Jump to content

2019 MLB thread


spystud13

Recommended Posts

Quote

The FDLE issued a statement saying it began its investigation into Vazquez in August after obtaining information that the pitcher reportedly had a sexual relationship with a 13-year-old girl in Lee County, Florida. The victim, now 15, allegedly was continuing to have a relationship with Vazquez via text message and received a video from him in July in which he is shown performing a sex act, according to the police statement.

Welp, see ya. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

52 minutes ago, Helobious said:

I still don’t understand how they calculate the run values (I majored in finance so I’m actually not a dumbass on this matter). And just because someone puts pictures & numbers together doesn’t mean their information is useful. 

You know how they benchmark portfolio returns to the S&P500 (or whatever?)  Pretty much the same concept.  I think they use linear weights for run values for each event (ie, HR = 1.3 runs, outs = -.26 runs, etc.), and then they record all the league outcomes for pitches in the Heart of the plate and calculate the average run value.  So if there are 100 non-Mathis pitches in the middle of the plate and every one result in a homer, that's 130 runs, or 1.3 runs average per pitch.  Then you look at what Mathis has done.  Let's say he's seen 10 pitches in that zone, homered once and K'd 9 times.  His value would be 1*1.3 + 9*-.26 = -2.21 runs or -.221 runs/pitch.  Take the Mathis average - league average and multiply by the number of events, and you've got your answer: (-.221 - 1.3)* 10 pitches = Mathis is worth -15 runs on pitches in the Heart that he swings at.  Do the same thing for pitches not swung at, and repeat for the other zones.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:

You know how they benchmark portfolio returns to the S&P500 (or whatever?)  Pretty much the same concept.  I think they use linear weights for run values for each event (ie, HR = 1.3 runs, outs = -.26 runs, etc.), and then they record all the league outcomes for pitches in the Heart of the plate and calculate the average run value.  So if there are 100 non-Mathis pitches in the middle of the plate and every one result in a homer, that's 130 runs, or 1.3 runs average per pitch.  Then you look at what Mathis has done.  Let's say he's seen 10 pitches in that zone, homered once and K'd 9 times.  His value would be 1*1.3 + 9*-.26 = -2.21 runs or -.221 runs/pitch.  Take the Mathis average - league average and multiply by the number of events, and you've got your answer: (-.221 - 1.3)* 10 pitches = Mathis is worth -15 runs on pitches in the Heart that he swings at.  Do the same thing for pitches not swung at, and repeat for the other zones.

spacer.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Helobious said:

I still don’t understand how they calculate the run values (I majored in finance so I’m actually not a dumbass on this matter). And just because someone puts pictures & numbers together doesn’t mean their information is useful. 

"everything that i don't understand is stupid." - Helbious 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sucks to see CC leave the game so early, but man he was one of my favorite pitchers to watch. I'm a lefty and pitched when I was younger so I love watching a great Southpaw pitch. 

Still glad to have been able to be here tonight to see his last start. He had a helluva run. I will definitely show up when he goes to Cooperstown. Just seems like a damn good guy from everything I have ever read or seen about him. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...