2019 NFL Mock Draft Mockery Thread

[satyanash 14282]

It's that time of year, folks...

Anyway, here's CBS Sports' first mock draft of the year. The early consensus so far seems to be Nick Bosa going at #1 overall, with Dwayne Haskins as the first QB off the board. 

Mel Kiper also just released his 2019 NFL Mock Draft 1.0:

1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State

General manager Steve Keim is going to have a chance to trade down and accumulate picks. He should take a look at it, too, because this roster has been stripped of talent since the Cardinals went to the NFC Championship Game in 2016. But Bosa is going to be tough to pass up, as he is an elite pass-rusher. New defensive coordinator Vance Joseph is expected to switch this defense back to a 3-4, and Bosa has the versatility to play multiple spots. Give new coach Kliff Kingsbury a defensive stalwart opposite Chandler Jones who can get after Jared Goff, Russell Wilson and Jimmy Garoppolo twice a season.

2) San Francisco 49ers: Josh Allen, OLB, Kentucky

The 49ers took defensive linemen in the first round in three straight years (2015 to '17), but DeForest Buckner is the only true star of the group. And none of those picks has the edge-rushing potential of Allen, who racked up 17 sacks for the Wildcats this season. If you're talking about pure pass-rushing ability, the 6-foot-5, 230-pound Allen is right up there with Bosa. San Francisco needs to add offensive weapons this offseason, but none is worth taking this high.

3) New York Jets: Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama

The Jets will have the most 2019 cap space of any team, so expect them to be active in free agency. For now, I'll go with the best player on the board in Williams, who finished eighth in the voting for the Heisman Trophy this season. If new defensive coordinator Gregg Williams switches to a 4-3, Williams is a perfect fit as a three-technique penetrator. Remember that the Jets don't have a second-round pick -- they dealt it in the Sam Darnold trade up last year -- so it's extra important that they hit here. New York does have an extra third-round pick from the Teddy Bridgewater trade.

4) Oakland Raiders: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU

It's tough to predict what Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock will do with three first-round picks in this class, but fixing an aging defense should be a priority. The Raiders have needs across the board, including at pass-rusher -- they had a league-low 13 sacks in 2018. But with Bosa and Allen off the board, I'll go with a corner. Gareon Conley came on strong at the end of the season, but there's a hole across from the 2017 first-rounder. Williams is a big, 6-foot-3 corner with long arms and lockdown potential. The comp I've made for him is Aqib Talib.

5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jonah Williams, OT/G, Alabama

The Bucs could look very different under new coach Bruce Arians in 2019, as they have several key free agents (Kwon Alexander, Donovan Smith, Adam Humphries, among others), plus veterans (DeSean Jackson, Gerald McCoy) who are candidates to be released. Upgrading the offensive line should be a priority, however, and Williams has Pro Bowl potential at both guard and tackle. Washington's Brandon Scherff is the example I've used -- Williams made 43 straight starts at tackle for the Crimson Tide, but he has the frame (6-foot-5, 301 pounds) to easily move inside.

6) New York Giants: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State

This is an easy call. The Giants need a quarterback, and Haskins is the best quarterback in the class. The Giants can't afford to put off the decision for another year, even if they bring back 38-year-old Eli Manning and let the rookie learn behind him. Haskins (6-3, 220) is far from a finished product -- he started only 14 games at Ohio State -- but he has an extremely high ceiling. One thing to watch is whether QB-needy teams get aggressive and try to trade up to get in front of the Giants.

7) Jacksonville Jaguars: Cody Ford, OT/G, Oklahoma

Can the Jaguars pass on a quarterback in this draft? Here's why I'm going a different direction: Despite the struggles in 2018, this roster is built to win now. Jacksonville has talent and is just a year removed from playing in the AFC title game. That's why I think Tom Coughlin & Co. will have already made their quarterback decision by April's draft, going with one of the free-agent options who is more likely to help the Jags win in 2019. Instead, let's upgrade a porous offensive line with Ford, a mauler who would slot in at guard or right tackle.

😎 Detroit Lions: Devin White, LB, LSU

This is a spot to watch for a pass-rusher, as the Lions could part ways with free agent Ezekiel Ansah. In fact, coach Matt Patricia could use improvements at every level of his defense. White is a fly-to-the-football linebacker with similar athletic traits as Detroit middle linebacker Jarrad Davis, who was taken in the first round in 2017. The two could form a stellar tandem, as both are three-down linebackers. White isn't a true pass-rusher, but he makes plays in the backfield

9) Buffalo Bills: Rashan Gary, DE/DT, Michigan

Could the Bills get their Kyle Williams replacement here? At his peak, the 6-foot-6, 283-pound Gary is a menace who makes offensive linemen look foolish, but you'd like to see him do it with more regularity. Gary could play end or nose guard in a 3-4 defense or tackle in a 4-3. Buffalo could look at centers or guards here; improving the interior of the offensive line should be a priority.

10) Denver Broncos: Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia

Former first-round pick Bradley Roby isa free agent, and Chris Harris Jr., who broke his leg in December, turns 30 over the summer. Cornerback is the No. 1 need for the Broncos. Baker isn't far behind Greedy Williams as the top corner in this class. General manager John Elway hit on his 2018 draft class, and he needs another good one to get the team back on track under new coach Vic Fangio.

