2020 House election thread

[Message Board User 12,389]

21 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

It will become a big story if McCready were to win. More congressional GOP would view it as a very bad sign for next year and retire. GOP fund raising would probably take a hit as well. They need this race 100x more then democrats do. That’s why it would be so freaking sweet if McCready wins.

If it’s less than a 3 point victory for the GOP, it’s a huge warning.

if the GOP actually loses its cataclysmic and more evidence that the suburbs are going blue.

[Voldemort86 2,259]

9 minutes ago, Message Board User said:

If it’s less than a 3 point victory for the GOP, it’s a huge warning.

if the GOP actually loses its cataclysmic and more evidence that the suburbs are going blue.

It begs the question.

we all know the GOP are a bunch of spineless and gutless turds who care about getting re-elected more than they care about this country. If they lose here, do you think they will feel pressure to pass some kind of gun control? 

Id rather them not pass anything and lose bigger in 2020. Any solution the GOP comes up with won’t be effective, it would probably be a bill to make it look like they’re doing something without actually doing something.

[SuingToGetAMessageBoard? 3,861]

6 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

It begs the question.

we all know the GOP are a bunch of spineless and gutless turds who care about getting re-elected more than they care about this country. If they lose here, do you think they will feel pressure to pass some kind of gun control? 

Id rather them not pass anything and lose bigger in 2020. Any solution the GOP comes up with won’t be effective, it would probably be a bill to make it look like they’re doing something without actually doing something.

They’re dead, Jim.  GOP can’t sit by while the suburbs revolt.  And you can’t pass GOP gun control and expect any sort of voter enthusiasm.  

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

5 minutes ago, SuingToGetAMessageBoard? said:

They’re dead, Jim.  GOP can’t sit by while the suburbs revolt.  And you can’t pass GOP gun control and expect any sort of voter enthusiasm.  

I think that's the punchline.  They're really caught in a Catch-22.

Guns used to be a great wedge issue for them to use against the Democrats.  But the worm has turned.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13,414]

So is this election night again? Is John King cranking up the results screens?

[cactusflinthead 27,594]

So NC 09 is a swing district now?

You're sure about that Steve? You're not tamping down expectations after y'all spent 6 million?

Right.

President Donald Trump carried this district by 12 points in 2016, but Republican outside groups have spent more than $6 million on the race, which Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates Toss-up.

“You know, the Bishop district is a very tough swing district,” GOP Whip Steve Scalise told reporters Tuesday. 

https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/gop-leadership-lowers-expectations-north-carolina-special-election

[Voldemort86 2,259]

3 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

So is this election night again? Is John King cranking up the results screens?

Polls close at 6:30 CST. Is CNN covering it?

[atomheartbevo 89,449]

17 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Polls close at 6:30 CST. Is CNN covering it?

Probably, they've had a bunch of stories about how important it is.

[406W30th 1,111]

5 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

Scott Walker is a loser. I really hate that guy.  He is a huge huge advocate of partisan gerrymandering and Wisconsin GOP are some of the nastiest people you will ever find anywhere. They win elections with 45% of the vote ( or less) because of the heavily gerrymandered map and have a massive chip their shoulder while doing it.

You ain't kidding about the Wisconsin GOP. They are vile, anti-democratic fucks. It's a damn tragedy how much power they've managed to steal against the will of the people; Wisconsin used to be the Laboratory of Democracy.

[Js1 85,110]

12 minutes ago, 406W30th said:

You ain't kidding about the Wisconsin GOP. They are vile, anti-democratic fucks. It's a damn tragedy how much power they've managed to steal against the will of the people; Wisconsin used to be the Laboratory of Democracy.

Wisky and NC GOP are 2 of the most corrupt by far. 

[Voldemort86 2,259]

14 minutes ago, 406W30th said:

You ain't kidding about the Wisconsin GOP. They are vile, anti-democratic fucks. It's a damn tragedy how much power they've managed to steal against the will of the people; Wisconsin used to be the Laboratory of Democracy.

At the national level, Things are looking better in Wisconsin with Walker out and Ryan retired. At the same time, some people say that Wisconsin is trending red. I think trump winning Wisconsin in 2016 was a fluke and it’s still a purplish maybe even very slightly tilt blue state. The state legislature and statewide politics is a problem tho. How are the democrats ever going to get back in there if the repubs keep winning the most seats with less votes because of hardcore gerrymandering? Is it a self perpetuating cycle of losing for democrats?

Edited September 10, 2019 by Voldemort86

[Voldemort86 2,259]

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Wisky and NC GOP are 2 of the most corrupt by far. 

Ohio is a close 3rd.  Didn’t the people of Ohio vote for a non partisan map making committee and the GOP in that state killed it somehow?

[Js1 85,110]

50 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Ohio is a close 3rd.  Didn’t the people of Ohio vote for a non partisan map making committee and the GOP in that state killed it somehow?

Missouri too 

[atomheartbevo 89,449]

I have a feeling CNN will cover it tonight, because they've been running a lot of articles/videos about it.

