2018 Rain Thread

[Neonmoon 38129]

Frankie's first Surly weather report slams and goes hard 

Edited March 27, 2018 by Neonmoon

[South Austin 52449]

So we gonna get some nasty shit tonight?

[Hate 20106]

2 minutes ago, South Austin said:

So we gonna get some nasty shit tonight?

Depends on what you eat.  On another note, there may be some bad weather today with a tornado dong.

 

 

 

Edited March 27, 2018 by Hate

[South Austin 52449]

[phdhorn 6224]

Cautiously returning here...

The forecast today will be (for AUS):  increasing chances of rain during the day, small chance for storms to pass through in advance of a cold front coming in later tonight.  Widespread, but if you get under one, you could get a lot of rain.  Small chance of hail/high winds/severe.  Tornado threat low but marginally possible.  I don't think most of us will get rain before sunset.  As predicted, radar showing most of the rain/weather staying N of Austin right now through most of the day.

Tonight (er, tomorrow) the cold front sweeps through between 3 and 6 a.m.   This is when we'll almost certainly get a frontal rain (i.e. line of storms moving through).  This is also the time it'll be possible to get some strong storms.  Portions of the line will be severe, but not all up and down it.  I'd say chances of rain with this line are > 90%, it's gonna happen.  You might get "woken" up.   In any case, the rain amounts shouldn't be overly great; most places about an inch.  The bulk of the rain is going to be NE of us into AR and LA, and E. Texas where it's already saturated, so they might flood.

Due to the nature of this system, which is fairly strong, and will pull a lot of cool, moist air down with it, rain chances will continue after the front passes early tomorrow a.m., probably into the noon hour.  Then the severe line ramps up mostly SE of us; we'll be in relatively stable air.  If you live between 35 and the coast, you might get some big storms later Wed afternoon.

DFW, today you should get a good shot of the current line, which will arrive in mid-afternoon.  Some could be severe, but not everyone.  Today is primarily your rain day.

As was talked about in the now-dead thread, this has been a typical La Niña winter/spring:  dry for us.  The storms have all tracked well N/NE of Texas and we've gotten little steady rain although we've had a bunch of "damp" weather; for this reason the drought isn't as bad here as W/NW Texas, where it's really bad.  Harvey et. al. has kept the E-SE portions of the state's ground wet, plus there has been a lot more rain moving across TX south of us then up the coast (Houston's got a lot more rain since last fall).

The dry weather was predicted; this doesn't mean it's going to stay dry through the spring, but we'll see.  The 3-month outlooks call for a pretty strong chance of little rain and warmer than normal.  Not looking great so far for 2018.  But this often changes.

Back later if shit goes down/changes.

Obligatory:  forcefield, not going to rain, bullshit.

[South Austin 52449]

Cannot determine legitimacy of phdnorn’s forecast without more pics of his wife.

[phdhorn 6224]

Like, YOU shouldl talk, brah.

[South Austin 52449]

5 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

Like, YOU shouldl talk, brah.

I would oblige, but my wife is in witness protection. Sorry.

[Biff Tannen 45665]

His wife's in a coma.

[South Austin 52449]

42 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

His wife's in a coma.

It's serious?

[Hate 20106]

Do you really think she'll pull through?

Edited March 27, 2018 by Hate

[Amos Moses 795]

I saw her pass out at 31 Flavors last night.

[sachick 1189]

2 hours ago, phdhorn said:

Cautiously returning here...

The forecast today will be (for AUS):  increasing chances of rain during the day, small chance for storms to pass through in advance of a cold front coming in later tonight.  Widespread, but if you get under one, you could get a lot of rain.  Small chance of hail/high winds/severe.  Tornado threat low but marginally possible.  I don't think most of us will get rain before sunset.  As predicted, radar showing most of the rain/weather staying N of Austin right now through most of the day.

Tonight (er, tomorrow) the cold front sweeps through between 3 and 6 a.m.   This is when we'll almost certainly get a frontal rain (i.e. line of storms moving through).  This is also the time it'll be possible to get some strong storms.  Portions of the line will be severe, but not all up and down it.  I'd say chances of rain with this line are > 90%, it's gonna happen.  You might get "woken" up.   In any case, the rain amounts shouldn't be overly great; most places about an inch.  The bulk of the rain is going to be NE of us into AR and LA, and E. Texas where it's already saturated, so they might flood.

Due to the nature of this system, which is fairly strong, and will pull a lot of cool, moist air down with it, rain chances will continue after the front passes early tomorrow a.m., probably into the noon hour.  Then the severe line ramps up mostly SE of us; we'll be in relatively stable air.  If you live between 35 and the coast, you might get some big storms later Wed afternoon.

DFW, today you should get a good shot of the current line, which will arrive in mid-afternoon.  Some could be severe, but not everyone.  Today is primarily your rain day.

As was talked about in the now-dead thread, this has been a typical La Niña winter/spring:  dry for us.  The storms have all tracked well N/NE of Texas and we've gotten little steady rain although we've had a bunch of "damp" weather; for this reason the drought isn't as bad here as W/NW Texas, where it's really bad.  Harvey et. al. has kept the E-SE portions of the state's ground wet, plus there has been a lot more rain moving across TX south of us then up the coast (Houston's got a lot more rain since last fall).

The dry weather was predicted; this doesn't mean it's going to stay dry through the spring, but we'll see.  The 3-month outlooks call for a pretty strong chance of little rain and warmer than normal.  Not looking great so far for 2018.  But this often changes.

Back later if shit goes down/changes.

