2019 Hurricane & Cyclone Thread

[Hate 20164]

You don’t know that Huck.

[longhrnfan 61]

Ugh, checking in from Miami. The madness has begun. Really waiting for the 11am tomorrow to determine how hard I have to prepare, and to see if I need to go down to my folk's place in key largo.

[DCA_HORN 725]

We've got a hurricane in downtown houston currently.

[Beantown Express 2.0 6568]

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:

Yes.

But not next week.

I'm headed to Tampa on Tuesday.  Same question.

[jdhorn92 1560]

Im In Port Charltotte now, getting out tomorrow though.

[Zepol87 9263]

Started mobilizing our Catastrophe team for the insurance companies to head to okochobee to set up. Should be flying out Sunday to Miami or Orlando and then heading there. Told my boss I'd go if only I can fly back to Austin for the LSU game. So lets see

 

[Loco 3754]

1 hour ago, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

I'm headed to Tampa on Tuesday.  Same question.

Just watch the storm path.  The storm should be through by Tuesday unless the forecast slows down again.  If the place you're staying is 70+ miles from the path of the eye it will probably be business as usual.  (other than squally weather) Hotels will be booked up fast though.

Edited August 29, 2019 by Loco

[InkaUtexas 26382]

12 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

Started mobilizing our Catastrophe team for the insurance companies to head to okochobee to set up. Should be flying out Sunday to Miami or Orlando and then heading there. Told my boss I'd go if only I can fly back to Austin for the LSU game. So lets see

 

And he buys you the ticket. At Surly prices. 

[Loco 3754]

Each update seems to move a little further south. 8pm Update

[bigshark88 388]

Ah shit. Team Surly Florida checking in here.

Need to keep that thing out of the GOM.

[Hate 20164]

Latest from the NHC.  Some models (HWRF) are calling for it to possibly be a Cat 5.

 

 

 

And the GFS "spaghetti" models are really worst case scenario for Florida.

Edited August 29, 2019 by Hate

[SimonBolivar 10961]

11 minutes ago, Hate said:

Latest from the NHC.  Some models (HWRF) are calling for it to possibly be a Cat 5.

 

 

 

And the GFS "spaghetti" models are really worst case scenario for Florida.

Yeah those bottom ones are nice right. You get greater Miami, all the keys, then fuck you New Orleans.

[gmr548 16644]

Yeah the ensemble data has it turning north after FL, just a matter of how far west it gets. It getting back over the Gulf is definitely something everyone should be rooting against. 

[MNLonghornFUKM 8918]

Fuuckk that's headed right towards Melbourne. That city is my family's adopted winter getaway. Weve been going there almost every year for nearly 2 decades. Gtfo Dorian

 

 

[Ogie Ogilthorpe 639]

5 am model shifted south again, dammit

[Neonmoon 38130]

Edited August 29, 2019 by Neonmoon

[clapclapclap 9000]

 

[Brew 3049]

With this thing moving South, guess I’m going to fly down this weekend and make sure everything is buttoned up at the house and get back out before it cranks up. I was planning on going in two weeks and making sure everything was clear after renovations were complete, but it is what it is. Should be good on the West Coast, but we left things out that probably need to be put up and/or locked down.

[LonghornJones 837]

Very humble.

[atomheartbevo 90082]

1 minute ago, LonghornJones said:

Very humble.

Nah, he's poor, otherwise he'd have his manservant go and take care of everything, and ride the storm out in the house to make sure there's no looters or anything.

[Brew 3049]

Manservant was busy on holiday weekend. We’re moving at some point once renovations get finished on older house that needed updating. Timing sucks because contractor was long since supposed to be done, but everything moves slow.

[Ogie Ogilthorpe 639]

21 minutes ago, Brew said:

With this thing moving South, guess I’m going to fly down this weekend and make sure everything is buttoned up at the house and get back out before it cranks up. I was planning on going in two weeks and making sure everything was clear after renovations were complete, but it is what it is. Should be good on the West Coast, but we left things out that probably need to be put up and/or locked down.

Brew - where are you on the west coast?