11) Cincinnati Bengals: Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida

The Bengals have missed on a few offensive linemen in the draft in recent years, and there's still a hole at right tackle. That's where Taylor would slot in. He took a huge step forward playing on the right side in 2018, though there's still mixed opinion from people I trust in the league. Taylor is raw, but he has the tools to be a premier road grader in the run game.

12) Green Bay Packers: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson

Ferrell, who had 21 sacks the past two seasons, isn't a perfect fit in the Packers' 3-4 defense, but he's the best pass-rusher left on the board. Green Bay needs to add edge-rush help this offseason -- Clay Matthews and Muhammad Wilkerson are free agents -- and Ferrell (6-5, 265) could play end or outside linebacker here. The Packers will likely keep an eye on offensive playmakers, too, and they have New Orleans' first-round pick from last year's draft-day trade.

13) Miami Dolphins: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma

The Dolphins need to rebuild. What better way to start that rebuild than to take the Heisman Trophy winner? Now, just because Murray has entered the draft doesn't mean he's sticking to football. He could still back out and play baseball. But I'm treating him as if he's all-in for now, and if he goes to the combine -- he's going to run a blazing 40-yard dash -- and goes through workouts for teams, I expect him to be picked in Round 1. This is an unprecedented situation for a 5-foot-10 quarterback, but it's going to be fun to watch over the next few months.

14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT, Houston

If Grady Jarrett's price tag in free agency proves too much for the Falcons, Oliver is the perfect replacement as an interior game-wrecker. His tape was picked apart this season, and he was better in 2017, but he can dominate a game when he's playing at his best. He needs to keep developing as a pass-rusher, however. Oliver is only 21, and he has a high ceiling.

15) Washington Redskins: Jachai Polite, OLB, Florida

This is another potential landing spot for Kyler Murray. Alex Smith's scary injury put his future in jeopardy, and it wouldn't shock me if the Redskins added a young quarterback this offseason. Ultimately, I'm going with Polite, a perfect pass-rusher for a 3-4 defense who came on strong with 11 sacks this season. Former second-round pick Preston Smith has been inconsistent, and he's a free agent, so Polite makes sense as a replacement opposite Ryan Kerrigan. Safety is another position to watch, depending on what happens with free agent Ha Ha Clinton-Dix.

16) Carolina Panthers: Brian Burns, OLB, Florida State

Mario Addison led the Panthers with nine sacks this season, followed by five for the ageless Julius Peppers. Unless Peppers can play forever, this is a clear area of need for Carolina. The 6-foot-5, 235-pound Burns, who had 10 sacks in 2018, needs more time in the weight room, but he could grow into a defensive end.

17) Cleveland Browns: Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State

The surging Browns hit on their 2018 draft class, led by Baker Mayfield, Denzel Ward and Nick Chubb. Can general manager John Dorsey do it again? My comp for Simmons is emerging Chiefs star Chris Jones, whom Dorsey picked in Round 2 when he was in Kansas City. Simmons is supremely athletic and already advanced in his technique as a pass-rusher. However, he will have to answer to NFL teams about his 2016 arrest during the pre-draft process.

18) Minnesota Vikings: Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss

There's a case to be made that Little is the best true left tackle in this class. He's certainly the most talented. The former five-star high school prospect was inconsistent at times in college, but he should take off in an NFL strength and conditioning program. Coach Mike Zimmer loves guys who get after quarterbacks too, so that's going to be in consideration here.

19) Tennessee Titans: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa

This might not look like a need on paper, but Delanie Walker is 34 and missed most of the season after a severe ankle injury. Hockenson can be a weapon. He is an all-around tight end, an excellent blocker and a good pass-catcher with a big 6-foot-5, 250-pound frame. The Titans will keep a close eye on playmakers for Marcus Mariota.

20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan

The Steelers tied for the NFL lead with 52 sacks this season, but the weakness on defense was at inside linebacker, as they struggled to replace Ryan Shazier. The phrase I keep repeating about Bush is "perfect for today's NFL." He would be a great fit as a three-down linebacker who never has to leave the field. At 5-foot-11, Bush is undersized, but he should test well at the combine.

21) Seattle Seahawks: Oshane Ximines, DE/OLB, Old Dominion

How about this: Ximines is going to be the first prospect from Old Dominion to be picked in the NFL draft. Seriously: Check it out. He is an explosive pass-rusher -- 12 sacks in 2018 -- who has the versatility to play with his hand in the dirt or standing up on the edge. His game reminds me a little bit of DeMarcus Ware's, though Ximines has a ways to go. Pete Carroll is always looking for pass-rushers, and the Seahawks could lose Frank Clark in free agency.

22) Baltimore Ravens: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss

Let's get a playmaker for Lamar Jackson. He's going to improve in Year 2, but he needs a better (and younger) supporting cast. And yes, the Ravens have a terrible track record in taking receivers, but they have to hit some time, right? Brown is explosive after the catch. Reminder: New general manager Eric DeCosta doesn't have a second-round pick as a result of the move up for Jackson last year, so this is an important pick.

23) Houston Texans: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington

It will be a fascinating offseason for the Texans, who need to make decisions on free agents Jadeveon Clowney, Tyrann Mathieu and Kareem Jackson, among others. Corner sticks out as a need because Johnathan Joseph, the starter opposite Jackson, will be 35 when the 2019 season starts, and the big-money signing of Aaron Colvin last offseason looks like a miss. Murphy is still raw, but he's a ballhawk on the outside. He also has the versatility to play in the slot. Keep an eye on offensive line, too, as Houston gave up a league-high 62 sacks this season.

