March Madness Seed Draft

[Huckleberry 33100]

Poster, Current Score, EV

B, 61, 83.85

JJ, 55, 71.18

G, 69, 69.00

D, 50, 50.00

BB, 38, 43.45

E, 31, 36.16

J, 31, 31.00

EE, 25, 25.00

 

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)

B - 52.63% (18)

JJ - 35.36% (12)

Tie - 12.01% (2)

G - 0.00% (0)

D - 0.00% (0)

BB - 0.00% (0)

EE - 0.00% (0)

J - 0.00% (0)

E - 0.00% (0)

 

G has no chance to win outright, but both possible ties are between B and G.

[Huckleberry 33100]

With Auburn's win I have clinched. Update:

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)

Huckleberry - 100.00% (16)

HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0)

Capn81 - 0.00% (0)

Jack Straw - 0.00% (0)

Tie - 0.00% (0)

Goo Punch - 0.00% (0)

IPoopOnWhoop - 0.00% (0)

Bartles - 0.00% (0)

BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0)

 

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 107, 125.41

Capn81, 54, 68.49

HornOnTheBayou, 47, 54.18

Jack Straw, 49, 49.00

IPoopOnWhoop, 42, 42.00

Goo Punch, 36, 36.00

BigOrange1, 24, 24.00

Bartles, 21, 21.00

 

Paypal address is huckleberry@adjustedstats.com

[Huckleberry 33100]

@BradInATX - your contest updates:

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)

B - 83.12% (13)

JJ - 16.88% (3)

Tie - 0.00% (0)

G - 0.00% (0)

D - 0.00% (0)

BB - 0.00% (0)

EE - 0.00% (0)

J - 0.00% (0)

E - 0.00% (0)

 

Poster, Current Score, EV

B, 81, 83.85

JJ, 55, 71.18

G, 69, 69.00

D, 50, 50.00

BB, 38, 43.45

E, 31, 36.16

J, 31, 31.00

EE, 25, 25.00

[BradInATX 9208]

Thanks Huck. Auburn done good, except that it wrecked my actual bracket in another pool whereI had UK as my champ.

 

 

[Huckleberry 33100]

Brad, for yours.

Poster - Win Probability (# Paths)

B - 72.46% (6)

JJ - 27.54% (2)

Tie - 0.00% (0)

G - 0.00% (0)

D - 0.00% (0)

BB - 0.00% (0)

EE - 0.00% (0)

J - 0.00% (0)

E - 0.00% (0)

JJ wins if in the NCG:

Michigan State beats Virginia
OR
Texas Tech beats Virginia

Otherwise B, which I'm assuming is you, wins.

[BradInATX 9208]

Thats kinda crazy. I don't see Auburn with much of a chance. I'm guessing the model doesn't know their best player is in a wheel chair?

[Huckleberry 33100]

Correct, no injury information. But it still has Virginia with a 64.7% chance of beating Auburn.

[Bartles 769]

$25 sent to Huckleberry. Maybe next year we can just pay right after the draft since the formula knows all ☹️

[HornOnTheBayou 8947]

Congrats to Huck.

The lesson learned is that I should have paid more attention in math class.

[Capn81 373]

Glad I checked this today. Congrats, Huck! Money sent.

[Huckleberry 33100]

Thanks guys. Have money from Goo Punch, Bartles, Jack Straw, HornOnTheBayou, Capn81, and BigOrange. That leaves IPoopOnWhoop, who I know will not let a fellow City supporter down. Don't make me @ a fool. Ha.

[Capn81 373]

Have a “final” update on the scoring? I was interested to see how it stacked up when all was said and done from 2nd place on.

[Huckleberry 33100]

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 112, 115.52

Capn81, 69, 76.45

HornOnTheBayou, 55, 55.00

Jack Straw, 49, 49.00

IPoopOnWhoop, 42, 42.00

Goo Punch, 36, 36.00

BigOrange1, 24, 24.00

Bartles, 21, 21.00

 

You have second locked up.

[Huckleberry 33100]

In @BradInATX's contest, if Texas Tech wins then JJ wins. If Virginia wins then B wins.

[Goo Punch 4275]

well, my first pick (Oregon) did their thing,  it after that jimmy kicks were baaaaad. looking forward to doing it again next year though. 

[Capn81 373]

Thanks, Huck! I wondered if Tech got me to second place.

[BradInATX 9208]

In [mention=2008]BradInATX[/mention]'s contest, if Texas Tech wins then JJ wins. If Virginia wins then B wins.

Yep. Has yours ever come down to the last game? I think this is actually the first time in 4 years that Final 4 weekend even mattered in ours. Thanks again for the idea and running ours through.  

 

BTW. we also pay last place their money back. Gives the people who get murdered on the first Thurs/Fri a second chance at rooting interest. Pretty fun twist.

[BigOrange1 6471]

the year villanova beat carolina in the final, i would have won had carolina won so yeah we've gone down to the last game before.