7553]

"just about every weather model is in agreement that portions of Texas are going to get drenched over the next 96 hours." - drenched, yes.  Deluge?  No.  There is disagreement from model to model and the one that is being discussed is the Euro.  Not all are as bullish as that one.  Only time will tell.