24) Oakland Raiders (from CHI): Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma

Can you name the Oakland player with the most receiving targets in 2018? It was ... tight end Jared Cook. And yes, Gruden traded top wideout Amari Cooper, but this roster needs pass-catching upgrades. Brown is going to be one of the fastest prospects in this draft. He can run every route, and he's tremendous after the catch. Size is the question, as he's only 5-foot-9, 168 pounds. He is more in the mold of John Ross, who went in the top 10 in the 2017 draft, than a typical No. 1 receiver. But he can be a downfield threat for Derek Carr.

25) Philadelphia Eagles: Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State

With free agents Brandon Graham and Chris Long potentially moving on, Philadelphia could add some pass-rush help here. At 6-foot-6, 241 pounds, Sweat is a rangy prospect who is athletically gifted. And he produced, racking up 22 sacks the past two seasons. Receiver is a position to watch, too, as Golden Tate and Mike Wallace are both on the free-agent market.

26) Indianapolis Colts: Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson

Lawrence is higher on my Big Board -- No. 17 -- but he won't fit every NFL team. At 6-foot-5, 340 pounds, he's the top nose tackle in this class, so he needs to find a team that plays a 3-4. With Margus Hunt -- who had a stellar 2018 -- a free agent, the Colts could have a need along the interior of the line. Lawrence can disrupt a pocket and hold up against the run, but he's never going to be an elite penetrator like Quinnen Williams.

27) Oakland Raiders (from DAL): Irv Smith, Jr., TE, Alabama

I don't have another Round 1 edge rusher left on my board, so I'm moving on to tight end with the third Raiders pick of the first round. I mentioned Cook earlier, and he's a free agent, so this is going to be a need for Oakland. Smith had 44 catches and seven touchdowns for the Crimson Tide this season, and he is a really good player. He needs to improve as a blocker, but I expect him to test well at the combine. The Raiders have a ton of cap space, so they could also address the position in free agency.

28) Los Angeles Chargers: Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson

Did you see the Patriots punish the Chargers up front in the AFC divisional round? They were pushed around. The 6-foot-4, 310-pound Wilkins would be an improvement. He could plug the nose for L.A. and also bump outside to end. He was a four-year starter for the Tigers and always showed up on tape; he had 15 tackles for loss in 2018. Derwin James was one of the stars of the Class of 2018, and the Chargers have a solid roster. Let's get them past the divisional round.

29) New England Patriots: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke

Tom Brady is going to be 42 when the 2019 season begins. Forty-two! It's unbelievable what he's continuing to do on the field, but the Patriots have to start thinking about the future ... right? Jones could be the heir apparent. He has learned from quarterback guru David Cutcliffe at Duke, and you see it in his footwork. He excels in the pocket. Jones is athletic, too, and he has a big, 6-foot-4 frame. There's no guarantee that Jones will be the third quarterback off the board, and you can see more of him at the Senior Bowl next week, but this fit makes a lot of sense.

30) Los Angeles Rams: Dre'Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State

You can't discount the Rams trading out of this spot -- they didn't pick until No. 89 last year. But since there are no trades allowed here, let's give Wade Phillips a piece with which to work. Ndamukong Suh will likely move on in free agency, which means there's an open spot next to all-world interior pass-rusher Aaron Donald. Jones, who had 8.5 sacks in 2018, is an athlete. He could even play end for L.A.

31) Kansas City Chiefs: Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama

Eric Berry has played 154 snaps the past two seasons. There's no guarantee that the 30-year-old will get back to an All-Pro level, and we know the weakness for this defense is in the secondary. Thompson would help immediately. He's a rangy playmaker with supreme athletic traits, though he was inconsistent down the stretch in 2018. We know the Chiefs' offense is loaded, but a safety or corner would boost the defense.

32) Green Bay Packers (from NO): Parris Campbell, WR, Ohio State

Free-agent Randall Cobb is probably finished in Green Bay, and Aaron Rodgers needs some help. Campbell was one of the most electric players in all of college football in 2018, and he could move even higher after athletic testing at the combine. He caught 90 passes and scored 12 touchdowns this season. Let's see what Matt LaFleur & Co. cook up with an athlete such as Campbell.

And another mock draft from The Athletic's Dane Brugler:

1. Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, DE, tOSU

2. San Francisco 49ers: Quinnen Williams, DT, Bama

3. NY Jets: Jonah Williams, LT, Bama

4. Oakland Raiders: Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU

6. NY Giants: Dwayne Haskins, QB, tOSU

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke

8. Detroit Lions: Rashan Gary, DT, Michigan

9. Buffalo Bills: Ed Oliver, DT, Houston

10. Denver Broncos: Drew Lock, QB, Mizzou

11. Cincinnati Bengals: Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss

12. Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, DE, Florida

13. Miami Dolphins: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson

14. Atlanta Falcons: Jeff Simmons, DT, Miss State

15. Washington Redskins: Deionte Thompson, S, Bama

16. Carolina Panthers: Brian Burns, DE, FSU

17. Cleveland Browns: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington

18. Minnesota Vikings: Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma,

19. Tennessee Titans: Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson

20. Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin White, LB, LSU

21. Seattle Seahawks: Isaiah Simmons, LB, Clemson

22. Baltimore Ravens: Montez Sweat, DE, Miss State

23. Houston Texans: Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida

24. Oakland Raiders (Chicago): DK Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss

25. Philadelphia Eagles: Nasir Adderley, CB, Delaware

26. Indianapolis Colts: Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia,

27. Oakland Raiders (Dallas): Josh Jacobs, RB, Bama

28. LA Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson

29. New England Patriots: Dre'Mont Jones, DT, tOSU

30. LA Rams: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan

31. KC Chiefs: Taylor Rapp, S, Washington

32. Green Bay Packers (New Orleans): Noah Fant, TE, Iowa

Three more months...

