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Posted
3 minutes ago, 4th_and_18 said:

672.31 at 10:00
674.08 at 10:30

Nutso


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Over 680 by the end of today I'd say is pretty much for sure, now.

690 by Wednesday evening?  Could be...

Posted

LCRA ALERT: Flood operations at Mansfield & Tom Miller dams will begin at noon today. Take action to protect people & property. Qs? 844-523-5663 or lcra.org


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Posted
Just now, Orange&White said:

Mansfield and Tom Miller gates opening at noon.

That's a good move.  If this were midsummer and no more rain were expected for another week or two, then I'd say they could hold off on that.

But it's not midsummer, and large amounts of rain are imminent for the next week or so.  Time to pass the water on down to the rice farmers.  Lucky bastages! ;)

 

 

Posted
9 minutes ago, utee94 said:

Time to pass the water on down to the rice farmers.  Lucky bastages! ;)

 

 

They'll still bitch about it not being enough.

"All your lake are belong to us."

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Posted
They haven't updated the floodstatus page on LCRA since 9:15 or so, but definitely no mention of Mansfield or Tom Miller opening.  That's damn nuts!

Scroll down. The stuff further down the page updates every 15 minutes for my view.


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Posted
They haven't updated the floodstatus page on LCRA since 9:15 or so, but definitely no mention of Mansfield or Tom Miller opening.  That's damn nuts!

Says it on their twitter feed


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Posted

Scroll down. The stuff further down the page updates every 15 minutes for my view.


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690-695 forecast now


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Posted

The wall of water going into the lakes is of course incredibly massive but it's not long-lived.  This is why Travis won't get to the spillway.
Of course, if the rains hit again...

The current "regeneration line", that is, the line where the air gets disturbed and continually kicks up showers is still SW of the flooding areas, along a line NW from south of San Antonio through Uvalde, Rocksprings, and Sonora.  As long as this line is in place, the Hill Country will be at risk today for heavy showers.  Right now rain is light but could pick up again.

The cutoff low causing all of this is sitting between Tucson and Phoenix, and it's not moving very fast.  (How many times have we posted about cutoff lows and their potential devastating effect on Texas?).


BTW, this is pretty typical of a strong El Niño year.  Forecast for next few months is actually for Southern U.S. to be cooler than normal, northern U.S. warmer.  More precip in South/Southeast U.S. (that means us).  I think it's off to a good start.  The Niño kicked in in September.  Duh.

Posted
20 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

The wall of water going into the lakes is of course incredibly massive but it's not long-lived.  This is why Travis won't get to the spillway.
Of course, if the rains hit again...

The "good" news is that the lake widens with every foot of elevation, so it takes an increasingly higher amount of inflow to raise the water level a given amount as it fills up.

#sunshinepumper

Posted
LCRA ALERT: Flood operations at Mansfield & Tom Miller dams will begin at noon today. Take action to protect people & property. Qs? 844-523-5663 or lcra.org


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We’ll see if Longhorn Dam can take it.


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Posted
13 minutes ago, Texas Jeff said:

 


We’ll see if Longhorn Dam can take it.


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Did they ever get those gates and shit fixed? It was in pretty bad shape if I remember.

Posted (edited)

projected 690-695 over the next 48 hours. Up to 4 floodgates open at Mansfield by 6:00 PM today. Graveyard point should be on the news again. 

Edited by UTEX_ME
Posted
50 minutes ago, GlenFromTheMailRoom said:

Our lakehouse is off island drive in HSB.  Looking like a total loss based on reports.

i think they just showed houses totally underwater in that area. 

Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Anastasis said:

i think they just showed houses totally underwater in that area. 

I think the ones they're showing now are further up the lake but the elevation is about the same.  Fuck.

Our place is right next the country club.  Boat is docked over by the dam.

Edited by GlenFromTheMailRoom
Posted
4 minutes ago, GlenFromTheMailRoom said:

I think the ones they're showing now are further up the lake but the elevation is about the same.  Fuck.

Our place is right next the country club.  Boat is docked over by the dam.

Nicely done.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

Nicely done.

As of now, we're considering the boat, day dock, catamaran, and most of downstairs to be total losses.  As of 3 or so hours ago the water was already over the beach area behind the house and that was before the evacuation was called for.   The caretaker of the property hasn't been able to make it back over to let us know the extent of the damage yet.

Posted
Just now, GlenFromTheMailRoom said:

As of now, we're considering the boat, day dock, catamaran, and most of downstairs to be total losses.  As of 3 or so hours ago the water was already over the beach area behind the house and that was before the evacuation was called for.   The caretaker of the property hasn't been able to make it back over to let us know the extent of the damage yet.

Username doesn't check out.

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