[Dewey 3315]

They're saying strong winds should start Saturday evening, I dont know what that looks like for flying down there this weekend.  Flying in shouldn't be a problem,  flying out, dont know. Something to consider 

[Brew 3049]

6 minutes ago, Ogie Ogilthorpe said:

Brew - where are you on the west coast?

We’re on Sanibel. Are you in Ft Myers?

 

[Brew 3049]

6 minutes ago, Dewey said:

They're saying strong winds should start Saturday evening, I dont know what that looks like for flying down there this weekend.  Flying in shouldn't be a problem,  flying out, dont know. Something to consider 

Had to be on Jax tonight for the game to meet some clients, so heading down after it and back out Saturday before it starts.

[Ogie Ogilthorpe 639]

Just now, Brew said:

We’re on Sanibel. Are you in Ft Myers?

 

Naples

[miguelito 11345]

Latest models:

[Loco 3754]

This is the guy I follow...even though he's a nole

[texasdago 7593]

Models are struggling with this one.  Don't trust just one model or take some random self-styled expert's opinion.  

Edit: Post above me... yup

Good ones on Twitter for now:

 

@tropicaltidbits

@ericblake12

@andyhazelton

@mattlanza (more of a Houston and Texas focus which is good) - part of @spacecitywx

@philklotzbach

@ryanmaue

 

Edited August 29, 2019 by texasdago

[Loco 3754]

Labor Day Cat 4

[MNLonghornFUKM 8918]

Labor Day Cat 4

Fuck off weather

[UT_OB1 2227]

1 hour ago, Brew said:

With this thing moving South, guess I’m going to fly down this weekend and make sure everything is buttoned up at the house and get back out before it cranks up. I was planning on going in two weeks and making sure everything was clear after renovations were complete, but it is what it is. Should be good on the West Coast, but we left things out that probably need to be put up and/or locked down.

If you're planning on coming down and boarding up windows or need any type of supplies, you should probably reconsider.  My experience is that you'll spend 8 hours in line and get 1 piece of plywood that late in the game.  You'll just be adding an extra person to an already stressed system.  

[atomheartbevo 90082]

3 hours ago, Brew said:

Manservant was busy on holiday weekend. 

You let your manservant take weekends and holidays off?

[Buffsoldier 1895]

Actual footage of Brew's "manservant" doing yardwork:

[texasdago 7593]

Lanza posted a curated list for Dorian... https://twitter.com/mattlanza/lists/dorian 

[gecko 1104]

so this is setting up to track into the Gulf and hit the Houston area just in time for the drive to Austin for LSU game?

[NowThis 931]

if only we could redirect the hurricane towards Brazil 

[Ogie Ogilthorpe 639]

Models seem to be pushing more north now

[Brisketexan 105617]

People in FLA saying GO TABD.  People in TX and LA saying FUCK TABS.  People in NC...well, who knows if they can read.

[Neonmoon 38130]

Go home TABS, you're drunk. 

[HOOKEM4 5075]

Has TAB* ever proven to be remotely accurate? I feel like every one of these deals the TAB* models are just there because they need more lines. They are always the most random and farthest from the average.

[Loco 3754]

Florida Labor Day 1935

[clapclapclap 9000]

Euro washes the entire FL east coast.  Check out the slow timeline:

[MissingInAction 25316]

Thats also the euro model for your mom's tongue giving my penis a wash.

[Dewey 3315]

 Florida getting it, who knows where it goes from there. That's what I have so far... that's hours of twitter research. Tomorrow is the big reveal. 

[SimonBolivar 10961]

11 minutes ago, clapclapclap said:

Euro washes the entire FL east coast.  Check out the slow timeline:

That would be something right there. Almost looks like "Hurricane Dorian...sponsored by the Destin Chamber of Commerce".

[clapclapclap 9000]

4 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

Thats also the euro model for your mom's tongue giving my penis a wash.

Jokes on you, that was dad in drag.

[Trey3216 15380]

3 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

Thats also the euro model for your mom's tongue giving my penis a wash.

That’s a real reach, around which you should be negged 

[Loco 3754]

18 minutes ago, clapclapclap said:

Euro washes the entire FL east coast.  Check out the slow timeline:

can I just say, EABOD europe!

[MissingInAction 25316]

36 minutes ago, clapclapclap said:

Jokes on you, that was dad in drag.

For the record... I'm into it..