[satyanash 14282]

Some other early mock drafts to peruse:

Pro Football Focus: https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/draft-pff-2019-nfl-mock-draft-3

Bleacher Report: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2814784-nfl-draft-2019-complete-1st-round-mock-draft-following-wild-card-weekend

Todd McShay's 2019 NFL Mock Draft 1.0

Quote

1) Arizona Cardinals

Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State*

The Cards have a lot of needs, but getting the best player in the draft to line up opposite Chandler Jones would be a big step in the right direction. Bosa fits well with Arizona's 4-3 scheme with his power and length, and Markus Golden hits free agency after the season.

2) San Francisco 49ers

Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan*

The Niners are seeking an edge rusher -- among other things -- and Gary provides explosive closing burst and elite athleticism. He's a nightmare to block and would provide a jolt to San Francisco's defensive line.

3) Oakland Raiders

Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama**

Quinnen is my guy in this class. I love his first step and how disruptive he is in the middle of that Alabama line. Solid both against the run and in the pass rush, Williams would be a great get for the rebuilding Raiders, the first of three Day 1 selections.

4) New York Jets

Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson*

If I'm the Jets, I'm thinking about trading back here to address a multitude of needs, considering they don't have a second-rounder. But taking Ferrell -- who had 10.5 sacks in the regular season off the edge -- would go a long way toward checking off one of those boxes.

5) Atlanta Falcons

Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson*

The Falcons plummeted this season all the way from the playoffs to a potential top pick, and I love the idea of using it on Lawrence, a big run-stopper who can fit in next to Grady Jarrett (if he returns to the Falcons). Atlanta has one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL.

6) Buffalo Bills

Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama*

When you draft a franchise quarterback, you'd better keep him upright. Williams is a plug-and-play option with quick feet and has the versatility to play anywhere on either side of the offensive line in front of 2018 No. 7 pick Josh Allen.

7) Jacksonville Jaguars

Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon*

As the first team on the board with a big hole at quarterback (remember, no trades in this mock), it's no surprise Herbert is the pick here. He has great size and arm strength, but he'll have to iron out some consistency issues -- that is, if he declares for the draft.

😎 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Greedy Williams, CB, LSU**

Talk about value. Greedy is my No. 2-ranked prospect but falls all to the way to the Bucs here. With three edge rushers already off the board, Tampa Bay passes up on filling a big need and goes with the best available player to shore up a weak secondary.

9) Detroit Lions

Josh Allen, DE/OLB, Kentucky

Ezekiel Ansah might be done in Detroit, so let's fill that hole with Allen, who does just about everything. He finished the regular season in the top 10 in college football in sacks, tackles for loss and forced fumbles. He'd be a beast coming off the edge in Motor City.

10) New York Giants

Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State**

The more I watch this kid, the more I think he's a legitimate first-round talent. The Eli Manning era is nearing an end in New York, and Haskins addresses Big Blue's most glaring need. You'd have to feel pretty good about an offense featuring Haskins, Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley. Now the Giants just need him to declare for the draft.

11) Cincinnati Bengals

Devin White, LB, LSU*

Hunting for a three-down linebacker? Lucky for Cincy, the best one in the draft is sitting on the board at No. 11. The Bengals really want a explosive playmaker of this caliber at the second level of their defense.

12) Cleveland Browns

Ed Oliver, DT, Houston*

I could definitely see the Browns going offensive line here, but this addresses another area of weakness in a big way. Plus, Cleveland could target a left tackle in free agency. Oliver explodes out of his stance and would provide an upgrade in the interior of the line over pending free agents Trevon Coley and Carl Davis.

13) Washington Redskins

Cody Ford, OT, Oklahoma*

Washington will be monitoring Alex Smith's recovery, and it definitely needs a wide receiver, but the offensive line woes are well-documented. Ford is a nasty mauler who has the versatility to play either right tackle or guard in the NFL.

14) Carolina Panthers

Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss*

Half of the Panthers' offensive line will enter free agency, and the best replacement on the board is Little. I love his athleticism in the trenches, although he still needs some technique work. But he can certainly develop into a good starting left tackle in the NFL.

15) Green Bay Packers

Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State

The Packers need a wide receiver, but getting the rangy and quick Sweat to come off the edge would do Green Bay well and provide better value. They have two first-rounders, after all, and plenty of wideouts will be on the board when the Packers pick again at No. 32.

16) Philadelphia Eagles

Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia

Baker isn't the biggest or fastest corner, but he shows the best instincts of the bunch and is a ball hawk. And you might have noticed that the defending Super Bowl champions could use a solid cornerback. Let's see what he does against those big Texas receivers in the Sugar Bowl (lol).

