Jump to content

2019 Houston Astros Thread

Planet Houston

By Planet Houston
in Baseball

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 41.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • tx 3 putt

    3624

  • UTexasFight

    2380

  • Scraps

    2293

  • WBT

    1999

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

SEC
SEC

My mom was diagnosed with breast cancer 3 weeks ago. Tomorrow she starts her treatment. She's been a wreck ever since the diagnosis. I mentioned a few pages back how a friend of the family manage

Rustic Horn
Rustic Horn
Mez2
Mez2

Newest Astro fan was born earlier today at 12:09 am Mez3, holla!

Posted Images

Hank Chinaski

Hank Chinaski 6310

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

Either Miley is hurt or he’s tipping pitches.  Or maybe he just sucks and held it together with smoke and mirrors until now.

His FIP and xFIP (fielder-independent pitching on FG) have been significantly higher than his ERA all season, suggesting some smoke and mirrors to keep his ERA low. 

His BB and K rates are just about in line with his career averages. He's a 4 ERA guy, not a 3 ERA guy. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fudge Nuggets

Fudge Nuggets 19147

Posted
Posted

Based on data from baseballsavant.com, Miley's velocity is higher in the last two games compared to all his previous starts in MMP this year.  Spin rate is also slightly higher on all his pitches except the 2-seamer.

It could be due to smaller sample size when looking at just two games, but the pitch location charts show his pitches coming slightly more inside to RHB than before these two debacles.  Release points seem to be about the same.  Since release points and velocity / spin are in line with previous performances it does not appear to be a physical issue.

I get it that he's not a 3.00 ERA guy and no one thought that would hold up, but these last two performances have been more than just a reversion to the mean.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Gut Wagon

Gut Wagon 8052

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Hank Chinaski said:

His FIP and xFIP (fielder-independent pitching on FG) have been significantly higher than his ERA all season, suggesting some smoke and mirrors to keep his ERA low. 

His BB and K rates are just about in line with his career averages. He's a 4 ERA guy, not a 3 ERA guy. 

He looks like the kind of guy you'd go back to the dugout saying, "He doesn't have much. We can hit him hard." Same as Keuchel for several years...and a lot of other "crafty' pitchers before him. Sometimes these guys keep it going for a whole season, and sometimes they don't. I'm guessing the real Wade Miley is way closer to an ERA of 4.5 than he is to a 3 or 6. But we sure need him to be where he was for most of the season. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Jacob McCandles

Jacob McCandles 202

Posted
Posted
34 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

Based on data from baseballsavant.com, Miley's velocity is higher in the last two games compared to all his previous starts in MMP this year.  Spin rate is also slightly higher on all his pitches except the 2-seamer.

It could be due to smaller sample size when looking at just two games, but the pitch location charts show his pitches coming slightly more inside to RHB than before these two debacles.  Release points seem to be about the same.  Since release points and velocity / spin are in line with previous performances it does not appear to be a physical issue.

I get it that he's not a 3.00 ERA guy and no one thought that would hold up, but these last two performances have been more than just a reversion to the mean.

Chandler Rome has an article that suggests a) Miley is a "pitch-to-contact" guy (so he is not going to blow batters away like JV and Cole); b) opponents are making an effort to stay inside the ball and go the opposite way.

First inning last night was

88mph single to RF by RHH

93mph out to CF by RHH

Walk

72mph single to RF by RHH

93mph single to CF by RHH

102 mph single to RCF by RHH

77mph single to RF by RHH

102 mph single to LF by RHH

90 mph single to RF by RHH

 

That is one pulled ball and only two balls struck in excess of 100. Miley and Strom need to adjust.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
APMP

APMP 685

Posted
Posted
Based on data from baseballsavant.com, Miley's velocity is higher in the last two games compared to all his previous starts in MMP this year.  Spin rate is also slightly higher on all his pitches except the 2-seamer.
It could be due to smaller sample size when looking at just two games, but the pitch location charts show his pitches coming slightly more inside to RHB than before these two debacles.  Release points seem to be about the same.  Since release points and velocity / spin are in line with previous performances it does not appear to be a physical issue.
I get it that he's not a 3.00 ERA guy and no one thought that would hold up, but these last two performances have been more than just a reversion to the mean.
The video guys are surely checking for tipping pitches
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Fudge Nuggets

Fudge Nuggets 19147

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, APMP said:
3 hours ago, Fudge Nuggets said:
Based on data from baseballsavant.com, Miley's velocity is higher in the last two games compared to all his previous starts in MMP this year.  Spin rate is also slightly higher on all his pitches except the 2-seamer.
It could be due to smaller sample size when looking at just two games, but the pitch location charts show his pitches coming slightly more inside to RHB than before these two debacles.  Release points seem to be about the same.  Since release points and velocity / spin are in line with previous performances it does not appear to be a physical issue.
I get it that he's not a 3.00 ERA guy and no one thought that would hold up, but these last two performances have been more than just a reversion to the mean.

The video guys are surely checking for tipping pitches

Send video of his last two performances to Carlos Beltran and ask him to sort it out like he did with Yuli's swing.

Then offer him $50 mln per year to be our full time sign stealing, pitch tipping, guru.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...