But the Bolton stuff is kind of a Big Deal.

[Js1 85,110]

open until 7:55 ET due to a gas leak that led to a 25 min evacuation 

[bolverk 29,401]

50.5% McCready; 49% Bishop w/ 0% reporting. Must be early votes only.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/live-results-north-carolinas-special-election

 

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

2 minutes ago, bolverk said:

50.5% McCready; 49% Bishop w/ 0% reporting. Must be early votes only.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/live-results-north-carolinas-special-election

 

 . . . and I think those are good numbers for McCready.  I just don't know how Election Day votes normally turn out in North Carolina.

[Js1 85,110]

Yep. Dems should win early vote easily. More about Election Day. 

R wins NC-3 as expected 

[Js1 85,110]

Just now, Ghost of LL said:

 . . . and I think those are good numbers for McCready.  I just don't know how Election Day votes normally turn out in North Carolina.

In 2018 it was 54-46 or thereabouts. Looks like McCready won early and absentee by 9. 

[Pancho 44,486]

 

[bolverk 29,401]

This is good for county returns. NPR talking heads made it sound like it should be all about Mecklenburg in the suburbs. McCready is at 60% there right now.

https://elections.ap.org/newshour/election_results/2019-09-10/state/NC/race/G/raceid/34975

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

Now up by 8,000 votes with 9% reporting (and much of that 9% coming from Union County).

The fact that the GOP has completely lost the suburbs in Mecklenburg County is kind of a problem for them.

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

And now by by 20,000 votes with 14% in (and with Union County now in the McCready column).

[atomheartbevo 89,449]

Did that 14% just turn into 12%?

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

4 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Did that 14% just turn into 12%?

Yeah--something weird happened in Union County.

[atomheartbevo 89,449]

1 minute ago, Ghost of LL said:

Yeah--something weird happened in Union County.

He went from up by 20,000 to up by 7,000.  Odd

[Francisco 2.0 32,342]

3 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

Yeah--something weird happened in Union County.

[Js1 85,110]

It’s going to be a photo finish. So naturally I don’t think the democrats win 

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

Bishop is going to have a hard time if his Election Day vote in Mecklenburg County isn't crazy good.  Union County is nearly half counted, and he's still 4,000 votes in the hole.

[Firemans4Horn 17,834]

Hopefully he’s wrong

 

 

[cactusflinthead 27,594]

 

[cactusflinthead 27,594]

https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=09/10/2019&county_id=0&office=FED&contest=0

Board of elections 

[Hugo Stiglitz 23,356]

Republicans cheat and still win is of course how this ends.

[Js1 85,110]

9 minutes ago, Firemans4Horn said:

Hopefully he’s wrong

 

 

Unless Meck E-Day is super D friendly, he’s right. 

[Pancho 44,486]

Yeah, NYTimes is showing Mecklenburg only having 2 precincts reporting

[Firemans4Horn 17,834]

 

[Js1 85,110]

If Bishop wins, I’m going to ask where tf our top 5-6 Dems running for 2020 are and why they didn’t hit this area one after one leading up to today. 

[Firemans4Horn 17,834]

Coin flip

 

 

[Js1 85,110]

 

[Bateshorn 9,905]

Am I missing something or is Mecklenburg coming in late a bad sign for Bishop with Union counted?

[Message Board User 12,389]

 

[Js1 85,110]

5 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

Am I missing something or is Mecklenburg coming in late a bad sign for Bishop with Union counted?

McCready can’t stop the bleeding elsewhere. He’s mostly underperforming where he was winning in 18

[Firemans4Horn 17,834]

Sounds like a GOP victory to me. 

 

 

[Ghost of LL 15,492]

Am I missing something or is Mecklenburg coming in late a bad sign for Bishop with Union counted?

If you’re missing it, then I’m missing it too.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Js1 85,110]

It over

 

[Firemans4Horn 17,834]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

It over

 

[Bateshorn 9,905]

Well,  there you go. Dems lose by 1-2 in a GOP+9 district due to turn out. 

[Mrs Whiggins 13,049]

Between the rally on Monday and the belief that the GOP pretty much cheats regardless of whether they get caught, it would take a lightning bolt from God and the Church Lady both for McCready to win.

[Js1 85,110]

2 minutes ago, Mrs Whiggins said:

Between the rally on Monday and the belief that the GOP pretty much cheats regardless of whether they get caught, it would take a lightning bolt from God and the Church Lady both for McCready to win.

And again, did any of our top 2020ers show up for McCready? 

Another 6-8 point overperformance. But when the GOP/Trump can narrow in on one race instead of 435, they pull it off. 

Edited September 11, 2019 by Js1

[Mrs Whiggins 13,049]

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

And again, did any of our top 2020ers show up for McCready? 

I'm going to guess, no? Democrats better get on the same page-the GOP is pretty good about eating their own, so instead maybe the Democrats ought to consider the 'team before me' concept and form a flying V.