17) Miami Dolphins

Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida*

The Dolphins might look to move on from Ryan Tannehill, but there isn't a QB available here worth the early pick. So let's fill another need and get the athletic Taylor to help protect whomever is under center in Miami next season.

18) Denver Broncos

Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma*

Demaryius Thomas is gone and Emmanuel Sanders isn't getting any younger. Brown is a burner, and the Broncos need help stretching the field, especially out of the slot. The Oklahoma receiver would fit nicely with last year's picks, Courtland Sutton and DaeSean Hamilton, in a dynamic WR group.

19) Indianapolis Colts

Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson

Wilkins' versatility and instinctive play would come in handy for an Indianapolis defensive front looking for some help. He might not have the upside of fellow Clemson linemates Clelin Ferrell and Dexter Lawrence, but he has a great motor and would fit nicely with the Colts.

20) Tennessee Titans

Jachai Polite, OLB, Florida*

Derrick Morgan and Brian Orakpo will become free agents in the offseason, and Polite would be an immediate factor for Tennessee with his speed and slipperiness. His 11 sacks tied for sixth in the nation during the regular season. Imagine him bookending the linebacker corps with 2018 pick Harold Landry?

21) Baltimore Ravens

Devin Bush, ILB, Michigan*

Rather than reach for a wide receiver for Lamar Jackson, let's snag this underrated three-down linebacker to slide in if the Ravens decide not to pay up for pending free agent C.J. Mosley (although Bush also could play the weak side too). Bush's athleticism and instincts would jibe nicely with this superb Baltimore defense.

22) Minnesota Vikings

Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn*

Getting a prospect like this at No. 22 would be robbery. Brown is the type of pass-rushing tackle that Mike Zimmer loves, and Sheldon Richardson's one-year deal provides an opening in the interior of that Minnesota line.

23) Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylon Ferguson, DE, Louisiana Tech

Ferguson is rising on draft boards rapidly, and I expect him to shine at January's Senior Bowl. He can really overwhelm blockers with his speed to power and would be another asset for one of the better pass-rushing teams in the NFL.

24) Seattle Seahawks

Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State*

On talent alone, this would be a heist for a team potentially losing a good deal of its defensive line to free agency in the offseason. But it's not just talent. Simmons comes with awareness and range, but he also has some off-the-field concerns.

25) Oakland Raiders (from Dallas Cowboys)

Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama*

With Quinnen Williams upgrading their front, the Raiders are freed up to boost the secondary with a real ball hawk in Thompson. It's a perfect marriage of value (No. 14 in my rankings) and need (Marcus Gilchrist is a free agent after the season, and the unit was weak to begin with).

26) Oakland Raiders (from Chicago Bears)

Noah Fant, TE, Iowa*

Man, it must be nice to have a library of first-round picks. This one, courtesy of the Khalil Mack trade, gets the Raiders a real weapon in the passing game. Jared Cook isn't signed past this season, and Derek Carr loves his tight ends. Fant is a true matchup problem for opponents.

27) Houston Texans

Michael Deiter, C/G, Wisconsin

The focus of Houston's offseason should be entirely on upgrading that offensive line to protect Deshaun Watson. Deiter might be a slight reach, but he's a proven player and anchors well with a good initial push in the running game. He has played all over, but he best projects as a guard or center at the next level.

28) Los Angeles Chargers

Jerry Tillery, DT, Notre Dame

The Chargers definitely want some support in run defense, and this big, versatile lineman can press against the run and occasionally flash as a pass-rusher. Quarterbacks aren't going to love coming out of the huddle and seeing Joey Bosa, Melvin Ingram and Tillery staring them in the face.

29) New England Patriots

Dre'Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State*

Trey Flowers, Malcom Brown and Danny Shelton land on the open market after the season, so the Pats' biggest concern will be shoring up the defensive line. Jones finally put it all together this season and exhibits a good motor and quick first step.

30) Los Angeles Rams

Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State

Free agency could hit the Rams' defense pretty hard, so a lot of what Sean McVay does with his first-rounder will depend on how it all plays out. But Abram is a powerful finisher on the back end and would soften the potential loss of Lamarcus Joyner.

31) Kansas City Chiefs

Zach Allen, DE, Boston College

We all know the Chiefs need a corner, but I can't ignore Allen's potential impact on both the pass rush and run defense. He's just so quick to the ball. Allen Bailey is a pending free agent off the edge, so there could be an opening.

32) Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans Saints)

A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss*

We're getting Aaron Rodgers some help. It's about time! Brown's ability to go up and get the ball, as well as make tough catches in traffic, would be welcomed on an offense desperately looking for receiving options beyond Davante Adams.

 

[Rabidhorn 121]

35 minutes ago, satyanash said:

It's that time of year, folks...

Anyway, here's CBS Sports' first mock draft of the year. The early consensus so far seems to be Nick Bosa going at #1 overall, with Dwayne Haskins as the first QB off the board. 

Mel Kiper also just released his 2019 NFL Mock Draft 1.0:

 

 

The OU midget going in the first round is ridiculous, how many 5'8 180 pound QB's are there in the NFL?

[Burt Macklin 19000]

17 minutes ago, Rabidhorn said:

The OU midget going in the first round is ridiculous, how many 5'8 180 pound QB's are there in the NFL?