Obligatory:  forcefield, not going to rain, bullshit.

tldr

Am I taking my kid to practice at 6?

[phdhorn 6224]

No, tell him/her to drive themselves.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

probably

 

(I put that "tl;dr:" shit in because believe it or not, a buncha people want it)

[SW Horn 7]

19 minutes ago, sachick said:

tldr

Am I taking my kid to practice at 6?

[texhorn 351]

Es raining! 

[Neonmoon 38129]

What is this? Invisible rain?

[Footballpants 121]

6 hours ago, phdhorn said:

.   This is when we'll almost certainly get a frontal rain (i.e. line of storms moving through). 

Speaking of frontal, how bout a pic of your wife's RATs?

[sachick 1189]

Practice cancelled. Now there's time for Taco Tuesday.

 

[phdhorn 6224]

30 minutes ago, Footballpants said:

Speaking of frontal, how bout a pic of your wife's RATs?

You have some?  Awesome!  Post 'em here!

Let's just say that 1) probably na. naga.. nagonnahappen proally, and 2) first South Austin has to come through with the wife's slide-in's.  Then we'll talk.

Drizzly drippy-droppy here in The Cave, but temps just went down 10° due to rain-cooled air.  Chances pick up now through tomorrow a.m., peaking 3-4 a.m. in AUS.
Houston, tomorrow is your day for big storms.

[LoneStarBiker 145]

Getting all dark and cloudy in San Marvelous

[Digdogger 1344]

7 hours ago, South Austin said:

I would oblige, but my wife is in witness protection. Sorry.

Make sure you use the panorama setting to fit that porker in the shot

[Chet Steadman 940]

Uncle Jim Spencer said to expect 3” rainfall totals in the next 24-36 hours.  

Bracing for on-and-off light to moderate drizzle. 

[Deej 76754]

Decent rain in 78753 for the last 30 minutes. 

[swraith 345]

A few drops in 78757. I want a lot more. 

[Deej 76754]

That's why I moved from the 57 to the 53. That, and more gun play and police helicopters.

[irishtexan 11515]

Got a brief few minutes of heavy downpour and about 20 minutes of light rain at Bill Cannon and West Gate 

Edited March 27, 2018 by irishtexan

[NaTeWHO 852]

Getting hammered down south. Thunder woke me up.

[Anastasis 23459]

Starting get real out West. 

[Modessit 5598]

Pissing on a rock in 78724. Lightning boomed so close one of the kids toys started talking in the living room. 

Hopefully this washes the bird shit off of my car. 

Edited March 28, 2018 by Modessit

[Guest]

gotdam it's coming down!

[Guest]

biblical out by the 360 bridge

[Richter 2256]

The apocalypse has reached cedar park and I’m hoping I can go back to sleep.

[Guest]

dying down a bit but the radar still looks wicked

[South Austin 52449]

Storms kept me up for a good chunk of the night in 78731. My lawn is loving it though.

[UnivTex34 1763]

2.7 inches and counting in 78748.

[Anastasis 23459]

Sorry roflbox. I didn’t hear any hail in that one. Anyone with reports of hail?

[atomheartbevo 89626]

Some interesting lightning and thunder in Central Austin. 

[NorthLoop 14181]

New Braunfels had to delay school because of some low water crossings

[miguelito 11254]

3 very loud inches of rain and lightning in NW SA.

[LoneStarBiker 145]

4+ inches in Kyle, we needed it.  

Hopefully the Blanco gets some significant runoff it's been super dry and I want to get my kayak fishing going on. 

[Richter 2256]

2 hours ago, UnivTex34 said:

2.7 inches and counting in 78748.

I hate to be the one to break it to you, but that's a pretty small penis.

[phdhorn 6224]

26 minutes ago, LoneStarBiker said:

4+ inches in Kyle, we needed it.  

Hopefully the Blanco gets some significant runoff it's been super dry and I want to get my kayak fishing going on. 

Looks like you guys won the rain total contest in the Austin area, although higher totals might be falling today east of U.S. 77.  But totals in the region were all pretty uniform, 2"-3.5" or so.  This go-round the forecasts nailed it pretty well.

Heading into a dry spell, it looks like, so enjoy this.  However, the ground will be saturated for at least 2 weeks from this, being so uniform + widespread.  Pretty much guarantees a pretty hefty spring growing season now.

[irishtexan 11515]

So disregard those rain chances for early next week?

10-day looks awfully nice with no high above 82 and sunny most days.

[idigTexas 2284]

I don't have a rain gauge, so no idea how much we got in my little neck of 78745, but the power went out at 3am, and was off until 6. 

[phdhorn 6224]

Whoa, hold onto your asses, another blob moving right up 35, should hit in about an hour or so if it holds together.
BTW, rain chances are high most of the day until at least dinner time.  Moar!

[UnivTex34 1763]

Just now, phdhorn said:

Whoa, hold onto your asses, another blob moving right up 35, should hit in about an hour or so if it holds together.
BTW, rain chances are high most of the day until at least dinner time.  Moar!

yeah, that is a big mother right now.

[Don Keibals 113]

Not much here in Austin now, just drove into work with a couple of stops and just had a few sprinkles.  Lots of thunder and lightning last night though

[Catpfish 618]

Just need it to hold together until it gets over my tank...maybe I can make it through the summer then

[UnivTex34 1763]

8 minutes ago, Don Keibals said:

Not much here in Austin now, just drove into work with a couple of stops and just had a few sprinkles.  Lots of thunder and lightning last night though

just wait 10 minutes