Offenses are changing and rules to protect the QB have never been stronger. Looking backwards for a comp isn’t a very good method to assess his chances of success. 

[satyanash 14282]

38 minutes ago, Rabidhorn said:

The OU midget going in the first round is ridiculous, how many 5'8 180 pound QB's are there in the NFL?

Once official measurements from the NFL combine come in, people are going to realize just how small Murray is. He should vanish from these lists shortly thereafter.

[SpiralOut 1809]

44 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

Offenses are changing and rules to protect the QB have never been stronger. Looking backwards for a comp isn’t a very good method to assess his chances of success. 

That all may be true, yet QBs still get hurt all the fucking time.  Ask Alex Smith.  Ask Colt.  Ask Cam Newton.  Ask Garoppolo. 

I can see some NFL teams thinking that by drafting Murray they'd be getting the next Mahomes.  Problem is, Mahomes is a gamer who isn't afraid of contact, has a much bigger arm, and isn't an effeminate bitch made out of paper.  Oh, and he can also see over his offensive line. 

I won't ever underestimate the stupidity of the NFL, but if they have any common sense he's no better than late 2nd round.  And that's pushing it.  Especially considering he hasn't even proven he's all in on football.  You're going to blow a top round pick on this guy just hoping he doesn't decide to bail to baseball? 

[Gene Parmesan 3993]

I'm with you on the bitch part but how is he made out of paper? Has he ever been injured?

[Burt Macklin 19000]

9 minutes ago, SpiralOut said:

That all may be true, yet QBs still get hurt all the fucking time.  Ask Alex Smith.  Ask Colt.  Ask Cam Newton.  Ask Garoppolo. 

I can see some NFL teams thinking that by drafting Murray they'd be getting the next Mahomes.  Problem is, Mahomes is a gamer who isn't afraid of contact, has a much bigger arm, and isn't an effeminate bitch made out of paper.  Oh, and he can also see over his offensive line. 

I won't ever underestimate the stupidity of the NFL, but if they have any common sense he's no better than late 2nd round.  And that's pushing it.  Especially considering he hasn't even proven he's all in on football.  You're going to blow a top round pick on this guy just hoping he doesn't decide to bail to baseball? 

I agree on the baseball issue. If I’m an NFL team, how do I trust Kyler will stock with football when he told the A’s the same thing last year? 

But from a skill standpoint, I think he’ll be a first rounder. He’s got a great arm, extremely accurate, and he runs a 4.4. He was effective avoiding contact this year and if he gets with a team that has a modern, spread offense, I think he’ll have success. He’ll have a lot of quick throws and movement to mitigate his height issue. 

I’d rather take a chance on someone like him than all the teams that have drafted guys in the 1st who weren’t even all that good in college but had good measurables like Bortles, Gabbert, Locker, Ponder, and EJ Manuel.

Edited January 17, 2019 by Burt Macklin

[Walden Ponderer 12639]

Honestly, I'm not sure there's a legit 1st round QB out there this year. And there's every bit as much of a chance of finding a legit spread offense QB in the mid rounds as there is in the first. Spread offense or not, the smart play is what it has always been: build from the lines out.

But hey, if some team wants to waste a lot of money on Drew Lock, be my guest.

[Beau Vine 54017]

1 hour ago, Burt Macklin said:

Offenses are changing and rules to protect the QB have never been stronger. Looking backwards for a comp isn’t a very good method to assess his chances of success. 

One thing that hasn't changed is that the QB has to be able to see over and throw over the line.  To me, that's the toughest thing for a short QB to overcome.  

[irishtexan 11447]

Is Nick Bosa really the best player in this draft? He's the consensus number one pick, but that dude and his brother sure seem to spend a lot of time on the bench with hurt vaginas.

[Machinator 32098]

5 minutes ago, irishtexan said:

Is Nick Bosa really the best player in this draft? He's the consensus number one pick, but that dude and his brother sure seem to spend a lot of time on the bench with hurt vaginas.

I think Quinnen Williams has a case to be the overall number 1.

[irishtexan 11447]

7 minutes ago, Machinator said:

I think Quinnen Williams has a case to be the overall number 1.

I'm just saying if I'm a Cardinals fan and we have the top pick in the draft and we come away with Nick fucking Bosa I'm gonna feel like we got jobbed. That dude is destined to spend half of every year on IR and give you 7 sacks over the 8 games he ends up playing. 

[Mileslong 4718]

I agree on the baseball issue. If I’m an NFL team, how do I trust Kyler will stock with football when he told the A’s the same thing last year? 
But from a skill standpoint, I think he’ll be a first rounder. He’s got a great arm, extremely accurate, and he runs a 4.4. He was effective avoiding contact this year and if he gets with a team that has a modern, spread offense, I think he’ll have success. He’ll have a lot of quick throws and movement to mitigate his height issue. 
I’d rather take a chance on someone like him than all the teams that have drafted guys in the 1st who weren’t even all that good in college but had good measurables like Bortles, Gabbert, Locker, Ponder, and EJ Manuel.

And you said the same thing about manziel I’m sure...

[satyanash 14282]

22 minutes ago, irishtexan said:

I'm just saying if I'm a Cardinals fan and we have the top pick in the draft and we come away with Nick fucking Bosa I'm gonna feel like we got jobbed. That dude is destined to spend half of every year on IR and give you 7 sacks over the 8 games he ends up playing. 

That core muscle tear was Nick's only injury over his entire college career, no? Just because his brother is injury prone doesn't mean he will be too lol

[Burt Macklin 19000]

18 minutes ago, Mileslong said:

And you said the same thing about manziel I’m sure...

Lulz. Nah. Manziel wasn’t nearly as good of a passer and I never thought he’d pan out.

Look, I don’t like Kyler anymore than y’all do but he has legitimate NFL passing skill, and he produced at the highest level of CFB. I’m not saying he’ll for sure work out in the NFL, but it makes way more sense to go for a high ceiling guy like him than draft guys with measurables that have never been that good at football like the dues I listed earlier, or also Lock and Herbert (before he decided to return) who were mentioned as potential top 10 picks at times in the last year.

[Burt Macklin 19000]

16 minutes ago, satyanash said:

That core muscle tear was Nick's only injury over his entire college career, no? Just because his brother is injury prone doesn't mean he will be too lol

It’s not just injuries. Joey held out for a long time and missed significant playing time and Nick bailed on basically his entire last season at tOSU. They’re not exactly guys who put it all on the line for their team.

[alincoln 2364]

Will Murray even attend the combine?  I wouldn't be surprised if he just sticks to OU's pro day.  

[satyanash 14282]

For future reference, here's a ranking of all the mock drafts from last year based on how accurate they turned out to be: http://walterfootball.com/mockdraftresults2018.php

Mel Kiper isn't actually all that accurate. Or at least, he hasn't been the past couple of years.

[Gene Parmesan 3993]

1 hour ago, Burt Macklin said:

I agree on the baseball issue. If I’m an NFL team, how do I trust Kyler will stock with football when he told the A’s the same thing last year? 

But from a skill standpoint, I think he’ll be a first rounder. He’s got a great arm, extremely accurate, and he runs a 4.4. He was effective avoiding contact this year and if he gets with a team that has a modern, spread offense, I think he’ll have success. He’ll have a lot of quick throws and movement to mitigate his height issue. 

I’d rather take a chance on someone like him than all the teams that have drafted guys in the 1st who weren’t even all that good in college but had good measurables like Bortles, Gabbert, Locker, Ponder, and EJ Manuel.

If he thinks he'll be going in the first round of the NFL he'll choose football.  Besides the money will likely be greater at that point.

[Slacks 6792]

Kingsbury said, as the Head Coach of TTU, "If I had a chance to pick him as the first pick in the draft, I would.  I've never seen him have a bad game, which is hard to do for a QB, and I've been watching him since the 10th grade."

[Zavala 1384]

Do the Texans go back to their Rick Smith suckfest ways? I like that Jawaan Taylor pick. Last Gator they had on Offense I think was Jabar Gaffney. Plus their offensive line sucks shit.

[Machinator 32098]

 

[d.plainview872 175]

Im guessing this is how it goes for Longhorn prospects by round drafted:

2nd: Charles O, LJH

3rd: Chris N

4th: K Boyd

5th: Davante D

6th: Gary J

7th: ?

 

 

[Machinator 32098]

Just now, d.plainview872 said:

Im guessing this is how it goes for Longhorn prospects by round drafted:

2nd: Charles O, LJH

3rd: Chris N

4th: K Boyd

5th: Davante D

6th: Gary J

7th: ?

 

 

Way too high for Nelson (not sure if he's going to be drafted at all, IMO). If you're going to be a one-dimensional plugger, you need to be elite at it.

LJH has a high variance because he's a tweener. I could see some team falling in love with him around pick 50, and I could also see him falling all the way to the middle of day 3.

[satyanash 14282]

11 minutes ago, d.plainview872 said:

Im guessing this is how it goes for Longhorn prospects by round drafted:

2nd: Charles O, LJH

3rd: Chris N

4th: K Boyd

5th: Davante D

6th: Gary J

7th: ?

 

 

Nelson will likely be an UDFA, as Ford was. LJH is probably a R3/4 guy, and I think Boyd and Davis both end up going in R5.

[d.plainview872 175]

Nelson is my logical over the top Longhorn bias sleeper pick. I was going to put him at 5th round but needed some action.

LJH I'm torn between low 3rd and high 2nd. @machinator@satyanash

Edited January 18, 2019 by d.plainview872

[Napoleon 8618]

12 hours ago, satyanash said:

Nelson will likely be an UDFA, as Ford was. LJH is probably a R3/4 guy, and I think Boyd and Davis both end up going in R5.

What are the odds that Boyd ends up as a Nickel and then eventually a FS?

I just don't see how an NFL team could trust his cover skills, but his measurables will be very impressive and the dude likes to hit.

[Bama Llama 1447]

Murray should listen to Deion Sanders, who said, "Pick up the baseball and don't look back." He appears to be listening to way too many shadow advisors, all of whom will have their hands out for a piece of his NFL signing bonus.  Once or twice per game he'll get trucked like the Quinnen Williams sack in the Bama game.  And every NFL defense will cover better than any defense he faced in college.  Granted he's quick, fast and elusive but I don't see his bones and joints and surviving more than a couple of NFL years, if that.

[NowThis 931]

18 hours ago, irishtexan said:

Is Nick Bosa really the best player in this draft? He's the consensus number one pick, but that dude and his brother sure seem to spend a lot of time on the bench with hurt vaginas.

yeah, don't waste #1 on an injured dude whose name is also giving him a boost.  I'd take Q Williams DT from Bama.

[TexasGolf 4874]

Lock at 11 ???  Lolololol. Hope he gets his backpack

[irishtexan 11447]

18 hours ago, d.plainview872 said:

Im guessing this is how it goes for Longhorn prospects by round drafted:

2nd: Charles O, LJH

3rd: Chris N

4th: K Boyd

5th: Davante D

6th: Gary J

7th: ?

 

 

4th: K Boyd/LJH

5th: Charles O

6th: Gary J

UFA: Nelson, Davante, Beck, Hager, Wheeler, Heard

[satyanash 14282]

 

[joeycovers 388]

5 minutes ago, satyanash said:

 

All those stars and are a combined 7-9 vs the no talent B12 the last 3 years.  

[texaslong 678]

On 1/17/2019 at 11:15 AM, satyanash said:

Once official measurements from the NFL combine come in, people are going to realize just how small Murray is. He should vanish from these lists shortly thereafter.

You mean he's not 5'10" like they have him listed on Sonner sites?

[Burt Macklin 19000]

20 minutes ago, satyanash said:

 

Holy shit. That’s a horrible top 11. Kipwr’s Such a hack.

[texaslong 678]

14 minutes ago, joeycovers said:

All those stars and are a combined 7-9 vs the no talent B12 the last 3 years.  

It just means more in the Big 12

[satyanash 14282]

 

[Vic Mackey 46939]

On 1/17/2019 at 9:36 AM, Rabidhorn said:

The OU midget going in the first round is ridiculous, how many 5'8 180 pound QB's are there in the NFL?

Murray is a definite 1st round pick. He will be the 2nd QB taken after Haskins. Now if he had entered last year, then I could see him slipping to the 2nd. But it's a very weak QB class. He's small but very talented and can make all the throws. Can't win in this league without a good QB so a team is going to roll the dice. 

[Neonmoon 38127]

We all know Murray will be drafted in the first round, but it doesn’t make it a good idea. 

Just imagine whatever team you root for drafting Murray in the first round. That angry emotion stirring is how you know it’s retarded. 

[Machinator 32098]

Looks like Andrew Beck is having a good week.

 

[Buddy Hinton 103]

On 1/18/2019 at 5:23 AM, Bama Llama said:

Murray should listen to Deion Sanders, who said, "Pick up the baseball and don't look back." He appears to be listening to way too many shadow advisors, all of whom will have their hands out for a piece of his NFL signing bonus.  Once or twice per game he'll get trucked like the Quinnen Williams sack in the Bama game.  And every NFL defense will cover better than any defense he faced in college.  Granted he's quick, fast and elusive but I don't see his bones and joints and surviving more than a couple of NFL years, if that.

Murray doesn't have any shadow advisors. He has his dad & uncle.

 

[Horn80 6080]

On 1/18/2019 at 5:23 AM, Bama Llama said:

Murray should listen to Deion Sanders, who said, "Pick up the baseball and don't look back." He appears to be listening to way too many shadow advisors, all of whom will have their hands out for a piece of his NFL signing bonus.  Once or twice per game he'll get trucked like the Quinnen Williams sack in the Bama game.  And every NFL defense will cover better than any defense he faced in college.  Granted he's quick, fast and elusive but I don't see his bones and joints and surviving more than a couple of NFL years, if that.

Robert Griffin III says hi.

[Bama Llama 1447]

1 hour ago, Horn80 said:

Robert Griffin III says hi.

RGIII didn't have the MLB option.  Yes, he got off to a great start until the Redskins curse caught up with him.  Shit, if Murray can stay in one piece he may be the next Michael Vick.  

[Fico 1743]

RGIII didn't have the MLB option.  Yes, he got off to a great start until the Redskins curse caught up with him.  Shit, if Murray can stay in one piece he may be the next Michael Vick.  

Lol naw

[Bama Llama 1447]

Maybe the part where he goes to prison.

[Horn80 6080]

15 hours ago, Bama Llama said:

RGIII didn't have the MLB option.  Yes, he got off to a great start until the Redskins curse caught up with him.  Shit, if Murray can stay in one piece he may be the next Michael Vick.  

Next Michael Vick.   That’s not saying much.

[NowThis 931]

18 hours ago, Machinator said:

Looks like Andrew Beck is having a good week.

 

loved Beck from the first time i saw him. He's really polished at the things NFL needs at the position. Maybe the next Mike Alstott?  Beck is faster than his size would indicate, runs great routes, good hands, great great blocker downfield and picking up blitzes.   Geez... Sam is going to miss this guy! 

[NowThis 931]

19 hours ago, Vic Mackey said:

Murray is a definite 1st round pick. He will be the 2nd QB taken after Haskins. Now if he had entered last year, then I could see him slipping to the 2nd. But it's a very weak QB class. He's small but very talented and can make all the throws. Can't win in this league without a good QB so a team is going to roll the dice. 

Murray has a cannon, a baseball arm. Dude is very accurate downfield and has excellent field vision.  Lots of people here thought Mariota would not make it but Murray is better. 

[cmontexas 3255]

To me Murrays probable floor with injury concerns as a qb is Ryan Tannehill, even though he isnt white and tall. Tannehill will earn over 100 million before he exits the league